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 3-Day Weekend Estimates (July 1-3) 
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Sbil

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
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Post 3-Day Weekend Estimates (July 1-3)
1 N TRANSFORMERS: DARK OF THE MOON P/DW $97,400,000 - 4,013 - $24,271 $162,125,000 1
2 1 CARS 2 BV $25,112,000 -62.0% 4,115 - $6,103 $116,043,000 2
3 2 BAD TEACHER Sony $14,100,000 -55.4% 3,049 - $4,624 $59,546,000 2
4 N LARRY CROWNE Uni. $13,007,000 - 2,973 - $4,375 $13,007,000 1
5 N MONTE CARLO Fox $7,600,000 - 2,473 - $3,073 $7,600,000 1
6 4 SUPER 8 Par. $7,500,000 -37.6% 3,088 -336 $2,429 $108,036,000 4
7 3 GREEN LANTERN WB $6,270,000 -65.2% 3,280 -536 $1,912 $101,962,000 3
8 5 MR. POPPER'S PENGUINS Fox $5,100,000 -49.7% 2,861 -483 $1,783 $50,125,000 3
9 8 BRIDESMAIDS Uni. $3,521,000 -33.1% 1,389 -642 $2,535 $152,895,000 8
10 11 MIDNIGHT IN PARIS SPC $3,438,000 -17.6% 858 -93 $4,007 $33,638,000 7

11 6 X-MEN: FIRST CLASS Fox $2,900,000 -56.6% 1,602 -1,031 $1,810 $138,612,000 5
12 7 THE HANGOVER PART II WB $2,270,000 -59.3% 1,568 -1,187 $1,448 $248,118,000 6
13 9 PIRATES OF THE CARIBBEAN: ON STRANGER TIDES BV $2,155,000 -56.3% 1,473 -771 $1,463 $233,703,000 7
14 10 KUNG FU PANDA 2 P/DW $1,525,000 -63.5% 1,281 -1,246 $1,190 $156,704,000 6
15 12 THE TREE OF LIFE FoxS $1,000,000 -24.7% 228 +13 $4,386 $7,503,000 6
16 17 BEGINNERS Focus $530,000 +12.5% 108 +35 $4,907 $2,296,000 5
17 19 BUCK IFC $445,000 +52.7% 131 +77 $3,397 $976,000 3
18 14 RIO Fox $440,000 -17.3% 308 -36 $1,429 $140,473,000 12
19 15 THOR Par. $415,000 -18.8% 270 -134 $1,537 $177,931,000 9
20 16 FAST FIVE Uni. $338,000 -33.5% 302 -156 $1,119 $208,309,000 10

N/A 25 THE TRIP IFC $172,000 +10.7% 40 +2 $4,300 $776,000 4
N/A 26 CAVE OF FORGOTTEN DREAMS IFC $131,000 -7.9% 69 -10 $1,899 $4,654,000 10
N/A 38 A BETTER LIFE Sum. $95,000 +53.0% 11 +7 $8,636 $179,000 2

http://admin.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/ ... =26&p=.htm


Last edited by Libs on Sun Jul 03, 2011 1:06 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Sun Jul 03, 2011 11:28 am
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College Boy Z

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Post Re: 3-Day Weekend Estimates (July 1-3)
Awesome for Transformers.


Sun Jul 03, 2011 11:55 am
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Extraordinary
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Post Re: 3-Day Weekend Estimates (July 1-3)
TF3 weekend breakdown:

Friday: $32,965,000 (+53.3%)
Saturday: $34,585,000 (+4.9%)
Sunday: $29,850,000 (-13.7%)

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Sun Jul 03, 2011 12:16 pm
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Post Re: 3-Day Weekend Estimates (July 1-3)
Good numbers for Transformers eventhough I know some are still gonna call it underwhelming. Atleast it looks like this one will have great legs and is guranteed to gross $300M+ domestic and may even reach as high $350M. Cars 2 had the most brutal drop of the weekend and it looks like it will struggle crossing $200M. Maybe now Pixar will think twice before greenlighting anymore unessecary sequels. Bad Teacher fell hard as well, but that cinemascore from last week showed that wom was already pretty bad on this one and with so many other comedies coming out it's not going too far past $90M. $100M is deffentially not happening at this point.


Sun Jul 03, 2011 12:18 pm
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Sbil

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Post Re: 3-Day Weekend Estimates (July 1-3)
Yeah, Bad Teacher looks headed for about $95M. Still a great performance.


Sun Jul 03, 2011 12:36 pm
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Cream of the Crop

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Post Re: 3-Day Weekend Estimates (July 1-3)
so a little over 180 milliom for the 6.5 days... phenominal.

I KNEW it would come nowhere close to that ridiculas MTC number. They were smoking crack when they predicted 138 million 6 days....

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Sun Jul 03, 2011 12:37 pm
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Post Re: 3-Day Weekend Estimates (July 1-3)
http://www.boxoffice.com/statistics/bo_ ... 2011-07-03

Most estimates are up...

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Sun Jul 03, 2011 12:38 pm
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Post Re: 3-Day Weekend Estimates (July 1-3)
So TF3 delivers the biggest opening weekend of the year despite burning of $65m of demand mid-week...

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Sun Jul 03, 2011 12:41 pm
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Post Re: 3-Day Weekend Estimates (July 1-3)
Bryan_smith wrote:
so a little over 180 milliom for the 6.5 days... phenominal.

Almost as good as Spiderman 2, which did the exact same amount in 6 days (no previews).

