The Superman Returns will make under 200 million club
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El Maskado
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Magnus101 wrote: BB faced WOTW on its 3rd, then F4(almost direct competition) on 4th, then Charlie/WC on 5th
After POTC2, SR faces Pulse and Dupree on 3rd, and Lady, Super Ex, Clerks, and Monster house in 4th, and MV on 5th.
BB had the easier 2nd week competition, but after that, SR has much easier competition. Strong weekdays kept Batman Begins floating and it had no competition in its second week, also its third week was on a 4th of july holiday. What hurt BB the most was C&TC weekend when most of its theaters were taken out. But other than that its 4th week didnt quite matter anymore since its weekends were below 13 million anyhow
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| Mon May 29, 2006 3:43 pm |
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Joker's Thug #3
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This aint Wedding Crashers, by the 4th week it's numbers wont be anything significant for any type of compeition to be able to hurt it.
_________________ "People always want to tear you down when you're on top, like Napoleon back in the Roman Empire" - Dirk Diggler
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| Mon May 29, 2006 3:48 pm |
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trixster
loyalfromlondon
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Killuminati510 wrote: This aint Wedding Crashers, by the 4th week it's numbers wont be anything significant for any type of compeition to be able to hurt it. Exactly. Competition really only matters in the first two weeks. And Pirates will kill Superman in its second week. SR's second weekend drop will be too much to overcome. _________________Magic Mike wrote: zwackerm wrote: If John Wick 2 even makes 30 million I will eat 1,000 shoes. Same. Algren wrote: I don't think. I predict. 
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| Mon May 29, 2006 3:52 pm |
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Excel
Superfreak
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not only that, they all seem to asusme superman will not a goodsmovie. what if it spiderman/batman begis quality? its more likely to be a new spiderman/batman begins then hulk, given the director. that would have to help sits legs too.
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| Mon May 29, 2006 3:57 pm |
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trixster
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You know, I actually agree with you on this. Superman is likely to be quite good, since it has a competent director who has success making comic book films. If it's Batman Begins quality, it could break $200 million - just like Batman Begins did. But it won't help the opening, which won't be high enough to get it to $250 million.
_________________Magic Mike wrote: zwackerm wrote: If John Wick 2 even makes 30 million I will eat 1,000 shoes. Same. Algren wrote: I don't think. I predict.
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| Mon May 29, 2006 4:00 pm |
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Joker's Thug #3
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Magnus101 wrote: trixster wrote: Killuminati510 wrote: This aint Wedding Crashers, by the 4th week it's numbers wont be anything significant for any type of compeition to be able to hurt it. Exactly. Competition really only matters in the first two weeks. And Pirates will kill Superman in its second week. SR's second weekend drop will be too much to overcome. Bewitched + Herbie + WOTW + F4 is about the same to me as POTC2 + Devil + Pulse + Dupree + Little man, mainly because aside from POTC2 and Dupree, the other films would be lucky to break 35m. No it's not. PotC2 is coming out in SR's 2nd week, WOTW came out in BB's 3rd week and F4 in it's 4th when it was only making 10m by then anyways, so F4 couldnt hurt BB. _________________"People always want to tear you down when you're on top, like Napoleon back in the Roman Empire" - Dirk Diggler
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| Mon May 29, 2006 4:03 pm |
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Joker's Thug #3
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Why even compare SR to BB? You guys think it'll make alot more then BB anyways. If you're changing your predictions to 200m then okay, compare it but not when you think it'll make 300m.
_________________"People always want to tear you down when you're on top, like Napoleon back in the Roman Empire" - Dirk Diggler
Last edited by Joker's Thug #3 on Mon May 29, 2006 4:06 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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| Mon May 29, 2006 4:06 pm |
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trixster
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POTC2 by itself >>> Bewitched + Herbie + WOTW + F4, so... _________________Magic Mike wrote: zwackerm wrote: If John Wick 2 even makes 30 million I will eat 1,000 shoes. Same. Algren wrote: I don't think. I predict.
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| Mon May 29, 2006 4:06 pm |
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trixster
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Killuminati510 wrote: Why even compare it to BB? You guys think it'll make alot more then BB anyways. Well, I was the one who brought it up, and I think it'll make less than BB. _________________Magic Mike wrote: zwackerm wrote: If John Wick 2 even makes 30 million I will eat 1,000 shoes. Same. Algren wrote: I don't think. I predict.
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| Mon May 29, 2006 4:06 pm |
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Joker's Thug #3
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Their arguments should just be, well we think it'll make gangbusters OW so who gives a shit about PotC2, since it would've droped 55%+ anyways.
_________________"People always want to tear you down when you're on top, like Napoleon back in the Roman Empire" - Dirk Diggler
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| Mon May 29, 2006 4:08 pm |
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Excel
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thats basically what it is.
batman was brought up in terms of discussin quality.
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| Mon May 29, 2006 4:10 pm |
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Rev
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Killuminati510 wrote: Their arguments should just be, well we think it'll make gangbusters OW so who gives a shit about PotC2, since it would've droped 55%+ anyways. not even 55%  SR will fall 50 or less %.
this movie is gonna be sooooo good people will be dieing to see it again. 
120 x 50% = $60m 2nd weekend.
on it's way to $420m domestic haul.
by end of July 7-9th weekend SR will be around $230m.
It'll be the SITH of '06 girls & boys. 
june 30th can't get here fast enough 
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| Mon May 29, 2006 4:19 pm |
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Rev
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Eventine wrote: revolutions wrote: trixster wrote: You know, I've yet to get one good reason from one of the Superman fanatics why SR will do much better than BB. So, excel, Magnus, revolutions, give me something... there's only one reason..........IT'S SUPERMAN STUPID!!! Are you referring to this, or this? Perhaps you must be referring to this and especially thisuh the first two. 
 there were only 2 superman films made before SR.
