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 Japan Box-Office: Demon Slayer Obliterating Record Books 
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Actuals (09/12-13)
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(C)臼井儀人/双葉社・シンエイ・テレビ朝日・ADK 2020

Weekend Actuals (09/12-13):
01 (---) ¥262,000,000 ($2.5 million), 0, ¥289,403,500 ($2.7 million), Crayon Shin-chan: Crash! Rakuga Kingdom and Almost Four Heroes (Toho) NEW
02 (01) ¥204,537,360 ($2.0 million), -20%, ¥1,456,180,050 ($13.7 million), Stigmatized Properties (Shochiku) WK3
03 (02) ¥113,783,750 ($1.1 million), -18%, ¥2,844,505,250 ($26.8 million), Doraemon: Nobita's New Dinosaur (Toho) WK6
04 (03) ¥112,583,550 ($1.1 million), -19%, ¥1,550,559,350 ($14.5 million), Tapestry (Toho) WK4
05 (---) ¥105,000,000 ($989,000), 0, ¥195,084,200 ($1.8 million), Break the Silence: The Movie (Avex Pictures) NEW
06 (---) ¥x89,000,000 ($838,000), 0, ¥153,027,300 ($1.4 million), The Cornered Mouse Dreams of Cheese (Phantom Film) NEW
07 (---) ¥x75,000,000 ($705,000), 0, ¥114,280,200 ($1.1 million), Midway (Kino Films) NEW
08 (04) ¥x70,232,800 ($661,000), -35%, ¥1,570,029,700 ($14.8 million), Fate/stay night: Heaven's Feel III - Spring Song (Aniplex) WK4
09 (05) ¥x64,752,850 ($610,000), -23%, ¥5,081,545,200 ($47.8 million), From Today, It's My Turn! (Toho) WK9
10 (06) ¥x51,924,610 ($489,000), -31%, ¥702,738,770 ($6.6 million), Onward (Disney) WK4
11 (07) ¥x47,357,300 ($446,000), -30%, ¥3,479,115,300 ($32.4 million), The Confidence Man JP: Episode of the Princess (Toho) WK8


The Top 10 came in a little below estimates, but they still delivered a good total.

>Crayon Shin-chan: Crash! Rakuga Kingdom and the Almost Four Heroes, the 28th-entry in the long-running animated franchise opened well, selling 212,000 admissions over the weekend frame across 364 screens, and sold 233,592 admissions after its first three-days in release. This debut is about 25% or so below the opening weekends of the last few films in the series, but I'd consider it a win with the capacity restrictions in place and the reschedule release outside of its traditional mid-April slot. Expect a finish between ¥1.5-2.0 billion ($15-20 million).

>Stigmatized Properties delivered another good hold, selling 105,000 admissions in its third-weekend, bringing its 17-day admissions above 1 million with 1,093,799. It's definitely going to reach the ¥2 billion ($20 million) milestone now, and will probably finish near ¥2.5 billion (~$25 million).

>Doraemon: Nobita's New Dinosaur keeps putting up the strong holds and has locked up reaching the ¥3 billion ($30 million) milestone. It has sold 2.36 million admissions after six-weeks in release, and will end up selling over 2.5 million.

>Break the Silence: The Movie (BTS movie) enjoyed a healthy four-day opening, selling 105,492 admissions since opening on Thursday across 265 screens.

>The Cornered Mouse Dreams of Cheese and Midway didn't put up impressive figures on their own, but they are notably strong for being released by independent distributors Phantom Film and Kino Films, respectively, which is another sign of a strong box-office. Their weekend frame admissions haven't been released, but the former sold 106,508 admissions after its first three-days in release, while the latter sold 86,320 admissions after its first three-days.

>From Today, It's My Turn! achieved blockbuster status by exceeding ¥5 billion after its ninth-week of release and also exceeded 4 million admissions with 4,012,663. It became the first film released in 2020 to achieve blockbuster status. This is an incredible accomplishment, and it will probably finish as high as ¥5.5 billion ($51/52 million) on 4.3 million admissions.

>Onward still isn't holding too well, and unless it's really, really able to take advantage of the upcoming four-day holiday weekend (Sept. 19-22), is probably going to finish below Brave and become Pixar's lowest-grossing film in the market. As I've mentioned, there wasn't much going for this one even before the pandemic delayed it, but almost every other film released since July has been meeting/exceeding expectations, so I don't really know why this one is under-performing so much.

