Register  |  Sign In
View unanswered posts | View active topics It is currently Sat Jul 19, 2025 6:38 pm



Reply to topic  [ 34 posts ]  Go to page 1, 2  Next
 Friday Estimates (BOM) 
Author Message
Veteran

Joined: Fri Oct 19, 2007 10:53 am
Posts: 3028
Post Re: Friday Estimates (BOG)
From THR

Quote:
Friday:

1. Smurfs - 13.3m
2. Cowboys & Aliens - 13m
3. Captain America - 7.9m
4. Crazy, Stupid, Love. - 6.6m


CinemaScore:

Cowboys & Aliens - B
Smurfs: A-
Crazy, Stupid, Love. - B+

_________________
June 27 Predictions, April 25 Predictions, April 11 Predictions

Follow me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/hkreleasedates

Blog: http://hkreleasedates.blogspot.com


Sat Jul 30, 2011 12:25 pm
Profile
Defeats all expectations
User avatar

Joined: Fri May 26, 2006 5:04 pm
Posts: 6665
Post Re: Friday Estimates (BOG)
Great for The Smurfs. Troubling for Cowboys And Aliens. Okay for Crazy. Stupid. Love.


Sat Jul 30, 2011 12:28 pm
Profile
Forum General
User avatar

Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm
Posts: 9148
Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
Post Re: Friday Estimates (BOG)
Zookeeper and Cars 2 got hit hard by The Smurfs. A better opening for CSL than most expected.

_________________
Making Predictions Great Again!


Sat Jul 30, 2011 12:31 pm
Profile
Forum General
User avatar

Joined: Sun May 13, 2007 8:30 am
Posts: 7041
Post Re: Friday Estimates (BOG)
CSL B+ Smurfs A-?

Come on. America remains stupid.

_________________
Calls
Ghost Rider + Clash of the Titans = 2x Wrath of the Titans + Ghost Rider 2
Lorax over Despicable Me
Men in Black 3 Under 100m
Madagascar 3 Under 100m
Rise of the Guardians over 250m


Sat Jul 30, 2011 12:31 pm
Profile WWW
Pure Phase
User avatar

Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am
Posts: 34865
Location: Maryland
Post Re: Friday Estimates (BOG)
BK wrote:
CSL B+ Smurfs A-?

Come on. America remains stupid.

Very different audiences?

_________________
ImageImageImage

1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game


Sat Jul 30, 2011 12:33 pm
Profile
Veteran

Joined: Fri Oct 19, 2007 10:53 am
Posts: 3028
Post Re: Friday Estimates (BOG)
Pretty good opening for Crazy Stupid Love. I thought it would get bogged down by all the R-rated comedies in the past few months. Looks like the train just keeps on rollin'.

_________________
June 27 Predictions, April 25 Predictions, April 11 Predictions

Follow me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/hkreleasedates

Blog: http://hkreleasedates.blogspot.com


Sat Jul 30, 2011 12:36 pm
Profile
Defeats all expectations
User avatar

Joined: Fri May 26, 2006 5:04 pm
Posts: 6665
Post Re: Friday Estimates (BOG)
BOM

It's interesting to note that The Smurfs' number was adjusted up from Nikki. CA was also up while CSL was down.


Sat Jul 30, 2011 12:45 pm
Profile
Extraordinary

Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm
Posts: 12197
Post Re: Friday Estimates (BOM)
If Smurfs does $40 m in late July, a December opening imo probably could have helped it match Alvin and the Chipmunks total. It won't have the legs it could have in the winter.

Very strong for The Smurfs. The Jetsons movie should finally be pushed forward after 10+ years of development...


Sat Jul 30, 2011 12:52 pm
Profile WWW
Romosexual!
User avatar

Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am
Posts: 32632
Location: the last free city
Post Re: Friday Estimates (BOM)
Fucking ridiculous

_________________
Is it 2028 yet?


Sat Jul 30, 2011 1:21 pm
Profile
Forum General

Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm
Posts: 8942
Location: Houston, Texas
Post Re: Friday Estimates (BOM)
I guess the low numbers for C&A do make some since considering I didn't hear about a single sellout for it last night. I should have known those $17M projections were pretty ridicoulous. Also like I said before Smurfs is the real story of the weekend. Finally we have a family flick that didn't dissapoint eventhough the movie is complete shit.


