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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15573
Location: Everywhere
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The question is whether the average will be over or under $40,000.
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| Thu Jul 06, 2006 4:11 pm |
 
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Mannyisthebest
Forum General
Joined: Wed May 10, 2006 3:53 pm
Posts: 8642
Location: Toronto, Canada
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not possibile!
_________________The Dark Prince 
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| Thu Jul 06, 2006 4:15 pm |
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Anita Hussein Briem
Yes we can call dibs on the mountain guide
Joined: Tue Apr 19, 2005 5:47 pm
Posts: 3290
Location: Houston
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DP07 wrote: The question is whether the average will be over or under $40,000. That's a lot of inflation in one day.
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(hitokiri battousai)
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| Thu Jul 06, 2006 4:16 pm |
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neo_wolf
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 10:19 pm
Posts: 11035
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excel wrote: an opening day under 40 million WOULD be dissapointing. No way! 39mill would be awesome for any film!
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| Thu Jul 06, 2006 4:17 pm |
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Mannyisthebest
Forum General
Joined: Wed May 10, 2006 3:53 pm
Posts: 8642
Location: Toronto, Canada
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okay okay final perdiction. I see a bigger opening day then i thought.
Fri: 40.5 million
Sat: 39 million -3.7 %
Sun: 31.5 million -19%
Total: 111 million! AHHH!
its gone up 16 million 3 weeks.
When movie came out i say 90 million opening, before superman 95 million. After superman straight to 102 million. Saw more hype then to 106 million. Saw a stronge Sunday 108.5 million. Now i see a bigger opening day so 111 million.
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| Thu Jul 06, 2006 4:19 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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IMO, not overdoing the marketing is a great move by Disney, and while I'd admit the advance sale in the bay area so far isn't nearly as good as TDVC or X3, I think it can be more than made up by the enormous interests from the smaller cities and rural area. As Zing mentioned, the awareness is undeniably high from the survey.
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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| Thu Jul 06, 2006 4:28 pm |
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redspear
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Thu Jun 30, 2005 12:08 am
Posts: 1879
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xiayun wrote: IMO, not overdoing the marketing is a great move by Disney, and while I'd admit the advance sale in the bay area so far isn't nearly as good as TDVC or X3, I think it can be more than made up by the enormous interests from the smaller cities and rural area. As Zing mentioned, the awareness is undeniably high from the survey. As much as I am talking about San Francisco. I honestly expected Sunnyvale and San Jose to have higher sales. I mean there are how many theaters in San Jose? especially since SJ state is rigth there and all.
Anyways SoCal and Florida I always expect to be high because of WDW and WDL. New York will be the telling one for me.
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Last edited by redspear on Thu Jul 06, 2006 7:00 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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| Thu Jul 06, 2006 6:29 pm |
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redspear
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Thu Jun 30, 2005 12:08 am
Posts: 1879
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Regal Union Square Stadium 14
850 Broadway, New York, NY 10003
11:59 I 11:59 I 12:40am I 1:30am I 2:45am I 3:15am
3:55am
One Sell Out it NYC
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Cromulent!
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| Thu Jul 06, 2006 6:31 pm |
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Mannyisthebest
Forum General
Joined: Wed May 10, 2006 3:53 pm
Posts: 8642
Location: Toronto, Canada
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i think now the film now with a 5+ million midnight previews + many people seeing it on Friday and Saturday and many people from the general audience seeing it will for sure cause a huge weekend.
Strong Friday due to Midnight grosses + regular fans rushing out + general audience
Tad bit weaker Saturday due to no midnight grosses but more fans still coming to watch and more people from the general audience.
Strong Sunday with more people of the general audeince still watching it.
So i see a 110+ weekend.
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| Thu Jul 06, 2006 7:00 pm |
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Ghostooze
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sat Jan 29, 2005 3:47 pm
Posts: 1406
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| Thu Jul 06, 2006 7:02 pm |
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Anita Hussein Briem
Yes we can call dibs on the mountain guide
Joined: Tue Apr 19, 2005 5:47 pm
Posts: 3290
Location: Houston
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Theoretically, maybe. We don't want to bother with non-POTC movies. 
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| Thu Jul 06, 2006 7:08 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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redspear wrote: xiayun wrote: IMO, not overdoing the marketing is a great move by Disney, and while I'd admit the advance sale in the bay area so far isn't nearly as good as TDVC or X3, I think it can be more than made up by the enormous interests from the smaller cities and rural area. As Zing mentioned, the awareness is undeniably high from the survey. As much as I am talking about San Francisco. I honestly expected Sunnyvale and San Jose to have higher sales. I mean there are how many theaters in San Jose? especially since SJ state is rigth there and all. The Shoreline theater at Mountain View sold out its first midnight show pretty early. Otherwise, it has been relatively quiet. Google isn't doing big group buying either, surprisingly. _________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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| Thu Jul 06, 2006 7:13 pm |
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redspear
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Thu Jun 30, 2005 12:08 am
Posts: 1879
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xiayun wrote: redspear wrote: xiayun wrote: IMO, not overdoing the marketing is a great move by Disney, and while I'd admit the advance sale in the bay area so far isn't nearly as good as TDVC or X3, I think it can be more than made up by the enormous interests from the smaller cities and rural area. As Zing mentioned, the awareness is undeniably high from the survey. As much as I am talking about San Francisco. I honestly expected Sunnyvale and San Jose to have higher sales. I mean there are how many theaters in San Jose? especially since SJ state is rigth there and all. The Shoreline theater at Mountain View sold out its first midnight show pretty early. Otherwise, it has been relatively quiet. Google isn't doing big group buying either, surprisingly. AMD usually buys lots of tickets as well. So does Namco. That is why I was surprised to hear that about the south bay.
