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 Japan Box Office: Weekend Actuals; Charts Updated! (12/01) 
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Aladdin Scores Biggest June OW In 15 Y
So there is a chance of a ¥10 billion film even before Weathering with You. Incredible.


Sun Jun 09, 2019 4:14 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Aladdin Scores Biggest June OW In 15 Y
mark66 wrote:
The fantasy adventure starring Will Smith and Mena Massoud scored the best debut of a Western film in Japan for the year-to-date on $12.9m over three days, which also earned the distinction of being the second highest ever opening weekend for a Disney live-action title (excluding the Marvel Studios and Lucasfilm franchises) behind Alice In Wonderland.

https://www.screendaily.com/box-office/ ... 35.article


Dead-on with my estimate this weekend, so I doubt it varies much tomorrow.

But... they kind of forgot the Pirates of the Caribbean franchise in their claim there. Pirates 2, 3, and 4 had bigger openings (in JPY and USD, both 2-day and 3-day). :mer:

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Sun Jun 09, 2019 4:30 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Aladdin Scores Biggest June OW In 15 Y
R136a1 wrote:
So there is a chance of a ¥10 billion film even before Weathering with You. Incredible.


Indeed!

Based on the estimate (looks to be very accurate), it'll need an 8.77 multiplier. That's certainly doable, but it's a bit tough for an early June release. Audience scores are good though (4/5 averages), and the box-office doesn't really get crowded from now until mid/late-July, so it does have a solid month+ (5 weeks) in release to make some serious bank.

If it does miss ¥10 billion, a total of ¥9 billion ($80 million+) is still pretty likely and incredible too.

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”


Sun Jun 09, 2019 4:34 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Aladdin Scores Biggest June OW In 15 Y
Wow. Japan has fully embraced these live-action remakes of the Disney Renaissance films. I guess the animated versions made strong impressions back in the 1990s? And do you have any idea about how Godzilla will finish in the market or info on Gamera?


Sun Jun 09, 2019 5:24 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Aladdin Scores Biggest June OW In 15 Y
fiery_cockatrice wrote:
Wow. Japan has fully embraced these live-action remakes of the Disney Renaissance films. I guess the animated versions made strong impressions back in the 1990s? And do you have any idea about how Godzilla will finish in the market or info on Gamera?


Well... Walt Disney Animation was never very big in Japan until Frozen. Before then, no Disney Animated film (excluding Pixar) ever achieved blockbuster status (which Frozen did, literally, 5x over...).

Beauty and the Beast grossed ¥2.5 billion ($20.0 million) and was the 9th-highest grossing film of 1992. It does not rank inside the Top 100 highest grossing animated films in Japan.
Aladdin grossed ¥4.25 billion ($37.2 million) and was the 3rd-highest grossing film of 1993. It is currently the 56th-highest grossing animated film in Japan.
The Lion King grossed ¥3.2 billion ($31.7 million) and was the 5th-highest grossing film of 1994. It is currently the 90th-highest grossing animated film in Japan.

Every other Disney Animated film of the 90s disappointed or bombed. And only Tarzan, grossing ¥2.8 billion ($25.9 million) in 2000, and Lilo & Stitch, grossing ¥2.91 billion ($24.2 million) in 2003, found success in the 2000s.

So... the early 90s Renaissance films did very well, Aladdin in particular, but it's not like they were massive or anything. They could have certainly gained more popularity over the years on home video/TV, but I've never seen them on any home video sales chart or TV ratings chart, so I don't think there's a direct correlation linking the box-office success of the live-action remakes to their animated counterparts. It may have more to do with all the exposure they've received from their musicals, theme parks, merchandise, etc. etc.

And finally, it's very important to note that, so far, they're all appealing more toward adults than families/children. They've all shared high average ticket prices, and the weak morning ticket sales versus strong evening/night ticket sales, both key factors in determining a film's demographic.

fiery_cockatrice wrote:
And do you have any idea about how Godzilla will finish in the market or info on Gamera?


BOM's numbers for Gamera are right for what they have. I don't have any actual total for it since it finished below ¥1 billion, but BOM has it finishing just below ¥300 million before they stopped tracking it. But using some average weekly holds from that point on, it should have finished closer to ¥400 million ($3.5/3.6 million).

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”


Sun Jun 09, 2019 6:00 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Walt Disney Box Office History
Aladdin's opening weekend actual was released, and it grossed ¥1,122,000,000 ($10.3 million) on 766,000 admissions over the weekend frame. After 3-days in release, it grossed ¥1,396,000,000 ($12.9 million) on 960,000 admissions (the 3-day total will be exact later this evening).

Below is what I believe is the complete list of Opening Weekends & Totals for Walt Disney releases since 1998 (data is scarce before then), but I could have missed a couple films. I've done separate lists for the various Disney franchises, but never a full one for Walt Disney as a whole, so let me know if I overlooked something. Just note that while many of the films represent both lists, there are some entries that just made one of them, so if that's the case I didn't make a mistake.

Walt Disney Box Office History (1998-)

Top Opening Weekends
¥1.944 billion ($16.5 million) / 1,421,738 - Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest (2006)
¥1.471 billion ($12.1 million) / 1,186,413 - Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End (2007)
¥1.316 billion ($14.0 million) / 828,149 - Alice in Wonderland (2010)
¥1.245 billion ($10.3 million) / 800,258 - Star Wars: The Force Awakens (2015)
¥1.205 billion ($14.7 million) / 773,184 - Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides (2011)
¥1.125 billion ($9.9 million) / 737,467 - Star Wars: The Last Jedi (2017)
¥1.122 billion ($10.3 million) / 766,000 - Aladdin (2019)
¥1.065 billion ($9.7 million) / 729,114 - Beauty and the Beast (2017)
¥1.048 billion ($9.3 million) / 771,556 - Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales (2017)
¥1.037 billion ($8.9 million) / 814,000 - The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch and the Wardrobe (2006)
¥977.3 million ($11.1 million) / 649,249 - Toy Story 3 (2010)
¥962.0 million ($8.7 million) / 628,000 - Avengers: Endgame (2019)
¥898.0 million ($8.4 million) / 724,000 - Finding Nemo (2003)
¥847.4 million ($8.5 million) / 614,969 - Monsters University (2013)
¥793.9 million ($6.5 million) / 505,521 - Avengers: Age of Ultron (2015)
¥763.4 million ($7.5 million) / 602,347 - Frozen (2014)
¥751.9 million ($7.3 million) / 604,355 - The Incredibles (2004)
¥745.5 million ($7.1 million) / 553,066 - Finding Dory (2016)
¥691.7 million ($6.8 million) / 500,837 - Maleficent (2014)
¥672.4 million ($6.2 million) / 437,209 - Avengers: Infinity War (2018)
¥653.4 million ($5.7 million) / 413,604 - Rogue One: A Star Wars Story (2016)
¥627.7 million ($7.2 million) / 440,804 - Up (2009)
¥600.4 million ($5.2 million) / 463,556 - Big Hero 6 (2014)
¥590.7 million ($4.5 million) / 465,624 - Monsters, Inc. (2002)
¥589.5 million ($5.1 million) / 466,480 - Moana (2017)
¥556.1 million ($4.7 million) / 419,796 - Cinderella (2015)
¥546.5 million ($5.3 million) / 434,670 - The Chronicles of Narnia: Prince Caspian (2008)
¥545.9 million ($4.5 million) / 410,089 - Pirates of the Caribbean: The Curse of the Black Pearl (2003)
¥504.9 million ($4.2 million) / 379,941 - Ratatouille (2007)
¥504.1 million ($4.6 million) / 394,231 - The Haunted Mansion (2004)
¥500.9 million ($6.3 million) / 326,110 - The Avengers (2012)


