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 Japan Box Office: Weekend Actuals; Charts Updated! (07/15) 
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Estimates (12/22-23, 24)
R136a1 wrote:
Corpse wrote:
This would be a nice 30-35% increase over the original film, but this would also become Walt Disney Animation's fourth-consecutive decrease in the market (Frozen > Big Hero 6 > Zootopia > Moana > Ralph 2).


It's a good thing they have Frozen 2 coming out next. I wonder how high that can go. I'm guessing ¥10 billion is locked?


There's not really much to compare it to, so it's a definitely wait and see situation.

Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets is the only sequel to a predecessor that earned ¥20 billion+ (even ¥15 billion+), unsurprisingly given how rare that milestone is to achieve (only 5 films on that list), but I don't think it's a good example whatsoever. For what it's worth, it dropped 15%.

Other than that, the only other "examples" are films released by Miyazaki or Cameron that followed their ¥20 billion+ films.

Princess Mononoke made close to ¥20 billion, so if we use that, Spirited Away experienced a 57.5% increase...but, I don't think we can draw any comparison here for many reasons. Howl's Moving Castle followed and dropped 35%, which is probably(?) a better example. And then you had Avatar follow Titanic, and it dropped 40%. Following such massive phenomena has proved to equal in huge results at the box office, but it's incredibly difficult to replicate the same level of success. Again, there's not really any film that has done so.

Frozen 2 is in the same situation as Weathering With You (Shinkai's next film) next year, both following two of the Top 4 films of all-time. Both films will no doubt be the most interesting to watch next year.

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Mon Dec 24, 2018 4:17 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Estimates (12/22-23, 24)
Looks like for the weekend it made ¥420 million with 321,000 tickets sold.



Tue Dec 25, 2018 2:16 am
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Estimates (12/22-23, 24)
That's correct.

About a third of weekend figures are available now, so I should have the weekend actuals up this evening. The weekend estimates were quite close on everything so far.

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Tue Dec 25, 2018 10:37 am
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Actuals (12/22-23)
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(C)2018 Disney. All Rights Reserved.

Weekend Actuals (12/22-23+24)
01 (---) ¥453,635,600 ($4.1 million), 0, ¥796,135,400 ($7.2 million), Ralph Breaks the Internet (Disney) NEW
02 (01) ¥419,225,100 ($3.8 million), -48%, ¥2,037,801,100 ($18.2 million), Dragon Ball Super: Broly (Toei) WK2
03 (02) ¥389,076,700 ($3.5 million), -10%, ¥6,444,324,080 ($57.0 million), Bohemian Rhapsody (Fox) WK7
04 (---) ¥389,000,000 ($3.5 million), 0, ¥516,651,800 ($4.6 million), Kamen Rider Heisei Generations FOREVER (Toei) NEW
05 (03) ¥229,084,200 ($2.1 million), -31%, ¥5,201,709,900 ($46.3 million), Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald (Warner Bros.) WK5
06 (---) ¥185,000,000 ($1.7 million), 0, ¥342,785,800 ($3.1 million), A Star is Born (Warner Bros.) NEW
07 (05) ¥148,921,600 ($1.3 million), -32%, ¥569,097,300 ($5.1 million), The Grinch (Toho-Towa) WK2
08 (04) ¥135,591,700 ($1.2 million), -46%, ¥512,038,400 ($4.6 million), Yo-Kai Watch: Forever Friends (Toho) WK2
09 (---) ¥x75,000,000 ($675,000), 0, ¥147,602,100 ($1.3 million), Nisekoi: False Love (Toho) NEW
10 (06) ¥x58,991,600 ($530,000), -39%, ¥586,702,000 ($5.3 million), It Comes (Toho) WK3


NOTE: Cumulative Totals as of Monday, 12/24.

>Ralph Breaks the Internet comes in 33.5% ahead of the original Wreck-It Ralph, selling 350,373 admissions over the weekend across 468 screens. And since opening on Friday, it has sold an impressive 625,699 admissions over its first four days in release.

This is a good debut, no doubt, but it also comes with potentially troubling signs: It came in above Zootopia by 1%, avoiding to become Walt Disney Animation's lowest debut since the first Wreck-It Ralph, but it's incredibly unlikely that it'll come anywhere near the legs of Zootopia which achieved one of the ten best multipliers on record. So, Ralph 2 could result in their fourth consecutive decrease in the market if it can't get past Moana. Moana grossed ¥5.17 billion, and while that mark is within reach with Ralph 2's opening, it will require a leggier performance. At the moment, I'd expect a total around ¥4.5 billion ($40 million). That's good, maybe great considering it'd be almost a 50% increase over the original, but again, probably not the downward trend Disney would want in the market.

>Dragon Ball Super: Broly fell a little higher than expected going into the weekend, but it still held slightly better than its predecessor and missed the 50% drop. Its second weekend is 10% lower than Resurrection F's, which is a percentage improvement over its opening weekend being 15% lower. But more importantly, in part due to one extra day in release, its running total is 2% ahead of its predecessor's. If it can maintain a similar run from this point forward, it stands a good chance of becoming the highest grossing film in the Dragon Ball franchise, aiming to reach ¥3.75 billion (about $35 million).

