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STEVE ROGERS
The Greatest Avenger EVER
Joined: Fri Oct 29, 2004 4:02 am
Posts: 18501
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 MARVEL'S "The AVENGERS" In 3D Will DESTROY TDKR At The B.O Yes, that does seem like a random number to come up with, but since TDK made 533 Million Domestically, I'm saying The AVENGERS will beat it, even with the 3D aspect to, plus it is truly the 1st of it's kind showcasing all these superheroes on 1 screen.. The marketing is strong obviously with hints in current MARVEL movies and the upcoming THOR and CAPTAIN AMERICA.. I just can't imagine this not making a boatload of $$$$$$$$ Who's in??? 
_________________http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2dmXF3CE04A This kills TDKR At the box office next summer.. Get used to this
Last edited by STEVE ROGERS on Tue Jan 24, 2012 3:58 pm, edited 8 times in total.
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| Sat Feb 12, 2011 3:13 pm |
 
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David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am
Posts: 34865
Location: Maryland
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Re: The AVENGERS 540 Million Domestic Thread Magnus wrote: This thread does not require the following detailed analysis, but here it goes:
Original Iron Man made 318.5m in 2008. Four years of base inflation (i.e. inflation on just average non-3D tickets, so at 3% a year) and we're at like 358.5m. Now add in 3D effect.
Let's say 75% of gross is in 3D/IMAX, and that average 3D/IMAX boost is at 30% (not all 3D tickets are 30% higher than normal, but IMAX tickets are so). So...
358.5m * .75 * 1.3 = 349.5m + .25 * 358.5m = 439m.
At ABSOLUTE MAX, I see a 10% increase in admissions from Avengers to Iron Man, which puts it MAXIMUM total at 483m.
So in short, this club is going to fail.  _________________   1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game
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| Sat Feb 12, 2011 4:28 pm |
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PresidentPalmer
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Thu Jun 16, 2005 2:34 am
Posts: 1956
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Re: The AVENGERS 540 Million Domestic Thread You really need to stop making clubs BKB every time u start a club u doom the movie.
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| Sun Feb 13, 2011 2:10 am |
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movies35
Forum General
Joined: Thu Nov 11, 2004 1:53 pm
Posts: 8627
Location: Syracuse, NY
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Re: The AVENGERS 540 Million Domestic Thread BOMBS AWAY
_________________
Top 10 Films of 2016
1. La La Land
2. Other People
3. Nocturnal Animals
4. Swiss Army Man
5. Manchester by the Sea
6. The Edge of Seventeen
7. Sing Street
8. Indignation
9. The Lobster
10. Hell or High Water
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| Sun Feb 13, 2011 2:13 am |
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STEVE ROGERS
The Greatest Avenger EVER
Joined: Fri Oct 29, 2004 4:02 am
Posts: 18501
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Re: The AVENGERS 540 Million Domestic Thread PresidentPalmer wrote: You really need to stop making clubs BKB every time u start a club u doom the movie. _________________http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2dmXF3CE04A This kills TDKR At the box office next summer.. Get used to this
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| Sun Feb 13, 2011 4:53 am |
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STEVE ROGERS
The Greatest Avenger EVER
Joined: Fri Oct 29, 2004 4:02 am
Posts: 18501
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Re: The AVENGERS 540 Million Domestic Thread Magnus wrote: This thread does not require the following detailed analysis, but here it goes:
Original Iron Man made 318.5m in 2008. Four years of base inflation (i.e. inflation on just average non-3D tickets, so at 3% a year) and we're at like 358.5m. Now add in 3D effect.
Let's say 75% of gross is in 3D/IMAX, and that average 3D/IMAX boost is at 30% (not all 3D tickets are 30% higher than normal, but IMAX tickets are so). So...
358.5m * .75 * 1.3 = 349.5m + .25 * 358.5m = 439m.
At ABSOLUTE MAX, I see a 10% increase in admissions from Avengers to Iron Man, which puts it MAXIMUM total at 483m.
So in short, this club is going to fail.  There's always a chance since this movie is a 1st of it's kind much like how original AVATAR was coming out of the gate.. Moviegoers are going to flock to this in droves and you know it.._________________http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2dmXF3CE04A This kills TDKR At the box office next summer.. Get used to this
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| Sun Feb 13, 2011 4:57 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36949
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Re: The AVENGERS 540 Million Domestic Thread BKB can you please pass you OW numbers for this ? Or you are expecting monster legs ? As of now I don't see any. To cross or even come close to TDK this needs a much needed hype or probably they can spread the rumor that Robert Downey Jr. died so that people will flock on this. Since none of these are going to happen I don't see this club passing.
