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i.hope
Defeats all expectations
Joined: Fri May 26, 2006 5:04 pm Posts: 6665
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Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2019 - Charts on Page #3
moviegeek151 wrote: And Rocketman just got slapped with an R-rating which would chop my prediction down by about half. Ugh.
I'm more interested now. It should still do $100m+.
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Wed May 08, 2019 3:13 am |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
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Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2019 - Charts on Page #3
moviegeek151 wrote: And Rocketman just got slapped with an R-rating which would chop my prediction down by about half. Ugh. Yeah. People did not go see A Star Is Born with an R rating. I figured it would be "R." The filmmakers had no intention of editing it even though apparently the studio wanted them to. Advanced WOM is great so reviews will really help. Trailer has been showing with every movie since it released. No way it's not a 100+ grosser. With your prediction half would be 58.5. Do you really think it will do 60 or below just because it's rated R?
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Wed May 08, 2019 2:36 pm |
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moviegeek151
Child Actor
Joined: Fri Apr 26, 2013 9:28 pm Posts: 38
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Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2019 - Charts on Page #3
Maybe I'm just the only person who thinks the movie looks way too light and goofy to be taken seriously by the adult R-rated crowd that came out for Star is Born. Plus October is a very different time to release a prestige-y, R-rated drama than the heat of summer.
I could be wrong (and it'd work out nicely with my prediction if I was!)
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Wed May 08, 2019 5:52 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
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Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2019 - Charts on Page #3
It definitely doesn't seem like a serious drama. Does seem more fun. Makes me think of Great Gatsby in a way.
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Thu May 09, 2019 1:19 am |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20344 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2019 - Charts on Page #3
Magic Mike wrote: It definitely doesn't seem like a serious drama. Does seem more fun. Makes me think of Great Gatsby in a way. I feel like Elton John is a Katy Perry/Bruno Mars type of pop star where their songs are hits because people like the songs, not because of the artist. I think Queen is closer to a Taylor Swift where people are huge fans and devour anything by them. I think this will make a big difference because technically Elton John had far more chart success than Queen ever did, but doesn't seem any better remembered.
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Thu May 09, 2019 10:53 am |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm Posts: 63026 Location: Tonight... YOU!
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Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2019 - Charts on Page #3
That's a peak zwackerm post.
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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Thu May 09, 2019 11:23 am |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
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Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2019 - Charts on Page #3
They're absolute morons if they don't change the release date for Child's Play. Hell Christmas would be a better date. At least it takes place around Christmas and they can play up that angle. Annabelle is going to kill it. It was always going to but with that moving up to Wednesday it won't even have an entire week before that opens. If it doesn't move though I'm just happy to have the lowest prediction.
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Fri May 10, 2019 10:06 am |
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Proud Ryu
Deshi Basara
Joined: Thu Sep 27, 2007 3:36 pm Posts: 5322 Location: The Interstice
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Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2019 - Charts on Page #3
There's definitely something hilarious about 2 different killer doll movies, both deep into a franchise nonetheless, coming out less than a week apart, lol.
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Fri May 10, 2019 11:20 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67039
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Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2019 - Charts on Page #3
So a lot of those Top 5's will be wrong because of Pikachu. Me, David, and stuffp are still in it! WTF happened with BK? He's usually fairly pessimistic with trash movies but he put it as the #2 choice!!!
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Sat May 11, 2019 5:39 am |
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BK
Forum General
Joined: Sun May 13, 2007 8:30 am Posts: 7041
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Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2019 - Charts on Page #3
I was banking on a repeat of Transformers 07. I guess Pokemon really can't expand its fanbase even with the crazy amounts of people who played Pokemon Go even for a little bit. Thought the trailer would be enough to convince them but it looks like it really didn't work. I really have no idea why. Anyway, I'm kinda annoyed that Poms and the Hustle bombed so badly as well this weekend. Like honestly WTF haha. It seems like these types of movies - whenever I think there's no way they do well in some of these games, then they get that average gross. And when I predict some generic average gross that these flicks normally get, $30-40m etc. they bomb to hell. Come on. Uglydolls too, I think I may still get points, but not sure how other crappy looking animated flicks of yesteryear or even something like Wonder Park, grosses that much and then this one tanks. They both look equally bad.
