[BRDSM] low 20s [PRIEST] slightly higher low 20s [PIRT4] 100 million [HNOV2] mid-to-high 80s 5 day [PAND2] 120 mil 5 day {nm}.
I am really suprised that tracking on Priest has been this strong considering I haven't heard anything positive about it, but this is RS afterall and I will take it with a gran of salt.
Last edited by Dil on Sun May 01, 2011 9:55 pm, edited 1 time in total.
[BRDSM] low 20s [PRIEST] slightly higher low 20s [PIRT4] 100 million [HNOV2] mid-to-high 80s 5 day [PAND2] 120 mil 5 day {nm}
I'm sure some of the futures will be wrong, but all of these are looking solid - particularly KFP2.
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Sun May 01, 2011 9:54 pm
David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am Posts: 34865 Location: Maryland
Re: May 6-8 Predictions
In Priest's defense, it has a fairly sharp trailer (as far as this type of movie goes). And the trailer has been playing in front of loads of movies for months. It could bring in a solid percentage of the Resident Evil-y crowd.
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1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game
Sun May 01, 2011 10:28 pm
Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36949
Re: May 6-8 Predictions
Hmm high-50's is just OK for Thor....Bad for the other openers
True and some of my friends do want to see it, but I just can't get over of how all the signs point it to being another Sucker Punch. It has really low twitter activity and yet it's still tracking high on RS.
Sun May 01, 2011 10:49 pm
Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 35249 Location: Minnesota
Re: May 6-8 Predictions
Gunslinger wrote:
In Priest's defense, it has a fairly sharp trailer (as far as this type of movie goes). And the trailer has been playing in front of loads of movies for months. It could bring in a solid percentage of the Resident Evil-y crowd.
Really? I think the trailer sucks. But the people I saw Battle: LA with thought it looked good when they showed the trailer. I really won't be surprised by a 20 Million opening.
Really? I think the trailer sucks. But the people I saw Battle: LA with thought it looked good when they showed the trailer. I really won't be surprised by a 20 Million opening.
Same exact thing happend to me. When I saw Battle:LA that was the first time I saw the trailer in theatres and right after one of my friends says" I have to see that". I seriously don't get the mass appeal eventhough I do have mad respect for Paul Bettany and Karl Urban is pretty damn awesome aswell. It's just that this movie really doesn't look that good at all cmon it's from the director of Legion.
Mon May 02, 2011 12:19 am
David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am Posts: 34865 Location: Maryland
Re: May 6-8 Predictions
Legion was terrible, indeed. Not sure what happened to Bettany after Master and Commander. His wife's career has nosedived, too.
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Mon May 02, 2011 12:20 am
Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 35249 Location: Minnesota
Re: May 6-8 Predictions
wrongturn687 wrote:
Really? I think the trailer sucks. But the people I saw Battle: LA with thought it looked good when they showed the trailer. I really won't be surprised by a 20 Million opening.
Same exact thing happend to me. When I saw Battle:LA that was the first time I saw the trailer in theatres and right after one of my friends says" I have to see that". I seriously don't get the mass appeal eventhough I do have mad respect for Paul Bettany and Karl Urban is pretty damn awesome aswell. It's just that this movie really doesn't look that good at all cmon it's from the director of Legion.
That's the same thing that happened to me. So I guess some people will see it .
You know the sad thing is it's the same group of friends that suckered me into seeing Legion in theatres last year which I will admit I thought looked kinda fun in a really campy, stupid way, but I had no intention of seeing it in theatres. That ain't happening again and hopefully if everything goes right this week we will be seeing THOR this weekend instead.
Mon May 02, 2011 12:29 am
MovieDude
Where will you be?
Joined: Tue Dec 21, 2004 4:50 am Posts: 11675
Re: May 6-8 Predictions
With movies like Priest tend to get 90% of their gross from 3D (see Resident Evil and Pirahna 3D), a characteristically slick ad campaign by Sony, MUCH cooler visuals than Legion, and a nice open weekend in the beginning of the summer I see no reason why Legion can't scrounge up over 20 million.
