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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm
Posts: 9148
Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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I see POTC breaking about 5 records. Not sure what else might be challenged at this point.
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| Wed Jun 07, 2006 3:10 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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Just to show how big The Omen's opening day really is, it opened higher than last year's second most-anticipated film of the year, King Kong.
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| Wed Jun 07, 2006 3:14 pm |
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Alex Y.
Top Poster
Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 4:47 pm
Posts: 5824
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records to be broken by POTC 2:
Best OW
Best Opening Day
Best 3-Day Gross
Best Friday
Best Saturday
Best Sunday (maybe?)
Best July Opening
Fastest to $100 Million
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| Wed Jun 07, 2006 3:21 pm |
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The Dark Shape
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 3:56 am
Posts: 12119
Location: Adrift in L.A.
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POTC2 won't top SW3's opening day.
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| Wed Jun 07, 2006 3:27 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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The Dark Shape wrote: POTC2 won't top SW3's opening day. Yup.
Thus it won't become fastest to $100 million either. _________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Wed Jun 07, 2006 3:28 pm |
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baumer72
Mod Team Leader
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 11:00 pm
Posts: 7087
Location: Crystal Lake
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The Dark Shape wrote: POTC2 won't top SW3's opening day. Thank-you Dark Shape!!
Where is the insanity for POTC2 coming from? Bigger than SW OD? Are you people smoking paint thinner or something? SW and POTC, with all due respect to Depp, are not even close to each other. I don't doubt that it will be big, but come on. There's no way it makes 50 mill in one day. 
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| Wed Jun 07, 2006 3:29 pm |
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The Dark Shape
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 3:56 am
Posts: 12119
Location: Adrift in L.A.
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baumer72 wrote: There's no way it makes 50 mill in one day. I kind of disagree with that. Pirates 2 is going to be huge, no doubt. But it doesn't have the rush fanbase Star Wars has. As much as Tina likes to as to say otherwise, POTC isn't some cult phenomenon where people get together and dress like pirates, wanting to live in that world. It might top $50m, but if it happens, it'll be on Saturday. The franchise is very family orientied, so they might sit Friday out. Personally, I think it'll go something like 44/45/37 (for a $126m opening weekend, if my math's right). It'll be very, very big (and will probably top Spidey's record), but with the way box office is nowadays, I don't think it's going to make people freak out. Magnus101 wrote: X3 and SW aren't even close to each other yet X3 OD was 5m off from ROTS(which is still quite a bit). I'd argue again that X3 is destined for much more of a first-day rush than POTC2.
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| Wed Jun 07, 2006 3:34 pm |
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The Dark Shape
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 3:56 am
Posts: 12119
Location: Adrift in L.A.
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What'll be really interesting is if Pirates 2 doesn't beat the opening weekend record. People will freak.
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| Wed Jun 07, 2006 3:39 pm |
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The Dark Shape
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 3:56 am
Posts: 12119
Location: Adrift in L.A.
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I don't think I've ever seen a higher opening weekend expectation.
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| Wed Jun 07, 2006 3:44 pm |
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The Dark Shape
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 3:56 am
Posts: 12119
Location: Adrift in L.A.
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But most people weren't. Some were going as low as $70m opening weekend. I don't think anybody realistically has Pirates under $100m.
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| Wed Jun 07, 2006 3:53 pm |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am
Posts: 22214
Location: Places
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superman will retake biggest tuesday as well as biggest july 4th weekend
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| Wed Jun 07, 2006 4:06 pm |
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The Dark Shape
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 3:56 am
Posts: 12119
Location: Adrift in L.A.
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Uh-huh. Yawn.
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| Wed Jun 07, 2006 4:16 pm |
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El Maskado
Arrrrrrrrrrgggghhhhhhhhhh!
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 8:17 pm
Posts: 21572
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But mango flavored tropicana drinks will make people believe again!!
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| Wed Jun 07, 2006 5:41 pm |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am
Posts: 22214
Location: Places
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Magnus101 wrote: excel wrote: superman will retake biggest tuesday as well as biggest july 4th weekend Um....excel no it won't. If it was being released on a Friday, yes. With a Wed. release, no chance. dunno which your referring to.
theres a great chance for biggest tuesday.
