I totally agree that any bad reviews will have little to no impact on OW numbers. People will still go see it.

The film's distributor, Warner Bros., is estimating that the sequel will gross between $90 million and $100 million over the five-day holiday period. But tracking on the movie is so strong that others in Hollywood who have seen pre-release audience surveys think it will bow with well over $100 million, with estimates ranging from $125 million to as much as $160 million in the U.S. and Canada.

http://latimesblogs.latimes.com/entertainmentnewsbuzz/

The first was an absolute monster on DVD/Blu-Ray, so the potential for something so monstrous is certainly there... But 160mil would be a bigger 5-day total than any Potter film....

My initial prediction was 153.1 Million. Maybe I should have stuck with that.

5-day-
Hangover- 107.8m
Panda- 107.5m

http://www.filmgasm.com/blog

Wrap: NRG males under 25 94% awareness 72% definite interest 36% first choice for [HNOV2]; low 4-quad first choice for [PAND2]

http://www.thewrap.com/movies/article/b ... tart-27717

Another article touting that Hangover might beat the Matrix Reloaded's OW record... I would seriously do a dance of joy if that happened.

There are numerous articles suggesting a relatively soft opening for Panda, but I'm going with my gut on this one.

BoxOffice predictions:

$129m H2
$101m KFP2

http://www.boxoffice.com/featured_stori ... fu-panda-2

"As of 4 p.m. PT, Fandango.com is reporting that The Hangover Part II is responsible for a dominant 82% of daily sales."

That is fucking HUGE.

And I agree with you Rolling Thunder, I do think tracking is going to be way off on Panda and could get into 9 digit territory.

Hangover Betting Lines from Interloops

110 or less = 4-1

110 - 125 = 2.5 - 1

125 - 140 = 2.5 to 1

140 or more = 3.25 to 1

According to this 125 is the favorite

I like those numbers from BO and while I don't see TH2 being that big over Friday-Monday, I see KFP2 to do very close to what they are predicting

25m+ for Hangover 2(including midnights):

http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/box-office-report-hangover-part-192691

25m+ for Hangover 2(including midnights):

http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/box-office-report-hangover-part-192691

Scottie's Predictions
The Turk's Predictions

Each a little different, let them know what you think!

wow - stepping out there on hangover

Im surprised by those predictions, especially Scotties. Its been obvious for some time HGVR2 would be bigger than Panda and much larger than predicted.

By the way my predictions for Kung Fu Panda(78.7M), and the Hangover (73.7M), were for May 27- 30 (4- day) and did not include opening day numbers for both. My 5-day Predictions were 91.9M for Kung Fu Panda 2, and 102.1M for The Hangover Part 2. I was thinking the MTC tracking numbers for both movies were a little off, like they are sometimes are. For me the strong tracking for Hangover was only indicating it would have a very strong opening day, and that it would drop off over the first five days similar to what Sex in the City 2 (by the way tracking was over estimating Sex in the City 2, if I recalled right last year), did over Memorial Weekend last year, but with about double the box office total of Sex in the City 2 over the same amount of time. It looks now I was wrong about The Hangover after see the that friday drop was much smaller than Sex in the City 2 had last year. As for Kung Fu Panda, I thought tracking was just under estimating a movie for kids, like they sometimes do, also being that opening day was a school day, I was expecting opening day for Kung Fu Panda 2 to be less than half of The Hangover Part 2 opening day, but what surprised me that Kung Fu Panda 2 day opening was less than 20% of The Hangover's opening day. My predictions were base on The Hangover having a strong Thursday & Friday and Kung Fu Panda having a strong Saturday, Sunday and Monday.