>Bohemian Rhapsody declines for a second week, but still achieved an incredible weekend hold, earning itself a seventh weekend greater than its opening weekend, second weekend and third weekends... It has begun to show a slight hint of perhaps slowing down, or at least drop back down to its first week earnings..., but it'll receive a huge boost over New Year's next week. I see no obstacles on its path toward the ¥10 billion ($90 million) milestone.

>Kamen Rider Heisei Generations FOREVER, the 61st theatrical release in the long-running franchise, delivered what I believe is the second or third biggest debut in franchise history, at least in the past 20 years or so, selling 313,000 admissions over the weekend frame on 332 screens. And after its first three days in release, it sold an impressive 422,433 admissions. This franchise is one of the most frontloaded in the market, but it should finish near ¥1.5 billion (about $15 million), a very impressive total for an entry in the series.

>Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald is still performing very well, although it now has fallen a bit behind the original after tracking very closely (even ahead at a couple points) for over a month. It's still probably on track to reach the ¥7 billion (about $65 million) milestone, but I can see it falling just short. But even if it misses that mark, it'll still finish with a similar total as Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows - Part 1 (¥6.86 billion), and finish within 10% of Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them. And that's an impressive achievement given how it dropped off in nearly every other market.

>A Star is Born hasn't had its actual weekend figure itself released yet (so the number above is an estimate), but its total as of Monday was released (above). It sold 249,669 admissions over its first four days in release across 396 screens. The film got off to a fairly slow start, though, but I wouldn't rule out a respectable total just yet since it's certainly the type of film that could spawn great/excellent legs over New Year. I'd expect a total near ¥2 billion ($15-20 million). I believe this film would have benefited a bit more with a Spring release like most Oscar bait receive in the market, during/following the award season.

>Nisekoi: False Love hasn't had its weekend figure released yet either, just its four day total (121,709 admissions), but it's a pretty big bomb. It wasn't expected to be a hit or anything, but it earned in its four days in release what it should have grossed over just the weekend frame itself.
Not a good close to the year for Toho, but their first 9/10 months were so strong, they didn't really need a breakout this month.

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Tue Dec 25, 2018 9:38 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Top Grossing Films: 2018
2018 - Top Grossing Films
Gross ¥ ($) / Admissions [Days In Release] - Film (Distributor)

¥10 billion ↨
¥9.23 billion ($83.1 million) / 7.18 million [E] - Code Blue (Toho)
¥9.18 billion ($83.6 million) / 6.88 million [F] - Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer (Toho)
¥8.06 billion ($72.2 million) / 5.53 million [E] - Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (Toho-Towa)
¥7.50 billion ($66.2 million) / 5.05 million [F] - Star Wars: The Last Jedi (Disney)
¥6.44 billion ($57.0 million) / 4.68 million [46] - Bohemian Rhapsody (Fox)
¥5.37 billion ($50.0 million) / 4.68 million [F] - Doraemon: Nobita's Treasure Island (Toho)
¥5.21 billion ($48.4 million) / 3.73 million [F] - The Greatest Showman (Fox)
¥5.20 billion ($46.3 million) / 3.70 million [32] - Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald (Warner Bros.)

¥5 billion ↨
¥4.93 billion ($46.0 million) / 3.93 million [E] - Coco (Disney)
¥4.83 billion ($43.7 million) / 4.02 million [E] - Incredibles 2 (Disney)
¥4.68 billion ($42.2 million) / 3.39 million [E] - Mission: Impossible - Fallout (Toho-Towa)
¥4.53 billion ($40.9 million) / 3.67 million [F] - Shoplifters (Gaga)
¥3.73 billion ($34.0 million) / 2.50 million [F] - Avengers: Infinity War (Disney)
¥3.66 billion ($32.8 million) / 2.83 million [F] - Gintama 2 (Warner Bros.)
¥3.43 billion ($31.8 million) / 2.93 million [F] - The Boss Baby (Toho-Towa)
¥3.21 billion ($28.6 million) / 2.54 million [F] - Destiny: The Tale of Kakamura (Toho)
¥3.06 billion ($27.5 million) / 2.19 million [E] - One Cut of the Dead (Asmik Ace)
¥3.00 billion ($27.2 million) / 2.64 million [E] - Pokemon: Everyone's Story (Toho)

¥3 billion ↨
¥2.90 billion ($26.1 million) / 2.30 million [E] - Killing for the Prosecutors (Toho)
¥2.82 billion ($25.7 million) / 2.24 million [E] - Mirai of the Future (Toho)
¥2.80 billion ($25.0 million) / 2.23 million [F] - The 8-Year Engagement (Shochiku)
¥2.50 billion ($22.8 million) / 1.53 million [E] - Ready Player One (Warner Bros.)
¥2.41 billion ($21.3 million) / 1.81 million [E] - Christopher Robin (Disney)
¥2.15 billion ($19.1 million) / 1.49 million [E] - Venom (Sony)
¥2.09 billion ($18.9 million) / 1.50 million [E] - Solo: A Star Wars Story (Disney)
¥2.04 billion ($18.2 million) / 1.82 million [F] - Yo-Kai Watch: Shadowside - Resurrection of the Demon King (Toho)