The argument of Avatar does apply, still Avatar was "considerably original" and had JC's direction (NOT ATTACHMENT) after coming back from Titanic helped the movie a lot. These were pretty big factors in Avatar's success. The target demo for this movie are mostly the action seekers and though the ensemble could be great I don't see the movie reaching the expected heights.
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| Sun Feb 13, 2011 5:29 am |
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STEVE ROGERS
The Greatest Avenger EVER
Joined: Fri Oct 29, 2004 4:02 am
Posts: 18501
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Re: The AVENGERS 540 Million Domestic Thread Jack Sparrow wrote: BKB can you please pass you OW numbers for this ? Or you are expecting monster legs ? As of now I don't see any. To cross or even come close to TDK this needs a much needed hype or probably they can spread the rumor that Robert Downey Jr. died so that people will flock on this. Since none of these are going to happen I don't see this club passing.
The argument of Avatar does apply, still Avatar was "considerably original" and had JC's direction (NOT ATTACHMENT) after coming back from Titanic helped the movie a lot. These were pretty big factors in Avatar's success. The target demo for this movie are mostly the action seekers and though the ensemble could be great I don't see the movie reaching the expected heights. _________________http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2dmXF3CE04A This kills TDKR At the box office next summer.. Get used to this
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| Sun Feb 13, 2011 5:36 am |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm
Posts: 6786
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Re: The AVENGERS 540 Million Domestic Thread it wont make even half. Sub 200 for shu.
_________________
The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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| Sun Feb 13, 2011 5:48 am |
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Mr. R
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Mon Feb 20, 2006 3:19 pm
Posts: 2231
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Re: The AVENGERS 540 Million Domestic Thread 200 m. You can't put so many heroes on stage and not mess the things up. The audience will be confused.
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| Sun Feb 13, 2011 6:45 am |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am
Posts: 23386
Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: The AVENGERS 540 Million Domestic Thread I agree with Magnus' analysis. Which also means that this club isnt ridiculous as $480m isnt far off BKB's number. I'd join if its a $480m club.
_________________
What's your favourite movie summer? Let us know @
http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=85934
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| Sun Feb 13, 2011 9:50 am |
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Brian
Ocarina of Time
Joined: Mon Aug 02, 2010 1:21 pm
Posts: 7951
Location: Hyrule
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Re: The AVENGERS 540 Million Domestic Thread I predict that The Dark Knight Rises, Monsters Inc 2, and The Hobbit will be the top 3 highest grossing films of 2012, now I don´t see The Avangers crossing the 350m
_________________
Most Anticipated 2023
1. Super Mario Bros Movie
2. Rebel Moon
3. Mission Impossible Dead Reckoning Part 1
4. Oppenheimer
5. The Flash
6. Elemental
7. Aquaman 2
8. Dune Part 2
9. Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny
10. Blue Beetle
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| Sun Feb 13, 2011 10:44 am |
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Brian
Ocarina of Time
Joined: Mon Aug 02, 2010 1:21 pm
Posts: 7951
Location: Hyrule
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Re: The AVENGERS 540 Million Domestic Thread Dr. BK Banner wrote:
OW For The AVENGERS: 150 Million and it will have monster legs and enough to even hurt BATMAN 3 when it comes out 2 months later simply because BATMAN 3 will suffer the same fate as SPIDERMAN 3 did with the backlash of overabundance of villains you all complained about SPIDERMAN 3 having.. Christopher Nolan is not Sam Raimi,,,,, I am sure that Nolan won´t do a crap Batman film
_________________
Most Anticipated 2023
1. Super Mario Bros Movie
2. Rebel Moon
3. Mission Impossible Dead Reckoning Part 1
4. Oppenheimer
5. The Flash
6. Elemental
7. Aquaman 2
8. Dune Part 2
9. Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny
10. Blue Beetle
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| Sun Feb 13, 2011 10:52 am |
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BK
Forum General
Joined: Sun May 13, 2007 8:30 am
Posts: 7041
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Re: The AVENGERS 540 Million Domestic Thread Just like Shrek and Iron Man wouldn't decrease over the first gross-wise. This has every chance of making sub 300m and even sub 250m.