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


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Mon Sep 14, 2020 7:19 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Top Opening Weekends: 2020
Top Opening Weekends: 2020
Gross ¥ ($) / Admissions [Screen Count] - Film (Distributor)

¥1.037 billion ($9.5 million) / 671,000 [962] - Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker (Disney)
¥1 billion ↨
¥630.6 million ($6.0 million) / 486,000 [359] - From Today, It's My Turn! (Toho)
¥500 million ↨
¥474.9 million ($4.5 million) / 274,017 [156] - Fate/stay night: Heaven's Feel III - Spring Song (Aniplex)
¥413.2 million ($3.9 million) / 334,000 [377] - Doraemon: Nobita's New Dinosaur (Toho)
¥405.2 million ($3.9 million) / 289,000 [344] - The Confidence Man JP: Episode of the Princess (Toho)
¥362.4 million ($3.3 million) / 248,000 [333] - Kaiji: Final Game (Toho)
¥358.0 million ($3.4 million) / 263,000 [335] - Stigmatized Properties (Shochiku)

¥300 million ↨
¥283.0 million ($2.6 million) / 224,000 [313] - My Hero Academia: Heroes Rising (Toho)
¥262.1 million ($2.4 million) / 190,910 [778] - Cats (Toho-Towa)
¥262.0 million ($2.5 million) / 212,000 [364] - Crayon Shin-chan: Crash! Rakuga Kingdom and the Almost Four Heroes (Toho)
¥248.6 million ($2.3 million) / 195,939 [328] - Kamen Rider Reiwa: The First Generation (Toei)
¥244.8 million ($2.2 million) / 177,000 [389] - Lupin III: The First (Toho)
¥234.0 million ($2.2 million) / 171,000 [350] - Tapestry (Toho)
¥229.4 million ($2.1 million) / 169,000 [304] - Wotakoi: Love is Hard for Otaku (Toho)
¥202.5 million ($1.9 million) / 165,000 [346] - AI Amok (Warner Bros.)

¥200 million ↨
¥197.0 million ($1.8 million) / 143,000 [323] - Stolen Identity 2 (Toho)
¥193.5 million ($1.8 million) / 132,000 [500] - Ford v. Ferrari (Fox)
¥187.4 million ($1.7 million) / 130,000 [655] - Jumanji: The Next Level (Sony)
¥181.2 million ($1.7 million) / 124,000 [353] - 1917 (Toho-Towa)
¥164.6 million ($1.5 million) / 125,000 [311] - Murder at Shijinso (Toho)
¥162.7 million ($1.5 million) / 118,863 [523] - Onward (Disney)
¥155.2 million ($1.4 million) / 116,000 [211] - Howling Village (Toei)
¥144.7 million ($1.3 million) / 121,000 [255] - Kiss Me at the Stroke of Midnight (Shochiku)
¥142.7 million ($1.4 million) / 106,000 [357] - Fukushima 50 (Shochiku)
¥140.1 million ($1.3 million) / 101,000 [131] - Parasite (Bitter's End)
¥138.4 million ($1.3 million) / 105,000 [339] - Yowamushi Pedal (Shochiku)
¥136.2 million ($1.2 million) / 101,000 [261] - Last Letter (Toho)
¥132.4 million ($1.2 million) / 117,747 [347] - Yo-Kai Watch: Yo-Kai Academy Y - Can a Cat be a Hero? (Toho)
¥125.0 million ($1.2 million) / 100,000 [353] - Welcome Back, Tora-San! (Shochiku)
¥123.0 million ($1.1 million) / x81,000 [736] - Birds of Prey (Warner Bros.)
¥122.6 million ($1.2 million) / x98,000 [303] - Love Me, Love Me Not (Toho)
¥115.7 million ($1.0 million) / x84,000 [158] - Shirobako (Kadokawa)
¥113.2 million ($1.1 million) / x81,486 [707] - Dolittle (Toho-Towa)
¥105.0 million ($1.0 million) / x57,000 [265] - Break the Silence: The Movie (Avex Pictures)
¥104.8 million ($1.0 million) / x77,000 [326] - Mask Ward (Warner Bros.)
¥104.1 million ($0.9 million) / x82,000 [327] - The Memory Eraser (Shochiku)
¥100.0 million ($0.9 million) / x85,000 [244] - Kishiryu Sentai Ryusoulger VS Lupinranger VS Patranger (Toei)

¥100 million ↑

Legend:
¥1 billion+ (Exemplary) / ¥500 million+ (Great) / ¥300 million+ (Good) / ¥200 million+ (Acceptable) / ¥100 million+ (Mediocre)

_________________
Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


Wakanda Forever


Mon Sep 14, 2020 7:21 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Top Grossing Films: 2020
Top Grossing Films: 2020
Gross ¥ ($) / Admissions [Days In Release] - Film (Distributor)

