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 The Avatar Prediction|Tracking Thread/ (Aug. 27 re-release) 
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Cream of the Crop
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Post Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
40M 3-day weekend
50M 4-day weekend

500M in 32 days.


Mon Jan 11, 2010 4:23 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
Avatar's multiplier after 4th weeekend - 5.6 :shock:


Mon Jan 11, 2010 4:30 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
DayAvatarReturn of the KingDead Man's ChestThe Dark KnightTitanic
Wed-$34,450,834
- / -
$34,450,834 / 1
---
Thu-$17,019,987
-50.6% / -
$51,470,821 / 2
---
Fri$26,752,099
- / -
$26,752,099 / 1
$21,811,549
+28.2% / -
$73,282,370 / 3
$55,830,600
- / -
$55,830,600 / 1
$67,165,092
- / -
$67,165,092 / 1
$8,658,814
- / -
$8,658,814 / 1
Sat$25,529,036
-4.6% / -
$52,281,135 / 2
$27,492,053
+26% / -
$100,774,423 / 4
$44,443,225
-20.4% / -
$100,273,825 / 2
$47,650,240
-29.1% / -
$114,815,332 / 2
$10,672,013
+23.3% / -
$19,330,827 / 2
Sun$24,744,346
-3.1% / -
$77,025,481 / 3
$23,326,111
-15.2% / -
$124,100,534 / 5
$35,360,729
-20.4% / -
$135,634,554 / 3
$43,596,151
-8.5% / -
$158,411,483 / 3
$9,307,304
-12.8% / -
$28,638,131 / 3
Mon$16,385,820
-33.8% / -
$93,411,301 / 4
$13,563,208
-41.9% / -
$137,663,742 / 6
$18,140,271
-48.7% / -
$153,774,825 / 4
$24,493,313
-43.8% / -
$182,904,796 / 4
$5,578,212
-40.1% / -
$34,216,343 / 4
Tue$16,086,461
-1.8% / -
$109,497,762 / 5
$12,476,242
-8% / -
$150,139,984 / 7
$15,731,919
-13.3% / -
$169,506,744 / 5
$20,868,722
-14.8% / -
$203,773,518 / 5
$6,003,119
+7.6% / -
$40,219,462 / 5
Wed$16,445,291
+2.2% / -
$125,943,053 / 6
$7,544,400
-39.5% / -78.1%
$157,684,384 / 8
$14,154,725
-10% / -
$183,661,469 / 6
$18,377,288
-11.9% / -
$222,150,806 / 6
$3,571,345
-40.5% / -
$43,790,807 / 6
Thu$11,150,998
-32.2% / -
$137,094,051 / 7
$13,986,220
+85.4% / -17.8%
$171,670,604 / 9
$12,358,033
-12.7% / -
$196,019,502 / 7
$16,464,405
-10.4% / -
$238,615,211 / 7
$9,178,529
+157% / -
$52,969,336 / 7
Fri$23,095,046
+107.1% / -13.7%
$160,189,097 / 8
$19,152,196
+36.9% / -12.2%
$190,822,800 / 10
$18,544,356
+50.1% / -66.8%
$214,563,858 / 8
$23,232,292
+41.1% / -65.4%
$261,847,503 / 8
$12,122,298
+32.1% / +40%
$65,091,634 / 8
Sat$28,274,406
+22.4% / +10.8%
$188,463,503 / 9
$17,249,267
-9.9% / -37.3%
$208,072,067 / 11
$24,846,771
+34% / -44.1%
$239,410,629 / 9
$28,272,494
+21.7% / -40.7%
$290,119,997 / 9
$12,466,455
+2.8% / +16.8%
$77,558,089 / 9
Sun$24,247,681
-14.2% / -2%
$212,711,184 / 10
