Polar Express 215, +27, B

Polar Express 247, +32, B

It should reach somewhere around 385. It looks like 5m or so for Wednesday.

Hello all you Yahoo User Review legends!
What the heck happened with this thread at Box Office Mojo?!
Very glad to see you guys kept this thing going.

Polar Express 255 +8 B

Welcome!!! How did you find your way here?

I wouldn't know where to start about BOM. It goes something like this:
1) Chaos broke loose on the BOM forums.
2) The Yahoo thread was deleted as part of the events that week.
3) Most of the posters moved here, and we restarted the thread.

BTW, that's a weak update for TPE.

Finally be able to get on here, although not sure for how long.

I forgot about Veteran Day, that would definitely help Thursday's number so the increase on Friday will be small.

Polar Express 314, +59, B

Polar Express 340, +26, B

Polar Express 355, +15, B

Polar Express 361, +6, B

It hasn't shown any consistent jumps the whole day. This reminds me of Around the World in 80 Days. Now I think its ratio will be in the high range for the genre for a 4M opening day or lower.

Polar Express 385, +24, B

Polar Express 396, +11, B

Wednesday 11/10
Beginning of Day End of Day Daily Total
1 ) The Incredibles 8589 9271 682
2 ) The Polar Express 0 396 396
3 ) The Grudge 20003 20317 314
4 ) Saw 7013 7280 267
5 ) Ray 6150 6387 237
6 ) Shark Tale 14101 14197 96
7 ) Friday Night Lights 8763 8855 92
8 ) Alfie 1145 1233 88
9 ) Shall We Dance? 4933 5015 82
10 ) Ladder 49 9695 9773 78
11 ) Team America: World Police 11315 11392 77
12 ) Taxi 5927 5961 34
13 ) Surviving Christmas 2781 2807 26
14 ) Birth 746 767 21

Previous Day Daily Increase/Decrease
The Incredibles 733 -6.96%
The Grudge 304 3.29%
Saw 250 6.80%
Ray 233 1.72%
Shark Tale 102 -5.88%
Friday Night Lights 106 -13.21%
Alfie 112 -21.43%
Shall We Dance? 76 7.89%
Ladder 49 69 13.04%
Team America: World Police 113 -31.86%
Taxi 37 -8.11%
Surviving Christmas 35 -25.71%
Birth 31 -32.26%

7 days eariler Weekly Increase/Decrease
Shall We Dance? 42 95.24%
Friday Night Lights 51 80.39%
Shark Tale 59 62.71%
Ray 155 52.90%
Ladder 49 56 39.29%
Saw 221 20.81%
The Grudge 269 16.73%
Birth 22 -4.55%
Team America: World Police 81 -4.94%
Taxi 39 -12.82%
Surviving Christmas 36 -27.78%

Final Wednesday update:

Polar Express 405, +9, B

Final projection: 3.8-4.5M

The Polar Express (Wed)
Daily Total Hourly Increase % of Daily Total
12:30 AM 5 5 1.23%
1:30 AM 5 0 1.23%
2:30 AM 10 5 2.47%
3:30 AM 15 5 3.70%
4:30 AM
5:30 AM
6:30 AM
7:30 AM 48 11.85%
8:30 AM 58 10 14.32%
9:30 AM 65 7 16.05%
10:30 AM 97 32 23.95%
11:30 AM 108 11 26.67%
12:30 PM 138 30 34.07%
1:30 PM 156 18 38.52%
2:30 PM 188 32 46.42%
3:30 PM 215 27 53.09%
4:30 PM 247 32 60.99%
5:30 PM 255 8 62.96%
6:30 PM 314 59 77.53%
7:30 PM 340 26 83.95%
8:30 PM 355 15 87.65%
9:30 PM 361 6 89.14%
10:30 PM 385 24 95.06%
11:30 PM 396 11 97.78%
12:30 AM 405 9 100.00%

I agree as I now expect the ratio to be similar to Shrek 2's opening day. However, the crowd reports suggest it might be lower, and given what has happened in some Wednesdays in the past (Vanity Fair) I wouldn't be too suprised if we see a ratio of 150 (and 2.7m). It will be very interesting to see what happens tomorrow, not only for TPE, but also for The Incredibles. That also goes for Thursday and Friday. This should be an interesting weekend.

I was waiting for 10:30am's update, but Yahoo didn't update for any of the movies. Anyway, Polar Express has 457 reviews currently, so it got 52 reviews so far today, 61 if we count from 11:30pm last night. Thursday's ratio could be a little erratic, but so far the pace has been similar to yesterday. Still not impressive.

Good call! It had higher ratio than Around the World's opening Wednesday. Not a good sign.

527 reviews today. 131 or 122 today depending on when you begin your count. The Incredibles has 349 already today. So, while TPE had 58.1% as many reviews as The Incredibles yesterday (about as much as it was behind at the BO) it only has 37.5% today. That does not look good for The Polar Express.

Now 453 for The Incredibles and 171 for TPE. the past couple updates have given The Incredibles 104 and TPE 40. That's 38.5% as much for TPE, nearly the same percentage as the rest of the day.

TPE should get around 350 reviews for the day while The Incredibles will get 925 or so.

One saving grace for Polar Express is that the ratio should drop today. Still, it looks like no more than a 4M or so day.

Yeah, it could certainly be cut in half. The opening day ratio seems unnaturally high for this type of film. So, it should drop in the long term, likely to the 75-125 range.

What are your projected ratios for tomorrow's openers, guys?

Here it goes: :wink:

Seed of Chucky - only 2061 theaters, R-rated, and it mainly attracts the core fanchise fans. All these should increase the ratio, so I see around 200 for it.

After the Sunset - OK, action movie. I, Robot had 97.6, The Bourne Supremacy had 77.7, while The Chronicle of Riddick had 141.55. The theater count is pretty good with 2819. The grade should be more toward Riddick than the first two. So I'm thinking 110-130.

Bridget Jones: The Edge of Reason - chick flick. A lot of anticipation by its fanbase. Only 530 theaters. Reviews are pretty bad, and if the fans are as disappointed as the critics are, that will drive up the ratio even more. over 300?

Polar Express - Should be lower than Wednesday, but should still be on the high end of its genre. around 100.

238 or 247 for Polar Express. Still hasn't seen significant jump in any of the hours. The Incredibles has 637.

I have 240-300 for Chucky.
70-100 for After The Sunset. The audience tends to be older as reported from the sneaks. This should lead to a low ratio IMO. For Bridget Jones I agree: 250-350. I also agree on TPE.