Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Results (Marine Day Weekend)
Corpse wrote:
san-ni-ichi wrote:
Corpse wrote:
san-ni-ichi wrote:
So I expect the average ticket price over week 6 to be around ¥1,400~¥1,410, but it is at a high ¥1,664 suddenly?
That was a lot to quote, so I'm just leaving your question here.
Thanks for correcting the typo. It's at 1.27 million admissions (1,271,446) as of this past Sunday (121,000 over last week's 1.15 million). I just added the 121,000 admissions to the incorrect admissions figure of 1.13 million from two weeks ago. Its avg. ticket prices was very, very high this past weekend because it sold through 91% of all of its available admissions, and those tickets cost ¥2,100 due to the incentives. That greatly inflated the avg. ticket price over the past week.
Unfortunately, no admission figure was given for the weekend (the 6th weekend, which you're requesting). It did sell 84,661 tickets over its 5th weekend, however, which gave it an avg. ticket price over its 5th weekend of ¥1,463.
Bunkatsushin and public news outlets didn't report the exact number after Monday. They just reported that it exceeded ¥1.9 billion because that was final gross of the K-On! film from a couple years back, which Love Live! is often compared to.
That makes a lot more sense now! I did not know there were tickets that were around 2,100 yen over the 6th weekend.
I see, but did Bunkatsushin provide the total number of admissions as of the 35 day update here (http://www.bunkatsushin.com/news/article.aspx?id=104960), or was it the same deal as the 38 day update? Did they provide a exact number for the total admissions as of the Umi no Hi national holiday, or only a rounded off figure?
Would it be possible to also include a list of the exact number of total admissions and the weekend admission number (if they are available for a particular movie) as per each weekend, in addition to the weekend data?
Thanks for answering all my questions!
They didn't reveal an admissions total in that article either, or after Monday. Unless a specific goal or target's been achieved, admission updates are uncommon during non-weekend news. Or, they'll be rounded or updated by saying, 'exceeded X admissions'.
I usually post weekend admissions/total admissuons for everything they're available for in my Weekend Results post on Mondays. Actual weekend admissions for non-openers are rarely reported, though, only the total admissions. And even bunkatsushin can be selective in what they report.
Does this answer your questions?
Yes, thanks for answering my questions.
vinnygambini wrote:
Corpse got a source for the Pokemon numbers for the weekend?
All the usual Japanese sites I go to just state that it was number 4 and that the Idol movie reached the 2 billion yen threshold.
There's an image always accompanying the Bunkatsushin article (http://www.bunkatsushin.com/images/news/105176/1_m.jpg), although I think you need login access to view the higher resolution version, unless you can find a higher resolution version posted online somewhere. If you zoom in to that low res image, you can see the total number of admissions and the total gross as of July 26 for Pokemon XY, HERO, The Boy and the Beast, etc.
Tue Jul 28, 2015 10:19 pm
Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm Posts: 37152 Location: The Graveyard
Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Actuals; 2015 Release Schedule
Usual Locations - Saturday Seating/Showtimes (43% of Market)
#Seats [#Theaters/#Showings] - Film (Week of Release) 355,901 [135/1,135] - Attack on Titan - Part 1 (NEW) 339,459 [149/1,267] - Minions (NEW) 170,885 [146/894] - Hero 2 (Week 3) 149,301 [146/859] - The Boy and the Beast (Week 4) 135,028 [148/826] - Inside Out (Week 3) 102,172 [145/729] - Terminator: Genisys (Week 4) 93,506 [146/603] - Pokemon XY: Hoopa and the Clash of Ages (Week 3) 80,150 [146/650] - Avengers: Age of Ultron (Week 5)
In terms of seats, Attack on Titan - Part 1 is the widest opening live-action domestic film, and second widest overall live-action film of the year so far.
The series has become incredibly popular in Japan and overseas over the past couple years, and has over 52 million manga volumes in print as of last month.
The big budget live-action film adaptation will be released in two parts, Part 1 being released this weekend, and Part 2 in September. And considering how successful the series has become worldwide, you can expect to see them in theaters in the U.S and other territories, too. The film first premiered in LA two weeks ago.
Shinji Higuchi (The Sinking of Japan, The Floating Castle) is directing, and he's also one of Japan's top visual effects artists, responsible for storyboards and special effects for various Evangelion, Gamera, and Godzilla titles.
