The ¥2,1Bn are still achievable if we see a good Monday tomorrow ? What do you expect from holiday Monday and next weekend ?

Expecting ¥425-450mn Monday and ¥750mn next weekend.

I hope you are wrong and that the numbers will be better than that.

Charlie why in your estimates you make them from Friday to Thursday ? Wouldn't it be easier and more convenient to do them from Monday to Sunday ?

I don't make Friday to Thursday, I make Saturday-Friday, the actual week in Japan. Mon-Sun is dumb and don't make much sense trend wise.

Yep. (Or at least approximately).

Don't rule out a big weekend next weekend. It's the second round of the giveaway event, which as we saw with week five and its 14% drop, is going to benefit it greatly.

In addition to this, it's almost guaranteed that theaters move it back to their largest screen, and put it back on the majority of the IMAX screens after giving the majority to Doraemon this weekend. There will likely be a 300,000 seat swing or so at the usual locations from Doraemon back to Demon Slayer to get it around 1 million seats again next weekend. (Assuming theaters are still at 100% capacity next weekend.)

Ohh in that case drop will be better if give aways are there.

There are some missing shows in AEON chain judging from 2pm midday report, sold about 5500 tickets. Maybe it will be fixed soon, but if not, there could be more missing shows in the afternoon

The giveaway events are:

Nov. 14th (already over)
Nov. 28th
Dec. 12th
Dec. 26th

The first one had a limited print-run of 1.5 million copies. It depends on how they're distributed, but they were more or less gone after four days or so (some locations earlier, some a little later).

It hasn't been announced what the other giveaways are yet, or how many are being handed out to customers. Of course, you wouldn't want to make an announcement too early since that'd stall some of the ongoing business as people would hold off going to see it until the next giveaway. They'll likely announce what the second giveaway is, and the number of the limited print-run, on Tuesday.

The programmers tend to be pretty active on the weekends, so any missing shows will likely be added either before the 7pm update, or shortly after 8pm (frequent hour to make corrections). Although the most recent updates was the biggest of the day yet, and could have been corrected already.

Also, just want to talk about Stand By Me, Doraemon 2 for a minute before I turn in tonight. While it had a very poor Friday (although not totally unexpected), and a mediocre Saturday, it has bounced back quite a bit today. And it should do well tomorrow as well, as family films typically thrive on holiday weekdays.

It's going to open higher than the August release by ~10/15% in admissions, I believe, and thanks to its IMAX release, it'll have a higher average ticket price than a regular Doraemon film. Granted, its IMAX showings have been pretty weak so the boost will be minimal, but it could provide a 5% boost perhaps to its gross this weekend. I think it might still miss opening above ¥500 million, but it should be pretty close and the strong Sunday evening shows today could get it there. We'll have to wait and see, but overall, it's turned around what was looking like a very disappointing opening at the start of the weekend into a fair/good one.

There hasn't really been much to discuss outside of Demon Slayer until now, so for reference when trying to calculate Doraemon: As a film primarily targeting family/children, it'll have a higher share than a normal film outside of the usual locations (family films do well in rural prefectures). So its weekend should come in higher than its performance at the usual locations would normally suggest.

When that 18 day holiday would start? From which date?

@corpse can you share the weekly performance of Your Name.

My country also use central train station to promote Demon Slayer which will be released in December. And the ironically is that it didn't have to makeup to look as old as in anime because our central train station already look old, like it has zero improvement from a century ago.

how many seat totals for DS this Sunday? around 650k?

If sunday plays out similarly to saturday from here thanks to the monday holiday it should comfortably cross 300k at usual locations.

Also is demon skayer not getting released in China?

Corpse got these numbers for Spirited Away

if it can pass Frozen too after this Sunday, it will be wonderfulllllllll

Hello is demon slayer getting not getting released in China?

Thinking ¥615mn Sunday and ¥1.06Bn 6th Weekend. Total IMO ¥25.51Bn or $243.59mn.

Internationally

Taiwan $1.5-1.6mn 4th weekend (-42%), Cume $15.9mn.
Hong Kong $0.85mn 2nd weekend (-53%), Cume $3.1mn.

Worldwide estimate $263mn or ¥28bn depending on Singapore.

if this is true, then it is supposed to pass Frozen too (Frozen exact number is around 25.48B yen)

Where did you get them from, or did you convert its USD totals back to Yen?

Its numbers (that I have) are estimated based on its USD Varity numbers way back in the day, with various totals being announced in news articles during its run. Not saying the numbers you posted are exactly, just that I've noticed a few that seem unusual. First, its opening weekend should be its week one total since it was a Saturday opener. Second, you have it above ¥15 billion after six weeks, but Eiga says it exceeded ¥14 billion after six weeks. If it was over ¥15 billion, I would think they'd have announced it that way.

It should pass Frozen today and reach #3 (or even #2) by Monday as Corpse predicted. I just hope everyone now agrees that it will pass SA

Schools begin Winter Break about a week from New Year, or right around Christmas. And then everyone else, office workers and such, begin their holiday on New Year's Eve/New Year.

Since the Government is very likely to approve the New Year extension this year (to avoid travel congestion since New Year and the Bank Holidays occur over the weekend itself), the overall break will be from ~Dec. 25-Jan. 12th.