¥2 billion ↨
¥1.88 billion ($16.7 million) / 1.43 million [53] - Stolen Identity (Toho)
¥1.83 billion ($16.6 million) / 1.55 million [F] - Crayon Shin-chan: Kung-Fu Boys Ramen Rebellion (Toho)
¥1.78 billion ($16.2 million) / 1.18 million [E] - Deadpool 2 (Fox)
¥1.73 billion ($16.1 million) / 1.47 million [F] - Chihayafuru: Conclusion (Toho)
¥1.70 billion ($15.5 million) / 1.40 million [F] - Legend of the Demon Cat (Toho/Kadokawa)
¥1.70 billion ($15.3 million) / 1.22 million [F] - Kingsman: The Golden Circle (Fox)
¥1.70 billion ($15.2 million) / 1.36 million [E] - Recall (Shochiku)
¥1.64 billion ($14.8 million) / 1.25 million [E] - Ocean's 8 (Warner Bros.)
¥1.62 billion ($14.5 million) / 1.28 million [F] - Murder on the Orient Express (Fox)
¥1.60 billion ($14.5 million) / 1.29 million [E] - My Hero Academia: Two Heroes (Toho)
¥1.59 billion ($14.5 million) / 1.27 million [F] - The Crimes That Bind (Toho)
¥1.55 billion ($14.4 million) / 1.03 million [F] - Black Panther (Disney)
¥1.48 billion ($13.0 million) / 0.98 million [E] - The Meg (Warner Bros.)
¥1.45 billion ($12.9 million) / 1.14 million [E] - Café Funiculi Funicula (Toho)
¥1.38 billion ($12.4 million) / 1.06 million [F] - Laplace's Witch (Toho)
¥1.28 billion ($11.4 million) / 0.90 million [E] - Ant-Man and the Wasp (Disney)
¥1.26 billion ($11.3 million) / 1.06 million [E] - Kamen Hensei Generations FINAL: Build & Ex-Aid With Legend Riders (Toei)
¥1.23 billion ($11.2 million) / 0.90 million [E] - Geostorm (Warner Bros.)
¥1.21 billion ($11.0 million) / 0.97 million [E] - 50 First Kisses (Sony)
¥1.21 billion ($11.0 million) / 0.83 million [E] - Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle (Sony)
¥1.20 billion ($11.0 million) / 0.97 million [E] - Sakura: Guardian in the North (Toei)
¥1.18 billion ($10.7 million) / 1.00 million [E] - Sensei Kunshu (Toho)
¥1.12 billion ($10.0 million) / 0.87 million [E] - Fullmetal Alchemist (Warner Bros.)
¥1.12 billion ($9.9 million) / 0.96 million [E] - Hugtto! Pretty Cure: All Star Memories (Toei)
¥1.11 billion ($9.9 million) / 0.89 million [E] - Peter Rabbit (Sony)
¥1.11 billion ($9.8 million) / 0.88 million [E] - Every Day, A Good Day (Tokyo Theaters, Co.)
¥1.01 billion ($9.5 million) / 0.79 million [E] - Tonight, at the Movies (Warner Bros.)
¥1.00 billion ($9.1 million) / 0.84 million [E] - Kamen Rider Build: Be the One (Toei)

¥1 billion ↑

Legend:
¥10 billion+ (Uber-Blockbuster) / ¥5 billion+ (Blockbuster) / ¥3 billion+ (Hit) / ¥2 billion+ (Respectable) / ¥1 billion+ (Commercial Success)

Note: Since Bohemian Rhapsody and Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald have earned more than 50% of their earnings after December 1st, they'll almost certainly be considered 2019 released by Eiren (Motion Pictures Producers Association of Japan) given the box office year (Dec. 01-Nov. 30) rules and regulations. But for now, I'm keeping them on the 2018 charts until it's official.

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Tue Dec 25, 2018 9:39 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Top Opening Weekends: 2019
2019 - Top Opening Weekends
Gross ¥ ($) / Admissions [Screen Count] - Film (Distributor)

¥1 billion ↨
¥812.7 million ($7.2 million) / 639,000 [467] - Dragon Ball Super: Broly (Toei)
¥500 million ↨
¥453.6 million ($4.1 million) / 350,373 [468] - Ralph Breaks the Internet (Disney)
¥389.0 million ($3.5 million) / 313,000 [332] - Kamen Rider Heisei Generations FOREVER (Toei)

¥300 million ↨
¥251.4 million ($2.2 million) / 222,930 [368] - Yo-Kai Watch: Forever Friends (Toho)
¥221.5 million ($2.0 million) / 180,000 [387] - The Grinch (Toho-Towa)