¥10 billion ↨
¥7.27 billion ($66.5 million) / 4.85 million [F] - Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker (Disney)
¥5.08 billion ($47.8 million) / 4.01 million [59] - From Today, It's My Turn! (Toho)

¥5 billion ↨
¥4.72 billion ($43.4 million) / 3.40 million [F] - Parasite (Bitter's End)
¥3.48 billion ($32.4 million) / 2.56 million [53] - The Confidence Man JP: Episode of the Princess (Toho)

¥3 billion ↨
¥2.84 billion ($26.8 million) / 2.36 million [38] - Doraemon: Nobita's New Dinosaur (Toho)
¥2.06 billion ($18.8 million) / 1.48 million [F] - Kaiji: Final Game (Toho)

¥2 billion ↨
¥1.79 billion ($16.3 million) / 1.35 million [F] - My Hero Academia: Heroes Rising (Toho)
¥1.57 billion ($14.8 million) / 0.99 million [30] - Fate/stay night: Heaven's Feel III - Spring Song (Aniplex)
¥1.55 billion ($14.5 million) / 1.13 million [24] - Tapestry (Toho)
¥1.50 billion ($13.8 million) / 1.23 million [F] - Welcome Back, Tora-san! (Shochiku)
¥1.46 billion ($13.7 million) / 1.09 million [17] - Stigmatized Properties (Shochiku)
¥1.41 billion ($12.9 million) / 1.13 million [F] - The Howling Village (Toei)
¥1.35 billion ($12.3 million) / 1.03 million [F] - Cats (Toho-Towa)
¥1.34 billion ($12.3 million) / 1.03 million [F] - Wotakoi: Love is Hard for Otaku (Toho)
¥1.19 billion ($11.0 million) / 0.92 million [F] - Stolen Identity 2 (Toho)
¥1.18 billion ($10.8 million) / 0.95 million [F] - Kiss Me at the Stroke of Midnight (Shochiku)
¥1.16 billion ($10.6 million) / 0.88 million [F] - Lupin III: The First (Toho)
¥1.09 billion ($10.0 million) / 0.83 million [F] - Murder at Shijinso (Toho)

¥1 billion ↨
¥950.0 million ($8.7 million) / 0.76 million [E] - AI Amok (Warner Bros.)
¥900.0 million ($8.3 million) / 0.74 million [E] - Kamen Rider Reiwa: The First Generation (Toei)
¥900.0 million ($8.3 million) / 0.62 million [E] - Jumanji: The Next Level (Sony)
¥890.0 million ($8.2 million) / 0.63 million [E] - Ford v. Ferrari (Fox)
¥855.0 million ($8.0 million) / 0.78 million [E] - Spirited Away [2001 re-release] (Toho)
¥852.9 million ($8.0 million) / 0.77 million [E] - Princess Mononoke [1997 re-release] (Toho)
¥796.4 million ($7.2 million) / 0.61 million [E] - Fukushima 50 (Shochiku)
¥770.0 million ($7.2 million) / 0.56 million [E] - 1917 (Toho-Towa)
¥750.0 million ($6.8 million) / 0.65 million [E] - Yo-Kai Watch Jam: Yo-Kai Academy Y - Can a Cat be a Hero? (Toho)
¥732.1 million ($6.8 million) / 0.58 million [31] - Love Me, Love Me Not (Toho)
¥709.0 million ($6.6 million) / 0.64 million [E] - Nausicaa of the Valley of the Wind [1984 re-release] (Toho)
¥702.7 million ($6.6 million) / 0.52 million [24] - Onward (Disney)
¥700.0 million ($6.5 million) / 0.55 million [E] - Mask Ward (Warner Bros.)
¥689.5 million ($6.4 million) / 0.51 million [E] - Midsommar (Phantom Film)
¥660.0 million ($6.0 million) / 0.50 million [E] - Last Letter (Toho)
¥634.0 million ($5.9 million) / 0.49 million [31] - Yowamushi Pedal (Shochiku)
¥600.0 million ($5.6 million) / 0.45 million [E] - Made in the Abyss: Dawn of the Deep Soul (Kadokawa)
¥540.5 million ($5.2 million) / 0.42 million [E] - Dolittle (Toho-Towa)
¥539.9 million ($5.2 million) / 0.41 million [E] - The Real Exorcist (Nikkatsu)
¥500.0 million ($4.7 million) / 0.35 million [E] - Birds of Prey (Warner Bros.)
¥500 million ↑ (COVID-19 Expansion)

NOTE: Any figures for a film that earned below ¥1 billion that is no longer playing are rough estimates. It's rare for final figures for films earning below that mark to be reported, but I'm going to include them this year given the circumstances. Just remember: They're rough estimates.

