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JMorphin
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 11:58 am Posts: 1335 Location: Austin, TX
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 Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
I entered estimates using a 2.7 multiplier of Friday BOM numbers. At least half of these numbers are probably too optimistic, though, because I've noticed some movies don't even get a 2.5 multiplier on the similar 2010 weekend.
edit: changed to 2.6 multiplier, probably more realistic for most, though hopefully Star Wars stays above 90 :p
_________________ "Do or do not, there is no try."
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Sat Jan 02, 2016 5:21 pm |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm Posts: 63026 Location: Tonight... YOU!
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 Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
Actuals entered!
NEW GAME UP!
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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Tue Jan 05, 2016 1:48 pm |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm Posts: 63026 Location: Tonight... YOU!
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 Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
Not sure why BOT didn't include The Forest in their predictions. Probably because they suck.
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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Wed Jan 06, 2016 4:23 pm |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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 Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
No Scottie or Wildbill again this week. 
_________________ Making Predictions Great Again!
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Fri Jan 08, 2016 10:11 am |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm Posts: 63026 Location: Tonight... YOU!
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 Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
Rolling Thunder wrote: No Scottie or Wildbill again this week.  Not sure where Scottie went, but Wildbill looks to have transitioned over to the BOT derby. But whatever.
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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Fri Jan 08, 2016 11:08 am |
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The Scottie
King Albert!
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:04 pm Posts: 11838 Location: The Happiest City on Earth
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 Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
Chippy wrote: Rolling Thunder wrote: No Scottie or Wildbill again this week.  Not sure where Scottie went, but Wildbill looks to have transitioned over to the BOT derby. But whatever. I was in Florida. Almost, I am retiring from predicting the derby. I am putting full focus on editing film project.
_________________Visit My Youtube Account and here is what you will see.  and many more.
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Fri Jan 08, 2016 8:03 pm |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm Posts: 63026 Location: Tonight... YOU!
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 Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
I think I just won my first game in YEARS.
:swoon:
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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Mon Jan 11, 2016 4:58 pm |
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JMorphin
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 11:58 am Posts: 1335 Location: Austin, TX
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 Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
congratz Chippy! This was a tough one 
_________________ "Do or do not, there is no try."
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Mon Jan 11, 2016 8:00 pm |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm Posts: 63026 Location: Tonight... YOU!
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 Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
Predicts due tonight!
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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Thu Jan 14, 2016 5:53 pm |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm Posts: 63026 Location: Tonight... YOU!
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 Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
I did good.
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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Mon Jan 18, 2016 2:42 pm |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm Posts: 63026 Location: Tonight... YOU!
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 Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
I hope Actuals are released some time today... anyway with estimates:
1. Chippy - 93.2% 2. Barnett - 89.61% 3. JMorphin - 89.22% 4. King87698 - 88.04% 5. theBigE - 87.63% 6. lilmac - 84.99% 7. Rolling Thunder - 83.78% 8. Filup11 - 82.14% 9. Lights Camera Action - 80.7% 10. Mike - 77.12%
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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Tue Jan 19, 2016 1:42 pm |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm Posts: 63026 Location: Tonight... YOU!
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 Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
The BOT derby guy "has to research" something before declaring me the winner.
What a group they have over there.
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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Tue Jan 19, 2016 5:50 pm |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm Posts: 63026 Location: Tonight... YOU!
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 Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
Followed up a great last two weeks with a very average week this week. Disappointing. Rolling Thunder looks like the winner, pending a few films.
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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Mon Jan 25, 2016 5:29 pm |
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JMorphin
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 11:58 am Posts: 1335 Location: Austin, TX
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 Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
Congrats, Rolling Thunder! I should've played it safer with The Forest; that was the main derby killer.
_________________ "Do or do not, there is no try."
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Mon Jan 25, 2016 7:13 pm |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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 Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
JMorphin wrote: Congrats, Rolling Thunder! I should've played it safer with The Forest; that was the main derby killer. Thanks. I really blew it with Ride Along 2. Not even close.
_________________ Making Predictions Great Again!
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Mon Jan 25, 2016 7:59 pm |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm Posts: 63026 Location: Tonight... YOU!
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 Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
Final week for The Force Awakens!!!
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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Tue Feb 23, 2016 12:05 pm |
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lilmac
Veteran
Joined: Wed May 25, 2005 12:07 am Posts: 3213
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 Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
No more TFA in my Derby. *sniff*
_________________ I believe in God as I believe that the sun has risen: not only because I see it, but because by it I see everything else.
I was blind, but now I see.
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Tue Feb 23, 2016 7:21 pm |
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JMorphin
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 11:58 am Posts: 1335 Location: Austin, TX
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 Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
nooooooooo 
_________________ "Do or do not, there is no try."
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Tue Feb 23, 2016 7:24 pm |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm Posts: 63026 Location: Tonight... YOU!
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 Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
You better nail it, then!
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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Tue Feb 23, 2016 7:26 pm |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm Posts: 63026 Location: Tonight... YOU!
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 Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
Also, I didn't notice this, but I've won 3 times this year, lol.
Probably helps that we only have about a dozen players though...
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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Tue Feb 23, 2016 7:28 pm |
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lilmac
Veteran
Joined: Wed May 25, 2005 12:07 am Posts: 3213
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 Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
There doesn't seem to be any statistical difference between when I go with my gut with little thought into it and when I break out the calculator. 
_________________ I believe in God as I believe that the sun has risen: not only because I see it, but because by it I see everything else.
I was blind, but now I see.
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Thu Feb 25, 2016 9:32 am |
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lilmac
Veteran
Joined: Wed May 25, 2005 12:07 am Posts: 3213
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 Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
What indicators do you guys use for your predictions, especially the bottom half of the top ten? I keep getting reamed with the smaller grosses.
_________________ I believe in God as I believe that the sun has risen: not only because I see it, but because by it I see everything else.
I was blind, but now I see.
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Sun Apr 17, 2016 10:45 am |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm Posts: 63026 Location: Tonight... YOU!
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 Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
I try to compare previous weekends to see how smaller films dropped, trying to find a similar movie. But I don't do great on them either...
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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Mon Apr 18, 2016 9:58 am |
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lilmac
Veteran
Joined: Wed May 25, 2005 12:07 am Posts: 3213
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 Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
Chippy - I'm going to try this again and this time attempt to get a decent score on the smaller holdovers. Pray for me. #nervous.
_________________ I believe in God as I believe that the sun has risen: not only because I see it, but because by it I see everything else.
I was blind, but now I see.
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Tue Apr 19, 2016 4:12 pm |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm Posts: 63026 Location: Tonight... YOU!
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 Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
Holdover heavy week, good luck!
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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Tue Apr 19, 2016 4:17 pm |
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