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 Weekend Estimates 
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Oy, pretty bad for Scary Movie 4. Won't pass 100.

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Sun Apr 16, 2006 3:08 pm
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The Hollywood Reporter

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Bob and Harvey Weinstein returned to the boxoffice lead as "Scary Movie 4" debuted with about $41 million, the first No. 1 opening for the new company founded by the former Miramax bosses. It was the best Easter weekend debut ever, beating the $30.1 million opening of "Panic Room" in 2002, according to studio estimates Sunday. With the success of "Scary Movie 4," Bob Weinstein said he hopes to have a fifth film in the horror-spoof franchise in theaters over Easter weekend next year.


Sun Apr 16, 2006 3:39 pm
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Great job to DP on predicting the heavy Saturday drop for SM4. I was thinking heavy, but more in the 20% range, while you are the one who were adamant about the 25-30% drop.

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Sun Apr 16, 2006 5:04 pm
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Shack wrote:
Oy, pretty bad for Scary Movie 4. Won't pass 100.


Come now, the budget couldn't have been that high for this film. It will easily make its money back especially with DVDs.

Now The Wild, on the other hand...

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Sun Apr 16, 2006 5:31 pm
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Nice work for Libs putting up the estimates. Libs at least takes the time to present the numbers rather than some people who would have just put a dumb link or list just the openers and a link to Bom or Edi for the rest.

Good job Libs.

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Sun Apr 16, 2006 5:48 pm
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I meant pretty bad IM, overall it's still a good weekend for SM4.

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Sun Apr 16, 2006 5:56 pm
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Scary Movie 4 made almost as much money as Date Movie in it's entire run. Take that Fox!

Decenct Drop for Ice Age but not spectacular.

The Benchwarmers dropped heavily but not as much as it could have, so good job Benchwarmers

The Wild is an unmitigated disaster! It underperformed even lowered standards.

Good Hold for Inside Man, YAY! quality.

Thank you For Smoking did decently and should hit at least 20.0mil.

The limited release success of Friends With Money doesn't surprise me much because it looks like the most mainstream
limited release ever! The hold on the other hand is exemplary and spells good returns for it's widening.

Brick on the other hand only did okay but it doesn't spell well for a good wide release. A 45% drop in PTA from 21 to 45 theaters isn't disasterous but it isn't very good either. Two unwanted high drops over small expansions does not bode well for breakout success. I say 3.0mil tops.

All in all one of the better Easter weekends in a while thanks to Scary Movie 4 but nothing to really Joygasm about.


Sun Apr 16, 2006 6:25 pm
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nghtvsn wrote:
Nice work for Libs putting up the estimates. Libs at least takes the time to present the numbers rather than some people who would have just put a dumb link or list just the openers and a link to Bom or Edi for the rest.

Good job Libs.


Is it that hard to praise one without putting others down? At least I haven't seen people just putting up dumb links, even for daily numbers when they are boring like now. Zing puts up numbers in great table format all the time, and while others don't have excel sheet handy, I always see them giving the effort of at least listing the top 10's (just this past week, Shack, Impact, and O all have done so).

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Sun Apr 16, 2006 6:34 pm
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BTW, I'm a little surprised that The Weinstein Company didn't try to fudge the numbers a little to claim the crown of April's biggest opening weekend for one day, especially when the headlines now are all about the estimates on Sundays. Projecting a 29% Sunday drop would look suspicious, but Ice Age: The Meltdown did just that for the $70m mark.

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Sun Apr 16, 2006 6:54 pm
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the budget for scary movie 4 was $45m

Slightly less than SM3.

There were also less cameos in sm4 and Anna Faris got paid much more than her previous salaries. She got like $2m for SM3 i think.

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Sun Apr 16, 2006 7:05 pm
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I think The Weinstein Company is satisfied with the Easter weekend record.

xiayun wrote:
Is it that hard to praise one without putting others down? At least I haven't seen people just putting up dumb links, even for daily numbers when they are boring like now. Zing puts up numbers in great table format all the time, and while others don't have excel sheet handy, I always see them giving the effort of at least listing the top 10's (just this past week, Shack, Impact, and O all have done so).


The tables require almost no effort. :smile:

I prefer how Libs posts the numbers to tables, actually. Looks a lot nicer and easier to read, and it's better because it's not just a copy/paste situation. Time is put into it. And, yeah, it's very rare where the numbers are posted as just links.


Sun Apr 16, 2006 7:12 pm
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Fantastic for SM4. What a massive opening. Should top out with about $90M.
Rotten for The Wild.


Mon Apr 17, 2006 9:22 am
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They should have released a scary movie the week before memorial day weekend. Huge opening, softened fall and then summer weekdays.

It makes sense.

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Mon Apr 17, 2006 9:52 am
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nghtvsn wrote:
I'm gonna say it would have been the first 40+ to miss 100 but the actuals will have it just under 40.


***I just looked in disbelief and horror how out of 51/96 votes gave the film an A. BOM user quality must really be shyte to explain that result***

Or maybe they saw how awful Date Movie was so in comparison Scary Movies 4 looks vastly superior compared to the former I mentioned


Mon Apr 17, 2006 2:58 pm
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SM4 cost less than 3? The Visual FX were actually pretty good.


Mon Apr 17, 2006 3:03 pm
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