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| Mon May 29, 2006 4:24 pm |
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Joker's Thug #3
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revolutions wrote: Killuminati510 wrote: Their arguments should just be, well we think it'll make gangbusters OW so who gives a shit about PotC2, since it would've droped 55%+ anyways. not even 55% SR will fall 50 or less %. this movie is gonna be sooooo good people will be dieing to see it again. 120 x 50% = $60m 2nd weekend. on it's way to $420m domestic haul. by end of July 7-9th weekend SR will be around $230m. It'll be the SITH of '06 girls & boys. june 30th can't get here fast enough  _________________"People always want to tear you down when you're on top, like Napoleon back in the Roman Empire" - Dirk Diggler
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| Mon May 29, 2006 4:24 pm |
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Rev
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Killuminati510 wrote: revolutions wrote: Killuminati510 wrote: Their arguments should just be, well we think it'll make gangbusters OW so who gives a shit about PotC2, since it would've droped 55%+ anyways. not even 55% SR will fall 50 or less %. this movie is gonna be sooooo good people will be dieing to see it again. 120 x 50% = $60m 2nd weekend. on it's way to $420m domestic haul. by end of July 7-9th weekend SR will be around $230m. It'll be the SITH of '06 girls & boys. june 30th can't get here fast enough
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| Mon May 29, 2006 5:16 pm |
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Tyler
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The only way Superman Returns will top $200 million at this point is if it is Batman Begins good and POTC 2 is Hulk or Reloaded bad.
$150-160 million total...I'm in.
Last edited by Tyler on Mon May 29, 2006 5:34 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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| Mon May 29, 2006 5:32 pm |
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Jonathan
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Anyone here willing to join my one-month ban bet that this won't top $75M?
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| Mon May 29, 2006 5:34 pm |
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Tyler
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Positive Jon wrote: Anyone here willing to join my one-month ban bet that this won't top $75M? You mean opening, of course, right?
Is it opening on a Wednesday? If so, I'm in.
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| Mon May 29, 2006 5:35 pm |
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Jonathan
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Jon Lyrik wrote: Positive Jon wrote: Anyone here willing to join my one-month ban bet that this won't top $75M? You mean opening, of course, right? Is it opening on a Wednesday? If so, I'm in. Opening, yes.
And its opening on a Friday.
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| Mon May 29, 2006 5:36 pm |
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Tyler
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Positive Jon wrote: Jon Lyrik wrote: Positive Jon wrote: Anyone here willing to join my one-month ban bet that this won't top $75M? You mean opening, of course, right? Is it opening on a Wednesday? If so, I'm in. Opening, yes. And its opening on a Friday. I'll still join, I think. Though I might be a bit pessimistic on the total, hell, even Fantastic Four did that much but they don't have nearly as much cultural impact as Superman does.
Hmm...65/170.
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| Mon May 29, 2006 5:44 pm |
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Jonathan
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Jon Lyrik wrote: Positive Jon wrote: Jon Lyrik wrote: Positive Jon wrote: Anyone here willing to join my one-month ban bet that this won't top $75M? You mean opening, of course, right? Is it opening on a Wednesday? If so, I'm in. Opening, yes. And its opening on a Friday. I'll still join, I think. Though I might be a bit pessimistic on the total, hell, even Fantastic Four did that much but they don't have nearly as much cultural impact as Superman does. Hmm...65/170. Well, you WOULD get banned for a month if we lose (Assuming I get an OK by Loyal), so you have to be pretty confident that it won't top $75M.
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| Mon May 29, 2006 5:50 pm |
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Tyler
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Positive Jon wrote: Jon Lyrik wrote: Positive Jon wrote: Jon Lyrik wrote: Positive Jon wrote: Anyone here willing to join my one-month ban bet that this won't top $75M? You mean opening, of course, right? Is it opening on a Wednesday? If so, I'm in. Opening, yes. And its opening on a Friday. I'll still join, I think. Though I might be a bit pessimistic on the total, hell, even Fantastic Four did that much but they don't have nearly as much cultural impact as Superman does. Hmm...65/170. Well, you WOULD get banned for a month if we lose (Assuming I get an OK by Loyal), so you have to be pretty confident that it won't top $75M. It's not like I post that much anyway.
I'll join if he OKs it, though.
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| Mon May 29, 2006 5:53 pm |
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Jonathan
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Jon Lyrik wrote: Positive Jon wrote: Jon Lyrik wrote: Positive Jon wrote: Jon Lyrik wrote: Positive Jon wrote: Anyone here willing to join my one-month ban bet that this won't top $75M? You mean opening, of course, right? Is it opening on a Wednesday? If so, I'm in. Opening, yes. And its opening on a Friday. I'll still join, I think. Though I might be a bit pessimistic on the total, hell, even Fantastic Four did that much but they don't have nearly as much cultural impact as Superman does. Hmm...65/170. Well, you WOULD get banned for a month if we lose (Assuming I get an OK by Loyal), so you have to be pretty confident that it won't top $75M. It's not like I post that much anyway. I'll join if he OKs it, though. Dokie.
So far:
UNDER $75M:
Positive Jon
Jon Lyrik
OVER $75M:
Magnus101
revolutions
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| Mon May 29, 2006 5:56 pm |
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baumer72
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I'll join the under 75 mill club. Hell, that is more possible than it making 400 mill.
I'm in!!
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| Mon May 29, 2006 6:04 pm |
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Jonathan
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UNDER $75M:
Positive Jon
Jon Lyrik
baumer72
OVER $75M:
Magnus101
revolutions
Hopefully this'll build up to a mass genocide by the end of June!
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| Mon May 29, 2006 6:07 pm |
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