_________________
Calls
Ghost Rider + Clash of the Titans = 2x Wrath of the Titans + Ghost Rider 2
Lorax over Despicable Me
Men in Black 3 Under 100m
Madagascar 3 Under 100m
Rise of the Guardians over 250m
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| Sun Feb 13, 2011 1:24 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36949
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Re: The AVENGERS 540 Million Domestic Thread Lock is definitely a word used unnecessarily. It is too far for that prediction. You never know if the marketing sucks and would people be as interested in this one. 3D effect on grosses will definitely wear off after another year...so about 2 weeks of 3D would not really add huge numbers.
350m is not a lock but still likely (and not even highly likely)
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| Sat Feb 19, 2011 11:25 pm |
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STEVE ROGERS
The Greatest Avenger EVER
Joined: Fri Oct 29, 2004 4:02 am
Posts: 18501
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Re: The AVENGERS 540 Million Domestic Thread Jack Sparrow wrote: Lock is definitely a word used unnecessarily. It is too far for that prediction. You never know if the marketing sucks and would people be as interested in this one. 3D effect on grosses will definitely wear off after another year...so about 2 weeks of 3D would not really add huge numbers.
350m is not a lock but still likely (and not even highly likely) _________________http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2dmXF3CE04A This kills TDKR At the box office next summer.. Get used to this
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| Mon Feb 21, 2011 3:01 am |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am
Posts: 23386
Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: The AVENGERS 540 Million Domestic Thread bryanbmp wrote: I predict that The Dark Knight Rises, Monsters Inc 2, and The Hobbit will be the top 3 highest grossing films of 2012, now I don´t see The Avangers crossing the 350m I'd go.... 1. The Hobbit - $510m 2. The Dark Knight Rises - $505m 3. The Avengers - $407m 4. Monsters Inc 2 - $350m _________________
What's your favourite movie summer? Let us know @
http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=85934
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| Mon Feb 21, 2011 10:14 am |
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STEVE ROGERS
The Greatest Avenger EVER
Joined: Fri Oct 29, 2004 4:02 am
Posts: 18501
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Re: The AVENGERS 540 Million Domestic Thread MadGez wrote: bryanbmp wrote: I predict that The Dark Knight Rises, Monsters Inc 2, and The Hobbit will be the top 3 highest grossing films of 2012, now I don´t see The Avangers crossing the 350m I'd go.... 1. The Hobbit - $510m 2. The Dark Knight Rises - $505m 3. The Avengers - $407m 4. Monsters Inc 2 - $350m _________________http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2dmXF3CE04A This kills TDKR At the box office next summer.. Get used to this
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| Mon Feb 21, 2011 1:27 pm |
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Brian
Ocarina of Time
Joined: Mon Aug 02, 2010 1:21 pm
Posts: 7951
Location: Hyrule
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Re: The AVENGERS 540 Million Domestic Thread now My Predictions:
Top 10:
1. The Dark Knight Rises (WB): 560m (if it is released in imax and 3D)
2. The Hobbit (WB): 450m (same 3D plus imax)
3. Monsters Inc. 2 (BV): 420m (3D plus imax)
4. The Avangers (BV): 340m (3D plus imax)
5. John Carter Of Mars (BV): 335m (3D plus imax)
6. Brave (BV): 325m (3D plus imax)
7. Spiderman (Sony): 320 (3D plus imax)
8. Twilight 4.2 (Summit): 315m
9. Star Trek (Paramount): 310m
10. Men in Black (Sony): 295m
easyly one of the most promising years of movies
the year of disney and warner
_________________
Most Anticipated 2023
1. Super Mario Bros Movie
2. Rebel Moon
3. Mission Impossible Dead Reckoning Part 1
4. Oppenheimer
5. The Flash
6. Elemental
7. Aquaman 2
8. Dune Part 2
9. Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny
10. Blue Beetle
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| Mon Feb 21, 2011 2:35 pm |
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STEVE ROGERS
The Greatest Avenger EVER
Joined: Fri Oct 29, 2004 4:02 am
Posts: 18501
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Re: The AVENGERS 540 Million Domestic Thread bryanbmp wrote: now My Predictions:
Top 10:
1. The Dark Knight Rises (WB): 560m (if it is released in imax and 3D)
2. The Hobbit (WB): 450m (same 3D plus imax)
3. Monsters Inc. 2 (BV): 420m (3D plus imax)
4. The Avangers (BV): 340m (3D plus imax)