¥200 million ↨
¥185.0 million ($1.7 million) / 140,000 [396] - A Star is Born (Warner Bros.) *Est.*
¥161.3 million ($1.4 million) / 142,046 [439] - The Nutcracker and the Four Realms (Disney)
¥137.0 million ($1.2 million) / 101,000 [331] - It Comes (Toho)
¥120.5 million ($1.0 million) / x89,919 [x89] - Mobile Suit Gundam NT (Shochiku)

¥100 million ↑

Legend:
¥1 billion+ (Exemplary) / ¥500 million+ (Great) / ¥300 million+ (Good) / ¥200 million+ (Acceptable) / ¥100 million+ (Mediocre)

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Tue Dec 25, 2018 9:39 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Actuals (12/22-23)
Corpse wrote:

>Kamen Rider Heisei Generations FOREVER, the 61st theatrical release in the long-running franchise, delivered what I believe is the second or third biggest debut in franchise history, at least in the past 20 years or so, selling 313,000 admissions over the weekend frame on 332 screens. And after its first three days in release, it sold an impressive 422,433 admissions. This franchise is one of the most frontloaded in the market, but it should finish near ¥1.5 billion (about $15 million), a very impressive total for an entry in the series.


I'm so glad for Heisei Generations FOREVER :wub2:
According your list here it will be fourth biggest opening
viewtopic.php?f=12&t=55322&start=9425

Japanese public really love Takeru Satoh isn't it? Or may be there is the other reason that film receive so many since 2012?


Wed Dec 26, 2018 3:44 am
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Top Grossing Films: 2018
Corpse wrote:
Note: Since Bohemian Rhapsody and Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald have earned more than 50% of their earnings after December 1st, they'll almost certainly be considered 2019 released by Eiren (Motion Pictures Producers Association of Japan) given the box office year (Dec. 01-Nov. 30) rules and regulations. But for now, I'm keeping them on the 2018 charts until it's official.


I was hoping to see Bohemian Rhapsody jump over Code Blue to win the year but forgot about this strange rule. I'm guessing it will still be Top 3 in 2019 though.


Wed Dec 26, 2018 2:44 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Actuals (12/22-23)
Freida wrote:
Corpse wrote:

>Kamen Rider Heisei Generations FOREVER, the 61st theatrical release in the long-running franchise, delivered what I believe is the second or third biggest debut in franchise history, at least in the past 20 years or so, selling 313,000 admissions over the weekend frame on 332 screens. And after its first three days in release, it sold an impressive 422,433 admissions. This franchise is one of the most frontloaded in the market, but it should finish near ¥1.5 billion (about $15 million), a very impressive total for an entry in the series.


I'm so glad for Heisei Generations FOREVER :wub2:
According your list here it will be fourth biggest opening
viewtopic.php?f=12&t=55322&start=9425

Japanese public really love Takeru Satoh isn't it? Or may be there is the other reason that film receive so many since 2012?


Yes, fourth biggest, thanks for checking that and reminding me that I finally got around to making an opening weekend list for the Kamen Rider franchise last year. I'll update the list in my next post to include the new film. :thumbsup:

Takeru Sotah is pretty popular, yes. He's not a reliable draw in every film he stars in, but his films perform consistently well. Are you asking if he's a (or the) reason for the new Kamen Rider film opened so well? I wouldn't go that far, but he probably brought in some extra fans. This was the last Kamen Rider film in the Heisei era (the Emperor is abdicating the throne in April), so that likely boosted it in its debut considering it opened over his birthday weekend.

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Wed Dec 26, 2018 7:05 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Kamen Rider Opening Weekends
Biggest Opening Weekends - Kamen Rider Theatrical Franchise (1971-)

¥477.4 million ($5.0 million) - Kamen Rider Decade the Movie: All Riders Vs. Great Shocker (2009)
¥452.6 million ($5.2 million) - Kamen Rider × Kamen Rider W & Decade: Movie War 2010 (2009)
¥410.0 million ($5.0 million) - Kamen Rider × Super Sentai: Super Hero Taisen (2012)
¥389.0 million ($3.5 million) - Kamen Rider Heisei Generations FOREVER (2018)
¥378.4 million ($4.8 million) - Kamen Rider × Kamen Rider Fourze & OOO: Movie War Mega Max (2011)
¥370.1 million ($4.4 million) - Kamen Rider × Kamen Rider OOO & W Featuring Skull: Movie War Core (2010)
¥369.7 million ($3.1 million) - Kamen Rider 555: Paradise Lost (2003)
¥359.2 million ($3.2 million) - Kamen Rider Heisei Generations FINAL: Build & Ex-Aid with Legend Riders (2017)
¥349.5 million ($4.5 million) - Kamen Rider OOO Wonderful: The Shogun and the 21 Core Medals (2011)
¥331.1 million ($3.8 million) - Kamen Rider W Forever: A to Z/The Gaia Memories of Fate (2010)
¥321.8 million ($2.6 million) - Kamen Rider Ryuki: Episode Final (2002)
¥304.8 million ($3.6 million) - OOO, Den-O, All Riders: Let's Go Kamen Riders (2011)


I'll include admissions to this list at a later date.

