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Bluebomb
Veteran
Joined: Fri Oct 19, 2007 10:53 am Posts: 3028
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 Re: Friday Estimates (BOG)
From THRQuote: Friday:
1. Smurfs - 13.3m 2. Cowboys & Aliens - 13m 3. Captain America - 7.9m 4. Crazy, Stupid, Love. - 6.6m
CinemaScore: Cowboys & Aliens - B Smurfs: A- Crazy, Stupid, Love. - B+
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Sat Jul 30, 2011 12:25 pm |
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i.hope
Defeats all expectations
Joined: Fri May 26, 2006 5:04 pm Posts: 6665
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 Re: Friday Estimates (BOG)
Great for The Smurfs. Troubling for Cowboys And Aliens. Okay for Crazy. Stupid. Love.
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Sat Jul 30, 2011 12:28 pm |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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 Re: Friday Estimates (BOG)
Zookeeper and Cars 2 got hit hard by The Smurfs. A better opening for CSL than most expected.
_________________ Making Predictions Great Again!
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Sat Jul 30, 2011 12:31 pm |
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BK
Forum General
Joined: Sun May 13, 2007 8:30 am Posts: 7041
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 Re: Friday Estimates (BOG)
CSL B+ Smurfs A-?
Come on. America remains stupid.
_________________ Calls Ghost Rider + Clash of the Titans = 2x Wrath of the Titans + Ghost Rider 2 Lorax over Despicable Me Men in Black 3 Under 100m Madagascar 3 Under 100m Rise of the Guardians over 250m
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Sat Jul 30, 2011 12:31 pm |
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David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am Posts: 34865 Location: Maryland
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 Re: Friday Estimates (BOG)
BK wrote: CSL B+ Smurfs A-?
Come on. America remains stupid. Very different audiences?
_________________   1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game
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Sat Jul 30, 2011 12:33 pm |
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Bluebomb
Veteran
Joined: Fri Oct 19, 2007 10:53 am Posts: 3028
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 Re: Friday Estimates (BOG)
Pretty good opening for Crazy Stupid Love. I thought it would get bogged down by all the R-rated comedies in the past few months. Looks like the train just keeps on rollin'.
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Sat Jul 30, 2011 12:36 pm |
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i.hope
Defeats all expectations
Joined: Fri May 26, 2006 5:04 pm Posts: 6665
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 Re: Friday Estimates (BOG)
BOMIt's interesting to note that The Smurfs' number was adjusted up from Nikki. CA was also up while CSL was down.
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Sat Jul 30, 2011 12:45 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 12197
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 Re: Friday Estimates (BOM)
If Smurfs does $40 m in late July, a December opening imo probably could have helped it match Alvin and the Chipmunks total. It won't have the legs it could have in the winter.
Very strong for The Smurfs. The Jetsons movie should finally be pushed forward after 10+ years of development...
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Sat Jul 30, 2011 12:52 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32632 Location: the last free city
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 Re: Friday Estimates (BOM)
Fucking ridiculous
_________________ Is it 2028 yet?
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Sat Jul 30, 2011 1:21 pm |
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Dil
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm Posts: 8942 Location: Houston, Texas
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 Re: Friday Estimates (BOM)
I guess the low numbers for C&A do make some since considering I didn't hear about a single sellout for it last night. I should have known those $17M projections were pretty ridicoulous. Also like I said before Smurfs is the real story of the weekend. Finally we have a family flick that didn't dissapoint eventhough the movie is complete shit.
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Sat Jul 30, 2011 1:25 pm |
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Bradley Witherberry
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 30, 2004 1:13 pm Posts: 15197 Location: Planet Xatar
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 Re: Friday Estimates (BOM)
wrongturn687 wrote: Also like I said before Smurfs is the real story of the weekend. Finally we have a family flick that didn't dissapoint eventhough the movie is complete shit. Alright, a KJ'er saw it already! Please post your review in the Everyone's A Critic forum thread - - I was never a fan of the Smurfs, but I am looking forward to reading your review and others for the entertainment value. 
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Sat Jul 30, 2011 1:37 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 25427 Location: Classified
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 Re: Friday Estimates (BOM)
Yay, I was right for once! Should have made a Smurfs > Cowboys club... Very poor for Potter and Captain America. Thor should easily win the comic book battle of the summer now. Meanwhile Potter is struggling to take the top spot of 2011, despite Transformers dying to give it away. Cars and Pooh both see big drops from yesterday.  Winnie should have had the run Smurfs will have. Cars 2 finishing with under a 3 multiplier is pure craziness.
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Sat Jul 30, 2011 1:41 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 35249 Location: Minnesota
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 Re: Friday Estimates (BOM)
Yeah, poor Pooh. It lost a lot of theaters though, and SMURFS stole away the kids. http://moviecitynews.com/2011/07/friday ... y-30-2011/Solid debuts for THE DEVIL'S DOUBLE and ATTACK THE BLOCK.
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Sat Jul 30, 2011 1:58 pm |
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David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am Posts: 34865 Location: Maryland
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 Re: Friday Estimates (BOM)
Cowboys & Aliens feels disappointing compared to the expectations I had six, seven months ago, but acceptable (if a bit dull) when compared to my expectations two days ago.
_________________   1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game
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Sat Jul 30, 2011 2:00 pm |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm Posts: 48678 Location: Arlington, VA
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 Re: Friday Estimates (BOM)
The Smurfs broke out. I expected it to do well ($25M-ish) but not this well. I guess the nicest thing I can say is that I'm happy for its human actors.
