Pretty dull numbers all the way around. 16 Blocks should be able to hold the number one spot for the weekend as its an adult-aimed thriller and thus should have a decent Saturday. I really don't see the Oscars having good ratings at all with no big-name films nominated so its Sunday might be underestimated before the actuals come out.

Decent for Ultraviolet considering it was inexpensive. It should make a profit during its initial push on the home market.

Pretty bad for Aquamarine but that was expected as well. It had an almost nonexistent marketing campaign.

Haha at Block Party. I guess Chapelle doesn't have the pull others were saying he does going into the weekend.

Madea will win the weekend. Its Sat jump will be nearly double 16 Blocks.'

Ultraviolet budget is $33 million, it will be lucky to break even.

It'll make a profit once DVD sales are factored in. These type of films usually do well in sales. I know I'll buy it. Kurt Wimmer is fantastic at bringing a unique look to his films and Ultraviolet features some things I've never seen before, which has to count for something.

Crap weekend.

Roll on HILLS!

Based on my prediction.

I was too high on 16 Blocks and block Party.

Though I could be dead on on Ultravoilet, And I underpredicted Aquamarine.

To be fair, it's not like movies opening to over 20 million every single week is by any means usual for Spring. Still, it's impossible to deny these numbers aren't overwhelming. I think that a big problem was that UV, 16B, and Block Party were all aiming for the 13-25 year old male demographic, and even though they haven't had much to interest them in the past few weeks it was still too much and they cut into each other. Well, that and that none were particularly well marketed or incredibly appealing. I think Ultraviolet really should have stuck with opening last weekend, or maybe WB should have switched Firewall and 16 Blocks into the opposite release dates as that had more of an older adult appeal. Still, one soft week of the year doesn't mean anything, especially coming off of so many terrific openers of late. Next week The Shaggy Dog and The Hills Have Eyes might challenge 55-60 million between the two of them alone, so declaring a slump would be outright silly.]

Oh yeah, and in regards to Ultraviolet, I think that the unrated DVD will be a very big seller, especially if Kurt Wimmer makes it more public that his original R rated cut was extremely shredded before the film made it to theaters.

I knew Ultraviolet wouln't do too good, after all it was from the creater of Equilibrium, I like that film, but his films are usually more cult audience oriented.

Firewall keeps on Chugging, heres looking at 50 million.

Aquamarine and Ultraviolet I'll get decent scores on, but I went about 4-5 million too high on both Blocks. Damnit.

Anybody else have solid projections? I'm too lazy to attempt this weekend...

Arghhhhhhhhh.

Bad for everything.

At least everyone's derbys will be killed...

Friday-to-Friday Drops

MADEA'S FAMILY REUNION -66.71%
EIGHT BELOW -39.09%
THE PINK PANTHER -40.67%
DATE MOVIE -48.13%
FIREWALL -40.35%
CURIOUS GEORGE -45.91%

What pisses me off is WB could have given 16 Blocks a much better marketing campaign. This is an easy sell to moviegoers and probably could have achieved 18-20 million if WB actually backed it. Reviews were decent enough and Bruce Willis remains a solid draw; Hell, even Mos Def's last movie made over 50 million. It should have good legs at least, probably breaking 40 million

16 Blocks = 11.95M
Madea's Family Reunion = 11.12M
Eight Below = 9.90M
Ultraviolet = 9.59M
Dave Chappelle's Block Party = 7.29M
Pink Panther = 6.70M
Aquamarine = 6.18M
Date Movie = 5.27M
Firewall = 4.21M
Curious George = 3.98M

I don't know why whenever people mention next weekend, they hardly mention Failure To Launch. IMO, that film has a chance at #1 along with the other two. It isn't just Hills/Shaggy Dog that have the chance.

I really don't think that's it. I think the marketing's been great and really strong lately. The problem was simply a lack of interest. The story wasn't that appealing to many.

But it's really good, so I think it could have legs like Hostage and make $40 million, hopefully.

well along with everyone i overpredicted 16 blocks... I actually had Dave at 9 but gave into all the board hyp eand raised it to 10... UV is dead on and Aqua I went low so yea crappy

Well, at least Aquamarine did what was expected of it.

Failure to Launch has been tracking behind the other two films almost consistently. That's probably why. The Shaggy Dog could challenge 30 million next weeekend according to tracking so that is almost a sure bet to be number one.

Thanks for telling me my projections sucked, yo.

I hope you rank 300th in the derby this week.

I said does anyone else have solid projections, meaning yours were solid as well. I'm just used to looking for projections from Xia, Jeff, etc. so I was seeing if they had any as well. I like a lot of different opinions.

BOM Friday.

No way it gets close. Failure to Launch has had some of the worst commercials ever, even when it has such a great premise. They keep showing Matthew riding a bike from this lizard, where you can barely tell what's going on.

Big drop for Madea's and sizable for Aquamarine.





Wow.

Running Scared dropped 60% and Doogal 58% for anyone that cared.