Note: This list only includes the biggest opening weekends for the 46 Heisei era theatrical releases (1992-2018). It's very difficult (maybe impossible) to find opening weekend data for the 14 Showa era theatrical releases (1971-1989).

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Wed Dec 26, 2018 7:11 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Actuals; Charts Updated! (12/2
Corpse if you are going to looking Kamen Rider data can you please looking for total gross of each Heisei film?
At least top 10 so I can argue with folks in internet :whistle:


Thu Dec 27, 2018 2:05 am
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Actuals; Charts Updated! (12/2
There's a community that debates the Kamen Rider film franchise? I know it's a very long-running, and well known series, but always felt it was very, very niche outside of Japan.

I'll have some free time to work on it bit by bit over the next week or two.

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Thu Dec 27, 2018 10:26 am
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Pre-New Year's Week Daily Estimates (2
Pre-New Year's Week Daily Estimates (12/24-28)

Monday (12/24): Emperor's Day Observance*
¥247 million ($2.2 million), 0, ¥796 million ($7.2 million), Ralph Breaks the Internet (Day 4)
¥219 million ($2.0 million), +134%, ¥6.44 billion ($57.0 million), Bohemian Rhapsody (Day 46)
¥169 million ($1.5 million), +122%, ¥2.04 billion ($18.2 million), Dragon Ball Super: Broly (Day 11)
¥127 million ($1.1 million), 0, ¥516 million ($4.6 million), Kamen Rider Heisei Generations FOREVER (Day 3)
¥119 million ($1.1 million), +152%, ¥5.20 billion ($46.3 million), Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald (Day 32)
¥x97 million ($873,000), 0, ¥342 million ($3.1 million), A Star is Born (Day 4)
¥x68 million ($612,000), +861%, ¥512 million ($4.6 million), Yo-Kai Watch: Forever Friends (Day 11)
¥x51 million ($459,000), +336%, ¥569 million ($5.1 million), The Grinch (Day 11)
¥x43 million ($387,000), 0, ¥147 million ($1.3 million), Nisekoi: False Love (Day 4)
¥x30 million ($270,000), +61%, ¥586 million ($5.3 million), It Comes (Day 18)


Tuesday (12/25): Christmas Day
¥128 million ($1.2 million), 0, ¥924 million ($8.4 million), Ralph Breaks the Internet (Day 5)
¥x80 million ($720,000), +13%, ¥6.52 billion ($57.7 million), Bohemian Rhapsody (Day 47)
¥x73 million ($657,000), +34%, ¥2.11 billion ($18.9 million), Dragon Ball Super: Broly (Day 12)
¥x61 million ($549,000), +56%, ¥5.26 billion ($46.8 million), Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald (Day 33)
¥x50 million ($450,000), +207%, ¥619 million ($5.6 million), The Grinch (Day 12)
¥x45 million ($405,000), 0, ¥561 million ($5.0 million), Kamen Rider Heisei Generations FOREVER (Day 4)
¥x42 million ($378,000), 0, ¥384 million ($3.5 million), A Star is Born (Day 5)
¥x32 million ($288,000), +535%, ¥544 million ($4.9 million), Yo-Kai Watch: Forever Friends (Day 12)
¥x25 million ($225,000), 0, ¥172 million ($1.5 million), Nisekoi: False Love (Day 5)
¥x19 million ($170,000), +43%, ¥605 million ($5.5 million), It Comes (Day 19)


Wednesday (12/26): Ladies' Day
¥156 million ($1.4 million), 0, ¥1.08 billion ($9.8 million), Ralph Breaks the Internet (Day 6)
¥101 million ($909,000), -13%, ¥6.62 billion ($58.6 million), Bohemian Rhapsody (Day 48)
¥x88 million ($792,000), +40%, ¥2.20 billion ($19.7 million), Dragon Ball Super: Broly (Day 13)
¥x64 million ($576,000), +04%, ¥5.33 billion ($47.4 million), Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald (Day 34)
¥x59 million ($531,000), +115%, ¥678 million ($6.1 million), The Grinch (Day 13)
¥x53 million ($477,000), 0, ¥614 million ($5.5 million), Kamen Rider Heisei Generations FOREVER (Day 5)
¥x51 million ($459,000), +502%, ¥595 million ($5.4 million), Yo-Kai Watch: Forever Friends (Day 13)
¥x49 million ($441,000), 0, ¥433 million ($3.9 million), A Star is Born (Day 6)
¥x24 million ($216,000), 0, ¥196 million ($1.7 million), Nisekoi: False Love (Day 6)
¥x15 million ($135,000), -19%, ¥620 million ($5.6 million), It Comes (Day 20)