Cowboys & Aliens didn't tank but that's a little middle-of-the-road considering it seemed like it had the potential to be a big blockbuster earlier in the year.
About what I expected for Crazy, Stupid, Love. A $19-20M opening could lead to $80M total.
Captain America's plunge is pretty drastic, not sure what happened there. OK for Harry Potter's third weekend hold. Friends with Benefits should even out to a standard 45% drop for the weekend.
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Sat Jul 30, 2011 2:00 pm |
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David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am Posts: 34865 Location: Maryland
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 Re: Friday Estimates (BOM)
Whoever put out Devil's Double did a good job selling it, IMO. Most "art-house movies" (used loosely) have very austere, hard-to-follow, insular trailers, but this one was all ballsy action montages and sexy girls and "Personal Jesus." Snazzy.
_________________   1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game
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Sat Jul 30, 2011 2:01 pm |
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Skyblade
Wall-E
Joined: Sat Jan 07, 2006 6:07 am Posts: 883
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 Re: Friday Estimates (BOM)
Here's all you need to know about the Smurfs. They hired Katy Perry. To talk. Not for her boobs. Not even for her singing. To talk. If a mayor passed a bill that had all the town's funds diverted to pass a bill building a chocolate bouncy castle in the middle of August, you don't need to try the chocolate castle for yourself to know that town elected a bad mayor.
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Sat Jul 30, 2011 2:04 pm |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm Posts: 48678 Location: Arlington, VA
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 Re: Friday Estimates (BOM)
^
Counterpoint: Everything Katy Perry touches turns to gold.
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Sat Jul 30, 2011 2:06 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 35249 Location: Minnesota
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 Re: Friday Estimates (BOM)
Libs wrote: About what I expected for Crazy, Stupid, Love. A $19-20M opening could lead to $80M total.
I'm sure it will. Eat Pray Love last summer opened to 23 Million and did 80 Million. This will surely have better legs.
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Sat Jul 30, 2011 2:12 pm |
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Skyblade
Wall-E
Joined: Sat Jan 07, 2006 6:07 am Posts: 883
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 Re: Friday Estimates (BOM)
Libs wrote: ^
Counterpoint: Everything Katy Perry touches turns to gold. In the cartoon Gargamel was always trying to turn the Smurfs into gold. The Smurfs didn't want that because the alchemy process would kill them. Sometimes you should just Philosopher's Stop.
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Sat Jul 30, 2011 2:19 pm |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm Posts: 48678 Location: Arlington, VA
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 Re: Friday Estimates (BOM)
Magnus wrote: Mike wrote: Libs wrote: About what I expected for Crazy, Stupid, Love. A $19-20M opening could lead to $80M total.
I'm sure it will. Eat Pray Love last summer opened to 23 Million and did 80 Million. This will surely have better legs. I won't say surely. Eat Pray Love benefitted a lot from lack of competition. While there's no rom-com in the near-future, you still have comedies like Change up and 30 Minutes or Less that should hurt CSL a bit. I think it will break 75m but it's not assured to do. I think 30 Minutes or Less will have no impact on CSL whatsoever given that it should skew young and male. My audience was like 90% women, not sure about yours. So I think its biggest competition will be Emma Stone again in The Help. Which I still, of course, maintain is being underestimated.
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Sat Jul 30, 2011 2:21 pm |
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jmovies
Let's Call It A Bromance
Joined: Tue Aug 07, 2007 7:22 pm Posts: 12333
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 Re: Friday Estimates (BOM)
Yeah The Change Up will have some effect on CSL
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Sat Jul 30, 2011 2:26 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 35249 Location: Minnesota
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 Re: Friday Estimates (BOM)
Libs wrote: Magnus wrote: Mike wrote: Libs wrote: About what I expected for Crazy, Stupid, Love. A $19-20M opening could lead to $80M total.
I'm sure it will. Eat Pray Love last summer opened to 23 Million and did 80 Million. This will surely have better legs. I won't say surely. Eat Pray Love benefitted a lot from lack of competition. While there's no rom-com in the near-future, you still have comedies like Change up and 30 Minutes or Less that should hurt CSL a bit. I think it will break 75m but it's not assured to do. I think 30 Minutes or Less will have no impact on CSL whatsoever given that it should skew young and male. My audience was like 90% women, not sure about yours. So I think its biggest competition will be Emma Stone again in The Help. Which I still, of course, maintain is being underestimated. Yes, The Help will be its biggest direct competition. I don't think The Change-Up will hurt it much. The audience for CSL is more upscale adults I think, and I doubt they'll be swayed by a Ryan Reynolds body-switch comedy. And 30 Minutes or Less won't do anything to it. It's a comedy but a totally different audience.
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Sat Jul 30, 2011 2:41 pm |
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Dil
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm Posts: 8942 Location: Houston, Texas
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 Re: Friday Estimates (BOM)
According to the Flixster Bullseye The Change-Up is defentially tracking the strongest with women. Link - http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/risky- ... rfs-216206.
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Sat Jul 30, 2011 2:59 pm |
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Skyblade
Wall-E
Joined: Sat Jan 07, 2006 6:07 am Posts: 883
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 Re: Friday Estimates (BOM)
Also, Libs, I actually disagree about the "Good for human cast" part. The movie probably got Neil Patrick Harris a nice car, but is it really going to do anything for him either way? Is someone gonna look at the box-office figures and be like "Wow, I bet this movie made one hundred million dollars because people must love seeing Neil Patrick Harris's bemusement at grotesque CGI creations. We got a live one here, boys!"
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Sat Jul 30, 2011 3:31 pm |
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