Legend:
¥10 billion+ (Uber-Blockbuster) / ¥5 billion+ (Blockbuster) / ¥3 billion+ (Hit) / ¥2 billion+ (Respectable) / ¥1 billion+ (Commercial Success)

_________________
Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


Wakanda Forever


Mon Sep 14, 2020 7:22 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: 2020 Weekend #1 Films
Weekend #1 Films: 2020

01/04-05: ¥496.2 million ($4.6 million) - Frozen II (Disney) WK7
01/11-12: ¥362.4 million ($3.3 million) - Kaiji: Final Game (Toho) WK1
01/18-19: ¥225.0 million ($2.0 million) - Kaiji: Final Game (Toho) WK2
01/25-26: ¥262.1 million ($2.4 million) - Cats (Toho-Towa) WK1
02/01-02: ¥225.0 million ($2.1 million) - AI Amok (Warner Bros) WK1
02/08-09: ¥229.4 million ($2.1 million) - Wotakoi: Love is Hard for Otaku (Toho) WK1
02/15-16: ¥371.5 million ($3.4 million) - Parasite (Bitter's End) WK6
02/22-23: ¥294.2 million ($2.7 million) - Parasite (Bitter's End) WK7
02/29-03/01: ¥166.1 million ($1.5 million) - Parasite (Bitter's End) WK8
03/07-08: ¥142.7 million ($1.4 million) - Fukushima 50 (Shochiku) WK1
03/14-15: ¥107.9 million ($1.0 million) - Fukushima 50 (Shochiku) WK2
03/21-22: ¥123.0 million ($1.1 million) - Birds of Prey (Warner Bros.) WK1
03/28-29: Figures N/A - #1 Film In Admissions, Not Quite Dead (Shochiku) WK2 *State Of Emergency In Urban Prefectures; Theaters Closed*
04/04-05: Figures N/A - #1 Film In Admissions, Birds of Prey (Warner Bros.) WK3
04/11-12: Figures N/A - #1 Film In Admissions, Birds of Prey (Warner Bros.) WK4
04/18-19: No Data Available (All Theaters Closed) *Nationwide State Of Emergency Declared; Theaters Closed Nationwide*
04/25-26: No Data Available (All Theaters Closed)
05/02-03: No Data Available (All Theaters Closed)
05/09-10: No Data Available (All Theaters Closed)
05/16-17: Figures N/A - #1 Film In Admissions, The Real Exorcist (Nikkatsu) WK1 *Theaters Reopen In 39/47 Prefectures*
05/23-24: ¥0.63 million ($0.6 million) - The Real Exorcist (Nikkatsu) WK2
05/30-31: ¥0.66 million ($0.6 million) - The Real Exorcist (Nikkatsu) WK3
06/06-07: ¥0.80 million ($0.7 million) - The Real Exorcist (Nikkatsu) WK4
06/13-14: ¥0.42 million ($0.4 million) - The Real Exorcist (Nikkatsu) WK5
06/20-21: ¥113.2 million ($1.1 million) - Dolittle (Toho-Towa) WK1 *Theaters Reopen Nationwide; 25% Capacity In Urban Prefectures*
06/27-28: ¥0.98 million ($0.9 million) - Rambo: Last Blood (Gaga) WK1
07/04-05: ¥0.93 million ($0.9 million) - Spirited Away [2001 re-release] (Toho) WK2
07/11-12: ¥0.87 million ($0.8 million) - Spirited Away [2001 re-release] (Toho) WK3
07/18-19: ¥630.6 million ($6.0 million) - From Today, It's My Turn! (Toho) WK1 *50% Capacity Expansion In Urban Prefectures*
07/25-26: ¥496.4 million ($4.7 million) - From Today, It's My Turn! (Toho) WK2
08/01-02: ¥275.9 million ($2.6 million) - From Today, It's My Turn! (Toho) WK3
08/08-09: ¥413.2 million ($3.9 million) - Doraemon: Nobita's New Dinosaur (Toho) WK1
08/15-16: ¥474.9 million ($4.5 million) - Fate/night stay: Heaven's Feel III - Spring Song (Aniplex) WK1
08/22-23: ¥234.0 million ($2.2 million) - Tapestry (Toho) WK1
08/29-30: ¥358.0 million ($3.4 million) - Stigmatized Properties (Shochiku) WK1
09/05-06: ¥255.1 million ($2.4 million) - Stigmatized Properties (Shochiku) WK2
09/12-13: ¥262.0 million ($2.5 million) - Crayon Shin-chan: Crash! Rakuga Kingdom and the Almost Four Heroes (Toho) WK1