Top Grossing Films
¥25.48 billion ($249.6 million) / 20.03 million - Frozen (2014)
¥12.40 billion ($109.7 million) / 8.95 million - Beauty and the Beast (2017)
¥11.80 billion ($142.8 million) / 7.30 million - Alice in Wonderland (2010)
¥11.63 billion ($96.3 million) / 7.48 million - Star Wars: The Force Awakens (2015)
¥11.00 billion ($102.4 million) / 8.60 million - Finding Nemo (2003)
¥10.90 billion ($102.4 million) / 8.40 million - Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End (2007)
¥10.80 billion ($130.7 million) / 7.20 million - Toy Story 3 (2010)
¥10.02 billion ($82.3 million) / 7.75 million - Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest (2006)
¥9.37 billion ($76.8 million) / 7.60 million - Monsters, Inc. (2002)
¥9.18 billion ($77.7 million) / 7.22 million - Big Hero 6 (2014)
¥8.96 billion ($91.3 million) / 7.05 million - Monsters University (2013)
¥8.87 billion ($114.9 million) / 5.86 million - Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides (2011)
¥7.63 billion ($70.6 million) / 5.91 million - Zootopia (2016)
¥7.51 billion ($66.3 million) / 5.05 million - Star Wars: The Last Jedi (2017)
¥6.86 billion ($56.4 million) / 5.60 million - The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch and the Wardrobe (2006)
¥6.83 billion ($65.8 million) / 5.57 million - Finding Dory (2016)
¥6.80 billion ($60.3 million) / 5.10 million - Pirates of the Caribbean: The Curse of the Black Pearl (2003)
¥6.71 billion ($60.2 million) / 4.55 million - Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales (2017)
¥6.53 billion ($63.5 million) / 4.98 million - Maleficent (2014)
¥5.78 billion ($52.3 million) / 3.94 million - Avengers: Endgame (2019) [6 Weeks in Release]
¥5.73 billion ($46.6 million) / 4.46 million - Cinderella (2015)
¥5.26 billion ($51.1 million) / 4.40 million - The Incredibles (2004)
¥5.16 billion ($46.1 million) / 4.25 million - Moana (2017)
¥5.00 billion ($46.6 million) / 3.98 million - Coco (2018)
¥5.00 billion ($60.5 million) / 3.80 million - Up (2009)
¥4.90 billion ($44.3 million) / 4.06 million - Incredibles 2 (2018)
¥4.90 billion ($40.2 million) / 3.95 million - Dinosaur (2001)
¥4.63 billion ($39.9 million) / 3.08 million - Rogue One: A Star Wars Story (2016)
¥4.25 billion ($37.2 million) / 3.50 million - Aladdin (1993)
¥4.04 billion ($33.6 million) / 3.40 million - Inside Out (2015)
¥4.00 billion ($44.2 million) / 3.20 million - Wall-E (2008)

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”


Mon Jun 10, 2019 12:47 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Aladdin Scores Biggest June OW In 15 Y
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Weekend Actuals (06/08-09)
01 (---) ¥1,122,000,000 ($10.3 million), 0, ¥1,396,000,000 ($12.9 million), Aladdin (Disney) NEW
02 (01) ¥371,794,400 ($3.4 million), -45%, ¥1,761,797,900 ($16.3 million), Godzilla: King of the Monsters (Toho) WK2
03 (02) ¥206,477,800 ($1.9 million), -29%, ¥2,210,951,100 ($20.2 million), The Confidence Man JP (Toho) WK4
04 (03) ¥x82,234,500 ($758,000), -45%, ¥931,625,500 ($8.6 million), Aircraft Carrier Ibuki (Kino Films) WK3
05 (06) ¥x79,557,600 ($733,000), -38%, ¥5,346,786,200 ($48.1 million), Kingdom (Toho/Sony) WK8
06 (05) ¥x77,695,900 ($716,000), -43%, ¥2,791,036,300 ($25.5 million), Pokemon: Detective Pikachu (Toho) WK6
07 (04) ¥x76,198,900 ($702,000), -47%, ¥378,231,900 ($3.5 million), Parallel Love Story (Shochiku) WK2
08 (---) x¥70,000,000 ($645,000), 0, ¥x90,000,000 ($830,000), Sea Beast Children (Toho Video Division) NEW *Est.*
09 (10) ¥x65,344,600 ($602,000), +11%, ¥357,531,500 ($3.3 million), Promare (Toho) WK3
10 (07) ¥x63,264,700 ($583,000), -36%, ¥562,557,700 ($5.2 million), Sadako (Kadokawa) WK3
11 (08) ¥x60,639,800 ($559,000), -35%, ¥8,910,058,700 ($81.4 million), Detective Conan: The Fist of Blue Sapphire (Toho) WK9
12 (09) ¥x53,514,400 ($493,000), -38%, ¥5,898,805,000 ($53.4 million), Avengers: Endgame (Disney) WK7


>Aladdin dominated the box-office in its debut weekend, earning the biggest opening weekend for the month of June in 15 years to become the 43rd film to open above the ¥1 billion milestone in the market. Disney's latest live-action remake sold a remarkable 766,000 admissions over the weekend frame across 842 screens. And after three days in release, it reached 960,000 admissions. This debut is 5% higher than 2017's Beauty and the Beast and 15 lower than 2010's Alice in Wonderland.

While the box-office won't be dead until mid-July, Aladdin will mostly have the next several weeks to itself, so look for some potentially strong numbers for the first month or so of its release. As for where it may finish, it's too early give a reliable projection. This is the first Disney live-action remake to open outside of any major holiday frames, so theoretically it shouldn't display the legs of its studio predecessors, but having little competition for a month will go a long way. Not to mention that audience scores are very good, so it'll likely benefit from good WOM as well. I do, however, expect a total around ¥9 billion ($80 million), but I also wouldn't be surprised if it makes a play at the ¥10 billion ($90 million) milestone.

>Godzilla: King of the Monsters saw a sharp second weekend decline after its great opening last week, but its hold isn't unexpected since last Saturday was a national discount day, which inflated its opening a bit. Under normal circumstances, it likely would have dropped between 35-40%. Still, the drop is a little high and the good audience reception may not help it afterall. I still have it exceeding the ¥3 billion milestone and outgrossing its predecessor, and expect it'll finish around ¥3.5 billion ($30 million).

>The Confidence Man JP experiences its worst weekend hold yet, though that hold is still below a 30%. It's already earned what it was expected to after just four weeks, and is on track to reach the ¥3 billion ($25 million+) milestone. This is an impressive result for a film that opened right after the Golden Week holiday period.

>Kingdom has done it -- it has become the highest grossing live-action film based on a Weekly Shonen manga series, surpassing 2014's[ Rurouni Kenshin: Kyoto Inferno. It exceeded 4 million admissions in its eigheth-weekend of release, and also exceeded a multiplier of 10. The film was expected to perform well, but it well out-performed those expecations.

>Pokemon: Detective Pikachu has begun to experience heavier drops now, weekdays and weekends alike, and while I do believe it'll reach the ¥3 billion milestone, it's going to just barely get there. This is still a good performance for the film, but in the end, it closely mirrored the recent animated films in its debut and its end result.

>Detective Conan: The Fist of Blue Sapphire and Avengers: Endgame fell outside the Top 10 this weekend, in their ninth and seventh weekends, respectively, though both films still posted decent holds despite noticeable screen/showtime cuts. The former has locked up the ¥9 billion milestone as a result, and will be the film that Aladdin will be vying to beat for the year (so far, still lots of the year remains); and the latter locked up the ¥6 billion milestone thanks to its hold.

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“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”


Last edited by Corpse on Tue Jun 11, 2019 2:34 pm, edited 1 time in total.



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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Top Opening Weekends: 2019
2019 - Top Opening Weekends
Gross ¥ ($) / Admissions [Screen Count] - Film (Distributor)

¥1.464 billion ($13.1 million) / 1,144,539 [403] - Detective Conan: The Fist of Blue Sapphire (Toho)
¥1.122 billion ($10.3 million) / 766,000 [842] - Aladdin (Disney)

¥1 billion ↨
¥962.0 million ($8.7 million) / 628,000 [806] - Avengers: Endgame (Disney)
¥812.7 million ($7.2 million) / 639,000 [467] - Dragon Ball Super: Broly (Toei)
¥695.7 million ($6.2 million) / 586,000 [382] - Doraemon: Nobita's Chronicle of Moon Exploration (Toho)
¥676.9 million ($6.3 million) / 479,000 [431] - Godzilla: King of the Monsters (Toho)
¥633.3 million ($5.8 million) / 484,000 [349] - Masquerade Hotel (Toho)
¥526.0 million ($4.7 million) / 382,000 [388] - Kingdom (Toho/Sony)

¥500 million ↨
¥490.5 million ($4.5 million) / 276,795 [131] - Fate/stay night: Heaven's Feel II - Lost Butterfly (Aniplex)
¥456.9 million ($4.1 million) / 317,000 [417] - Pokemon: Detective Pikachu (Toho)
¥453.6 million ($4.1 million) / 350,373 [468] - Ralph Breaks the Internet (Disney)
¥426.6 million ($3.8 million) / 279,000 [754] - Captain Marvel (Disney)
¥389.0 million ($3.5 million) / 313,000 [332] - Kamen Rider Heisei Generations FOREVER (Toei)
¥385.6 million ($3.5 million) / 284,000 [324] - The Confidence Man JP (Toho)
¥334.3 million ($3.0 million) / 260,000 [329] - The Seven Conferences (Toho)
¥314.3 million ($2.8 million) / 210,000 [692] - Aquaman (Warner Bros.)