Thursday (12/27)
¥124 million ($1.1 million), 0, ¥1.20 billion ($10.9 million), Ralph Breaks the Internet (Day 7)
¥x80 million ($720,000), -02%, ¥6.70 billion ($59.3 million), Bohemian Rhapsody (Day 49)
¥x78 million ($702,000), +50%, ¥2.28 billion ($20.4 million), Dragon Ball Super: Broly (Day 14)
¥x51 million ($459,000), +16%, ¥5.38 billion ($47.9 million), Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald (Day 35)
¥x45 million ($405,000), +118%, ¥723 million ($6.5 million), The Grinch (Day 14)
¥x42 million ($378,000), 0, ¥658 million ($5.9 million), Kamen Rider Heisei Generations FOREVER (Day 6)
¥x41 million ($369,000), +406%, ¥636 million ($5.8 million), Yo-Kai Watch: Forever Friends (Day 14)
¥x35 million ($315,000), 0, ¥468 million ($4.2 million), A Star is Born (Day 7)
¥x21 million ($189,000), 0, ¥217 million ($1.9 million), Nisekoi: False Love (Day 7)
¥x14 million ($126,000), -02%, ¥634 million ($5.7 million), It Comes (Day 21)


*Monday's dailies are mostly actuals (A Star is Born and Nisekoi: False Love are still estimates).
% changes versus same day last week.


Note: During the pre-New Year's Week, or Christmas Week is you like, films targeting children and families benefit the most. Films that target an adult audience receive a slight boost, but are mostly unaffected since they still have work to attend. Then, during the actual New Year's Week, adult films see a substantial boost since their audience have some work-free days. Children/Family films do well during New Year's Week, too, but it's a more subdued boost.

Christmas Week = Stronger for Family/Children films.
New Year's Week = Stronger for Adult films.

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Thu Dec 27, 2018 1:31 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Actuals; Charts Updated! (12/2
Corpse wrote:
There's a community that debates the Kamen Rider film franchise? I know it's a very long-running, and well known series, but always felt it was very, very niche outside of Japan.

Yes, we are very niche but we exist.
When Shirakura, current Kamen rider show producer, told in his twitter that he don't believe that there are Kamen Rider fanbase in West, that twit was flowed by English comments.
https://twitter.com/cron204/status/1051 ... 09728?s=19

Corpse wrote:
I'll have some free time to work on it bit by bit over the next week or two.

Thank you, I'm very grateful for all your work you do so we can know about Japanese box office.


Fri Dec 28, 2018 10:07 am
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Angels & Demons

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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Pre-New Year's Week Daily Ests. (12/24
So what will the drops be like this weekend? Better than last?


Fri Dec 28, 2018 1:06 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Pre-New Year's Week Daily Ests. (12/24
Probably slightly stronger. But the last weekend of December mostly behaves like a regular weekend. The biggest days this holiday season will be Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday next week. Each one of them could rival this upcoming weekend.

And next weekend will be very strong, and should see some increases across the board.

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Fri Dec 28, 2018 5:25 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Pre-New Year's Week Daily Estimates (2
Pre-New Year's Week Daily Estimates (12/24-28)

Monday (12/24) through Thursday (12/27)
Spoiler: show
Monday (12/24): Emperor's Day Observance*
¥247 million ($2.2 million), 0, ¥796 million ($7.2 million), Ralph Breaks the Internet (Day 4)
¥219 million ($2.0 million), +134%, ¥6.44 billion ($57.0 million), Bohemian Rhapsody (Day 46)
¥169 million ($1.5 million), +122%, ¥2.04 billion ($18.2 million), Dragon Ball Super: Broly (Day 11)
¥127 million ($1.1 million), 0, ¥516 million ($4.6 million), Kamen Rider Heisei Generations FOREVER (Day 3)
¥119 million ($1.1 million), +152%, ¥5.20 billion ($46.3 million), Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald (Day 32)
¥x97 million ($873,000), 0, ¥342 million ($3.1 million), A Star is Born (Day 4)
¥x68 million ($612,000), +861%, ¥512 million ($4.6 million), Yo-Kai Watch: Forever Friends (Day 11)
¥x51 million ($459,000), +336%, ¥569 million ($5.1 million), The Grinch (Day 11)
¥x43 million ($387,000), 0, ¥147 million ($1.3 million), Nisekoi: False Love (Day 4)
¥x30 million ($270,000), +61%, ¥586 million ($5.3 million), It Comes (Day 18)


Tuesday (12/25): Christmas Day
¥128 million ($1.2 million), 0, ¥924 million ($8.4 million), Ralph Breaks the Internet (Day 5)
¥x80 million ($720,000), +13%, ¥6.52 billion ($57.7 million), Bohemian Rhapsody (Day 47)
¥x73 million ($657,000), +34%, ¥2.11 billion ($18.9 million), Dragon Ball Super: Broly (Day 12)
¥x61 million ($549,000), +56%, ¥5.26 billion ($46.8 million), Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald (Day 33)
¥x50 million ($450,000), +207%, ¥619 million ($5.6 million), The Grinch (Day 12)
¥x45 million ($405,000), 0, ¥561 million ($5.0 million), Kamen Rider Heisei Generations FOREVER (Day 4)
¥x42 million ($378,000), 0, ¥384 million ($3.5 million), A Star is Born (Day 5)
¥x32 million ($288,000), +535%, ¥544 million ($4.9 million), Yo-Kai Watch: Forever Friends (Day 12)
¥x25 million ($225,000), 0, ¥172 million ($1.5 million), Nisekoi: False Love (Day 5)
¥x19 million ($170,000), +43%, ¥605 million ($5.5 million), It Comes (Day 19)


