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Weekend Actuals

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DP07 The Thirteenth Floor Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 15573 Location: Everywhere	xiayun wrote: If one checks the BOM chart, among all the films that broke the opening-weekend record over the years, the most frontloaded one is The Lost World, and that only had its opening accounted for 31.5% of its total gross. I don't see a multiplier lower than 3.0. But that was in another era with less frontloading. heh, I'm arguing against my side here.
Mon Jul 10, 2006 4:11 pm

Shack Devil's Advocate Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 40598	It's still a highly anticipated sequel, that a lot of people rushed out to. And 135 mil is a shitload of money. A Shrek 2 multiplier is impossible. _________________ Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
Mon Jul 10, 2006 4:11 pm

Anita Hussein Briem Yes we can call dibs on the mountain guide Joined: Tue Apr 19, 2005 5:47 pm Posts: 3290 Location: Houston	DP07 wrote: xiayun wrote: If one checks the BOM chart, among all the films that broke the opening-weekend record over the years, the most frontloaded one is The Lost World, and that only had its opening accounted for 31.5% of its total gross. I don't see a multiplier lower than 3.0. But that was in another era with less frontloading. heh, I'm arguing against my side here. All the record-breakers since The Lost World have had better legs. _________________ ~~(hitokiri battousai)~~
Mon Jul 10, 2006 4:13 pm

DP07 The Thirteenth Floor Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 15573 Location: Everywhere	Hitokiri Battousai wrote: DP07 wrote: xiayun wrote: If one checks the BOM chart, among all the films that broke the opening-weekend record over the years, the most frontloaded one is The Lost World, and that only had its opening accounted for 31.5% of its total gross. I don't see a multiplier lower than 3.0. But that was in another era with less frontloading. heh, I'm arguing against my side here. All the record-breakers since The Lost World have had better legs. Yeah, exactly. That one was unusually frontloaded.
Mon Jul 10, 2006 4:15 pm

bABA Commander and Chef Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 12:56 am Posts: 30505 Location: Tonight ... YOU!	because it turned out to be crap. the same would have happened with reloaded.
Mon Jul 10, 2006 4:17 pm

DP07 The Thirteenth Floor Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 15573 Location: Everywhere	Zingaling wrote: I don't have an excuse. I'm still predicing the same multiplier as I was prior to the weekend (3x). That'd give it $406 million, which is what I predicted in the "Top 10 Movies of 2006" thread. Then you have always been going too low on the legs.
Mon Jul 10, 2006 4:17 pm

zingy College Boy Z Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm Posts: 36662	BOM has the dailies. Friday: $55,830,600 Saturday: $44,443,225 (-20%) Sunday: $35,360,729 (-20%) $100,273,825 in two days.
Mon Jul 10, 2006 4:21 pm

DP07 The Thirteenth Floor Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 15573 Location: Everywhere	hmm, if the numbers really are fudged like the doubters say then the Sunday drop is incredible. heh Last edited by DP07 on Mon Jul 10, 2006 4:24 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Mon Jul 10, 2006 4:22 pm

bABA Commander and Chef Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 12:56 am Posts: 30505 Location: Tonight ... YOU!	i ........ still suspect that 2 day thing.
Mon Jul 10, 2006 4:23 pm

liesse00 Commander Coo Coo Bananas Joined: Sat May 20, 2006 10:45 am Posts: 585 Location: North Central Illinois	Yea it made more alright!!! Go Pirates!! No fudging _________________ Last FM Twitter
Mon Jul 10, 2006 4:25 pm

Mannyisthebest Forum General Joined: Wed May 10, 2006 3:53 pm Posts: 8642 Location: Toronto, Canada	thats mighty impressive! Almost 56 million opening day! _________________ The Dark Prince
Mon Jul 10, 2006 4:25 pm

Anita Hussein Briem Yes we can call dibs on the mountain guide Joined: Tue Apr 19, 2005 5:47 pm Posts: 3290 Location: Houston	Don't forget that Saturday and Sunday were equally underestimated in the beginning. _________________ ~~(hitokiri battousai)~~
Mon Jul 10, 2006 4:26 pm

Eventine Too Brilliant for Introductions Joined: Sat Nov 05, 2005 12:45 am Posts: 3073	Hitokiri Battousai wrote: Don't forget that Saturday and Sunday were equally underestimated in the beginning. Friday was underestimated as well. _________________
Mon Jul 10, 2006 4:28 pm

baumer72 Mod Team Leader Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 11:00 pm Posts: 7087 Location: Crystal Lake	Well, if the official numbers have it breaking 100 mill, then so be it. I don't buy it, but hey, that's what it says, that's what it says. Congrats to Pirates. _________________ Brick Tamland: Yeah, there were horses, and a man on fire, and I killed a guy with a trident. Ron Burgundy: Brick, I've been meaning to talk to you about that. You should find yourself a safehouse or a relative close by. Lay low for a while, because you're probably wanted for murder.
Mon Jul 10, 2006 4:29 pm