Legend:
¥1 billion+ (Exemplary) / ¥500 million+ (Great) / ¥300 million+ (Good) / ¥200 million+ (Acceptable) / ¥100 million+ (Poor) / <¥100 million (COVID-19 Expansion)

_________________
Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


Wakanda Forever


Mon Sep 14, 2020 7:35 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: Weekend Actuals (09/12-13); Charts Upd
List of theaters chains that have announced they'll be resuming 100% occupancy on September 19th:

109 Cinemas
Cinema City
Cinema Sunshine
Korona World Cinemas

These are smaller chains, but they suggest the larger chains, namely Toho Cinemas and Aeon Cinemas which account for around 70% of the country's theaters combined, will likely announce tomorrow (since ticket reservations are updated to include the following week every Wednesday) that they're going back to 100% occupancy as well on September 19th.

Also, Warner Bros. just announced that pre-sales for Tenet, releasing on Sept. 18th, are currently 60% above Dunkirk's, 48% above Kong: Skull Island's, and 30% above Ready Player One's.

_________________
Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


Wakanda Forever


Tue Sep 15, 2020 11:25 am
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: Theaters To Resume 100% Capacity This
Christopher Nolan - Box-Office History:

Opening Weekends:
¥780.0 million ($7.8 million) / 600,000 - Inception*
¥372.0 million ($4.6 million) / 269,170 - The Dark Knight Rises
¥333.2 million ($3.1 million) / 248,167 - The Dark Knight
¥323.9 million ($3.0 million) / 220,149 - Dunkirk
¥290.2 million ($2.7 million) / 215,000 - Batman Begins
¥193.4 million ($1.7 million) / 137,490 - Interstellar
¥171.4 million ($1.4 million) / 128,389 - Insomnia
¥112.6 million ($0.9 million) / x95,516 - The Prestige

*Note: Japan Box-Office History Lesson:
Inception's opening weekend (above) was a reported 6-day gross from Warner Bros. that included previews and its Friday earnings. In order to claim a #1 debut when it opened (because it would have been #3), Warner Bros. was kinda shady and combined all of its figures together in order to do so. And due to this happening, Eiren (Producers Association of Motion Pictures) ruled that previews and early showings could no longer be reported as part of a film's opening weekend gross. So, Inception holds the honor (dishonor?) of being the LAST film in the market to have early showings/previews included in its opening weekend. And almost no studio bothers with previews anymore as a result since they are excluded, thus lowering the opening weekend potential.


Totals:
¥3.50 billion ($42.9 million) / 2.70 million - Inception
¥1.97 billion ($24.2 million) / 1.49 million - The Dark Knight Rises
¥1.64 billion ($14.7 million) / 1.17 million - Dunkirk
¥1.60 billion ($15.8 million) / 1.25 million - The Dark Knight
¥1.40 billion ($14.1 million) / 1.08 million - Batman Begins
¥1.25 billion ($10.8 million) / 0.91 million - Interstellar
¥950.0 million ($7.8 million) / 0.73 million - Insomnia *Est.*
¥500.0 million ($4.1 million) / 0.38 million - The Prestige *Est.*

Tenet will be aiming for the second highest debut (likely highest for the true 2-day opening weekend) for a Nolan film, targeting ¥400-500 million ($4-5 million) based on the pre-sales reported by Warner Bros.. And would certainly become Nolan's second highest-grossing film if it opens that high, likely finishing near or above ¥2.5 billion ($25 million).

_________________
Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


Wakanda Forever


Tue Sep 15, 2020 2:26 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: Theaters To Resume 100% Capacity This
I'm pretty surprised at how low the multipliers are. Aside from Interstellar, his movies have pretty poor legs.


Tue Sep 15, 2020 6:12 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: Theaters To Resume 100% Capacity This
Nolan has earned a solid, reliable fanbase in the market, explaining the sub-par legs with fairly consistent multipliers for his films.

_________________
Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


Wakanda Forever


Tue Sep 15, 2020 11:36 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: Theaters To Resume 100% Capacity This
Corpse, I just checked Toho cinemas and Aeon cinemas website for 19 September and they are still going to run on 50% capacity.


Wed Sep 16, 2020 11:05 am
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: Theaters To Resume 100% Capacity This
Indeed. Toho Cinemas hasn't actually made any announcement, but ticket sales have begun for the weekend and their locations are still at 50%. Aeon Cinemas did make an announcement about being able to lift their restrictions, but are going to remain at 50% for the time being.