Sat Jul 30, 2011 1:25 pm
Profile
Extraordinary

Joined: Sat Oct 30, 2004 1:13 pm
Posts: 15197
Location: Planet Xatar
Post Re: Friday Estimates (BOM)
wrongturn687 wrote:
Also like I said before Smurfs is the real story of the weekend. Finally we have a family flick that didn't dissapoint eventhough the movie is complete shit.

Alright, a KJ'er saw it already!

Please post your review in the Everyone's A Critic forum thread - - I was never a fan of the Smurfs, but I am looking forward to reading your review and others for the entertainment value. :)


Sat Jul 30, 2011 1:37 pm
Profile
The Kramer
User avatar

Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am
Posts: 25427
Location: Classified
Post Re: Friday Estimates (BOM)
Yay, I was right for once! Should have made a Smurfs > Cowboys club...

Very poor for Potter and Captain America. Thor should easily win the comic book battle of the summer now. Meanwhile Potter is struggling to take the top spot of 2011, despite Transformers dying to give it away.

Cars and Pooh both see big drops from yesterday. :noway: Winnie should have had the run Smurfs will have. Cars 2 finishing with under a 3 multiplier is pure craziness.


Sat Jul 30, 2011 1:41 pm
Profile
Wallflower
User avatar

Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 35249
Location: Minnesota
Post Re: Friday Estimates (BOM)
Yeah, poor Pooh. It lost a lot of theaters though, and SMURFS stole away the kids.

http://moviecitynews.com/2011/07/friday ... y-30-2011/

Solid debuts for THE DEVIL'S DOUBLE and ATTACK THE BLOCK.


Sat Jul 30, 2011 1:58 pm
Profile
Pure Phase
User avatar

Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am
Posts: 34865
Location: Maryland
Post Re: Friday Estimates (BOM)
Cowboys & Aliens feels disappointing compared to the expectations I had six, seven months ago, but acceptable (if a bit dull) when compared to my expectations two days ago.

_________________
ImageImageImage

1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game


Sat Jul 30, 2011 2:00 pm
Profile
Sbil

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
Posts: 48678
Location: Arlington, VA
Post Re: Friday Estimates (BOM)
The Smurfs broke out. I expected it to do well ($25M-ish) but not this well. I guess the nicest thing I can say is that I'm happy for its human actors.

Cowboys & Aliens didn't tank but that's a little middle-of-the-road considering it seemed like it had the potential to be a big blockbuster earlier in the year.

About what I expected for Crazy, Stupid, Love. A $19-20M opening could lead to $80M total.

Captain America's plunge is pretty drastic, not sure what happened there. OK for Harry Potter's third weekend hold. Friends with Benefits should even out to a standard 45% drop for the weekend.


Sat Jul 30, 2011 2:00 pm
Profile
Pure Phase
User avatar

Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am
Posts: 34865
Location: Maryland
Post Re: Friday Estimates (BOM)
Mike wrote:
Yeah, poor Pooh. It lost a lot of theaters though, and SMURFS stole away the kids.

http://moviecitynews.com/2011/07/friday ... y-30-2011/

Solid debuts for THE DEVIL'S DOUBLE and ATTACK THE BLOCK.

Whoever put out Devil's Double did a good job selling it, IMO. Most "art-house movies" (used loosely) have very austere, hard-to-follow, insular trailers, but this one was all ballsy action montages and sexy girls and "Personal Jesus." Snazzy.

_________________
ImageImageImage

1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game


Sat Jul 30, 2011 2:01 pm
Profile
Wall-E

Joined: Sat Jan 07, 2006 6:07 am
Posts: 883
Post Re: Friday Estimates (BOM)
Here's all you need to know about the Smurfs. They hired Katy Perry. To talk. Not for her boobs. Not even for her singing. To talk. If a mayor passed a bill that had all the town's funds diverted to pass a bill building a chocolate bouncy castle in the middle of August, you don't need to try the chocolate castle for yourself to know that town elected a bad mayor.


Sat Jul 30, 2011 2:04 pm
Profile YIM WWW
Sbil

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
Posts: 48678
Location: Arlington, VA
Post Re: Friday Estimates (BOM)
^

Counterpoint: Everything Katy Perry touches turns to gold.


Sat Jul 30, 2011 2:06 pm
Profile
Wallflower
User avatar

Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 35249
Location: Minnesota
Post Re: Friday Estimates (BOM)
Libs wrote:
About what I expected for Crazy, Stupid, Love. A $19-20M opening could lead to $80M total.