Final trailer:
Minions has many more seats than I was expecting, and is actually the second widest in terms of seats for any animated title this year, after The Boy and the Beast. It also opened today (Friday), and ticket sales are looking pretty good. Maybe it'll increase over Despicable Me 2 afterall?
It's also important to note that Saturday ticket sales will be 40% off, since it's the first of the month. That means Saturday is going to play much stronger than Sunday this weekend, and could inflate the weekend, too, especially in ticket sales.
“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.” “We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.” “There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.” “You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.” "Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
Thu Jul 30, 2015 8:30 pm
Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm Posts: 37152 Location: The Graveyard
Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Forecast (08/01-02)
Weekend Forecast (08/01-02)
01 (--) ¥625,000,000 ($5.0 million), 0, ¥625,000,000 ($5.0 million), Attack on Titan - Part 1 (Toho) NEW 02 (--) ¥520,000,000 ($4.2 million), 0, ¥700,000,000 ($5.6 million), Minions (Toho-Towa) NEW 03 (02) ¥367,000,000 ($3.0 million), +09%, ¥3,325,000,000 ($26.8 million), The Boy and the Beast (Toho) Week 4 04 (03) ¥348,000,000 ($2.8 million), +14%, ¥2,100,000,000 ($16.9 million), Inside Out (Disney) Week 3 05 (01) ¥287,000,000 ($2.3 million), -22%, ¥2,600,000,000 ($21.0 million), Hero 2 (Toho) Week 3 06 (04) ¥157,000,000 ($1.3 million), -24%, ¥2,400,000,000 ($19.4 million), Terminator: Genisys (Paramount) Week 4 07 (05) ¥154,000,000 ($1.2 million), -18%, ¥1,350,000,000 ($10.9 million), Pokemon XY: Hoopa and the Clash of Ages (Toho) Week 3 08 (06) ¥102,000,000 ($820,000), -28%, ¥2,825,000,000 ($22.8 million), Avengers: Age of Ultron (Disney) Week 5 09 (07) ¥86,000,000 ($695,000), -30%, ¥2,200,000,000 ($17.8 million), Love Live! The School Idol Movie (Shochiku) Week 8 10 (10) ¥36,000,000 ($290,000), +17%, ¥460,000,000 ($3.7 million), Shaun the Sheep Movie (Tohokushinsha) Week 5
>Attack on Titan - Part 1, the first film in the big-budget live-adaptation of the mega-popular Attack on Titan series, should receive a very strong debut this weekend ahead of next week's Obon Festival.
The critically acclaimed and hugely successful series has become a major brand in Japan and worldwide, and recently reached 52 million manga volumes in print in just 6 year's time.
Directed by special effects maestro, Shinji Higuchi, and starring Haruma Miura as Eren Jaeger and Kiko Mizuhara as Mikasa, the two-part film is expected to post impressive results at the box office, and Part 1 should take the weekend, though it's going to have some fairly unexpected competition from the smallest of opposition...
>Minions had a surprisingly, though, perhaps - not-so-surprisingly, strong opening day yesterday that could have been near ¥200 million ($1.6 million). It's Summer and everything, so good Friday opening days aren't uncommon this time of year, but this is still very, very good, especially for an animated film.
Saturday's pre-sales are also strong, and in fact, they're higher than most animated films this year. However, it's very important to note that Saturday is the first of the month with tickets are 40% off, so admissions are going to be inflated for the day.
Even after taking this into consideration, though, I believe there's a good chance that the film could hit 400,000+ admissions over the weekend frame and possibly earn north of ¥500 million. If it misses, it'll be by a close margin. I'll have to do some research, but if this happens, I think it'll achieve the biggest opening weekend for an important non-Disney/Pixar film ever. I'm almost 100% certain that Dreamworks never had an animated release open above ¥500 million.
>As for the holdovers, with it being the first of the month today, expect some great holds and possible/likely increases for the animated and younger skewing films. I'm predicting both The Boy and the Beast and Inside Out to overtake Hero 2 for the weekend, too.
“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.” “We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.” “There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.” “You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.” "Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
Fri Jul 31, 2015 8:08 pm
vinnygambini
Child Actor
Joined: Sat Jul 11, 2015 3:18 am Posts: 31
Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Forecast (Titans and Minions)
Wow. I'm truly surprised by Minions performance - though the marketing for them have been on point.
You are expecting a decline for Pokemon even though tickets are off 40% for Saturday?
Too much competition for a solid holdover?