Mon May 02, 2011 1:32 am
MovieDude
Where will you be?
Joined: Tue Dec 21, 2004 4:50 am Posts: 11675
Re: May 6-8 Predictions
Oh and Thor 64 million Something Borrowed 14 million Jumping the Broom 8 million
The only use RS has is for the MTC > RS rule (which got proven right again last weekend with F5). Future RS is the most useless tracking available.
Is Future RS actually based on any tangible data, or is it strictly their guess?
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Mon May 02, 2011 9:21 am
Goldsheet
Full Fledged Member
Joined: Mon May 02, 2011 2:57 pm Posts: 59
Re: May 6-8 Predictions
Thor - 50
Just not seeing the wide appeal + expecting some fast5 carryover to have an impact on the Thor audience
Mon May 02, 2011 3:09 pm
Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 35249 Location: Minnesota
Re: May 6-8 Predictions
1. THOR - 61.5 MILLION (New) 2. FAST FIVE - 28.4 MILLION (-67%) 3. SOMETHING BORROWED - 14.4 MILLION (New) 4. RIO - 9.6 MILLION (-35%) 5. JUMPING THE BROOM - 9.1 MILLION (New) 6. WATER FOR ELEPHANTS - 6.7 MILLION (-28%) 7. MADEA'S BIG HAPPY FAMILY - 4.4 MILLION (-55%) 8. PROM - 2.9 MILLION (-38%) 9. HOODWINKED TOO! - 2.8 MILLION (-32%) 10. SOUL SURFER - 2.4 MILLION (-29%)
Mon May 02, 2011 4:07 pm
Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm Posts: 48678 Location: Arlington, VA
Not that I expected Something Borrowed to do anything but with that tracking it could yet go under 10 and it has a 0% currently.
Sucker Punch though expected by many, flopped, so did Red Riding Hood, both which were supposed to be new original takes.
Either than those they had Hall Pass which was not a comeback for the Farelly Bros, Unknown which was no Taken, but is WBs highest grossing film so far and both Rite, which lost money domestically but did surprisingly well overseas and Arthur which will also lose money domestically.
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Mon May 02, 2011 5:27 pm
Jedi Master Carr
Extraordinary
Joined: Fri Nov 11, 2005 9:51 pm Posts: 11637
Re: May 6-8 Predictions
Well WB still has Potter, Hangover 2, and Lantern so they should be okay.
Mon May 02, 2011 5:52 pm
Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 35249 Location: Minnesota
Re: May 6-8 Predictions
I can't see Something Borrowed going below 11 Million. Not with Mother's Day. There needs to be a female movie for them to get behind on this weekend.
As for WB, Crazy, Stupid, Love will probably do 80 Million, so that will help a bit.
Mon May 02, 2011 6:01 pm
Michael A
Joined: Sat Dec 27, 2008 4:48 am Posts: 6245
Re: May 6-8 Predictions
Magnus wrote:
The only use RS has is for the MTC > RS rule (which got proven right again last weekend with F5). Future RS is the most useless tracking available.
It was almost deadly on but so was twitter, apparently F5 was just an easy movie to track.
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Malcolm wrote:
You seem to think threatening violence against people is perfectly okay because you feel offended by their words, so that's kind of telling in itself.
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Mon May 02, 2011 6:03 pm
David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am Posts: 34865 Location: Maryland
Re: May 6-8 Predictions
This is already selling out weekend showings at a theatre I go to:
It's a religious movie, though one from a fairly acclaimed filmmaker. Hardly Fireproof.
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Mon May 02, 2011 6:13 pm
Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 35249 Location: Minnesota
Re: May 6-8 Predictions
That's probably looking at at least 200 theaters this weekend. It's from the same studio as Fireproof (Opened in 839 theaters), To Save A Life (Opened in 441 theaters), and The Grace Card (Opened in 352 theaters).
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