¥300 million ↨
¥289.0 million ($2.6 million) / 242,000 [356] - Crayon Shin-chan: Hurricane Honeymoon, The Lost Hiroshi (Toho)
¥267.5 million ($2.4 million) / 206,636 [343] - 12 Suicidal Teens (Warner Bros.)
¥259.0 million ($2.3 million) / 191,000 [319] - Tonde Saitama (Toei)
¥257.1 million ($2.3 million) / 179,780 [251] - City Hunter: Shinjuku Private Eyes (Aniplex)
¥251.4 million ($2.2 million) / 222,930 [368] - Yo-Kai Watch: Forever Friends (Toho)
¥248.3 million ($2.2 million) / 221,579 [230] - Precure Miracle Universe (Toei)
¥247.6 million ($2.2 million) / 152,000 [880] - Alita: Battle Angel (Fox)
¥246.3 million ($2.2 million) / 194,000 [331] - Aircraft Carrier Ibuki (Kino Films)
¥221.5 million ($2.0 million) / 180,000 [387] - The Grinch (Toho-Towa)
¥217.2 million ($1.9 million) / 140,000 [120] - Code Geass: Lelouch of the Rebellion (Shochiku)
¥201.5 million ($1.8 million) / 154,000 [180] - Green Book (Gaga)

¥200 million ↨
¥199.2 million ($1.8 million) / 150,927 [326] - Snow Flowers (Warner Bros.)
¥188.4 million ($1.7 million) / 141,000 [302] - Fortuna's Eye (Toho)
¥186.2 million ($1.7 million) / 139,000 [654] - Mary Poppins Returns (Disney)
¥185.5 million ($1.7 million) / 144,000 [598] - Dumbo (Disney)
¥185.0 million ($1.7 million) / 140,000 [396] - A Star is Born (Warner Bros.)
¥172.5 million ($1.6 million) / 120,000 [724] - Bumblebee (Toho-Towa)
¥167.0 million ($1.5 million) / 115,000 [723] - Shazam! (Warner Bros.)
¥163.8 million ($1.5 million) / 118,000 [416] - Sadako (Kadokawa)
¥161.3 million ($1.4 million) / 142,046 [439] - The Nutcracker and the Four Realms (Disney)
¥160.1 million ($1.4 million) / x98,074 [337] - Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse (Sony)
¥152.4 million ($1.4 million) / 120,000 [207] - My Girlfriend is a Mage (Nikkei)
¥146.1 million ($1.3 million) / 116,000 [238] - The Mule (Warner Bros.)
¥142.6 million ($1.3 million) / 118,000 [299] - You Shine in Moonlight (Toho)
¥142.5 million ($1.3 million) / 112,000 [316] - Parallel Love Story (Shochiku)
¥137.0 million ($1.2 million) / 101,000 [331] - It Comes (Toho)
¥121.7 million ($1.1 million) / x86,286 [111] - Touken Ranbu: The Movie (Toho Video Division)
¥121.5 million ($1.1 million) / x88,000 [434] - First Man (Toho-Towa)
¥120.5 million ($1.0 million) / x89,919 [x89] - Mobile Suit Gundam NT (Shochiku)

¥100 million ↑

Legend:
¥1 billion+ (Exemplary) / ¥500 million+ (Great) / ¥300 million+ (Good) / ¥200 million+ (Acceptable) / ¥100 million+ (Mediocre)

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“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”


Last edited by Corpse on Tue Jun 11, 2019 2:34 pm, edited 1 time in total.



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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Top Grossing Films: 2019
2019 - Top Grossing Films
Gross ¥ ($) / Admissions [Days In Release] - Film (Distributor)

¥10 billion ↨
¥8.91 billion ($81.4 million) / 6.97 million [59] - Detective Conan: The Fist of Blue Sapphire (Toho)
¥6.56 billion ($58.6 million) / 4.92 million [E] - Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald (Warner Bros.)
¥5.89 billion ($53.4 million) / 4.02 million [45] - Avengers: Endgame (Disney)
¥5.34 billion ($48.1 million) / 4.01 million [52] - Kingdom (Toho/Sony)

¥5 billion ↨
¥4.97 billion ($45.2 million) / 4.34 million [E] - Doraemon: Nobita's Chronicle of Moon Exploration (Toho)
¥4.60 billion ($41.9 million) / 3.57 million [E] - Masquerade Hotel (Toho)
¥3.90 billion ($35.2 million) / 3.01 million [E] - Dragon Ball Super: Broly (Toei)
¥3.80 billion ($34.6 million) / 3.06 million [E] - Ralph Breaks the Internet (Disney)
¥3.69 billion ($33.4 million) / 2.86 million [E] - Tonde Saitama (Toei)

¥3 billion ↨
¥2.79 billion ($25.5 million) / 1.96 million [38] - Pokemon: Detective Pikachu (Toho)
¥2.21 billion ($20.2 million) / 1.69 million [24] - The Confidence Man JP (Toho)
¥2.12 billion ($19.2 million) / 1.70 million [E] - The Seven Conferences (Toho)
¥2.06 billion ($18.7 million) / 1.41 million [E] - Captain Marvel (Disney)
¥2.04 billion ($18.4 million) / 1.62 million [E] - Green Book (Gaga)
¥2.01 billion ($18.2 million) / 1.71 million [52] - Crayon Shin-chan: Hurricane Honeymoon, The Lost Hiroshi (Toho)

¥2 billion ↨
¥1.76 billion ($16.3 million) / 1.20 million [10] - Godzilla: King of the Monsters (Toho)
¥1.67 billion ($15.0 million) / 1.07 million [F] - Fate/stay night: Heaven's Feel II - Lost Butterfly (Aniplex)
¥1.63 billion ($14.7 million) / 1.11 million [E] - Aquaman (Warner Bros.)
¥1.55 billion ($13.9 million) / 1.27 million [E] - Kamen Rider Heisei Generations FOREVER (Toei)
¥1.52 billion ($13.7 million) / 1.20 million [E] - 12 Suicidal Teens (Warner Bros.)
¥1.50 billion ($13.6 million) / 1.03 million [E] - City Hunter: Shinjuku Private Eyes (Aniplex)
¥1.43 billion ($13.0 million) / 1.07 million [E] - A Star is Born (Warner Bros.)
¥1.39 billion ($12.9 million) / 0.96 million [03] - Aladdin (Disney)
¥1.34 billion ($12.0 million) / 1.05 million [E] - Fortuna's Eye (Toho)
¥1.27 billion ($11.5 million) / 1.04 million [E] - The Grinch (Toho-Towa)
¥1.21 billion ($11.1 million) / 1.09 million [E] - Yo-Kai Watch: Forever Friends (Toho)
¥1.12 billion ($10.0 million) / 0.86 million [E] - Mary Poppins Returns (Disney)
¥1.11 billion ($10.0 million) / 0.71 million [E] - Love Live! The School Idol Movie - Over the Rainbow (Shochiku)
¥1.06 billion ($9.7 million) / 0.83 million [E] - A Banana? At This Time of Night? (Shochiku)
¥1.05 billion ($9.4 million) / 0.84 million [E] - Snow Flower (Warner Bros.)
¥1.04 billion ($9.4 million) / 0.89 million [E] - You Shine in Moonlight (Toho)
¥1.01 billion ($9.1 million) / 0.70 million [E] - Code Geass: Lelouch of the Rebellion (Shochiku)

¥1 billion ↑

Legend:
¥10 billion+ (Uber-Blockbuster) / ¥5 billion+ (Blockbuster) / ¥3 billion+ (Hit) / ¥2 billion+ (Respectable) / ¥1 billion+ (Commercial Success)

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Tue Jun 11, 2019 2:31 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Aladdin Scores Biggest June OW In 15 Y
Corpse wrote:
Well... Walt Disney Animation was never very big in Japan until Frozen. Before then, no Disney Animated film (excluding Pixar) ever achieved blockbuster status (which Frozen did, literally, 5x over...).

And finally, it's very important to note that, so far, they're all appealing more toward adults than families/children. They've all shared high average ticket prices, and the weak morning ticket sales versus strong evening/night ticket sales, both key factors in determining a film's demographic.

That's even more impressive. Disney seems to have universal appeal and on the verge of dominating every market.

Corpse wrote:
BOM's numbers for Gamera are right for what they have. I don't have any actual total for it since it finished below ¥1 billion, but BOM has it finishing just below ¥300 million before they stopped tracking it. But using some average weekly holds from that point on, it should have finished closer to ¥400 million ($3.5/3.6 million).