Fri Jul 31, 2015 8:49 pm
Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67043
Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Forecast (Titans and Minions)
Corpse, what kind of total are we looking at for Terminator Genisys and Minions? What would be your expert opinion based on the data available?
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Fri Jul 31, 2015 8:55 pm
Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm Posts: 37152 Location: The Graveyard
Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Forecast (Titans and Minions)
vinnygambini wrote:
Wow. I'm truly surprised by Minions performance - though the marketing for them have been on point.
You are expecting a decline for Pokemon even though tickets are off 40% for Saturday?
Too much competition for a solid holdover?
Unfortunately its advance ticket sales are down almost double digits compared to last Saturday, despite it being the first of the month. Whereas The Boy and the Beast, Inside Out, and Shaun the Sheep more than doubled their advance ticket sales from last Saturday.
Algren wrote:
Corpse, what kind of total are we looking at for Terminator Genisys and Minions? What would be your expert opinion based on the data available?
¥3.1-3.3 billion ($25-28 million) for Terminator Genisys
It's too early to project a total for Minions. If it opened around my prediction, then it'd likely reach ¥3.5 billion (~$30 million), if not ¥4 billion ($32/33 million). That'd set a record for a non-Disney/Pixar imported animated release, I think (again, I'll do research on this subject over the weekend).
“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.” “We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.” “There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.” “You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.” "Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
Fri Jul 31, 2015 9:07 pm
Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67043
Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Forecast (Titans and Minions)
Nice. Thanks
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Fri Jul 31, 2015 9:13 pm
Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm Posts: 37152 Location: The Graveyard
Re: Japan Box Office: 08/01-02 Hourly Updates
Usual Locations - Saturday Admissions (43% of Market)
“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.” “We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.” “There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.” “You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.” "Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
Last edited by Corpse on Fri Jul 31, 2015 9:27 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Fri Jul 31, 2015 9:13 pm
vinnygambini
Child Actor
Joined: Sat Jul 11, 2015 3:18 am Posts: 31
Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Forecast (Titans and Minions)
Sweet merciful Jesus, poor Pika
Fri Jul 31, 2015 9:24 pm
Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm Posts: 37152 Location: The Graveyard
Re: Japan Box Office: 08/01-02 Hourly Updates
Usual Locations - Saturday Admissions (43% of Market)
“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.” “We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.” “There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.” “You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.” "Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
Fri Jul 31, 2015 10:10 pm
Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm Posts: 37152 Location: The Graveyard
Re: Japan Box Office: 08/01-02 Hourly Updates
Usual Locations - Saturday Admissions (43% of Market)
“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.” “We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.” “There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.” “You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.” "Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
Fri Jul 31, 2015 11:12 pm
Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm Posts: 37152 Location: The Graveyard
Re: Japan Box Office: 08/01-02 Hourly Updates
Usual Locations - Saturday Admissions (43% of Market)
% Changes versus last Saturday at the same point-in-time. Note: Saturday, being the first of the month, will be greatly inflated this weekend.
Minions has pulled ahead of Attack on Titan as the mid-day draws near, and it may remain ahead for a couple more hours, though it's likely to lose a lot of ground once the evening and night showings begin. This is a very close race, though!
“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.” “We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.” “There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.” “You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.” "Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
Sat Aug 01, 2015 1:26 am
Bluebomb
Veteran
Joined: Fri Oct 19, 2007 10:53 am Posts: 3007
Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Forecast (Titans and Minions)
“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.” “We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.” “There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.” “You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.” "Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
Sat Aug 01, 2015 2:52 am
Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm Posts: 37152 Location: The Graveyard
Re: Japan Box Office: 08/01-02 Hourly Updates
Usual Locations - Saturday Admissions (43% of Market)
% Changes versus last Saturday at the same point-in-time. Note: Saturday, being the first of the month, will be greatly inflated this weekend.
Usual Locations - Final Saturday Admissions (43% of Market)
Admissions [#Theaters/#Showings] - Film (Week of Release) 131,318 [150/1,268] - Attack on Titan - Part 1 (NEW) 110,277 [149/1,295] - Minions (NEW) 66,115 (+19%) [146/916] - Hero 2 (Week 3) 57,232 (+28%) [146/882] - The Boy and the Beast (Week 4) 56,760 (+32%) [148/850] - Inside Out (Week 3) 29,309 (+09%) [145/750] - Terminator Genisys (Week 4) 21,726 (-18%) [146/623] - Pokemon XY: Hoopa and the Clash of Ages (Week 3) 19,634 (+01%) [146/668] - Avengers: Age of Ultron (Week 5)
>Attack on Titan - Part 1 delivered the biggest opening day at the usual locations, in terms of admissions, for any live-action film this year. However, with tickets being 40% off for the day, it's unlikely to have earned the biggest opening day of the year for a live-action film in terms of gross.