Wednesday (12/26): Ladies' Day
¥156 million ($1.4 million), 0, ¥1.08 billion ($9.8 million), Ralph Breaks the Internet (Day 6)
¥101 million ($909,000), -13%, ¥6.62 billion ($58.6 million), Bohemian Rhapsody (Day 48)
¥x88 million ($792,000), +40%, ¥2.20 billion ($19.7 million), Dragon Ball Super: Broly (Day 13)
¥x64 million ($576,000), +04%, ¥5.33 billion ($47.4 million), Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald (Day 34)
¥x59 million ($531,000), +115%, ¥678 million ($6.1 million), The Grinch (Day 13)
¥x53 million ($477,000), 0, ¥614 million ($5.5 million), Kamen Rider Heisei Generations FOREVER (Day 5)
¥x51 million ($459,000), +502%, ¥595 million ($5.4 million), Yo-Kai Watch: Forever Friends (Day 13)
¥x49 million ($441,000), 0, ¥433 million ($3.9 million), A Star is Born (Day 6)
¥x24 million ($216,000), 0, ¥196 million ($1.7 million), Nisekoi: False Love (Day 6)
¥x15 million ($135,000), -19%, ¥620 million ($5.6 million), It Comes (Day 20)


Thursday (12/27)
¥124 million ($1.1 million), 0, ¥1.20 billion ($10.9 million), Ralph Breaks the Internet (Day 7)
¥x80 million ($720,000), -02%, ¥6.70 billion ($59.3 million), Bohemian Rhapsody (Day 49)
¥x78 million ($702,000), +50%, ¥2.28 billion ($20.4 million), Dragon Ball Super: Broly (Day 14)
¥x51 million ($459,000), +16%, ¥5.38 billion ($47.9 million), Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald (Day 35)
¥x45 million ($405,000), +118%, ¥723 million ($6.5 million), The Grinch (Day 14)
¥x42 million ($378,000), 0, ¥658 million ($5.9 million), Kamen Rider Heisei Generations FOREVER (Day 6)
¥x41 million ($369,000), +406%, ¥636 million ($5.8 million), Yo-Kai Watch: Forever Friends (Day 14)
¥x35 million ($315,000), 0, ¥468 million ($4.2 million), A Star is Born (Day 7)
¥x21 million ($189,000), 0, ¥217 million ($1.9 million), Nisekoi: False Love (Day 7)
¥x14 million ($126,000), -02%, ¥634 million ($5.7 million), It Comes (Day 21)


Friday (12/28)
¥136 million ($1.2 million), +44%, ¥1.33 billion ($12.1 million), Ralph Breaks the Internet (Day 8)
¥100 million ($902,000), +36%, ¥6.80 billion ($60.2 million), Bohemian Rhapsody (Day 50)
¥x88 million ($794,000), +33%, ¥2.37 billion ($21.2 million), Dragon Ball Super: Broly (Day 15)
¥x60 million ($541,000), +48%, ¥5.44 billion ($48.4 million), Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald (Day 36)
¥x45 million ($406,000), 0, ¥703 million ($6.3 million), Kamen Rider Heisei Generations FOREVER (Day 7)
¥x45 million ($406,000), 0, ¥x45 million ($406,000), A Banana? At This Time of Night? (NEW)
¥x43 million ($387,000), +102%, ¥766 million ($6.9 million), The Grinch (Day 15)
¥x41 million ($370,000), +183%, ¥677 million ($6.2 million), Yo-Kai Watch: Forever Friends (Day 15)
¥x38 million ($342,000), -37%, ¥506 million ($4.5 million), A Star is Born (Day 8)
¥x22 million ($199,000), -28%, ¥239 million ($2.1 million), Nisekoi: False Love (Day 8)


*Monday's dailies are mostly actuals (A Star is Born and Nisekoi: False Love are still estimates).
% changes versus same day last week.


Note: During the pre-New Year's Week, or Christmas Week is you like, films targeting children and families benefit the most. Films that target an adult audience receive a slight boost, but are mostly unaffected since they still have work to attend. Then, during the actual New Year's Week, adult films see a substantial boost since their audience have some work-free days. Children/Family films do well during New Year's Week, too, but it's a more subdued boost.

Christmas Week = Stronger for Family/Children films.
New Year's Week = Stronger for Adult films.

_________________
Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Fri Dec 28, 2018 5:37 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Pre-New Year's Week Daily Ests. (12/24
Broly presales are down 33% week to week. With a similar actuals/presales multiplier as last weekend, that would mean a 24% drop in actuals for a 320 million yen weekend.


Fri Dec 28, 2018 5:40 pm
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Angels & Demons

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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Pre-New Year's Week Daily Ests. (12/24
Resurrection F was at ¥2.6 billion by its third weekend so anything above ¥230 million for Broly will keep it ahead then.

Its third weekend was ¥299 million too. I'd be pleased with anything above ¥300 million.