_________________ Calls Ghost Rider + Clash of the Titans = 2x Wrath of the Titans + Ghost Rider 2 Lorax over Despicable Me Men in Black 3 Under 100m Madagascar 3 Under 100m Rise of the Guardians over 250m
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Sat May 11, 2019 12:05 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67039
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Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2019 - Charts on Page #3
Pokemon GO was a fad. Anybody should've been able to see it. And it wasn't because of Pokemon. It was because of the nature of the game. It could've just as easily been Transformers GO or Doraemon GO if they'd got in first. The same as Pokemon cards. That was also a fad.
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Sat May 11, 2019 8:24 pm |
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MGKC
---------
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm Posts: 11808 Location: Kansas City, Kansas
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Weekly Ranking for May 12Total Gross ProjectionsAvengers: Endgame - $900 million The Intruder - $32 million Uglydolls - $22 million Detective Pikachu - $150 million The Hustle - $35 million Poms - $13 million Current Top 51. Avengers: Endgame - $723.5 million 2. Detective Pikachu - $58.0 million 3. The Intruder - $21.0 million 4. Uglydolls - $14.3 million 5. The Hustle - $13.5 million Current Answers to Box Office Questions#1: Which will gross more in total - Avengers: Endgame's 3-day opening weekend or the total gross of Aladdin? - Avengers: Endgame's 3-day opening weekend ($357.1 million)
#2: Which will gross more in total - the family combo of Detective Pikachu, Dora and the Lost City of Gold, and Uglydolls or the adult combo of Child's Play, Hobbs & Shaw, The Intruder, Ma, and Shaft? - The family combo of Detective Pikachu, Dora and the Lost City of Gold (currently $72.3 million)
#4: Which sequel will fall the most from its predecessor (%-wise) - The Angry Birds 2, Annabelle Comes Home, Avengers: Endgame, A Dog's Journey, John Wick: Chapter 3, Men in Black International, The Secret Life of Pets 2, Spider-Man: Far From Home, or Toy Story 4? - Avengers: Endgame (+6.6%)
#5: Which sequel will gross the closest to its predecessor (%-wise) - Glass, Happy Death Day 2U, How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World, or The LEGO Movie 2? - Avengers: Endgame (+6.6%)
#6: What will be the highest grossing film to not hit #1 on any of its weekends? - Detective Pikachu (currently $58.0 million)
#7: What movie will lose the largest number of theaters in its 3rd weekend? #8: How many films will gross over $100 million? #9: How many films will gross over $200 million? #10: What will be the highest grossing film not predicted in the total gross section (including the backup films)? - Long Shot (currently $19.7 million)
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Sun May 12, 2019 9:20 pm |
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BK
Forum General
Joined: Sun May 13, 2007 8:30 am Posts: 7041
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Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2019 - Points Update: May
Algren wrote: Pokemon GO was a fad. Anybody should've been able to see it. And it wasn't because of Pokemon. It was because of the nature of the game. It could've just as easily been Transformers GO or Doraemon GO if they'd got in first. The same as Pokemon cards. That was also a fad. Nah, you needed a base of characters for it to work. Pokemon had at least 151 that many people knew to get it started. Nostalgia etc. Jurassic Park tried it but that game is minuscule in comparison. Transformers and Doraemon? Like I said before, I doubt 90% of the audience for TF knew about the characters and the majority of those even now don't know them aside from Optimus Prime and Bumblebee. I don't even know if Doraemon has characters besides the titular character. Hard for you to say what's a fad or not because it feels like you underpredict across the board even more than I used to do.
_________________ Calls Ghost Rider + Clash of the Titans = 2x Wrath of the Titans + Ghost Rider 2 Lorax over Despicable Me Men in Black 3 Under 100m Madagascar 3 Under 100m Rise of the Guardians over 250m
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Tue May 21, 2019 3:16 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67039
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Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2019 - Points Update: May
Fads have nothing to do with predictions. Hindsight can tell you what was a fad or not.