Distributor Toho reported that it also beat last year's opening day admissions of Godzilla by 94%. It's also been announced that the film will be released in 83 territories, which includes Hong Kong, Macao, Singapore, Philippines, and Australia later this month.
It's an impressive start, and based on Saturday's results, I'd project ¥600-700 million / 450,000-500,000 admissions over the weekend.
>Minions also posted a very strong Saturday. Again, while it's boosted by the discount day, the number is very impressive.
It'll probably hold fairly well tomorrow, too, being a kid/family film, so it's going to make the battle atop the box office this weekend very close in ticket sales since it, too, should be aiming for 450,000+ admissions over the weekend. I don't think it'll open at #1 in terms of gross, however, because of the much lower avg. ticket price it's going to have from skewing quite young.
I'm going to project ¥550-600 million ($4.4-4.7 million) / 450,000-500,000 admissions over the weekend based on its Saturday results. This will earn it the title of biggest opening weekend for an imported non-Disney/Pixar animated film ever, and by quite a large margin, too!
>All the holdovers performed nicely, even if Pokemon dropped despite the discount day.
And nice number for Hero 2. Maybe it can hold off The Boy and the Beast and Inside Out over the weekend? They'll be in a close race again this weekend (last weekend, only 30,000 admissions separated their overall weekend ranking).
“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.” “We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.” “There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.” “You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.” "Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
Sat Aug 01, 2015 12:09 pm
NatsuLian
Waitress in LA
Joined: Thu Jul 16, 2015 12:09 am Posts: 25
Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Forecast (Titans and Minions)
Awesome, thanks Corpse! By the way, how well do you think The Little Prince will perform since the property seems quite popular in Japan or so I've heard?
Sat Aug 01, 2015 1:50 pm
Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67043
Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Forecast (Titans and Minions)
Oh my, the Japs are beautiful. Who is the woman in the red dress and who is the woman with the green part on her dress?
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Sat Aug 01, 2015 7:32 pm
Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm Posts: 37152 Location: The Graveyard
Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Forecast (Titans and Minions)
“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.” “We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.” “There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.” “You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.” "Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
Sat Aug 01, 2015 8:53 pm
Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm Posts: 37152 Location: The Graveyard
Re: Japan Box Office: 08/01-02 Hourly Updates
Usual Locations - Saturday Admissions (43% of Market)
11,435 (N/A) > 18,677 (N/A) > 30,224 (N/A) - Minions (NEW) 8,384 (N/A) > 14,369 (N/A) > 21,688 (N/A) - Attack on Titan - Part 1 (NEW) 5,999 (-25%) > 9,081 (-28%) > 13,873 (-30%) - Hero 2 (Week 3) 4,254 (-38%) > 9,231 (-31%) > 12,989 (-38%) - Inside Out (Week 3) 3,926 (-29%) > 7,329 (-29%) > 11,636 (-30%) - The Boy and the Beast (Week 4) 4,203 (-38%) > 8,547 (-35%) > 11,419 (-33%) - Pokemon XY: Hoopa and the Clash of Ages (Week 3) 1,719 (-46%) > 2,600 (-51%) > 4,706 (-50%) - Terminator Genisys (Week 4) 895 (-62%) > 1,539 (-55%) > 3,298 (-52%) - Avengers: Age of Ultron (Week 5)
% changes versus last week at the same point-in-time. Note: Saturday, being the first of the month (discount day), will be greatly inflated this weekend.
“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.” “We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.” “There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.” “You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.” "Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
Sat Aug 01, 2015 11:15 pm
Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm Posts: 37152 Location: The Graveyard
Re: Japan Box Office: 08/01-02 Hourly Updates
Usual Locations - Saturday Admissions (43% of Market)
% changes versus last week at the same point-in-time. Note: Saturday, being the first of the month (discount day), will be greatly inflated this weekend.