Someone mentioned that it could be due to them being such large chains, the two largest, and having theaters all over the country, and were unable to change back to 100% capacity before the weekend began. Since Japan has reserved seating, it's not as easy as flipping a switch.

SMT Cinemas, a medium-sized chain, appears to be lifting their 50% capacity, but they're making it very complicated because of the reservation system. For this weekend, Sept. 19-23 (long holiday weekend), tickets can only be purchased as early as 2-days in advance and only if you're a member with them. And if you're not a member, you can buy tickets tickets just 24-hours in advance but only online. And finally, if you're just going to the theater in person, you have to hope any seats remain after the members and online sales are finished.

Toho and Aeon also operate on a reservation system with memberships and such, so I don't blame them for not trying to rush and make some complicated plan like SMT this weekend. As long as things don't change in the coming weeks, I'm sure they'll go back to 100% pretty soon.

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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: Weekend Actuals (09/12-13); Charts Upd
Update:

Confirmed Chains that are resuming 100% capacity on Sept. 19th:

109 Cinemas
Cinema City
Cinema Sunshine
Korona World Cinemas
SMT Cinemas (membership priority plan)
T-Joy Entertainment

Confirmed Chains that are remaining at 50% capacity on Sept. 19th:

Aeon Cinemas
Toho Cinemas
United Cinemas

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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: Theaters To Resume 100% Capacity This
I was wanting to post a forecast this weekend, but with several chains resuming 100% capacity, it messes up the real-time ticket sale calculations at the usual locations (~75% of the market) due to reserved seating charts being changed, and it takes an extra day to report accurate admissions.

This weekend is also a long 4-day holiday weekend (09/19-22) since both Monday and Tuesday are national holidays, so weekend actuals won't be reported until Wednesday. However, I'll do my best to provide Weekend Estimates in the coming days.

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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: Theaters To Resume 100% Capacity This
I google translate internet reviews and surprised that Japanese audience are not as confused by Tenet as the rest of the world (including me).


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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: Theaters To Resume 100% Capacity This
I see some reviews mention that it's confusing, but I'd say they're just 20/25% of the total online reviews at the moment. More audience reviews, I think, appreciate how it actually explains itself, calling it rational and without (or fewer) plot holes than many other films that handle the subject matter. But I've also seen some reviews say that it's not possible in the realm of science or a world of physics, yet they gave it a 4 or 5-star score. So who knows. LOL.

In the end, audiences are largely enjoying it with audience scores averaging about 4/5 across various movie sites. But keep in mind that the majority of these audience reviews are going to be from Nolan's established fanbase in the market, not from an average moviegoer.

And, while giving an estimate isn't going to be accurate this weekend due to many chains going back to 100% capacity as I mentioned, throwing off their ticket sales, I feel confident in saying it's likely going to become Nolan's second biggest opener in the market.

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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: Theaters To Resume 100% Capacity This
Subtitles would probably help actually. The sound mixing can't drown them out.

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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: Theaters To Resume 100% Capacity This
And subtitle showings are much more popular than dubbed showings in the market, so it'll be getting plenty of viewers there.

I want to post Weekend Estimates, but they're just going to possibly be too inaccurate (due to the many chains resuming 100% occupancy and having to adjust to that) for me to feel comfortable posting them. That said, I'll provide an estimate, a rough estimate (maybe range), for Tenet. And if Warner Bros. releases their number for the film in the market, that would help calculate other estimates.

And remember, Monday and Tuesday are both national holidays this year, so Weekend Actuals are going to be delayed until Wednesday this week.

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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: Theaters To Resume 100% Capacity This
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(C)吾峠呼世晴/集英社・アニプレックス・ufotable

Theaters will be handing out a limited-print of "Rengoku Volume 0" (prequel featuring a central character in the film, drawn by the manga creator, Koyoharu Gotouge ) to the first 4.5 million moviegoers who see Demon Slayer: Mugen Train, debuting on October 16th. The film is adapting the manga arc that begins immediately after the conclusion of season one of the anime last year, thus acting as its second season.

This is going to be huge. These limited giveaways aren't uncommon for highly-anticipated releases with a huge fanbase, but I can't remember any other manga giveaway going as high as 4.5 million. That seems to be a calculated number, too, because all 21 volumes of the manga that are available are nearing 4 million copies sold (volume 1 will exceed that figure next week). And volume 22, the second to last volume, is releasing October 2nd, just two-weeks before the movie opens.