Day 1: 23.9 million
Day 2: 15.75 million – 34%
Day 3: 25.0 million +57% % due to some thinking it opens on the 30th
Day 4: 26.5 million +11% word Day 1: 23.9 million of mouth and kid
Day 5: 24.9 million -6%
Day 6: 21.9 million -12%
Day 7: 14.4 million - 34%
those drops are in line with wotw and spidey 2.
as for the july 4th record, it would need 88 million from friday the 30th to tuesday the 4th.
a weekend of 60.5 million with a monday of 17.5 and and 10.5 on tuesday is all it needs, and superman will get much better numbers then that
Last edited by Excel on Wed Jun 07, 2006 5:52 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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| Wed Jun 07, 2006 5:47 pm |
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redspear
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Thu Jun 30, 2005 12:08 am
Posts: 1879
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The Dark Shape wrote: But most people weren't. Some were going as low as $70m opening weekend. I don't think anybody realistically has Pirates under $100m. I do. In fact I have a hard time seeing this going over 100 million. 90 may be possible.
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Cromulent!
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| Wed Jun 07, 2006 5:51 pm |
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El Maskado
Arrrrrrrrrrgggghhhhhhhhhh!
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 8:17 pm
Posts: 21572
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Sorry but monday is sure going to drop more than 11%. Not everyone has monday off unless they request to do so, they do have tuesday off
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| Wed Jun 07, 2006 5:53 pm |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am
Posts: 22214
Location: Places
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dunno bout you, but where i live everybodys got monday off. its a holiday weekend.
last time thatjuly 4th was a on a tuesday was 2000 n perfect storm only dropped 10%.
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| Wed Jun 07, 2006 5:58 pm |
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Eventine
Too Brilliant for Introductions
Joined: Sat Nov 05, 2005 12:45 am
Posts: 3073
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When movies were less frontloaded...
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| Wed Jun 07, 2006 6:05 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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Comparing The Perfect Storm, an adult-aimed film with no fanbase whatsoever involved to Superman Returns, which you consider to have a "massive" fanbase, is quite funny.
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| Wed Jun 07, 2006 6:07 pm |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am
Posts: 22214
Location: Places
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well thats last time july 4th was on a tuesday. what other comparison is there? 1994?
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| Wed Jun 07, 2006 6:09 pm |
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choubachou
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 1:13 pm
Posts: 1796
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Magnus101 wrote: baumer72 wrote: The Dark Shape wrote: POTC2 won't top SW3's opening day. Thank-you Dark Shape!! Where is the insanity for POTC2 coming from? Bigger than SW OD? Are you people smoking paint thinner or something? SW and POTC, with all due respect to Depp, are not even close to each other. I don't doubt that it will be big, but come on. There's no way it makes 50 mill in one day. X3 and SW aren't even close to each other yet X3 OD was 5m off from ROTS(which is still quite a bit). I don't think POTC2 will do it either, but it certainily is capable of it. It also dropped 29% on a Saturday. Its audience was highly focused on Friday, so it's not THAT surprising.
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| Wed Jun 07, 2006 6:57 pm |
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Webslinger
why so serious?
Joined: Tue Jun 06, 2006 11:24 pm
Posts: 4110
Location: Stuck In A Moment I Can't Get Out Of
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excel wrote: well thats last time july 4th was on a tuesday. what other comparison is there? 1994? 2000, actually.
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| Wed Jun 07, 2006 9:23 pm |
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Eventine
Too Brilliant for Introductions
Joined: Sat Nov 05, 2005 12:45 am
Posts: 3073
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Webslinger wrote: excel wrote: well thats last time july 4th was on a tuesday. what other comparison is there? 1994? 2000, actually. That was his first comparison with the Perfect Storm. _________________
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| Wed Jun 07, 2006 9:28 pm |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15573
Location: Everywhere
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records to be broken by POTC 2:
Best OW
Best Opening Day
Best 3-Day Gross
Best Friday
Best Saturday
Best Sunday
Best Non-holiday Monday
Best Tuesday
Best Wed that's not OD
Best Thursday for a film on its 7th day
Best Week
Best 2nd weekend
Best July Opening
Fastest to $100 Million
Fastest to $150 Million
Fastest to $200 Million
Fastest to $250 Million
Fastest to $300 Million
Fastest to $350 Million
Fastest to $400 Million
Fastest to $450 Million
Fastest to $500 Million
Just about everything it could break.
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| Thu Jun 08, 2006 2:32 am |
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