“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.” “We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.” “There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.” “You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.” "Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
Sun Aug 02, 2015 12:16 am
Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm Posts: 37152 Location: The Graveyard
Re: Japan Box Office: 08/01-02 Hourly Updates
Usual Locations - Saturday Admissions (43% of Market)
% changes versus last week at the same point-in-time. Note: Saturday, being the first of the month (discount day), will be greatly inflated this weekend.
At the Sunday mid-day point, Minions has a 11,000 advantage over Attack on Titan, and should increase that lead by another 2,000-3,000 before the evening showings begin. I don't think the latter will be able to make up the difference during the evening/night, though it should end up trailing by less than 10,000, and combined with its 21,000 victory yesterday, that should assure it wins the weekend in both admissions and gross.
This is a much closer race than many were expecting, with possibly fewer than 10,000 admissions separating them at the usual locations over the weekend. Minions will probably come in second place, but it's about to achieve the biggest opening weekend for a non-Disney/Pixar imported animated film by a considerable margin.
“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.” “We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.” “There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.” “You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.” "Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
Sun Aug 02, 2015 1:09 am
Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm Posts: 37152 Location: The Graveyard
Re: Japan Box Office: 08/01-02 Hourly Updates
Usual Locations - Saturday Admissions (43% of Market)
% changes versus last week at the same point-in-time. Note: Saturday, being the first of the month (discount day), will be greatly inflated this weekend.
“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.” “We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.” “There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.” “You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.” "Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
Sun Aug 02, 2015 2:20 am
Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm Posts: 37152 Location: The Graveyard
Re: Japan Box Office: 08/01-02 Hourly Updates
Usual Locations - Saturday Admissions (43% of Market)
% changes versus last week at the same point-in-time. Note: Saturday, being the first of the month (discount day), will be greatly inflated this weekend.
Usual Locations - Weekend Admissions (43% of Market)
215,069 (N/A) - Attack on Titan - Part 1 (NEW) 203,473 (N/A) - Minions (NEW) 114,295 (-01%) - Hero 2 (Week 3) 103,194 (-02%) - The Boy and the Beast (Week 4) 98,655 (-02%) - Inside Out (Week 3) 48,012 (-18%) - Terminator Genisys (Week 4) 45,826 (-27%) - Pokemon XY: Hoopa and the Clash of Ages (Week 3) 32,897 (-22%) - Avengers: Age of Ultron (Week 5)
Attack on Titan - Part 1 wins the weekend at the usual locations, though Minions proved to be a much bigger threat than anyone predicted. And if the latter played well enough outside of the usual locations, namely at Aeon Cinemas (strong for kid/family releases), there's a chance it'll rank #1 over the weekend in admissions. I doubt it comes in at #1 in gross, though, even with a possible admissions victory.
The Top 3 holdovers all see either 1 or 2% drops and are even closer now than they were last weekend. Hero 2's 1% drop is particularly impressive, given how it's legs up to this point have been mediocre. Quite the turn-a-around as Obon Festival draws near, and it definitely needed this.
“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.” “We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.” “There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.” “You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.” "Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
Sun Aug 02, 2015 11:59 am
Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm Posts: 37152 Location: The Graveyard
Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Estimates (08/01-02)
Weekend Estimates (08/01-02)
01 (--) ¥580,000,000 ($4.68 million), 0, ¥580,000,000 ($4.68 million), Attack on Titan - Part 1 (Toho) NEW 02 (--) ¥550,000,000 ($4.44 million), 0, ¥730,000,000 ($5.89 million), Minions (Toho-Towa) NEW 03 (01) ¥327,000,000 ($2.64 million), -11%, ¥2,650,000,000 ($21.4 million), Hero 2 (Toho) Week 3 04 (02) ¥299,000,000 ($2.42 million), -11%, ¥3,275,000,000 ($26.5 million), The Boy and the Beast (Toho) Week 4 05 (03) ¥268,000,000 ($2.16 million), -12%, ¥2,025,000,000 ($16.4 million), Inside Out (Disney) Week 3 06 (04) ¥165,000,000 ($1.33 million), -20%, ¥2,410,000,000 ($19.5 million), Terminator: Genisys (Paramount) Week 4 07 (05) ¥130,000,000 ($1.05 million), -31%, ¥1,330,000,000 ($10.7 million), Pokemon XY: Hoopa and the Clash of Ages (Toho) Week 3 08 (06) ¥96,000,000 ($775,000), -32%, ¥2,820,000,000 ($22.8 million), Avengers: Age of Ultron (Disney) Week 5 09 (07) ¥90,000,000 ($730,000), -27%, ¥2,205,000,000 ($17.9 million), Love Live! The School Idol Movie (Shochiku) Week 8 10 (10) ¥25,000,000 ($200,000), -20%, ¥450,000,000 ($3.6 million), Shaun the Sheep Movie (Tohokushinsha) Week 5
The race at the top of the box-office is another close one this weekend, but I'm pretty confident in predicting Attack on Titan - Part 1 coming out on top, at least in gross. Admissions, however, are another story... estimates have Minions around 475,000 and Attack on Titan - Part 1 around 460,000.