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Sun Jul 03, 2011 12:42 pm
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Post Re: 3-Day Weekend Estimates (July 1-3)
According to Variety, Paramount's 4-day estimates (for now) is $116.1m for TF3...

http://www.variety.com/article/VR1118039400

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Sun Jul 03, 2011 12:45 pm
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Post Re: 3-Day Weekend Estimates (July 1-3)
18.7 million Monday seems reasonable..

181 million 6-day, with TF2 legs that is 337 million.

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Sun Jul 03, 2011 12:50 pm
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Post Re: 3-Day Weekend Estimates (July 1-3)
Has it ever happened before that THREE movies crossed the $100m mark in a single weekend (SUPER 8 on Thursday being the FOURTH one if only weekend charts matter)?

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Sun Jul 03, 2011 12:52 pm
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Post Re: 3-Day Weekend Estimates (July 1-3)
According to this article, the expected overseas gross Through Monday should be around 225 million plus 181 million domestic for a 406 million 6-day opening. :shock:
http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/b ... ark-207883

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Sun Jul 03, 2011 1:02 pm
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Post Re: 3-Day Weekend Estimates (July 1-3)
Pixar's 2nd weekend drops:

-27.2 % Monsters. Inc.
-28.7 % Incredibles
-30.8 % TS1 (post-TG)
-33.7 % Finding Nemo
-35.2 % Up
-43.9 % Cars
-44.8 % Ratatouille
-46.2 % TS3
-48.4 % Bug's Life (post-TG)
-48.5 % Wall-E
-51.6 % TS2 (post-TG)
-62.0 % Cars 2

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Sun Jul 03, 2011 1:04 pm
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Post Re: 3-Day Weekend Estimates (July 1-3)
2 stories from this weekend are.

Cars 2 doing far worse then expected.

Tf3 opens to original expectations but did extremely well considering its low mid week opening.

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Sun Jul 03, 2011 1:07 pm
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Sbil

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Post Re: 3-Day Weekend Estimates (July 1-3)
Superb opening for Transformers. Certainly much less frontloaded than the second film was.

Cars 2's plunge is pretty severe, no getting around that. Same for Bad Teacher, although I think that can recover even with Horrible Bosses opening.

Larry Crowne's opening isn't awful (especially considering the low $30M budget) but it's still not as good as it could/should have been. Tom and Julia would've been able to open that to $30M on their names alone ten years ago...but names alone isn't good enough these days, the product actually has to look roundly appealing.

Bland start for Monte Carlo.

Super 8 is still doing quite well. Green Lantern got crushed again, however. Mr. Popper's Penguins is having a run best described as "quiet."

Another phenomenal drop for Bridesmaids in the face of a big theater loss. It could squeak past $165M when all is said and done. Amazing.

Speaking of amazing, Midnight in Paris continues to impress. The PTA is still over $4,000, a pretty big accomplishment. Hannah and Her Sisters' record will go down soon.


Sun Jul 03, 2011 1:12 pm
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Post Re: 3-Day Weekend Estimates (July 1-3)
This is an ugly 3day weekend in general, everything had larger than expected drops. TF3 is about doing the norm (Better IM) thanks to the lower opening day. Interesting tidbit, since 02 when we had our first 100 million opener, every year has had at least 1 before July hit. Is Potter and Twilight Wednesday openers?

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Sun Jul 03, 2011 2:23 pm
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Post Re: 3-Day Weekend Estimates (July 1-3)
KFP2's performance is just sad and embarrassing for an animated flick of its kind... Cars 2 ain't looking much better so far either.


Sun Jul 03, 2011 2:34 pm
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Post Re: 3-Day Weekend Estimates (July 1-3)
who would have thought Cars 2 and KFP2 would end up below 400 million combined??? lol

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Sun Jul 03, 2011 2:38 pm
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Post Re: 3-Day Weekend Estimates (July 1-3)
be.redy wrote:
KFP2's performance is just sad and embarrassing for an animated flick of its kind... Cars 2 ain't looking much better so far either.

KFP2's performance is even sadder because it was actually a great movie. :(


Sun Jul 03, 2011 3:17 pm
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Post Re: 3-Day Weekend Estimates (July 1-3)
Terrible for Cars 2. It won't reach $200 million like this.

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Sun Jul 03, 2011 5:26 pm
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Post Re: 3-Day Weekend Estimates (July 1-3)
Damn! TF3 has rebounded nicely after it's first shitty 2.2 days.
It just may top 300m :D

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Sun Jul 03, 2011 5:29 pm
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Post Re: 3-Day Weekend Estimates (July 1-3)
Really great hold for BRIDESMAIDS, and of course MIDNIGHT IN PARIS.


Sun Jul 03, 2011 6:38 pm
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Post Re: 3-Day Weekend Estimates (July 1-3)
Corpse wrote:
Terrible for Cars 2. It won't reach $200 million like this.


Unless it starts displaying some mid-week strength and good holds next weekend, it will be demolished by Harry Potter.

I'm actually hoping this doens't gross $200m, it'll break that Pixar streak of good grosses (yes, the original Cars actually had a good gross i thought).

Kung Fu Panda 2 performance is just terrible, at this rate it won't even make $170m, which is even lower than Madagascar. So much for a new animated franchise, i wonder if Despicable Me 2 will suffer the same fate.

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Sun Jul 03, 2011 10:33 pm
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Post Re: 3-Day Weekend Estimates (July 1-3)
Rev wrote:
Damn! TF3 has rebounded nicely after it's first shitty 2.2 days.
It just may top 300m :D


TF3 has 1 more week to do what it's going to do before CAPTAIN AMERICA Crushes it and it will..

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Mon Jul 04, 2011 8:17 am
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