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| Thu Jul 06, 2006 7:18 pm |
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Mannyisthebest
Forum General
Joined: Wed May 10, 2006 3:53 pm
Posts: 8642
Location: Toronto, Canada
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HSX rising for Pirates!
Pirates of the Carib H$316.13 +3.78
that is a 113 million weekend.
Also HSX perdicts a 113 million weekend.
http://movies.hsx.com/news/onthemoney/060707.htm_________________The Dark Prince
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| Thu Jul 06, 2006 7:35 pm |
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Alex Y.
Top Poster
Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 4:47 pm
Posts: 5824
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In terms of the San Francisco area, a likely reason for low midnight screening sales is that the BART public transportation system closes at midnight. I'd say at least 50% of the people in SF use the BART rather than driving. Plus, many thaters in SF don't have their own parking lots, so it'd suck to find street parking in the middle of the night.
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| Thu Jul 06, 2006 7:45 pm |
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redspear
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Thu Jun 30, 2005 12:08 am
Posts: 1879
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alex young wrote: In terms of the San Francisco area, a likely reason for low midnight screening sales is that the BART public transportation system closes at midnight. I'd say at least 50% of the people in SF use the BART rather than driving. Plus, many thaters in SF don't have their own parking lots, so it'd suck to find street parking in the middle of the night.
BTW, searches for "pirates movie" from San Francisco on Google Trends is #9, so I don't think it will do that bad there, just probably less midnight frontloading. I have been to a ton of midnight shows in SF though. they do very very well. The metreon is a crazy place to go even movies like Batman Begins sold out here. But you are forgetting Oakland has the Jack London Square theater. and Daly City and Stonestown has plenty of parking. Center City is primaruily Kabuki 8, AMC Van Ness and Metreon. then theere is that one theater on geary that has hte 50 foot screen and that does well since it is in hte Richmond district.
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| Thu Jul 06, 2006 7:49 pm |
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Mannyisthebest
Forum General
Joined: Wed May 10, 2006 3:53 pm
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Location: Toronto, Canada
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our area has no to hardly any midnight sellouts for any film including ROTS however weekend Business is huge at my local theater for major bloxkbusters. X-men 3 filled the whole parking lot, Hp4 had lines around the whole theater to get into showings. ROTS was quite full. Spiderman 2 was packed from Wed to Monday. Shrek 2 did huge on Sat afternoons and huge on Sunday.
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| Thu Jul 06, 2006 7:51 pm |
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redspear
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Thu Jun 30, 2005 12:08 am
Posts: 1879
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alex young wrote: In terms of the San Francisco area, a likely reason for low midnight screening sales is that the BART public transportation system closes at midnight. I'd say at least 50% of the people in SF use the BART rather than driving. Plus, many thaters in SF don't have their own parking lots, so it'd suck to find street parking in the middle of the night. But oyu are right I don't drive, I use Muni and BART and Samstrans to get around...300 a month to pay for a parking spot yeah right. Move your car twice a week before 6 AM for street cleaning..uh huh!.
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| Thu Jul 06, 2006 7:51 pm |
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Mannyisthebest
Forum General
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Location: Toronto, Canada
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sell outs are happening mostly in Suburbia.
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| Thu Jul 06, 2006 7:52 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am
Posts: 23386
Location: Melbourne Australia
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Im going to stick with my initial instincts and predict
POTC2: $113.4m
So it wont break Spidey's record. It will do good in the long run and reach $309.2m
Scientifically - i still have my $122m prediction in this thread or the other one but i'll go in with this one. Minimum I see is $88m and maximum I see is $130m. This film would be absolutely HUGE with $113m opening weekend.
Thats it I wont change it from here on.
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| Thu Jul 06, 2006 7:54 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am
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Location: Melbourne Australia
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I wouldnt worry about midnight screenings and pre-sales. This is the type of film people will just turn up to. It will be fine.
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| Thu Jul 06, 2006 7:56 pm |
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Mannyisthebest
Forum General
Joined: Wed May 10, 2006 3:53 pm
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Location: Toronto, Canada
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midnight screenings have been impressive and will no imy eyes lead to a 40 million friday.
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| Thu Jul 06, 2006 7:58 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
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Location: San Mateo, CA
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Regarding midnight shows, I think the film just has a different regional pattern than most other blockbusters. MI3 had one of the best performances in the bay area, selling out all over the local theaters, but it didn't translate to other parts of the country.
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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| Thu Jul 06, 2006 8:20 pm |
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Mannyisthebest
Forum General
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Location: Toronto, Canada
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Midnights shows are a regional thing. Rots was huge in the US but nothing much up north.
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| Thu Jul 06, 2006 8:35 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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WSEX line: 110.0m.
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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| Thu Jul 06, 2006 9:00 pm |
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