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 BETTING ODDS: WATCH! 
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Wall-E

Joined: Thu Nov 03, 2005 7:11 pm
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Post BETTING ODDS: WATCH!
From Intertops.eu

Box Office Opening Weekend Gross: The Watch
Total Opening 3-Day Weekend Box Office: Friday 27th July to Sunday 29th July
U.S. & Canada box office sales only.

USD 10 Million to USD 16 Million +150
USD 16 Million to USD 22 Million +150
USD 22 Million or more +225
USD 10 Million or less +350


Very interesting... :-k

Box Office forecasting 21 million... which makes 22 or more +225 a value play....

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Thu Jul 26, 2012 5:15 pm
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Wall-E

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Post Re: BETTING ODDS: WATCH!
Guru is also predicting 21 million.

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Thu Jul 26, 2012 5:51 pm
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Wall-E

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Post Re: BETTING ODDS: WATCH!
Shit reviews on Rotten T... if that matters for this type of movie... Vince Vaughn usually does pretty good even with shit reviews.

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Thu Jul 26, 2012 6:57 pm
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Star Trek XI

Joined: Sun Jul 19, 2009 10:13 pm
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Post Re: BETTING ODDS: WATCH!
LittleBeaver wrote:
Shit reviews on Rotten T... if that matters for this type of movie... Vince Vaughn usually does pretty good even with shit reviews.


But R-rated comedies don't usually do well with these kind of reviews.


Thu Jul 26, 2012 10:14 pm
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KJ's Leading Idiot

Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
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Post Re: BETTING ODDS: WATCH!
Comedy might be a good counter programming from the events that happened. Not saying this will breakout but given that there have been lesser comedies this year it could open to surprising $20m. Also the tracking these days could be deflated because of the general down time in movie going business.


Thu Jul 26, 2012 11:42 pm
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Star Trek XI

Joined: Sun Jul 19, 2009 10:13 pm
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Post Re: BETTING ODDS: WATCH!
Jack Sparrow wrote:
Comedy might be a good counter programming from the events that happened. Not saying this will breakout but given that there have been lesser comedies this year it could open to surprising $20m. Also the tracking these days could be deflated because of the general down time in movie going business.


People might wait for The Campaign instead. This one not only has to contend with last week's shooting, but also the Trayvon Martin shooting. Plus there's bad reviews (a worse RT rating than That's My Boy) and, well, who's really talking about it?


Fri Jul 27, 2012 9:19 am
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KJ's Leading Idiot

Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
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Post Re: BETTING ODDS: WATCH!
Yeah true that is also the case. Still as I said at this point $20m will also be a surprise for it.


Fri Jul 27, 2012 9:23 am
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KJ's Leading Pundit
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Post Re: BETTING ODDS: WATCH!
I'd put money on 22+

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Fri Jul 27, 2012 11:45 am
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College Boy T

Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 7:52 pm
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Post Re: BETTING ODDS: WATCH!
Reviews definitely matter for non-Adam Sandler comedies.

I think it opens below $20m.


Fri Jul 27, 2012 11:53 am
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Post Re: BETTING ODDS: WATCH!
Jack Sparrow wrote:
Comedy might be a good counter programming from the events that happened. Not saying this will breakout but given that there have been lesser comedies this year it could open to surprising $20m. Also the tracking these days could be deflated because of the general down time in movie going business.

This is sci-fi buddy action comedy, there are guns and destruction fairly prominent in the trailer and I am sure film, so people may still be deterred, I don't know.

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Malcolm wrote:
You seem to think threatening violence against people is perfectly okay because you feel offended by their words, so that's kind of telling in itself.

Exactly. If they don't know how to behave, and feel OK offending others, they get their ass kicked, so they'll think next time before opening their rotten mouths.


Fri Jul 27, 2012 2:37 pm
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