I agree and should still do a little over a billion for the year to finish at #3 for the year.

What are you expecting for this weekend OS?

Did it open everywhere aside from China?

China, Russia, Australia.

I expect around $170 million then.

You aware it did $30m on friday for a total of $57m?

Apparently it is much of a Saturday movie

No, actually I forgot that, but I still think the final numbers will be way huigher than many expect.

So you're banking on legs?

I'm banking on Christmas.

I mean honestly, after two years of inflation...how the hell can The Hobbit make just double this

http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=narnia3.htm

overseas?

I saw The Hobbit at 3 p.m. in IMAX and it was considerably more full than The Dark Knight Rises in IMAX opening night.

the IMAX showing I went to was close to sold out. However, I saw more sell outs for 2D and 3D showings.

Yes, real 70mm IMAX.

It will make atleast $40m here in Oz.

"Real IMAX" is a complicated term.

The Hobbit is in IMAX DMR - - not what I consider to be "Real IMAX" (like, for example, the 72 minutes of TDKR this past summer) - - "Real IMAX" is shot with IMAX cameras instead of being upconverted in post production for IMAX screens.

On top of that, there's the whole Lie-MAX controversy - - tiny little screens (IMIN?) shoehorned into regular theatres and being passed off as IMAX...



"Real IMAX" is a very rare commodity nowadays.

It really reminds me of Narnia Vs Prince Caspian. After the epic story people don't care about the regular adventure.

There was never anything epic about Narnia.

The first Narnia is a decent adventure even with the Christan themes.

Saving the world is quite epic compared to helping a kid get the kingdom back. Same thing with LOTR Vs Hobbit.

Great comparison, Mr. R.

@Variety_Stewart
Global figure: THE HOBBIT earns $223 million

that is 138M OS OW. Awful considering only 3 major markets (Russ/Aus/China) are left.

That is awful number and there is no way anyone says it is a good opening

Almost exactly as much as i expected ($140m).

So, Lecter, still seeing at least $650m?

Not saying it's impossible, but it'll be tough.

Warner Bros. reports that The Hobbit has grossed $138.2 million overseas during its first weekend of release. The worldwide total is a healthy $223 million.

Key int'l stats from WB:

3D screens represented an estimated 60% of the total box office.

IMAX generated approximately $5m internationally, making it the highest December opening ever, and bringing in a spectacular $40k per screen average.

Top International Markets:

The UK opened to an incredible £11.4m (US$18.3m) from 601 situations, taking 62% of the market share. 3D projection is 60%.

Germany generated an outstanding €12.6m (US$16.3m), including previews, from 1,332 screens, representing a 60% share of the total box office. 3D projection is 80%.

France pulled in a great €9.8m (US$12.7m) with 1.3m admissions from 958 screens, taking 63% of the top 5 films. 3D projection is 60%.

Korea debuted to an outstanding KRW 9.2b (US$8.5m) nationwide from 1,200 screens, taking 53% of the top 5.

Spain opened to a great €6.5m (US$8.4m) from 1,052 screens, controlling 60% of the market. 3D projection is 40%.

Sweden produced an outstanding SEK 39.6m (US$6.0m) from 272 screens, making this the 2nd biggest weekend of ALL TIME (behind HP 7B). 3D projection is 80%.

Italy took in €4.2m (US$5.4m) from 734 screens with 50% share of the top 5 box office. 3D projection is 71%.

Mexico dominated the market with Ps 66m (US$5.2m) from 2,414 screens, garnering nearly 70% of the top 5 films and making this the BIGGEST December opening ever.

Strong numbers in Brazil with R$10.1m (US$4.9m) from 969 screens, taking 53% of the top 5 films in the market. 3D projection is 64%.

http://www.boxoffice.com/latest-news/20 ... ew-zealand

We need arch to give us LOTR numbers from every market so that we can compare.

Those are 3 pretty big markets though. It should easily do over 100M between the 3 of them. No matter what, it's going to do over 500M internationally and should hit 300M+ in the US. 800M+ worldwide is a good total. If you don't think so then your expectations were too high.