Pirates won't break the $50 million opening day record. It doesn't have the fan base size of ROTS. It should do around $46 million on Friday.

ROTS would've gone further if it had opened on a non-school day. Pirates is going to open on a completely non-school day, so it has a chance.

BJs Prediction:

Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest

Opening Day: 58.03m
2nd Day: 54.90m -5%
Opening Wknd: 154.98m - Fri: 58.03m / Sat: 54.90m -5% / Sun: 42.05m -24%
4-Day: 175.12m - Mon: 20.14m -52%
5-Day: 193.12m - Tue: 18.00m -10%
6-Day: 208.18m - Wed: 15.06m -16%
Opening Wk: 220.98m - Thur: 12.80m -15%
2nd Wknd: 80.24m -48.5% - Fri: 24.00m +86% / Sat: 32.16m +34% / Sun: 24.08m -25%
11-Day: 313.16m - Mon: 12.04m -50%
12-Day: 324.58m - Tue: 11.42m -5%
13-Day: 335.43m - Wed: 10.85m -5%
2nd Wk: 345.61m - Thur: 10.18m -6%
3rd Wknd: 50.86m -36% - Fri: 14.76m +45% / Sat: 20.10m +36% / Sun: 16.00m -20%
Wk-1: 220.98m - Wknd: 154.98m | Total: 220.98m
Wk-2: 124.63m - Wknd: 80.24m | Total: 345.61m
Wk-3: 80.06m - Wknd: 50.86m | Total: 425.67m
Wk-4: 50.54m - Wknd: 30.52m | Total: 476.21m
Wk-5: 34.20m - Wknd: 20.12m | Total: 510.34m
Wk-6: 22.60m - Wknd: 14.06m | Total: 532.81m
Wk-7: 16.12m - Wknd: 10.12m | Total: 548.93m
Wk-8: 12.18m - Wknd: 8.10m | Total: 561.11m
Wk-9: 12.15m - Wknd: 8.15m - 4-Day-Wknd: 10.65m | Total: 573.26m
Wk-10: 5.62m - Wknd: 4.45m | Total: 578.88m
Wk-11: 3.38m - Wknd: 2.64m | Total: 582.26m
Wk-12: 2.00m - Wknd: 1.58m | Total: 584.26m
Wk-13: 1.26m - Wknd: .98m | Total: 585.52m
Wk-14: .74m - Wknd: .56m | Total: 586.26m
Wk-15: .40m - Wknd: .32m | Total: 586.66m
Wk-16: .62m - Wknd: .45m | Total: 587.28m
Wk-17: .48m - Wknd: .40m | Total: 587.76m
Wk-18: .26m - Wknd: .22m | Total: 588.02m
Wk-19: .16m - Wknd: .12m | Total: 588.18m
Wk-20: .12m - Wknd: .08m | Total: 588.30m
Money Made After Wk-20: ~.5m
Estimated Wks in theaters: 24
Days to 50m: 1-Days - 58.03m
Days to 100m: 2-Days - 102.93m
Days to 150m: 3-Days - 154.98m
Days to 200m: 6-Days - 208.18m
Days to 250m: 9-Days - 277.14m
Days to 300m: 10-Days - 301.22m
Days to 350m: 15-Days - 360.37m
Days to 400m: 18-Days - 404.12m
Days to 450m: 24-Days - 456.19m
Days to 500m: 32-Days - 500.04m
Days to 550m: 50-Days - 551.21m
Domestic Total: 588m
International Total: 612m
World Wide Total: 1,200b

Multiplyer: 3.80



_____________________________________

Bumped

Isn't it though?

What does an extreme Superman fanboy have to say about Pirates of the Caribbean: Curse of the Black Pearl's performance?



I can't stop laughing.

Gotta love those 30-year-old uber-fanboys.

New siggie time.

LMAO

My predictions for July 8 at BOM:

PIRATES OF THE CARIBBEAN: DMC- 46.0
SUPERMAN RETURNS- 12.5

Knight: lol Disney is lying about the number. And this is just the estimate.
It will probably go up to $15 million
and Pirates will probably go down to under $40 million.
lol Everybody felt sorry for Disney so they bought tickets to Pirates and really went to SR.



Unfortunately, I will be out of town July 8, so I won't be there when it happens.

Yeah, because both of them are PG-13 movies.

Did he really say that?

No, it's my prediction of what he'll say when it happens.

Aww, I would've attacked him even more. Glad KJ's clean of these [s]trolls[/s] [s]fanboys[/s] posters.

Sure, why not

I'm wondering, is the average moviegoer aware that this film will end in a cliffhanger and continue next year? I think WB made it apparent with Reloaded and Revolutions both being released in the same year, but here, I don't know.

It could hurt the legs a lot.

bleh

I'm starting to think this movie could be really frontloaded. The opening will be massive yes, but when you've got a 100 mil+ opener that's a sequel, it's bound to drop hardddddd. Especially in this summer, which has proved it's frontloadedness more than any other. Ice Age 2 got less than 2.9, so unless Pirates 2 has great WOM, I don't see anything above 2.7-2.8. I think there's a good chance that if it opens to 100-110 million, it'll fall short of 300.

Yeah, 'cuz letting the audience know really helped the Matrix sequels. People laughed when "To be concluded" came on-screen opening night at Reloaded (complete with DUN-DUN-DUN!!!!). I can understand why Disney might want to avoid that.

it wil be extremely frontloaded.

teens+cliffhanger ending= inflated openinhg weekend & little repeat vewings.


tis a fact. but when its ow is 130 million it makes no difference.

I don't think the cliffhanger is what hurt Reloaded. By the time they suffered through through two hours of drawn out rave/sex scenes, convoluted dialogue, video-game Neo, a long speech that even a PhD couldn't keep track of, and Keanu Reeves (nuff said), the audience was probably laughing and thinking "yeah right, as if I'm going to show up for this conclusion."

btw, DarkS, who's that in your avatar? He's hot.

Well when they see the film they'll know.

yeah, but if they didnt matrix rev. as coming out, instead of laughs, there would of been MAJOR wtfs!


but also revultions coming out 5 months later as opposed to 11 months.

Friday- $46 million
Saturday- $41.4 million (-10%)
Sunday- $31.1 million (-25%)

1st Weekend: $118.5 million

2nd Weekend: $53.3 million (-55%)

New predict by the way:

120/320

its really opening at the start of a 5-day holiday weekend (mon-wed)

only good things can come of this

I just don't see a film opening to 100 mill over the weekend having a 4 or even a 3.5 multiplier. There will be a rush factor to this film for sure.