I did a little more digging. Looks like your estimate is pretty much on the money. Japanese Wikipedia says ¥410 million and lists the Heisei Gamera Perfection Book as the source. According to that same book: Gamera: Guardian of the Universe (1995) grossed ¥520 million, Gamera 2: Advent of Legion (1996) grossed ¥700 million, and Gamera 3: Revenge of Iris (1993) grossed ¥600 million. Do you have any idea or maybe know where to find what the budget might have been for Gamera: The Brave (2006), how these films were critically received (the '90s films got rave reviews I believe), and why Gamera has struggled so much at Japanese box office as opposed to Godzilla or Ultraman? Information in the West is limited.


Wed Jun 12, 2019 4:28 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Actuals; Charts Updated! (06/0
I can't find any budget figure for Gamera: The Brave, but it was likely no more than ¥500 million. It's unlikely to have made a profit at the box-office, and likely struggled to break-even in the end.

Not too many domestic releases exceed a ¥500 million (~$5 million) budget, and far fewer exceed a budget of ¥1 billion (~$10 million). It was also a Shochiku release, so a budget close to ¥500 million than ¥1 billion is even more likely. Shochiku is Japan's second biggest distributor, but they're still incredibly far behind Toho in terms of film budgets and box-office returns.

The thing with Gamera is that I've always considered the character to be more "iconic" than "popular", and just a lesser known rival to Godzilla. As you know, the later Godzilla films didn't do very well at the box-office, especially compared to the earlier films, so the Gamera films doing half or less of the Godzilla films from the 90's seems reasonable/expected to me.

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Fri Jun 14, 2019 2:11 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Forecast (06/15-16)
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Weekend Forecast (06/15-16)
01 (01) ¥1,010,000,000 ($9.3 million), -10%, ¥3,375,000,000 ($31.2 million), Aladdin (Disney) WK2
02 (---) ¥250,000,000 ($2.3 million), 0, ¥350,000,000 ($3.2 million), Men in Black International (Sony) NEW
03 (02) ¥212,000,000 ($2.0 million), -43%, ¥2,200,000,000 ($20.4 million), Godzilla: King of the Monsters (Toho) WK3
04 (---) ¥150,000,000 ($1.4 million), 0, ¥190,000,000 ($1.8 million), Uta no Prince-sama The Movie: Maji LOVE Kingdom (Shochiku) NEW
05 (03) ¥144,000,000 ($1.3 million), -30%, ¥2,490,000,000 ($22.8 million), The Confidence Man JP (Toho) WK5
06 (---) ¥x80,000,000 ($740,000), 0, ¥x80,000,000 ($740,000), Girls und Panzer: Finale - Chapter 2 (Showgate) NEW
07 (---) ¥x60,000,000 ($555,000), 0, ¥x60,000,000 ($555,000), Rascal Does Not Dream of a Dreaming Girl (Aniplex) NEW
08 (09) ¥x55,000,000 ($505,000), -15%, ¥490,000,000 ($4.5 million), Promare (Toho) WK4
09 (04) x¥53,000,000 ($490,000), -36%, ¥230,000,000 ($2.1 million), Sea Beast Children (Toho Video Division) WK2
10 (05) ¥x52,000,000 ($480,000), -34%, ¥5,460,000,000 ($49.2 million), Kingdom (Toho/Sony) WK9


Notable Films Below Top 10:
¥x45,000,000 ($415,000), -42%, ¥2,875,000,000 ($26.3 million), Pokemon: Detective Pikachu (Toho) WK7
¥x44,000,000 ($405,000), -46%, ¥1,040,000,000 ($9.5 million), Aircraft Carrier Ibuki (Kino Films) WK4
¥x37,000,000 ($340,000), -30%, ¥5,975,000,000 ($54.2 million), Avengers: Endgame (Disney) WK8
¥x35,000,000 ($325,000), -42%, ¥8,980,000,000 ($82.0 million), Detective Conan: The Fist of Blue Sapphire (Toho) WK10


An interesting weekend, one that's rather difficult to predict since five of the top ten films (three of which are debuting) are limited or near-limited release anime films. These types of films can be very tricky to track and predict and often have extreme average ticket price fluctuations depending on if they have special fan events or giveaways. What isn't difficult to predict this weekend, however, is what film will claim the #1 spot...

>Aladdin will effortlessly stay atop the box-office, as it should until July 12th, and like the majority of non-fanbase films with major debuts (~¥1 billion or more), it'll likely achieve an incredible second weekend hold. It's rare to see second weekend drops above 20/25%, and everything is suggesting a potential sub-10% hold for Aladdin. There are also some instances (Beauty and the Beast is actually one of them) of major openers increasing over their second weekend, so I wouldn't totally rule that out for Aladdin yet either, though it's unlikely.

>Men in Black International will debut in second place, but it's going to do so rather unimpressively. If it debuts near the forecast, it'll experience a 50%+ drop from Men in Black III... And I don't have it going much higher than the forecast, so this film is going to be a real blemish on the successful track record of this franchise. It likely won't gross more than ¥1.5 billion (sub-$15 million).

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"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”


Last edited by Corpse on Fri Jun 14, 2019 6:50 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Fri Jun 14, 2019 6:38 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Biggest Second Weekends
Here is the Biggest Second Weekend list to see how Aladdin will compare. It will be aiming to become just the 14th film to achieve a second weekend above ¥1 billion. It needs to hold better than 11%, which is doable.

Biggest Second Weekends/Two Week Totals (2000-):
¥1.57 billion ($12.2 million), +02%, ¥4.66 billion ($36.9 million) - Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone (2001)
¥1.39 billion ($11.3 million), -31%, ¥4.56 billion ($37.7 million) - Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets (2002)
¥1.26 billion ($11.6 million), -35%, ¥4.19 billion ($38.5 million) - Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban (2004)
¥1.25 billion ($11.7 million), -16%, ¥4.75 billion ($44.5 million) - Howl's Moving Castle (2004)
¥1.17 billion ($9.6 million), -21%, ¥4.39 billion ($36.2 million) - Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End (2007)
¥1.16 billion ($11.2 million), +25%, ¥3.87 billion ($37.6 million) - Your Name. (2016)
¥1.12 billion ($10.0 million), +05%, ¥3.65 billion ($32.7 million) - Beauty and the Beast (2017)
¥1.11 billion ($13.8 million), -08%, ¥3.61 billion ($44.4 million) - Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides (2011)
¥1.09 billion ($9.3 million), -50%, ¥4.68 billion ($39.7 million) - The Matrix Reloaded (2003)
¥1.08 billion ($9.0 million), -19%, ¥3.62 billion ($30.1 million) - Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire (2005)
¥1.04 billion ($10.8 million), -14%, ¥3.33 billion ($33.8 million) - Rookies (2009)
¥1.02 billion ($10.9 million), -22%, ¥3.54 billion ($37.7 million) - Alice in Wonderland (2010)
¥1.02 billion ($9.1 million), -20%, ¥3.60 billion ($31.7 million) - The Da Vinci Code (2006)
¥975 million ($8.7 million), -02%, ¥4.24 billion ($34.6 million) - Spirited Away (2001)
¥941 million ($7.6 million), +11%, ¥4.36 billion ($35.0 million) - Jurassic World (2015)
¥936 million ($7.9 million), -25%, ¥3.18 billion ($26.9 million) - Bayside Shakedown: Save the Rainbow Bridge! (2003)
¥886 million ($8.0 million), -39%, ¥3.59 billion ($32.3 million) - Detective Conan: The Fist of Blue Sapphire (2019)
¥872 million ($8.6 million), +13%, ¥3.01 billion ($29.6 million) - Frozen (2014)
¥860 million ($8.0 million), -04%, ¥2.49 billion ($23.1 million) - Finding Nemo (2003)
¥820 million ($7.6 million), -37%, ¥3.23 billion ($30.0 million) - Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer (2018)
¥820 million ($7.1 million), -19%, ¥2.98 billion ($25.8 million) - Hero (2007)
¥814 million ($7.3 million), -62%, ¥4.07 billion ($36.1 million) - Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith (2005)
¥811 million ($8.3 million), -16%, ¥2.85 billion ($29.2 million) - The Wind Rises (2013)
¥810 million ($7.5 million), -48%, ¥3.43 billion ($30.8 million) - The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King (2004)
¥806 million ($7.6 million), -22%, ¥3.23 billion ($30.5 million) - Ponyo (2008)
¥757 million ($6.8 million), -38%, ¥3.56 billion ($31.6 million) - Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (2018)
¥756 million ($7.1 million), -25%, ¥2.62 billion ($25.0 million) - Boys Over Flowers: Final (2008)
¥748 million ($6.8 million), -42%, ¥2.76 billion ($25.1 million) - Detective Conan: Crimson Love Letter (2017)
¥744 million ($6.6 million), -13%, ¥2.89 billion ($25.6 million) - Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald (2018)
¥740 million ($6.5 million), -29%, ¥2.62 billion ($23.2 million) - Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales (2017)
¥728 million ($8.2 million), -26%, ¥2.37 billion ($27.3 million) - Toy Story 3 (2010)
¥726 million ($6.0 million), -42%, ¥3.84 billion ($31.8 million) - Star Wars: The Force Awakens (2015)
¥708 million ($6.3 million), -27%, ¥2.35 billion ($21.8 million) - Umizaru: The Limit of Love (2006)
¥705 million ($6.1 million), -63%, ¥3.75 billion ($32.4 million) - Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest (2006)
¥704 million ($8.6 million), -48%, ¥2.86 billion ($34.7 million) - One Piece Film Z (2012)
¥704 million ($6.6 million), -17%, ¥1.71 billion ($16.0 million) - Doraemon: Nobita's Treasure Island (2018)
¥703 million ($7.2 million), -17%, ¥2.49 billion ($25.4 million) - Monsters University (2013)
¥701 million ($6.9 million), -09%, ¥3.27 billion ($32.1 million) - Stand By Me, Doraemon (2014)