I knew this film was going to have a potentially record-opening weekend, and this announcement just further confirms its status. Toho Cinemas and Aeon Cinemas have a month to get back to 100% occupancy. And I have a hard time seeing it selling fewer than the 4.5 million in admissions overall now, too, so we're likely to see it sell over 5 million admissions and beat Star Wars for the 2020 yearly crown.

Demon Slayer has sold over 65.4 million copes in the past 10-months in Japan alone (yearly record), 71.6 million overall in Japan since debuting back in 2016 (fastest manga to reach 70 million), and will exceed 100 million copies in circulation worldwide next week (also in record time).

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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: Theaters To Resume 100% Capacity This

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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: Theaters To Resume 100% Capacity This
Nice. I'll try using that to put together the Weekend Estimates. I'm going to presume that's since Friday, so 3-day, but that's fine. Not as high as Warner Bros.'s pre-sale report was suggesting, but coming in above Dunkirk is good news. Especially since the next two-days are national holidays, so it'll further increase its lead.

If I don't get estimates up today, I'll have them up tomorrow in addition to Monday's holiday estimates.

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: Theaters To Resume 100% Capacity This
Corpse wrote:
This is going to be huge. These limited giveaways aren't uncommon for highly-anticipated releases with a huge fanbase, but I can't remember any other manga giveaway going as high as 4.5 million. That seems to be a calculated number, too, because all 21 volumes of the manga that are available are nearing 4 million copies sold (volume 1 will exceed that figure next week). And volume 22, the second to last volume, is releasing October 2nd, just two-weeks before the movie opens.

One Piece Film Gold had 5 million copies printed for its special "Volume 777" , think that's the highest still.
https://natalie.mu/comic/news/187276


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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: Theaters To Resume 100% Capacity This
Wowza. I didn't realize it was so high. But not surprising since Film Z sold 5.6 million admissions, so offering a limited giveaway of 5 million with the next film (Gold) was a reasonable decision.

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"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Estimates (09/19-20)
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(C)2020 Warner Bros Entertainment Inc. All Rights Reserved

Weekend Estimates (09/19-20):
01 (---) ¥340,000,000 ($3.2 million), 0, ¥465,000,000 ($4.4 million), Tenet (Warner Bros.) NEW
02 (---) ¥275,000,000 ($2.6 million), 0, ¥400,000,000 ($3.8 million), Violet Evergarden: The Movie (Shochiku) NEW
03 (01) ¥186,000,000 ($1.8 million), -29%, ¥535,000,000 ($5.1 million), Crayon Shin-chan: Rakuga Kingdom and the Four Heroes (Toho) WK2
04 (02) ¥155,000,000 ($1.5 million), -24%, ¥1,745,000,000 ($16.5 million), Stigmatized Properties (Shochiku) WK4
05 (04) ¥102,000,000 ($970,000), -09%, ¥1,775,000,000 ($16.7 million), Tapestry (Toho) WK5
06 (08) ¥x85,000,000 ($810,000), +22%, ¥1,705,000,000 ($16.1 million), Fate/stay night: Heaven's Feel III - Spring Song (Aniplex) WK5
07 (03) ¥x78,000,000 ($740,000), -31%, ¥2,945,000,000 ($27.7 million), Doraemon: Nobita's New Dinosaur (Toho) WK7
08 (06) ¥x77,000,000 ($730,000), -23%, ¥375,000,000 ($3.5 million), The Cornered Mouse Dreams of Cheese (Phantom Film) WK2
09 (05) ¥x75,000,000 ($715,000), -31%, ¥390,000,000 ($3.7 million), Break the Silence: The Movie (Avex Pictures) WK2
10 (09) ¥x47,000,000 ($445,000), -27%, ¥5,160,000,000 ($48.5 million), From Today, It's My Turn! (Toho) WK10
11 (07) ¥x46,000,000 ($435,000), -43%, ¥235,000,000 ($2.2 million), Midway (Kino Films) WK2
12 (11) ¥x34,000,000 ($325,000), -28%, ¥3,560,000,000 ($33.1 million), The Confidence Man JP: Episode of the Princess (Toho) WK9
13 (10) ¥x33,000,000 ($315,000), -35%, ¥760,000,000 ($7.1 million), Onward (Disney) WK5


Good weekend. I'm not really going to provide any analysis until Weekend Actuals are available this week. Consider the Weekend Estimates above to be rough, since the normal method of calculating them was thrown off going into the weekend after several chains moved from 50% capacity back to 100% capacity.