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Tue May 21, 2019 3:22 am |
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MGKC
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Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm Posts: 11808 Location: Kansas City, Kansas
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Weekly Ranking for May 26Total Gross ProjectionsAvengers: Endgame - $840 million The Intruder - $36 million Uglydolls - $19.5 million Detective Pikachu - $144 million The Hustle - $36 million Poms - $13.8 million A Dog's Journey - $21 million John Wick: Chapter 3 - Parabellum - $138 million Aladdin - $275 million Booksmart - $18 million Brightburn - $22 million Current Top 51. Avengers: Endgame - $798.6 million 2. Detective Pikachu - $116.2 million 3. John Wick: Chapter 3 - Parabellum - $101.2 million 4. Aladdin - $90.4 million 5. The Intruder - $32.0 million Current Answers to Box Office Questions#1: Which will gross more in total - Avengers: Endgame's 3-day opening weekend or the total gross of Aladdin? - Avengers: Endgame's 3-day opening weekend ($357.1 million)
#2: Which will gross more in total - the family combo of Detective Pikachu, Dora and the Lost City of Gold, and Uglydolls or the adult combo of Child's Play, Hobbs & Shaw, The Intruder, Ma, and Shaft? - The family combo of Detective Pikachu, Dora and the Lost City of Gold, and Uglydolls (currently $135.0 million)
#4: Which sequel will fall the most from its predecessor (%-wise) - The Angry Birds 2, Annabelle Comes Home, Avengers: Endgame, A Dog's Journey, John Wick: Chapter 3, Men in Black International, The Secret Life of Pets 2, Spider-Man: Far From Home, or Toy Story 4? #5: Which sequel will gross the closest to its predecessor (%-wise) - The Angry Birds 2, Annabelle Comes Home, Avengers: Endgame, A Dog's Journey, John Wick: Chapter 3, Men in Black International, The Secret Life of Pets 2, Spider-Man: Far From Home, or Toy Story 4? - John Wick: Chapter 3 (+10.0%)
#6: What will be the highest grossing film to not hit #1 on any of its weekends? - Detective Pikachu (currently $116.2 million)
#7: What movie will lose the largest number of theaters in its 3rd weekend? #8: How many films will gross over $100 million? - Three (Avengers: Endgame, Detective Pikachu, John Wick: Chapter 3)
#9: How many films will gross over $200 million? #10: What will be the highest grossing film not predicted in the total gross section (including the backup films)? - Long Shot (currently $28.8 million)
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Mon May 27, 2019 5:35 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67039
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Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2019 - Points Update: May
I was #1 last week? hmm. weird
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Mon May 27, 2019 10:34 pm |
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MGKC
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Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm Posts: 11808 Location: Kansas City, Kansas
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Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2019 - Points Update: May
Algren wrote: I was #1 last week? hmm. weird No I'm sorry- I have you and Price reversed for last week's position.
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Tue May 28, 2019 12:04 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67039
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Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2019 - Points Update: May
Ah I see. Damn, Price really screwed up.
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Tue May 28, 2019 12:09 am |
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Price
Gamaur's sex slave
Joined: Tue Dec 20, 2005 7:15 pm Posts: 8889 Location: Los Pollos Hermanos
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Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2019 - Points Update: May
Algren wrote: Ah I see. Damn, Price really screwed up. Hey! I didn't screw up! It's those idiots that went to see certain movies and didn't go to others that did.