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Fri Jun 14, 2019 6:48 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Forecast (06/15-16)
Aladdin was down ~6% Sat.-to-Sat., so a sub-10% second weekend hold and a ¥1 billion gross is pretty likely.

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Sat Jun 15, 2019 2:57 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Estimates (06/15-16)
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Weekend Estimates (06/15-16)
01 (01) ¥1,054,000,000 ($9.7 million), -06%, ¥3,425,000,000 ($31.6 million), Aladdin (Disney) WK2
02 (---) ¥275,000,000 ($2.5 million), 0, ¥375,000,000 ($3.4 million), Men in Black International (Sony) NEW
03 (02) ¥208,000,000 ($1.9 million), -44%, ¥2,200,000,000 ($20.4 million), Godzilla: King of the Monsters (Toho) WK3
04 (03) ¥142,000,000 ($1.3 million), -31%, ¥2,490,000,000 ($22.8 million), The Confidence Man JP (Toho) WK5
05 (---) ¥130,000,000 ($1.2 million), 0, ¥130,000,000 ($1.2 million), Girls und Panzer: Finale - Chapter 2 (Showgate) NEW
06 (---) ¥x80,000,000 ($740,000), 0, ¥x80,000,000 ($740,000), Rascal Does Not Dream of a Dreaming Girl (Aniplex) NEW
07 (---) ¥x75,000,000 ($690,000), 0, ¥120,000,000 ($1.1 million), Uta no Prince-sama The Movie: Maji LOVE Kingdom (Shochiku) NEW
08 (09) ¥x55,000,000 ($505,000), -15%, ¥490,000,000 ($4.5 million), Promare (Toho) WK4
09 (04) x¥53,000,000 ($490,000), -36%, ¥230,000,000 ($2.1 million), Sea Beast Children (Toho Video Division) WK2
10 (05) ¥x52,000,000 ($480,000), -34%, ¥5,460,000,000 ($49.2 million), Kingdom (Toho/Sony) WK9


Notable Films Below Top 10:
¥x45,000,000 ($415,000), -42%, ¥2,875,000,000 ($26.3 million), Pokemon: Detective Pikachu (Toho) WK7
¥x44,000,000 ($405,000), -46%, ¥1,040,000,000 ($9.5 million), Aircraft Carrier Ibuki (Kino Films) WK4
¥x40,000,000 ($370,000), -26%, ¥5,975,000,000 ($54.2 million), Avengers: Endgame (Disney) WK8
¥x39,000,000 ($360,000), -35%, ¥8,985,000,000 ($82.1 million), Detective Conan: The Fist of Blue Sapphire (Toho) WK10


>Aladdin takes the #1 spot in spectacular fashion once again, achieving the sub-10% drop it needed to achieve a second weekend above ¥1 billion -- it's the fourteenth film in history to accomplish this feat. And not to dismiss this incredible hold, it's just important to remember that "original" films that debut big typically have excellent second weekends, so this hold wasn't unexpected. So far, Aladdin is performing very similarly to its studio predecessors, Beauty and the Beast and Alice in Wonderland, and has a good shot at reaching the ¥10 billion ($90 million) milestone.

>Men in Black International debuts in second place to a disappointing result. It's down around 50% compared to its predecessors' opening weekend, and will likely end up experiencing close to a 60% decline in total since it'll shed screens/showtime rather quick.

>Girls und Panzer: Finale - Chapter 2 did well, besting the other two limited/near-limited release anime films that debuted this weekend. I have it coming in about 8% below Chapter 1 of the finale, but it could have matched it when actuals come in. Usually, part 1/chapter 1 of multi part/chapter finale films perform the best, so this is an impressive result.

>Rascal Does Not Dream of a Dreaming Girl performed incredibly well in its debut, selling out ~85% of its available tickets over the weekend. It's common for limited release anime films like this to sellout the majority of their showtimes, but 85% is very notable. It averaged ~191 moviegoers per showing on an average auditorium of 219 seats..

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”


Last edited by Corpse on Sun Jun 16, 2019 5:12 pm, edited 3 times in total.



Sun Jun 16, 2019 4:23 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Biggest Second Weekends
Biggest Second Weekends/Two Week Totals (2000-):
¥1.57 billion ($12.2 million), +02%, ¥4.66 billion ($36.9 million) - Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone (2001)
¥1.39 billion ($11.3 million), -31%, ¥4.56 billion ($37.7 million) - Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets (2002)
¥1.26 billion ($11.6 million), -35%, ¥4.19 billion ($38.5 million) - Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban (2004)
¥1.25 billion ($11.7 million), -16%, ¥4.75 billion ($44.5 million) - Howl's Moving Castle (2004)
¥1.17 billion ($9.6 million), -21%, ¥4.39 billion ($36.2 million) - Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End (2007)
¥1.16 billion ($11.2 million), +25%, ¥3.87 billion ($37.6 million) - Your Name. (2016)
¥1.12 billion ($10.0 million), +05%, ¥3.65 billion ($32.7 million) - Beauty and the Beast (2017)
¥1.11 billion ($13.8 million), -08%, ¥3.61 billion ($44.4 million) - Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides (2011)
¥1.09 billion ($9.3 million), -50%, ¥4.68 billion ($39.7 million) - The Matrix Reloaded (2003)
¥1.08 billion ($9.0 million), -19%, ¥3.62 billion ($30.1 million) - Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire (2005)
¥1.05 billion ($9.7 million), -06%, ¥3.43 billion ($31.6 million) - Aladdin (2019) *Estimate*
¥1.04 billion ($10.8 million), -14%, ¥3.33 billion ($33.8 million) - Rookies (2009)
¥1.02 billion ($10.9 million), -22%, ¥3.54 billion ($37.7 million) - Alice in Wonderland (2010)
¥1.02 billion ($9.1 million), -20%, ¥3.60 billion ($31.7 million) - The Da Vinci Code (2006)
¥975 million ($8.7 million), -02%, ¥4.24 billion ($34.6 million) - Spirited Away (2001)
¥941 million ($7.6 million), +11%, ¥4.36 billion ($35.0 million) - Jurassic World (2015)
¥936 million ($7.9 million), -25%, ¥3.18 billion ($26.9 million) - Bayside Shakedown: Save the Rainbow Bridge! (2003)
¥886 million ($8.0 million), -39%, ¥3.59 billion ($32.3 million) - Detective Conan: The Fist of Blue Sapphire (2019)
¥872 million ($8.6 million), +13%, ¥3.01 billion ($29.6 million) - Frozen (2014)
¥860 million ($8.0 million), -04%, ¥2.49 billion ($23.1 million) - Finding Nemo (2003)
¥820 million ($7.6 million), -37%, ¥3.23 billion ($30.0 million) - Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer (2018)
¥820 million ($7.1 million), -19%, ¥2.98 billion ($25.8 million) - Hero (2007)
¥814 million ($7.3 million), -62%, ¥4.07 billion ($36.1 million) - Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith (2005)
¥811 million ($8.3 million), -16%, ¥2.85 billion ($29.2 million) - The Wind Rises (2013)
¥810 million ($7.5 million), -48%, ¥3.43 billion ($30.8 million) - The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King (2004)
¥806 million ($7.6 million), -22%, ¥3.23 billion ($30.5 million) - Ponyo (2008)
¥757 million ($6.8 million), -38%, ¥3.56 billion ($31.6 million) - Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (2018)
¥756 million ($7.1 million), -25%, ¥2.62 billion ($25.0 million) - Boys Over Flowers: Final (2008)
¥748 million ($6.8 million), -42%, ¥2.76 billion ($25.1 million) - Detective Conan: Crimson Love Letter (2017)
¥744 million ($6.6 million), -13%, ¥2.89 billion ($25.6 million) - Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald (2018)
¥740 million ($6.5 million), -29%, ¥2.62 billion ($23.2 million) - Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales (2017)
¥728 million ($8.2 million), -26%, ¥2.37 billion ($27.3 million) - Toy Story 3 (2010)
¥726 million ($6.0 million), -42%, ¥3.84 billion ($31.8 million) - Star Wars: The Force Awakens (2015)
¥708 million ($6.3 million), -27%, ¥2.35 billion ($21.8 million) - Umizaru: The Limit of Love (2006)
¥705 million ($6.1 million), -63%, ¥3.75 billion ($32.4 million) - Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest (2006)
¥704 million ($8.6 million), -48%, ¥2.86 billion ($34.7 million) - One Piece Film Z (2012)
¥704 million ($6.6 million), -17%, ¥1.71 billion ($16.0 million) - Doraemon: Nobita's Treasure Island (2018)
¥703 million ($7.2 million), -17%, ¥2.49 billion ($25.4 million) - Monsters University (2013)
¥701 million ($6.9 million), -09%, ¥3.27 billion ($32.1 million) - Stand By Me, Doraemon (2014)