Fri Dec 28, 2018 5:52 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Pre-New Year's Week Daily Ests. (12/24
I'm thinking a 30% decline or so is likely for it. Just slightly better than that is needed for ¥300 million, so it's doable. I'll probably play it a bit safe and go under though in my forecast since I expect Sunday evening to be noticeably down versus last Sunday evening. Last Sunday evening was strong because when Monday is a holiday, Sunday evenings usually see a boost. This Sunday should perform like a typical Sunday.

I'll have the Weekend Forecast posted soon.

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Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Fri Dec 28, 2018 7:17 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Forecast (12/29-30)
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(C)2018 Twentieth Century Fox

Weekend Forecast (12/29-30)
01 (03) ¥342,000,000 ($3.1 million), -12%, ¥7,140,000,000 ($63.3 million), Bohemian Rhapsody (Fox) WK8
02 (01) ¥327,000,000 ($3.0 million), -28%, ¥1,660,000,000 ($15.1 million), Ralph Breaks the Internet (Disney) WK2
03 (03) ¥293,000,000 ($2.6 million), -30%, ¥2,660,000,000 ($23.8 million), Dragon Ball Super: Broly (Toei) WK3
04 (04) ¥194,000,000 ($1.8 million), -50%, ¥895,000,000 ($8.1 million), Kamen Rider Heisei Generations FOREVER (Toei) WK2
05 (05) ¥183,000,000 ($1.7 million), -20%, ¥5,625,000,000 ($50.1 million), Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald (Warner Bros.) WK6
06 (06) ¥117,000,000 ($1.1 million), -37%, ¥625,000,000 ($5.6 million), A Star is Born (Warner Bros.) WK2
07 (08) ¥109,000,000 ($985,000), -19%, ¥785,000,000 ($7.2 million), Yo-Kai Watch: Forever Friends (Toho) WK3
08 (07) ¥x97,000,000 ($875,000), -35%, ¥860,000,000 ($7.8 million), The Grinch (Toho-Towa) WK3
09 (---) ¥x80,000,000 ($675,000), 0, ¥125,000,000 ($1.3 million), A Banana? At This Time of Night? (Toho) NEW
10 (09) ¥x45,000,000 ($405,000), -40%, ¥285,000,000 ($2.5 million), Nisekoi: False Love (Toho) WK2


And we've come to it at last -- Bohemian Rhapsody is looking to reclaim the #1 spot in its eighth weekend of release, which will be its first time back on top since its second weekend. It'll be pretty close between it and the second weekend of Ralph Breaks the Internet, but it should be the slight favorite. Big Hero 6 dropped 24% in its second weekend, the last weekend of December 2014, and I'm doubtful Ralph 2 will do quite as well given the weaker reception.

>Dragon Ball Super: Broly should, more or less, keep following a similar trajectory as the previous film, Resurrection F, but should once again hold slightly better than its predecessor over the weekend. A similar, either slightly better or worse, third weekend and total after three weeks will be quite advantageous in its goal of becoming the highest grossing film in the franchise with New Year coming up next week.

>Kamen Rider Heisei Generations FOREVER will likely see the usual ~50% second weekend drop that nearly every film in the series experiences. It's possible it could approach a 55% drop after its bigger debut, but maybe the extra hype surrounding the film from fans will keep it around that 50% mark again.

>Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald continues to find success in Japan, and having already surpassed its gross in the U.K. two weeks ago in the market, it's now on track to eventually surpass its gross in China in the market, as well, to become its #1 international territory. Unlike just about every market -- major market at least -- the film will end up having a comparable gross as the original in Japan.

>A Star is Born... after a mediocre debut, and only decent set of weekdays, I was hoping it'd begin to turn things around in its second weekend ahead of New Year, but that doesn't appear likely to happen. Its reception in Japan is positive, but it's not as strong as in the U.S. and some other markets (audience scores are between 3.5-4 out of 5). I'm sure it'll do great next week during New Year, but its numbers are just too small to post anything too remarkable. And again, Warner Bros. probably should have held off on its release until the Spring.

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Fri Dec 28, 2018 7:57 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Forecast (12/29-30)
As of 12pm Broly is doing about 83% of where it was at last Saturday. Seems good so far but I suppose it'll drop.


Fri Dec 28, 2018 11:06 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Forecast (12/29-30)
Wow! Bohemian's run is insane in Japan. I believe Frozen was the last movie to have regained #1 position after so long in its run and the marketplace isn't bad either at this point.

Corpse any chance that Bohemian ends with winning 2019 given that 2018's highest movie ended up with $83m USD and ¥9.23 billion?


Sat Dec 29, 2018 12:00 am
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Forecast (12/29-30)
Broly looks to have fallen so that in the end it did 76% of last Saturday which should be around ¥138 million.

So if Sunday sees the same increase as last week of 30% then it could finish the weekend around ¥320 million.


Sat Dec 29, 2018 9:48 am
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Forecast (12/29-30)
It won't see the same increase since Monday isn't a national holiday.


Sat Dec 29, 2018 10:45 am
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