_________________
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Tue May 28, 2019 11:27 am |
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nghtvsn
Extraordinary
Joined: Fri Mar 11, 2005 7:13 pm Posts: 11015 Location: Warren Theatre Oklahoma
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Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2019 - Points Update: May
lol Lots of bad predictions by me
_________________ 2009 World of KJ Fantasy Football World Champion Team MVP : Peyton Manning : Record 11-5 : Points 2669.00 [b]FREE KORRGAN 45TH PRESIDENT OF THE U.S.A. DONALD J. TRUMP #MAGA #KAG! 10,000 post achieved on - Posted: Wed May 16, 2018 7:49 pm
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Thu May 30, 2019 12:43 pm |
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MGKC
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Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm Posts: 11808 Location: Kansas City, Kansas
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Weekly Ranking for June 2Total Gross ProjectionsAvengers: Endgame - $840 million The Intruder - $36 million Uglydolls - $19.9 million Detective Pikachu - $145 million The Hustle - $35 million Poms - $13.8 million A Dog's Journey - $20 million John Wick: Chapter 3 - Parabellum - $150 million Aladdin - $275 million Booksmart - $18 million Brightburn - $17 million Godzilla: King of the Monsters - $115 million Ma - $56 million Rocketman - $90 million Current Top 51. Avengers: Endgame - $815.5 million 2. Aladdin - $185.0 million 3. Detective Pikachu - $130.6 million 4. John Wick: Chapter 3 - Parabellum - $125.8 million 5. Godzilla: King of the Monsters - $49.0 million Current Answers to Box Office Questions#1: Which will gross more in total - Avengers: Endgame's 3-day opening weekend or the total gross of Aladdin? - Avengers: Endgame's 3-day opening weekend ($357.1 million)
#2: Which will gross more in total - the family combo of Detective Pikachu, Dora and the Lost City of Gold, and Uglydolls or the adult combo of Child's Play, Hobbs & Shaw, The Intruder, Ma, and Shaft? - The family combo of Detective Pikachu, Dora and the Lost City of Gold, and Uglydolls (currently $150.2 million)
#4: Which sequel will fall the most from its predecessor (%-wise) - The Angry Birds 2, Annabelle Comes Home, Avengers: Endgame, A Dog's Journey, John Wick: Chapter 3, Men in Black International, The Secret Life of Pets 2, Spider-Man: Far From Home, or Toy Story 4? #5: Which sequel will gross the closest to its predecessor (%-wise) - The Angry Birds 2, Annabelle Comes Home, Avengers: Endgame, A Dog's Journey, John Wick: Chapter 3, Men in Black International, The Secret Life of Pets 2, Spider-Man: Far From Home, or Toy Story 4? - Avengers: Endgame (+20.1%)
#6: What will be the highest grossing film to not hit #1 on any of its weekends? - Detective Pikachu (currently $130.6 million)
#7: What movie will lose the largest number of theaters in its 3rd weekend? - The Sun is Also a Star (-1,978 theaters)
#8: How many films will gross over $100 million? - Four (Avengers: Endgame, Detective Pikachu, John Wick: Chapter 3, Aladdin)
#9: How many films will gross over $200 million? #10: What will be the highest grossing film not predicted in the total gross section (including the backup films)? - Long Shot (currently $29.9 million)
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Sun Jun 02, 2019 3:52 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18876 Location: San Diego
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Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2019 - Points Update: Jun
Damn lol
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Sun Jun 02, 2019 4:10 pm |
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nghtvsn
Extraordinary
Joined: Fri Mar 11, 2005 7:13 pm Posts: 11015 Location: Warren Theatre Oklahoma
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Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2019 - Points Update: Jun
I can't believe that even mid range films can't even get anywhere near 40 million let alone 50. Hustle, Dog's Journey. Shaft is probably gonna tank at 35. Child's Play and Dora probably gonna tank too.
_________________ 2009 World of KJ Fantasy Football World Champion Team MVP : Peyton Manning : Record 11-5 : Points 2669.00 [b]FREE KORRGAN 45TH PRESIDENT OF THE U.S.A. DONALD J. TRUMP #MAGA #KAG! 10,000 post achieved on - Posted: Wed May 16, 2018 7:49 pm
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Mon Jun 03, 2019 12:46 pm |
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SolC9
Forum General
Joined: Fri Jun 24, 2005 11:11 pm Posts: 7172 Location: Wisconsin
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Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2019 - Points Update: Jun
Looks like the top 4 will be some combination of Avengers, Lion King, Toy Story, and Spiderman (my guess is that order). 5th place will likely be SLOP2 or Aladdin. I'm rooting for a top 5 spoiler though. Hobbs & Shaw could break out to near 300m and take 5th.
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Mon Jun 03, 2019 1:02 pm |
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BK
Forum General
Joined: Sun May 13, 2007 8:30 am Posts: 7041
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Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2019 - Points Update: Jun
Luckily I'm still getting points for Godzilla even though I revised my prediction upwards.
Trailer didn't look too bad, but no one asked for a sequel + bad reception.
Really sad that Avengers sputtered out so badly. Yeah, it's not like my new dom #1 was a safe prediction, but it could've been a lot closer to SW than Avatar.
_________________ Calls Ghost Rider + Clash of the Titans = 2x Wrath of the Titans + Ghost Rider 2 Lorax over Despicable Me Men in Black 3 Under 100m Madagascar 3 Under 100m Rise of the Guardians over 250m
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Mon Jun 03, 2019 10:38 pm |
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