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”


Sun Jun 16, 2019 4:26 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Actuals (06/15-16)
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Weekend Actuals (06/15-16)
01 (01) ¥1,097,069,100 ($10.1 million), -02%, ¥3,582,957,700 ($33.0 million), Aladdin (Disney) WK2
02 (---) ¥275,000,000 ($2.5 million), 0, ¥365,556,200 ($3.3 million), Men in Black International (Sony) NEW
03 (02) ¥211,085,100 ($1.9 million), -44%, ¥2,211,821,700 ($20.5 million), Godzilla: King of the Monsters (Toho) WK3
04 (---) ¥146,019,260 ($1.3 million), 0, ¥146,019,260 ($1.3 million), Girls und Panzer: Finale - Chapter 2 (Showgate) NEW
05 (03) ¥144,372,400 ($1.3 million), -30%, ¥2,509,025,900 ($23.0 million), The Confidence Man JP (Toho) WK5
06 (---) ¥101,021,440 ($930,000), 0, ¥101,021,440 ($930,000), Rascal Does Not Dream of a Dreaming Girl (Aniplex) NEW
07 (---) ¥x75,000,000 ($690,000), 0, ¥120,000,000 ($1.1 million), Uta no Prince-sama The Movie: Maji LOVE Kingdom (Shochiku) NEW
08 (09) ¥x57,684,000 ($531,000), -12%, ¥494,277,000 ($4.5 million), Promare (Toho) WK4
09 (04) x¥56,433,000 ($520,000), -32%, ¥241,129,200 ($2.2 million), Sea Beast Children (Toho Video Division) WK2
10 (06) ¥x53,306,000 ($491,000), -33%, ¥5,471,938,400 ($49.3 million), Kingdom (Toho/Sony) WK9
11 (05) ¥x47,564,500 ($438,000), -42%, ¥1,049,358,000 ($9.6 million), Aircraft Carrier Ibuki (Kino Films) WK4
12 (07) ¥x46,189,200 ($425,000), -41%, ¥2,879,794,700 ($26.4 million), Pokemon: Detective Pikachu (Toho) WK7


>Aladdin claimed the #1 spot in spectacular fashion once again, selling a further 757,217 admissions, achieving an incredible second weekend hold to become only the fourteenth film to achieve a second weekend above the ¥1 billion milestone. It earned itself the 9th-Biggest Second Weekend of All-Time. So far, Aladdin is performing very similarly to its studio predecessors, Beauty and the Beast and Alice in Wonderland, and has a good shot at reaching the ¥10 billion ($90 million) milestone.

>Men in Black International debuts in second place to a disappointing result. The fourth film in the popular(?) franchise sold 188,000 admissions over the weekend frame across 732 screens. It sold 256,633 admissions since opening on Friday. This debut is 52% below Men in Black III, and since I expect legs to be worse, it could potentially finish 60% below its predecessor. Expect a disappointing finish around ¥1.5 billion (~$15 million).

>Girls und Panzer: Finale - Chapter 2 did very well, selling an impressive 118,587 admissions over the weekend on just 60 screens. This opening is actually 3% above Chapter 1, which is pretty rare for sequels in multi-part finale series'. It's very hard to project totals for nigh-exclusive fanbase, or otaku, anime films since they can have fan events/giveaways throughout their run which provide big boosts, and while ¥1 billion (~$10 million) won't be easy to reach, it certainly could do it.

>Rascal Does Not Dream of a Dreaming Girl might just be the most impressive performance at the box-office this weekend. The limited release anime film managed to break the ¥100 million mark over the weekend on just 31 screens. And while that's an incredible feat, it sold through an astonishing 87% of its available tickets over the weekend, selling 66,630. As I mentioned yesterday, it's not uncommon for limited release anime films to sell the majority of their available tickets, but an 87% is incredible.

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”


Mon Jun 17, 2019 8:14 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Top Opening Weekends: 2019
2019 - Top Opening Weekends
Gross ¥ ($) / Admissions [Screen Count] - Film (Distributor)

¥1.464 billion ($13.1 million) / 1,144,539 [403] - Detective Conan: The Fist of Blue Sapphire (Toho)
¥1.122 billion ($10.3 million) / 766,000 [842] - Aladdin (Disney)

¥1 billion ↨
¥962.0 million ($8.7 million) / 628,000 [806] - Avengers: Endgame (Disney)
¥812.7 million ($7.2 million) / 639,000 [467] - Dragon Ball Super: Broly (Toei)
¥695.7 million ($6.2 million) / 586,000 [382] - Doraemon: Nobita's Chronicle of Moon Exploration (Toho)
¥676.9 million ($6.3 million) / 479,000 [431] - Godzilla: King of the Monsters (Toho)
¥633.3 million ($5.8 million) / 484,000 [349] - Masquerade Hotel (Toho)
¥526.0 million ($4.7 million) / 382,000 [388] - Kingdom (Toho/Sony)

¥500 million ↨
¥490.5 million ($4.5 million) / 276,795 [131] - Fate/stay night: Heaven's Feel II - Lost Butterfly (Aniplex)
¥456.9 million ($4.1 million) / 317,000 [417] - Pokemon: Detective Pikachu (Toho)
¥453.6 million ($4.1 million) / 350,373 [468] - Ralph Breaks the Internet (Disney)
¥426.6 million ($3.8 million) / 279,000 [754] - Captain Marvel (Disney)
¥389.0 million ($3.5 million) / 313,000 [332] - Kamen Rider Heisei Generations FOREVER (Toei)
¥385.6 million ($3.5 million) / 284,000 [324] - The Confidence Man JP (Toho)
¥334.3 million ($3.0 million) / 260,000 [329] - The Seven Conferences (Toho)
¥314.3 million ($2.8 million) / 210,000 [692] - Aquaman (Warner Bros.)