Supafroius Star Trek XI Joined: Thu May 11, 2006 10:59 am Posts: 370	Substantial increase! Daily Drops look ok, no fudge. Shrek 2 = Fudge... =p _________________ Why I'm not an artist.....
Mon Jul 10, 2006 4:31 pm

zingy College Boy Z Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm Posts: 36662	It also beat Shrek 2 for the highest Sunday ever by just $0.4 million. I still think it's a little fishy, but whatever, it's official numbers now. Fantastic numbers.
Mon Jul 10, 2006 4:31 pm

Dr. Lecter You must have big rats Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany	I think it's fudged, but at the end of the day, it doesn't matter because we took ROTS' $50 million opening day for a fact as well, so... _________________ The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
Mon Jul 10, 2006 4:33 pm

DP07 The Thirteenth Floor Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 15573 Location: Everywhere	Zingaling wrote: It also beat Shrek 2 for the highest Sunday ever by just $0.4 million. I still think it's a little fishy, but whatever, it's official numbers now. Fantastic numbers. Well, they can't both be fudged higher. heh
Mon Jul 10, 2006 4:33 pm

neo_wolf Extraordinary Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 10:19 pm Posts: 11033	Fucking impressive, well, there is no way it doesnt do 350mill+ now.I admit i was wrong, it should do about 17-18mill today.
Mon Jul 10, 2006 4:35 pm

Anita Hussein Briem Yes we can call dibs on the mountain guide Joined: Tue Apr 19, 2005 5:47 pm Posts: 3290 Location: Houston	DP07 wrote: Zingaling wrote: It also beat Shrek 2 for the highest Sunday ever by just $0.4 million. I still think it's a little fishy, but whatever, it's official numbers now. Fantastic numbers. Well, they can't both be fudged higher. heh Yes, they can't fudge all three days higher. _________________ ~~(hitokiri battousai)~~
Mon Jul 10, 2006 4:37 pm

Eventine Too Brilliant for Introductions Joined: Sat Nov 05, 2005 12:45 am Posts: 3073	neo_wolf wrote: I admit i was wrong We've got a sport here. _________________
Mon Jul 10, 2006 4:37 pm

andaroo1 Lord of filth Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 9:47 pm Posts: 9566	baumer72 wrote: Well, if the official numbers have it breaking 100 mill, then so be it. I don't buy it, but hey, that's what it says, that's what it says. Congrats to Pirates. Yeah, I was silent but I thought the estimates could be fudged, but questioning it after these "official actuals" come out is opening up a larger can of worms about Hollywood's accounting in general.
Mon Jul 10, 2006 4:38 pm

DP07 The Thirteenth Floor Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 15573 Location: Everywhere	andaroo wrote: baumer72 wrote: Well, if the official numbers have it breaking 100 mill, then so be it. I don't buy it, but hey, that's what it says, that's what it says. Congrats to Pirates. Yeah, I was silent but I thought the estimates could be fudged, but questioning it after these "official actuals" come out is opening up a larger can of worms about Hollywood's accounting in general. But actuals are fudged all the time. Look at Cars and Signs. There are 6 between 50m-50.8m, but none between 49m-50m. There are 7 at 40m-40.5m, but only one at 39.5m-40m. There are 10 at 30m-30.5m (9 actually under 30.2m) and only 4 at 29.5m-30m. It goes on....
Mon Jul 10, 2006 4:45 pm

Alfred Harry Potter and the Half Blood Prince Joined: Sun Apr 30, 2006 3:29 pm Posts: 429 Location: A place, where birds sing a pretty song and there's always music in the air	Amazing for Pirates, but I'm still thinking that it will end up around 360m. Very good for cars, I have four wishes wishes for the summer: 1 Cars to overtake X-men 3 2 X-Men 3 to fail to beat WotW 3 Great OW for Miami Vice 4 WTC to be a great movie, nothing else matters _________________ "This city deserves a better class of criminal and I'm gonna give it to them" 1 billion, come on hit me!
Mon Jul 10, 2006 4:47 pm

andaroo1 Lord of filth Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 9:47 pm Posts: 9566	DP07 wrote: But actuals are fudged all the time. Look at Cars and Signs. There are 6 between 50m-50.8m, but none between 49m-50m. There are 7 at 40m-40.5m, but only one at 39.5m-40m. There are 10 at 30m-30.5m (9 actually under 30.2m) and only 4 at 29.5m-30m. It goes on.... You still have absolutely no proof either way that those are "fudged" numbers, if you did, which ones? Even if your theory holds water the Pirates numbers still could be completely legitimate. If they are accepted by the accountants and the stock holders of these companies then there is really nothing that can be said. If Warner Bros. isn't going to launch a huge complaint challenging the numbers and at the end of the year nothing illegal has happened then were do we begin?
Mon Jul 10, 2006 4:51 pm
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