This opening isn't surprising for Attack on Titan - Part 1, it was expected to see a big start (which is currently very similar debut to the first Gantz and the first-half sequel to Rurouni Kenshin), and become one of the highest-grossing live-action films of 2015.
The two-part live-adaptation of the mega-popular Attack on Titan series is one of Japan's most-expensive productions ever, and set a domestic record with over 1,000 filmmakers on the production. Part 1 is set to roll out in 83 territories later this year/early next year, including Australia, Hong Kong, Singapore, Macao, and the Philippines this month.
Minions coming is so high is very surprising, though. Its estimated debut is higher than most Disney/Pixar releases, and by far the biggest for a non-Disney/Pixar imported animated release. There wasn't really anything for parents and children to see this Summer, outside of Inside Out which is skewing a bit older, so Minions is going to take advantage of this in a big way and could have a long-run with Obon Festival approaching.
All the holdovers performed nicely in the face of two big openers, and with the boost from Saturday being the first of the month (discount day):
-Hero 2 is the most impressive, completely turning around the downward spiral the sequel appeared to be in and revives its hopes of reaching the ¥5 billion (~$40 million) blockbuster milestone.
-The Boy and the Beast continues its nice run, and still looks likely to hit ¥6 billion+ ($50 million+), if not ¥7 billion (~$60 million). It's still the film to beat this Summer.
-Inside Out is also performing nicely, though its performance has been a bit overshadowed by continuing to trail The Boy and the Beast, and it'll now be overshadowed by Minions' overperformance, too. I wouldn't rule out it still outgrossing Minions, since it should still exceed ¥4 billion ($30 million+), but they're going to be very close.
-Terminator Genisys is still on track to exceed ¥3 billion ($25 million), and should finish almost on par with its predecessor's ¥3.32 billion finish. It's had a pretty solid performance in Japan compared to the U.S and other territories.
-Avengers: Age of Ultron will soon exceed ¥3 billion ($25 million), too, and still has a shot at hitting ¥3.5 billion (~$30 million), also nearly on par with its predecessor's ¥3.61 billion finish. It'll become the 5th highest-grossing Marvel/DC film ever, behind the original Spider-Man trilogy and its own predecessor.
“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.” “We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.” “There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.” “You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.” "Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
Sun Aug 02, 2015 12:51 pm
Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm Posts: 37152 Location: The Graveyard
Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Estimates (Titans and Minions)
As I've mentioned many times in the past, imported non-Disney/Pixar animated films don't really have an audience in Japan. You won't even find a single imported non-Disney/Pixar animated film in the Top 100 Highest-Grossing Animated Films in the market.
And they've performed so poorly in more recent years, that sometimes they don't even receive theatrical releases anymore: Home, Penguins of Madagascar, How to Train Your Dragon 2, Turbo, Rise of the Guardians, Rio 2, Mr. Peabody & Sherman, Ice Age: Continental Drift, and many others, too, never saw a theatrical release.
None have earned ever opened to impressive numbers, nor have they ever earned more than ¥3 billion in the market, often considered the box office hit milestone.
Until now. Minions is the first imported non-Disney/Pixar animated film that is going to be an actual box office hit in the market, with an opening above the ¥500 million mark and undoubtedly a final total over ¥3 billion, if not ¥4 billion+.
¥550.0 million [Est.] - Minions (2015) ¥363.8 million - Shrek the Third (2007) ¥336.5 million - Despicable Me 2 (2013) ¥301.8 million - Madagascar (2005) ¥284.2 million - Shrek 2 (2004) ¥235.8 million - Despicable Me (2010) ¥224.6 million - Chicken Run (2000) ¥223.9 million - Kung Fu Panda (2008) ¥218.8 million - Shark Tale (2004) ¥200.3 million - Kung Fu Panda 2 (2011)
“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.” “We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.” “There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.” “You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.” "Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
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