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Barrabás
llegó a la casa vía marítima
Joined: Sun Aug 05, 2007 4:53 pm
Posts: 6332
Location: la gran casa de la esquina
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 Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part II OW record club I know it's super-early, but I want to be the first who makes this club, and I hope someone bumps it by the time this is released. I'm not even sure I'll be on this site, but whatever.
The HP franchise is absolutely massive. All the fans will rush out to see this on OW in Summer 2011, it's the "real" ending to the HP series, since I doubt another movie series will ever be made until 2100 or something. Ahem.
Casual viewers will also watch it, i mean, it's the ending of one of the biggest (and certainly the most consistent) franchises ever, the last time we get to see many beloved characters on-screen, etc, etc. The marketing will be through the roof, it won't suffer from Reloaded/Revolutions simply because Matrix's fanbase isn't nearly as large as HP's, and Deathly Hallows I won't get a horrible reaction (so far no HP has recieved a negative reaction so there's no reason to assume Part 7 will). It will drop off horribly and might just go over a x2 multiplier, but 180-200m OW is not out of the question. It will smash past TDK or whatever holds the record by then.
Who's with me?
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| Thu Dec 11, 2008 10:31 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm
Posts: 6786
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Re: Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part II OW record club HP5 had the buzz surrounding Book 7 release and had great midnights but still could not even make SM3's OW in 5-days. I doubt it will do so in 2011 which looks to be a crowded marketplace. On Top of that it is opening during weekend before memorial. I think quite a few schools would still be in session and I would think families/young kids play a big part in HP opening.
If HP6 and HP7 show huge improvement over the trend we have seen so far then I might change my mind.
As of now I would say 130M max.
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| Thu Dec 11, 2008 11:05 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am
Posts: 23386
Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part II OW record club I think $140-145m or so would be the upper limit. When does Part 1 come out?
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| Fri Dec 12, 2008 12:38 am |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am
Posts: 22213
Location: Places
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Re: Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part II OW record club lol, yes, it will break the current record, but by then (in 3-4 years) i doubt itll still be at 158.
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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| Fri Dec 12, 2008 12:51 am |
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Biggestgeekever
I heet the canadian!
Joined: Mon Jan 23, 2006 12:58 am
Posts: 5192
Location: The Great _______
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Re: Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part II OW record c Mmm, after the latest trailer, I'm in. It does away with much of the problems I've had with the marketing so far, and will bring in casual viewers, at least initially. Low 3D share or not, the OW record will go down. $165m! 
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| Fri Jun 17, 2011 6:31 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Re: Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part II OW record c Excel wrote: lol, yes, it will break the current record, but by then (in 3-4 years) i doubt itll still be at 158. Heh, it still is. _________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Fri Jun 17, 2011 9:21 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36949
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Re: Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part II OW record c I wasn't even following BO so long back  I'm OUT. I see it doing $145m-$150m, with the max of $155m
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| Fri Jun 17, 2011 10:19 pm |
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Brian
Ocarina of Time
Joined: Mon Aug 02, 2010 1:21 pm
Posts: 7951
Location: Hyrule
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Re: Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part II OW record c Can't believe The Dark Knight has been holding that record for 3 years without 3D,,, amazing
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| Fri Jun 17, 2011 10:27 pm |
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Biggestgeekever
I heet the canadian!
Joined: Mon Jan 23, 2006 12:58 am
Posts: 5192
Location: The Great _______
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Re: Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part II OW record c Dr. Lecter wrote: Excel wrote: lol, yes, it will break the current record, but by then (in 3-4 years) i doubt itll still be at 158. Heh, it still is. Dark Knight's record really is amazing considering nothing has come even close, and unlike Spider-Man, there's no movies that would have broken it with a Friday release (I suppose Transformers 2 is debatable, but I highly doubt it would have gotten it).
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| Fri Jun 17, 2011 10:33 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am
Posts: 32629
Location: the last free city
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Re: Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part II OW record c I'm in  if the opening date stays on friday
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| Fri Jun 17, 2011 10:38 pm |
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2001
Another You
Joined: Mon Apr 30, 2007 5:38 am
Posts: 4556
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Re: Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part II OW record c If TF3 ends up being really huge in 3D, this will happen.
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| Fri Jun 17, 2011 11:16 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36949
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Re: Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part II OW record c Actually Transformers releasing so close to its OW and being will hurt its chance more than do good...probably we can gauge the insane 3D ratio HP will get in its OW, still I don't see this one increasing hugely in admissions from HP7.1, do remember inflation is a non-factor and then IMAX boost will be taken over by 3D boost.
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| Sat Jun 18, 2011 2:34 am |
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MARVEL_ROCKS
Forum General
Joined: Sun Mar 11, 2007 6:11 pm
Posts: 8202
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Re: Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part II OW record c IN.
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| Sat Jun 18, 2011 4:53 am |
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Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm
Posts: 37162
Location: The Graveyard
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Re: Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part II OW record c Also in.
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| Sat Jun 18, 2011 1:25 pm |
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Nazgul9
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 12:32 pm
Posts: 11289
Location: Germany
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Re: Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part II OW record c Not gonna happen, even with an $75m opening day.
With DH1 percentage drops:
Fri: $75m
Sat: $46m (-38%)
Sun: $30m (-34%)
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WKND: $151m
Since DH1 was in November and DH2 in July, the latter will probaly drop more on Saturday but less on Sunday.
Fri: $75m
Sat: $43m (-42%)
Sun: $32m (-25%)
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WKND: $150m
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| Sat Jun 18, 2011 2:12 pm |
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Jedi Master Carr
Extraordinary
Joined: Fri Nov 11, 2005 9:51 pm
Posts: 11637
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Re: Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part II OW record c I am out at the moment, I see 152 million. I think it can take the OD record.
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| Sat Jun 18, 2011 3:51 pm |
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