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jmovies
Let's Call It A Bromance
Joined: Tue Aug 07, 2007 7:22 pm
Posts: 12333
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 Which of these July "surprises" is most likely? Time for the third summer entry. Choose one above.
I'm going with Harry Potter's opening weekend is over $160 million.
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| Sat Jun 18, 2011 6:29 pm |
 
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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Re: Which of these July "surprises" is most likely? Cowboys & Aliens over $200m.
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| Sat Jun 18, 2011 6:49 pm |
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Jedi Master Carr
Extraordinary
Joined: Fri Nov 11, 2005 9:51 pm
Posts: 11637
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Re: Which of these July "surprises" is most likely? zingy wrote: Cowboys & Aliens over $200m. Seconded, I thought I about Potter for 160 but just think it will do in the 150-155 range.
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| Sat Jun 18, 2011 6:58 pm |
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Speevy
Veteran
Joined: Wed May 11, 2005 9:12 am
Posts: 3139
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Re: Which of these July "surprises" is most likely? I have to go with Larry Crowne over 115 million. Yes, Julia Roberts and Tom Hank's star powers aren't what they were 15 years ago, but Eat Pray Love did make 81 million dollars last summer. Looks like some nice counterprogramiing to Transformers and the other big budget blockbusters.
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| Sat Jun 18, 2011 7:02 pm |
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Brian
Ocarina of Time
Joined: Mon Aug 02, 2010 1:21 pm
Posts: 7951
Location: Hyrule
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Re: Which of these July "surprises" is most likely? I'm going with Harry Potter's opening weekend is over $160 million , it is the most likely surprise of the list
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| Sat Jun 18, 2011 8:22 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Re: Which of these July "surprises" is most likely? Would The Smurfs grossing more than Yogi Bear be a surprise? Because I definitely expect that to happen.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Sat Jun 18, 2011 9:35 pm |
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SolC9
Forum General
Joined: Fri Jun 24, 2005 11:11 pm
Posts: 7196
Location: Wisconsin
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Re: Which of these July "surprises" is most likely? I think Smurfs is going to completely bomb. I would love to see Potter beat the opening weekend record, and I'll be rooting for it. But I think Larry Crowne making 115M is most likely.
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| Sat Jun 18, 2011 10:24 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36949
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Re: Which of these July "surprises" is most likely? Very good choices
I think Potter has a chance for $80m OD and might be insanely frontloaded for $160m OW as well, Horrible Bosses I predict at $150m so there is an outside shot for $160m, given BKB's curse, superhero overload and WW2 theme CA can end up being the lowest grossing superhero movie, though my choice is....
The Smurfs grosses over Yogi Bear, Cars 2 would be already a month old and the next competition this has will be in Spy Kids (which I don't predict to be huge) on its 3rd weekend, so I see it having good holds and get an IM of 5.
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| Sat Jun 18, 2011 11:29 pm |
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2001
Another You
Joined: Mon Apr 30, 2007 5:38 am
Posts: 4556
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Re: Which of these July "surprises" is most likely? Captain America over 200m+ and Larry Crowne 115m+. HP7 Pt.2 breaking the OW record would hardly be a surprise though a 375m+ end total would shock me.
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| Sun Jun 19, 2011 12:21 am |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am
Posts: 23386
Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: Which of these July "surprises" is most likely? Actually this month there are quite a few of these that could happen. CA and C&A can both do $200m. Larry Crowne looks like it can break out among older adults. Smurfs should also breakout. Bosses and Crazy could also breakout.
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| Sun Jun 19, 2011 1:43 am |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 40597
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Re: Which of these July "surprises" is most likely? Smurfs over Yogi Bear sticks out there to me as something that is not only more likely to happen than the rest, but something I'd predict
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| Sun Jun 19, 2011 2:11 am |
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Michael A
Joined: Sat Dec 27, 2008 4:48 am
Posts: 6245
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Re: Which of these July "surprises" is most likely? I actually went with Horrible Bosses over 160m, I just like the feel of it. I'm not predicting a hangover or anything, but I think a big ensemble comedy that really looks (somewhat) original in humor and construction, but still not too weird, will be huge.
I don't see larry crowne at all, 75m at best, and smurfs looks like a bomb to me.
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| Sun Jun 19, 2011 5:20 am |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm
Posts: 12197
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Re: Which of these July "surprises" is most likely? Smurfs will get past $100 m. It isn't just a family movie release. It has the nostalgia factor at play and that can have huge potential (ex. Scooby Doo).
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| Sun Jun 19, 2011 10:39 am |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
Posts: 48678
Location: Arlington, VA
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Re: Which of these July "surprises" is most likely? O wrote: Smurfs will get past $100 m. It isn't just a family movie release. It has the nostalgia factor at play and that can have huge potential (ex. Scooby Doo). Yeah, but look at what happened to the Rocky & Bullwinkle movie.
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| Sun Jun 19, 2011 10:40 am |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Re: Which of these July "surprises" is most likely? True, but Alvin, Scooby Doo and even Yogi Bear (for whioch, I think, $100+ million is more than solid) are enough examples that it usually works out just fine.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Sun Jun 19, 2011 10:41 am |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm
Posts: 6786
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Re: Which of these July "surprises" is most likely? LOL Jmovies being a potter loonie has only positive events for potter. I guess DH2 missing 300M is not a surprise. I am thinking similar numbers to DH1.
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| Sun Jun 19, 2011 11:32 am |
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2001
Another You
Joined: Mon Apr 30, 2007 5:38 am
Posts: 4556
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Re: Which of these July "surprises" is most likely? Keyser Söze wrote: LOL Jmovies being a potter loonie has only positive events for potter. I guess DH2 missing 300M is not a surprise. I am thinking similar numbers to DH1. 300m+ will def. happen but I'm thinking a sub-HP1 end total for HP7 Pt.2 can be a possible surprise.
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| Sun Jun 19, 2011 11:57 am |
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jmovies
Let's Call It A Bromance
Joined: Tue Aug 07, 2007 7:22 pm
Posts: 12333
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Re: Which of these July "surprises" is most likely? Keyser Söze wrote: LOL Jmovies being a potter loonie has only positive events for potter. I guess DH2 missing 300M is not a surprise. I am thinking similar numbers to DH1. How can it miss $300M though with IMAX and 3D? The admissions drop off would be too much.
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| Sun Jun 19, 2011 1:59 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 35249
Location: Minnesota
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Re: Which of these July "surprises" is most likely? The Smurfs grosses over Yogi Bear
How would this not happen?
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| Sun Jun 19, 2011 2:10 pm |
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