I'm sure it will. Eat Pray Love last summer opened to 23 Million and did 80 Million. This will surely have better legs.


Sat Jul 30, 2011 2:12 pm
Profile
Wall-E

Joined: Sat Jan 07, 2006 6:07 am
Posts: 883
Post Re: Friday Estimates (BOM)
Libs wrote:
^

Counterpoint: Everything Katy Perry touches turns to gold.


In the cartoon Gargamel was always trying to turn the Smurfs into gold. The Smurfs didn't want that because the alchemy process would kill them. Sometimes you should just Philosopher's Stop.


Sat Jul 30, 2011 2:19 pm
Profile YIM WWW
Sbil

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
Posts: 48678
Location: Arlington, VA
Post Re: Friday Estimates (BOM)
Magnus wrote:
Mike wrote:
Libs wrote:
About what I expected for Crazy, Stupid, Love. A $19-20M opening could lead to $80M total.


I'm sure it will. Eat Pray Love last summer opened to 23 Million and did 80 Million. This will surely have better legs.


I won't say surely. Eat Pray Love benefitted a lot from lack of competition. While there's no rom-com in the near-future, you still have comedies like Change up and 30 Minutes or Less that should hurt CSL a bit.

I think it will break 75m but it's not assured to do.


I think 30 Minutes or Less will have no impact on CSL whatsoever given that it should skew young and male. My audience was like 90% women, not sure about yours. So I think its biggest competition will be Emma Stone again in The Help.

Which I still, of course, maintain is being underestimated.


Sat Jul 30, 2011 2:21 pm
Profile
Let's Call It A Bromance
User avatar

Joined: Tue Aug 07, 2007 7:22 pm
Posts: 12333
Post Re: Friday Estimates (BOM)
Yeah The Change Up will have some effect on CSL


Sat Jul 30, 2011 2:26 pm
Profile WWW
Wallflower
User avatar

Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 35249
Location: Minnesota
Post Re: Friday Estimates (BOM)
Libs wrote:
Magnus wrote:
Mike wrote:
Libs wrote:
About what I expected for Crazy, Stupid, Love. A $19-20M opening could lead to $80M total.


I'm sure it will. Eat Pray Love last summer opened to 23 Million and did 80 Million. This will surely have better legs.


I won't say surely. Eat Pray Love benefitted a lot from lack of competition. While there's no rom-com in the near-future, you still have comedies like Change up and 30 Minutes or Less that should hurt CSL a bit.

I think it will break 75m but it's not assured to do.


I think 30 Minutes or Less will have no impact on CSL whatsoever given that it should skew young and male. My audience was like 90% women, not sure about yours. So I think its biggest competition will be Emma Stone again in The Help.

Which I still, of course, maintain is being underestimated.


Yes, The Help will be its biggest direct competition. I don't think The Change-Up will hurt it much. The audience for CSL is more upscale adults I think, and I doubt they'll be swayed by a Ryan Reynolds body-switch comedy. And 30 Minutes or Less won't do anything to it. It's a comedy but a totally different audience.


Sat Jul 30, 2011 2:41 pm
Profile
Forum General

Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm
Posts: 8942
Location: Houston, Texas
Post Re: Friday Estimates (BOM)
According to the Flixster Bullseye The Change-Up is defentially tracking the strongest with women.

Link - http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/risky- ... rfs-216206.


Sat Jul 30, 2011 2:59 pm
Profile
Wall-E

Joined: Sat Jan 07, 2006 6:07 am
Posts: 883
Post Re: Friday Estimates (BOM)
Also, Libs, I actually disagree about the "Good for human cast" part. The movie probably got Neil Patrick Harris a nice car, but is it really going to do anything for him either way? Is someone gonna look at the box-office figures and be like "Wow, I bet this movie made one hundred million dollars because people must love seeing Neil Patrick Harris's bemusement at grotesque CGI creations. We got a live one here, boys!"


Sat Jul 30, 2011 3:31 pm
Profile YIM WWW
Display posts from previous:  Sort by  
Reply to topic   [ 34 posts ]  Go to page 1, 2  Next

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Bing [Bot] and 77 guests


You cannot post new topics in this forum
You cannot reply to topics in this forum
You cannot edit your posts in this forum
You cannot delete your posts in this forum
You cannot post attachments in this forum

Search for:
Jump to:  
cron
Powered by phpBB © 2000, 2002, 2005, 2007 phpBB Group.
Designed by STSoftware for PTF.