¥300 million ↨
¥289.0 million ($2.6 million) / 242,000 [356] - Crayon Shin-chan: Hurricane Honeymoon, The Lost Hiroshi (Toho)
¥275.0 million ($2.5 million) / 188,000 [732] - Men in Black International (Sony)
¥267.5 million ($2.4 million) / 206,636 [343] - 12 Suicidal Teens (Warner Bros.)
¥259.0 million ($2.3 million) / 191,000 [319] - Tonde Saitama (Toei)
¥257.1 million ($2.3 million) / 179,780 [251] - City Hunter: Shinjuku Private Eyes (Aniplex)
¥251.4 million ($2.2 million) / 222,930 [368] - Yo-Kai Watch: Forever Friends (Toho)
¥248.3 million ($2.2 million) / 221,579 [230] - Precure Miracle Universe (Toei)
¥247.6 million ($2.2 million) / 152,000 [880] - Alita: Battle Angel (Fox)
¥246.3 million ($2.2 million) / 194,000 [331] - Aircraft Carrier Ibuki (Kino Films)
¥221.5 million ($2.0 million) / 180,000 [387] - The Grinch (Toho-Towa)
¥217.2 million ($1.9 million) / 140,000 [120] - Code Geass: Lelouch of the Rebellion (Shochiku)
¥201.5 million ($1.8 million) / 154,000 [180] - Green Book (Gaga)

¥200 million ↨
¥199.2 million ($1.8 million) / 150,927 [326] - Snow Flowers (Warner Bros.)
¥188.4 million ($1.7 million) / 141,000 [302] - Fortuna's Eye (Toho)
¥186.2 million ($1.7 million) / 139,000 [654] - Mary Poppins Returns (Disney)
¥185.5 million ($1.7 million) / 144,000 [598] - Dumbo (Disney)
¥185.0 million ($1.7 million) / 140,000 [396] - A Star is Born (Warner Bros.)
¥172.5 million ($1.6 million) / 120,000 [724] - Bumblebee (Toho-Towa)
¥167.0 million ($1.5 million) / 115,000 [723] - Shazam! (Warner Bros.)
¥163.8 million ($1.5 million) / 118,000 [416] - Sadako (Kadokawa)
¥161.3 million ($1.4 million) / 142,046 [439] - The Nutcracker and the Four Realms (Disney)
¥160.1 million ($1.4 million) / x98,074 [337] - Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse (Sony)
¥152.4 million ($1.4 million) / 120,000 [207] - My Girlfriend is a Mage (Nikkei)
¥146.1 million ($1.3 million) / 116,000 [238] - The Mule (Warner Bros.)
¥146.0 million ($1.3 million) / 118,587 [x60] - Girls und Panzer: Finale - Chapter 2 (Shochiku)
¥142.6 million ($1.3 million) / 118,000 [299] - You Shine in Moonlight (Toho)
¥142.5 million ($1.3 million) / 112,000 [316] - Parallel Love Story (Shochiku)
¥137.0 million ($1.2 million) / 101,000 [331] - It Comes (Toho)
¥121.7 million ($1.1 million) / x86,286 [111] - Touken Ranbu: The Movie (Toho Video Division)
¥121.5 million ($1.1 million) / x88,000 [434] - First Man (Toho-Towa)
¥120.5 million ($1.0 million) / x89,919 [x89] - Mobile Suit Gundam NT (Shochiku)
¥101.0 million ($0.9 million) / x66,630 [x31] - Rascal Does Not Dream of a Dreaming Girl (Aniplex)

¥100 million ↑

Legend:
¥1 billion+ (Exemplary) / ¥500 million+ (Great) / ¥300 million+ (Good) / ¥200 million+ (Acceptable) / ¥100 million+ (Mediocre)

_________________
Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”


Mon Jun 17, 2019 8:14 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Top Grossing Films: 2019
2019 - Top Grossing Films
Gross ¥ ($) / Admissions [Days In Release] - Film (Distributor)

¥10 billion ↨
¥8.99 billion ($82.1 million) / 7.04 million [66] - Detective Conan: The Fist of Blue Sapphire (Toho)
¥6.56 billion ($58.6 million) / 4.92 million [E] - Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald (Warner Bros.)
¥5.98 billion ($54.2 million) / 4.08 million [52] - Avengers: Endgame (Disney)
¥5.47 billion ($49.3 million) / 4.11 million [59] - Kingdom (Toho/Sony)

¥5 billion ↨
¥4.97 billion ($45.2 million) / 4.34 million [E] - Doraemon: Nobita's Chronicle of Moon Exploration (Toho)
¥4.60 billion ($41.9 million) / 3.57 million [E] - Masquerade Hotel (Toho)
¥3.90 billion ($35.2 million) / 3.01 million [E] - Dragon Ball Super: Broly (Toei)
¥3.80 billion ($34.6 million) / 3.06 million [E] - Ralph Breaks the Internet (Disney)
¥3.69 billion ($33.4 million) / 2.86 million [E] - Tonde Saitama (Toei)
¥3.58 billion ($33.0 million) / 2.49 million [10] - Aladdin (Disney)

¥3 billion ↨
¥2.88 billion ($26.4 million) / 2.02 million [45] - Pokemon: Detective Pikachu (Toho)
¥2.51 billion ($23.0 million) / 1.92 million [31] - The Confidence Man JP (Toho)
¥2.21 billion ($20.5 million) / 1.51 million [17] - Godzilla: King of the Monsters (Toho)
¥2.12 billion ($19.2 million) / 1.70 million [E] - The Seven Conferences (Toho)
¥2.06 billion ($18.7 million) / 1.41 million [E] - Captain Marvel (Disney)
¥2.04 billion ($18.4 million) / 1.62 million [E] - Green Book (Gaga)
¥2.03 billion ($18.4 million) / 1.73 million [59] - Crayon Shin-chan: Hurricane Honeymoon, The Lost Hiroshi (Toho)

¥2 billion ↨
¥1.67 billion ($15.0 million) / 1.07 million [F] - Fate/stay night: Heaven's Feel II - Lost Butterfly (Aniplex)
¥1.63 billion ($14.7 million) / 1.11 million [E] - Aquaman (Warner Bros.)
¥1.55 billion ($13.9 million) / 1.27 million [E] - Kamen Rider Heisei Generations FOREVER (Toei)
¥1.52 billion ($13.7 million) / 1.20 million [E] - 12 Suicidal Teens (Warner Bros.)
¥1.50 billion ($13.6 million) / 1.03 million [E] - City Hunter: Shinjuku Private Eyes (Aniplex)
¥1.43 billion ($13.0 million) / 1.07 million [E] - A Star is Born (Warner Bros.)
¥1.34 billion ($12.0 million) / 1.05 million [E] - Fortuna's Eye (Toho)
¥1.27 billion ($11.5 million) / 1.04 million [E] - The Grinch (Toho-Towa)
¥1.21 billion ($11.1 million) / 1.09 million [E] - Yo-Kai Watch: Forever Friends (Toho)
¥1.12 billion ($10.0 million) / 0.86 million [E] - Mary Poppins Returns (Disney)
¥1.11 billion ($10.0 million) / 0.71 million [E] - Love Live! The School Idol Movie - Over the Rainbow (Shochiku)
¥1.06 billion ($9.7 million) / 0.83 million [E] - A Banana? At This Time of Night? (Shochiku)
¥1.05 billion ($9.6 million) / 0.85 million [24] - Aircraft Carrier Ibuki (Kino Films)
¥1.05 billion ($9.4 million) / 0.84 million [E] - Snow Flower (Warner Bros.)
¥1.04 billion ($9.4 million) / 0.89 million [E] - You Shine in Moonlight (Toho)
¥1.01 billion ($9.1 million) / 0.70 million [E] - Code Geass: Lelouch of the Rebellion (Shochiku)

¥1 billion ↑

Legend:
¥10 billion+ (Uber-Blockbuster) / ¥5 billion+ (Blockbuster) / ¥3 billion+ (Hit) / ¥2 billion+ (Respectable) / ¥1 billion+ (Commercial Success)

_________________
Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”


Mon Jun 17, 2019 8:15 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: 2019 Weekend #1 Films
2019 - Weekend #1 Films

01/05-06: ¥335.8 million ($3.1 million) - Bohemian Rhapsody (Fox) WK9
01/12-13: ¥490.5 million ($4.5 million) - Fate/stay night: Heaven's Feel II - Lost Butterfly (Aniplex)
01/19-20: ¥633.3 million ($5.8 million) - Masquerade Hotel (Toho) WK1
01/26-27: ¥477.9 million ($4.4 million) - Masquerade Hotel (Toho) WK2
02/02-03: ¥334.3 million ($3.0 million) - The Seven Conferences (Toho) WK1
02/09-10: ¥314.3 million ($2.8 million) - Aquaman (Warner Bros.) WK1
02/16-17: ¥195.9 million ($1.8 million) - Aquaman (Warner Bros.) WK2
02/23-24: ¥259.0 million ($2.3 million) - Tonde Saitama (Toei) WK1
03/02-03: ¥695.7 million ($6.2 million) - Doraemon: Nobita's Chronicle of Moon Exploration (Toho) WK1
03/09-10: ¥612.0 million ($5.5 million) - Doraemon: Nobita's Chronicle of Moon Exploration (Toho) WK2
03/16-17: ¥437.7 million ($3.9 million) - Doraemon: Nobita's Chronicle of Moon Exploration (Toho) WK3
03/23-24: ¥310.7 million ($2.8 million) - Doraemon: Nobita's Chronicle of Moon Exploration (Toho) WK4
03/30-31: ¥323.8 million ($2.9 million) - Doraemon: Nobita's Chronicle of Moon Exploration (Toho) WK5
04/06-07: ¥174.7 million ($1.6 million) - Doraemon: Nobita's Chronicle of Moon Exploration (Toho) WK6
04/13-14: ¥1.464 billion ($13.1 million) - Detective Conan: The Fist of Blue Sapphire (Toho) WK1
04/20-21: ¥886.1 million ($8.0 million) - Detective Conan: The Fist of Blue Sapphire (Toho) WK2
04/27-28: ¥962.0 million ($8.7 million) - Avengers: Endgame (Disney) WK1
05/04-05: ¥587.1 million ($5.3 million) - Detective Conan: The Fist of Blue Sapphire (Toho) WK4
05/11-12: ¥315.9 million ($2.9 million) - Avengers: Endgame (Disney) WK3
05/18-19: ¥385.6 million ($3.5 million) - The Confidence Man JP (Toho) WK1
05/25-26: ¥351.0 million ($3.2 million) - The Confidence Man JP (Toho) WK2
06/01-02: ¥676.9 million ($6.3 million) - Godzilla: King of the Monsters (Toho) WK1
06/08-09: ¥1.122 billion ($10.3 million) - Aladdin (Disney) WK1
06/15-16: ¥1.097 billion ($10.1 million) - Aladdin (Disney) WK2


