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 March 30-April 1 Predictions 
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The Wall
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Post Re: March 30-April 1 Predictions
Wrath of the Titans $33m
Mirror Mirror $19m


Sun Mar 25, 2012 2:01 pm
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Extraordinary
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Post Re: March 30-April 1 Predictions
Hunger Games -62%
Wrath of the Titans - $37m
Mirror Mirror - $14m


Sun Mar 25, 2012 5:48 pm
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Post Re: March 30-April 1 Predictions
Yeah, THG is taking a hit. Not that it diminishes its success. But it's not doing above 80.

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Sun Mar 25, 2012 6:55 pm
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Post Re: March 30-April 1 Predictions
Everyone - don't forget that IMAX screens for Hunger Games vanish next weekend, which means that $10 million of its gross this weekend probably shouldn't even be considered.

That in mind:

1. Hunger Games - $69.7 million (-55%)
2. Wrath of the Titans - $35.6 million
3. Mirror Mirror - $16 million
4. 21 Jump Street - $13.4 million (-37%)
5. The Lorax - $8.6 million (-34.5%)


Sun Mar 25, 2012 7:23 pm
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Cream of the Crop
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Post Re: March 30-April 1 Predictions
Losing IMAX screens doesn't mean that, people who could have seen it in IMAX won't go to a normal theater and see it there.


Sun Mar 25, 2012 7:26 pm
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Post Re: March 30-April 1 Predictions
I wouldn't expect the film to have much staying power in IMAX anyway. The way its filmed really doesn't fit the format at all.


Sun Mar 25, 2012 8:03 pm
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Post Re: March 30-April 1 Predictions
I cant see THG doing less than $75m.

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Sun Mar 25, 2012 8:15 pm
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Post Re: March 30-April 1 Predictions
There's enough room in the marketplace for both Mirror and Wrath to do well enough.

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Sun Mar 25, 2012 9:24 pm
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Post Re: March 30-April 1 Predictions
wasn't Mirror Mirror tracking above 30 million just two weeks ago?
Have we had any updated info since then??

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Sun Mar 25, 2012 9:47 pm
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Post Re: March 30-April 1 Predictions
It was. Let's see how it is this week!

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Mon Mar 26, 2012 12:01 am
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Post Re: March 30-April 1 Predictions
I can see a 60% drop for THG. No midnights about $20m, no IMAX a boost of about $5m and then a drop of about 52% for $62m second weekend. The WOM is great but I don't think it is at the level of Avatar or TDK.


Mon Mar 26, 2012 5:04 am
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Post Re: March 30-April 1 Predictions
That would set it on a path to reach 350+ million ^^^


Spiderman 3 was at 240 million at day 10 and reach 336 million.

So I think the Odds are in the Hunger Games Favour!


Lol I think that is going to become the next big saying..

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Mon Mar 26, 2012 7:35 am
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Post Re: March 30-April 1 Predictions
Magnus wrote:
I see about 68m for HG. 50% drop from OW minus midnights, 56% drop overall.

Wrath will break 30m and Mirror will break 20m. 21 Jump Street will hold well. Everything else will drop huge.


John Carter will suffer big again, IMO. It will lose its remaining 3D screens to Wrath of the Titans, lose a ton of theatres overall (its PTA is shitty) and Wrath is even more direct competition than The Hunger Games, leaving basically nothing for it. A drop better than 55% would surprise me.

Could we actually see several movies in the Top 10 making less than $1 million next weekend?

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Mon Mar 26, 2012 10:21 am
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Post Re: March 30-April 1 Predictions
Nah, Lorax will be able to hold onto a decent amount of screens and theaters next weekend, and for a while. It's still the only animated movie in release (And will be until The Pirates! in five weeks) and after Mirror Mirror it'll also be the one of the only two family films in release. And it's still one of only two non-THG holdovers actually making money, which means pretty much all of the multiplexes are going to hold onto it as they finally dump Silent House, A Thousand Words, Project X, and any February holdovers they still have (All of those have PTAs under $1,100 right now). The pace of new openers means that a LOT of stuff that would have normally been gone by now is still here, and I think Lorax can take advantage of that for a while.


Mon Mar 26, 2012 11:10 am
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Post Re: March 30-April 1 Predictions
The Hunger Games - $69m
Wrath of the Titans - $39m
Mirror Mirror - $16m


Mon Mar 26, 2012 11:17 am
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Post Re: March 30-April 1 Predictions
I am just hoping for another breakout this weekend, but doesn't look like that's going to happen.


Mon Mar 26, 2012 1:13 pm
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Post Re: March 30-April 1 Predictions
Hunger Games 2nd weekend
* 50M-55M - good
* 55M-62M - great
* 62M-70M - are you fucking kidding me!
* 70M+ - MOTHER OF GOD!!

I'm going with first option.


Mon Mar 26, 2012 1:19 pm
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Post Re: March 30-April 1 Predictions
While a 60% drop for THG at $62m will be great it won't be "are you fucking kidding me"....


Mon Mar 26, 2012 1:23 pm
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Post Re: March 30-April 1 Predictions
Magnus wrote:
Mesjarch wrote:
Hunger Games 2nd weekend
* 50M-55M - good
* 55M-62M - great
* 62M-70M - are you fucking kidding me!
* 70M+ - MOTHER OF GOD!!

I'm going with first option.


More like...

55m-60m - okay
60m-65m - good
65m-70m - great
70m-75m - are you fucking kidding me!
75m+ - MOTHER OF GOD

no John Carter scale?


Mon Mar 26, 2012 3:45 pm
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Post Re: March 30-April 1 Predictions
Hunger Games - 70 (53% drop)
Wrath of the Titans - 34
Mirror Mirror - 16


Mon Mar 26, 2012 3:51 pm
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Post Re: March 30-April 1 Predictions
MTC? RS?

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Mon Mar 26, 2012 5:18 pm
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Post Re: March 30-April 1 Predictions
RS in March proved that they are worthless.


Mon Mar 26, 2012 5:25 pm
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Post Re: March 30-April 1 Predictions
MTC
37 wrath
26 mirror

That would be pretty good for both.
Yes, Wrath will have fallen steeply from it's orginial, but that wasn't well recieved plus the Hunger Games stole a lot of it's thunder. Plus, the studio is really banking on OS for this one.

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Mon Mar 26, 2012 6:31 pm
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Post Re: March 30-April 1 Predictions
Thats good for both considering how THG is dominating. Hopefully RS comes in alot lower.

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Mon Mar 26, 2012 6:43 pm
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Post Re: March 30-April 1 Predictions
I'm genuinely surprised by Mirror Mirror. It just seems so...silly? Ridiculous? And Julia Roberts hasn't been a draw in ages. Though I guess people are excited to see her go bad, or just for a new live-action family film.


Last edited by Jonathan on Mon Mar 26, 2012 6:56 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Mon Mar 26, 2012 6:55 pm
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