5. John Carter Of Mars (BV): 335m (3D plus imax)
6. Brave (BV): 325m (3D plus imax)
7. Spiderman (Sony): 320 (3D plus imax)
8. Twilight 4.2 (Summit): 315m
9. Star Trek (Paramount): 310m
10. Men in Black (Sony): 295m
easyly one of the most promising years of movies
the year of disney and warner _________________http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2dmXF3CE04A This kills TDKR At the box office next summer.. Get used to this
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| Mon Feb 21, 2011 2:47 pm |
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Brian
Ocarina of Time
Joined: Mon Aug 02, 2010 1:21 pm
Posts: 7951
Location: Hyrule
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Re: The AVENGERS 540 Million Domestic Thread Dr. BK Banner wrote: No 3rd movie ever in a franchise has made more than it's predecessors so why would TDKR be any different???[/b]
Toy Story 3 (2010): 415m (TS 1: 191m; TS 2: 245m) Lord of The Rings ROTK (2003): 377m (TFOTR: 313m; TTT: 339m)
_________________
Most Anticipated 2023
1. Super Mario Bros Movie
2. Rebel Moon
3. Mission Impossible Dead Reckoning Part 1
4. Oppenheimer
5. The Flash
6. Elemental
7. Aquaman 2
8. Dune Part 2
9. Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny
10. Blue Beetle
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| Mon Feb 21, 2011 2:55 pm |
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STEVE ROGERS
The Greatest Avenger EVER
Joined: Fri Oct 29, 2004 4:02 am
Posts: 18501
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Re: The AVENGERS 540 Million Domestic Thread bryanbmp wrote: Dr. BK Banner wrote: No 3rd movie ever in a franchise has made more than it's predecessors so why would TDKR be any different???[/b]
Toy Story 3 (2010): 415m (TS 1: 191m; TS 2: 245m) Lord of The Rings ROTK (2003): 377m (TFOTR: 313m; TTT: 339m) _________________http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2dmXF3CE04A This kills TDKR At the box office next summer.. Get used to this
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| Mon Feb 21, 2011 3:15 pm |
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WarMaster506
Full Fledged Member
Joined: Sun Mar 15, 2009 2:38 am
Posts: 92
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Re: The AVENGERS 540 Million Domestic Thread The Avengers will be a huge it, it will do over 350m+ domestic, however TDKR will beat the film badly and there is know way to spin it.
Avengers could also be beat domestically by Hobbit, Monsters INC 2 and Star Trek
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| Mon Feb 21, 2011 3:39 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am
Posts: 23386
Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: The AVENGERS 540 Million Domestic Thread Dr. BK Banner wrote: MadGez wrote: bryanbmp wrote: I predict that The Dark Knight Rises, Monsters Inc 2, and The Hobbit will be the top 3 highest grossing films of 2012, now I don´t see The Avangers crossing the 350m I'd go.... 1. The Hobbit - $510m 2. The Dark Knight Rises - $505m 3. The Avengers - $407m 4. Monsters Inc 2 - $350m I would love Avengers to beat out TDKR but its not that likely unless Avengers hits its ceiling (ie. $480/$500m) and TDKR is a letdown and the Ledger effect was indeed as big as you claim. Then its quite feasible that Avengers wins the showdown, but at this point no so likely. _________________
What's your favourite movie summer? Let us know @
http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=85934
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| Mon Feb 21, 2011 4:31 pm |
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STEVE ROGERS
The Greatest Avenger EVER
Joined: Fri Oct 29, 2004 4:02 am
Posts: 18501
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Re: MARVEL'S "The AVENGERS" 540 Million Domestic Thread http://www.badassdigest.com/2011/04/26/ ... e-avengersOn a side note without creating another thread over it: The AVENGERS movie is actually now titled MARVELS "The AVENGERS" with the cool S.H.I.E.L.D Logo for the production pic.. Only thing I can think of for the title is that the property is exclusive of MARVEL Studios and they don't want to take a chance at another studio acquiring the rights.. Either that, or they want to make absolute certain moviegoers don't equate this with the 1998 movie of the same title starring Uma Thurman and Sean Connery like some sort of reboot... Can't say I blame them there for that.. That movie was a disaster..
_________________http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2dmXF3CE04A This kills TDKR At the box office next summer.. Get used to this
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| Wed Apr 27, 2011 8:17 am |
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