Legend:
¥1 billion+ (Exemplary) / ¥500 million+ (Great) / ¥300 million+ (Good) / ¥200 million+ (Acceptable) / ¥100 million+ (Mediocre)

_________________
Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”


Mon Jun 17, 2019 8:18 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Biggest Second Weekends
Biggest Second Weekends/Two Week Totals (2000-):
¥1.57 billion ($12.2 million), +02%, ¥4.66 billion ($36.9 million) - Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone (2001)
¥1.39 billion ($11.3 million), -31%, ¥4.56 billion ($37.7 million) - Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets (2002)
¥1.26 billion ($11.6 million), -35%, ¥4.19 billion ($38.5 million) - Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban (2004)
¥1.25 billion ($11.7 million), -16%, ¥4.75 billion ($44.5 million) - Howl's Moving Castle (2004)
¥1.17 billion ($9.6 million), -21%, ¥4.39 billion ($36.2 million) - Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End (2007)
¥1.16 billion ($11.2 million), +25%, ¥3.87 billion ($37.6 million) - Your Name. (2016)
¥1.12 billion ($10.0 million), +05%, ¥3.65 billion ($32.7 million) - Beauty and the Beast (2017)
¥1.11 billion ($13.8 million), -08%, ¥3.61 billion ($44.4 million) - Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides (2011)
¥1.10 billion ($10.1 million), -02%, ¥3.58 billion ($33.0 million) - Aladdin (2019)
¥1.09 billion ($9.3 million), -50%, ¥4.68 billion ($39.7 million) - The Matrix Reloaded (2003)
¥1.08 billion ($9.0 million), -19%, ¥3.62 billion ($30.1 million) - Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire (2005)
¥1.04 billion ($10.8 million), -14%, ¥3.33 billion ($33.8 million) - Rookies (2009)
¥1.02 billion ($10.9 million), -22%, ¥3.54 billion ($37.7 million) - Alice in Wonderland (2010)
¥1.02 billion ($9.1 million), -20%, ¥3.60 billion ($31.7 million) - The Da Vinci Code (2006)
¥975 million ($8.7 million), -02%, ¥4.24 billion ($34.6 million) - Spirited Away (2001)
¥941 million ($7.6 million), +11%, ¥4.36 billion ($35.0 million) - Jurassic World (2015)
¥936 million ($7.9 million), -25%, ¥3.18 billion ($26.9 million) - Bayside Shakedown: Save the Rainbow Bridge! (2003)
¥886 million ($8.0 million), -39%, ¥3.59 billion ($32.3 million) - Detective Conan: The Fist of Blue Sapphire (2019)
¥872 million ($8.6 million), +13%, ¥3.01 billion ($29.6 million) - Frozen (2014)
¥860 million ($8.0 million), -04%, ¥2.49 billion ($23.1 million) - Finding Nemo (2003)
¥820 million ($7.6 million), -37%, ¥3.23 billion ($30.0 million) - Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer (2018)
¥820 million ($7.1 million), -19%, ¥2.98 billion ($25.8 million) - Hero (2007)
¥814 million ($7.3 million), -62%, ¥4.07 billion ($36.1 million) - Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith (2005)
¥811 million ($8.3 million), -16%, ¥2.85 billion ($29.2 million) - The Wind Rises (2013)
¥810 million ($7.5 million), -48%, ¥3.43 billion ($30.8 million) - The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King (2004)
¥806 million ($7.6 million), -22%, ¥3.23 billion ($30.5 million) - Ponyo (2008)
¥757 million ($6.8 million), -38%, ¥3.56 billion ($31.6 million) - Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (2018)
¥756 million ($7.1 million), -25%, ¥2.62 billion ($25.0 million) - Boys Over Flowers: Final (2008)
¥748 million ($6.8 million), -42%, ¥2.76 billion ($25.1 million) - Detective Conan: Crimson Love Letter (2017)
¥744 million ($6.6 million), -13%, ¥2.89 billion ($25.6 million) - Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald (2018)
¥740 million ($6.5 million), -29%, ¥2.62 billion ($23.2 million) - Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales (2017)
¥728 million ($8.2 million), -26%, ¥2.37 billion ($27.3 million) - Toy Story 3 (2010)
¥726 million ($6.0 million), -42%, ¥3.84 billion ($31.8 million) - Star Wars: The Force Awakens (2015)
¥708 million ($6.3 million), -27%, ¥2.35 billion ($21.8 million) - Umizaru: The Limit of Love (2006)
¥705 million ($6.1 million), -63%, ¥3.75 billion ($32.4 million) - Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest (2006)
¥704 million ($8.6 million), -48%, ¥2.86 billion ($34.7 million) - One Piece Film Z (2012)
¥704 million ($6.6 million), -17%, ¥1.71 billion ($16.0 million) - Doraemon: Nobita's Treasure Island (2018)
¥703 million ($7.2 million), -17%, ¥2.49 billion ($25.4 million) - Monsters University (2013)
¥701 million ($6.9 million), -09%, ¥3.27 billion ($32.1 million) - Stand By Me, Doraemon (2014)

_________________
Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”


Mon Jun 17, 2019 8:19 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Actuals; Charts Updated! (06/1
Too funny that POTC4 has the biggest 2nd weekend in USD.


Tue Jun 18, 2019 11:36 am
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Actuals; Charts Updated! (06/1
On a different note, Spirited Away has just been theatrically released in China and reception is excellent so far. So Miyazaki's masterpiece could retake the WW anime crown it seems.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_h ... nime_films

1 Your Name $358,924,129 2016
2 Spirited Away $331,368,351 2001
3 Howl's Moving Castle $235,184,110 2004


Wed Jun 19, 2019 1:38 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Actuals; Charts Updated! (06/1
Keep me/us updated on how it performs in China. I read that it was finally getting a theatrical release in China, as more and more Japanese (animated) films continue to be, so great news all around.

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Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”


Wed Jun 19, 2019 9:31 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Actuals; Charts Updated! (06/1
Since Spirited away is getting released in China i tried to look into what are it's worldwide box office numbers.. And I found 3 numbers.. 331 million $ (Wikipedia and some other cites), 289 million $ (a lot of articles, variety, ghibli page) and 277 million $ (Boxofficemojo)

So here is the problem, Boxofficemojo has SA at 277 mil with a 229 mil in Japan.. But almost everywhere i search (and in Japanese box office websites) the domestic Japanese box office is at 30.8 billion Yen

30.8 billion yen is ~283 mil dollars with today's exchange rates . If you consider Boxofficemojo getting the non Japan numbers right (49 million) then Spirited away sits at 283 + 49 = 332 million? Which explains the Wikipedia number

But of course it was 2001, so looking through dollar-yen values in 2001 through the months of SA's run the exchange rate never went anywhere close to where it needed to be to make 30.8 billion yen worth 229 million dollars like Boxofficemojo has it..

In fact 30.8 billion yen were around 240-255 million dollars in 2001-2002 taking the average and top exchange rates for the 13 weeks SA stayed in the cinemas and at the end of its run.. so even then it's ~240-255+49=~289-304 million. This kinda lines up with the 290 million $ I found in many articles

Whats the right number? How much did Spirited away make in Japan in dollars?

(Also Boxofficemojo also has Your Name making more money in Japan than Spirit Away which is contradictory with almost every Japanese and English list I saw in either currency or with even the highest 2001 exchange rates)


Thu Jun 20, 2019 11:46 am
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