>Tenet, according to Warner Bros. out-opened both Interstellar (no surprise) and Dunkirk, which appears accurate based on my estimates as well, although it's very close to Dunkirk and I expect their admissions were very similar, but Tenet probably has the edge in revenue due to more IMAX showings.

Nolan's films are usually frontloaded due to the dedicated fanbase he has in the market, but this estimated start should get it above ¥2 billion (~$20 million) since legs should be a bit stronger this time. As long as it beats The Dark Knight Rises's ¥1.97 billion total, it'll become Nolan's second biggest film in the market, only behind Inception.

>Violet Evergarden: The Movie settled for second place, but it delivered a strong second place debut (I even think it was #1 on Friday, at least in admissions). Its estimated opening is even more rough, however, since these types of animated films have varying average ticket prices. Whatever the number ends up being, it's a big success and should clear ¥1.5 billion (~$15 million).

I also expanded the Top 10 a bit this weekend to keep better track of The Confidence Man JP: Episode of the Princess (since it's performed so well) and Onward (which hasn't performed well, but still has a slim shot of beating Brave at least).


Monday and Tuesday were national holidays, so I'll have those Daily Estimates up later this afternoon.

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"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: Weekend Estimates (09/19-20)
How is the DisneyPlus streaming service doing in Japan. Since Disney is popular I assume it could get a lot of subscriber. Since Star Wars is huge in Japan hopefully The Mandalorian is popular.


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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Monday Estimates (09/21)
I'll do some research on it tomorrow. In the meantime, here are Monday's estimates. I'll have Tuesday's estimates (Vernal Equinox Day), another national holiday, up in the morning.

Monday Estimates (09/21): Respect for the Elderly Day (National Holiday)

¥180,000,000 ($1.7 million), 0, ¥752,996,550 ($7.1 million), Tenet (Warner Bros.) Day 5
¥125,000,000 ($1.2 million), +892%, ¥660,000,000 ($6.3 million), Crayon Shin-chan: Rakuga Kingdom and the Four Heroes (Toho) Day 11
¥100,000,000 ($950,000), 0, ¥559,522,200 ($5.3 million), Violet Evergarden: The Movie (Shochiku) Day 5
¥x95,000,000 ($905,000), +173%, ¥1,875,000,000 ($17.7 million), Stigmatized Properties (Shochiku) Day 25
¥x60,000,000 ($570,000), +833%, ¥3,035,000,000 ($28.6 million), Doraemon: Nobita's New Dinosaur (Toho) Day 46
¥x55,000,000 ($520,000), +119%, ¥1,830,000,000 ($17.2 million), Tapestry (Toho) Day 32
¥x35,000,000 ($330,000), +25%, ¥410,000,000 ($3.8 million), The Cornered Mouse Dreams of Cheese (Phantom Film) Day 11
¥x35,000,000 ($330,000), +52%, ¥425,000,000 ($4.0 million), Break the Silence: The Movie (Avex Pictures) Day 12
¥x30,000,000 ($285,000), +210%, ¥5,200,000,000 ($48.9 million), From Today, It's My Turn! (Toho) Day 66
¥x25,000,000 ($240,000), +199%, ¥1,730,000,000 ($16.3 million), Fate/stay night: Heaven's Feel III - Spring Song (Aniplex) Day 31
¥x25,000,000 ($240,000), +13%, ¥260,000,000 ($2.4 million), Midway (Kino Films) Day 11
¥x20,000,000 ($190,000), +102%, ¥3,580,000,000 ($33.3 million), The Confidence Man JP: Episode of the Princess (Toho) Day 60
¥x20,000,000 ($190,000), +291%, ¥780,000,000 ($7.4 million), Onward (Disney) Day 32


% changes versus same day last week.

Edited.

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: WKND Estimates (09/19-20) & Monday Est
Monday's estimates were edited slightly due to incoming actuals. While the Monday grosses remain estimates, the 5-day totals (Friday-Tuesday) for Tenet and Violet Evergarden above are the reported actuals.

Also, their Monday grosses will remain estimates, but the totals (as of Tuesday, Sept. 23rd) for Stigmatized Properties, Doraemon, Tapestry, From Today, It's My Turn!, and Fate/stay night have been updated above as well. They're not 100% actual totals since leading up to all the actuals being released, studios usually report totals as "X film has grossed over ¥1.8 billion." That means it's above ¥1.8 billion but below ¥1.85 billion (so somewhere between ¥1.80-1.849 billion) since any higher would result in the report saying "X film is approaching ¥1.9 billion."

Full Weekend Actuals will be available later this evening, so I'm going to holdoff on posting the Tuesday holiday estimates until tomorrow so the totals will be more accurate.

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


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