$14,196,641
-17.7% / -39.1%
$222,268,708 / 12
$18,954,137
-23.7% / -46.4%
$258,364,766 / 10
$23,661,680
-16.3% / -45.7%
$313,781,677 / 10
$10,866,920
-12.8% / +16.8%
$88,425,009 / 10
Mon$19,418,139
-19.9% / +18.5%
$232,129,323 / 11
$10,052,588
-29.2% / -25.9%
$232,321,296 / 13
$7,912,691
-58.3% / -56.4%
$266,277,457 / 11
$10,518,116
-55.5% / -57.1%
$324,299,793 / 11
$7,942,520
-26.9% / +42.4%
$96,367,529 / 11
Tue$18,290,628
-5.8% / +13.7%
$250,419,951 / 12
$9,615,240
-4.4% / -22.9%
$241,936,536 / 14
$7,490,004
-5.3% / -52.4%
$273,767,461 / 12
$9,629,366
-8.4% / -53.9%
$333,929,159 / 12
$8,012,909
+0.9% / +33.5%
$104,380,438 / 12
Wed$18,466,123
+1% / +12.3%
$268,886,074 / 13
$7,509,391
-21.9% / -0.5%
$249,445,927 / 15
$6,448,468
-13.9% / -54.4%
$280,215,929 / 13
$8,755,141
-9.1% / -52.4%
$342,684,300 / 13
$8,213,735
+2.5% / +130%
$112,594,173 / 13
Thu$14,738,136
-20.2% / +32.2%
$283,624,210 / 14
$12,784,656
+70.2% / -8.6%
$262,230,583 / 16
$6,468,103
+0.3% / -47.7%
$286,684,032 / 14
$8,402,546
-4% / -49%
$351,086,846 / 14
$11,558,520
+40.7% / +25.9%
$124,152,693 / 14
Fri$25,274,008
+71.5% / +9.4%
$308,898,218 / 15
$10,602,130
-17.1% / -44.6%
$272,832,713 / 17
$9,992,181
+54.5% / -46.1%
$296,676,213 / 15
$12,709,035
+51.3% / -45.3%
$363,795,881 / 15
$11,698,861
+1.2% / -3.5%
$135,851,554 / 15
Sat$25,835,551
+2.2% / -8.6%
$334,733,769 / 16
$10,563,221
-0.4% / -38.8%
$283,395,934 / 18
$14,665,667
+46.8% / -41%
$311,341,880 / 16
$17,191,150
+35.3% / -39.2%
$380,987,031 / 16
$12,726,625
+8.8% / +2.1%
$148,578,179 / 16
Sun$17,381,129
-32.7% / -28.3%
$352,114,898 / 17
$7,015,027
-33.6% / -50.6%
$290,410,961 / 19
$10,557,353
-28% / -44.3%
$321,899,233 / 17
$12,764,034
-25.8% / -46.1%
$393,751,065 / 17
$8,889,792
-30.1% / -18.2%
$157,467,971 / 17
Mon$8,094,554
-53.4% / -58.3%
$360,209,452 / 18
$2,228,471
-68.2% / -77.8%
$292,639,432 / 20
$4,304,211
-59.2% / -45.6%
$326,203,444 / 18
$6,287,429
-50.7% / -40.2%
$400,038,494 / 18
$3,022,271
-66% / -61.9%
$160,490,242 / 18
Tue$7,327,233
-9.5% / -59.9%
$367,536,685 / 19
$2,015,440
-9.6% / -79%
$294,654,872 / 21
$4,220,967
-1.9% / -43.6%
$330,424,411 / 19
$5,661,240
-10% / -41.2%
$405,699,734 / 19
$3,044,822
+0.7% / -62%
$163,535,064 / 19
Wed$6,909,167
-5.7% / -62.6%
$374,445,852 / 20
$1,805,059
-10.4% / -76%
$296,459,931 / 22
$3,709,259
-12.1% / -42.5%
$334,133,670 / 20
$5,077,367
-10.3% / -42%
$410,777,101 / 20
$2,841,351
-6.7% / -65.4%
$166,376,415 / 20
Thu$6,094,445
-11.8% / -58.6%
$380,540,297 / 21
$1,651,907
-8.5% / -87.1%
$298,111,838 / 23
$3,745,513
+1% / -42.1%
$337,879,183 / 21
$4,734,366
-6.8% / -43.7%
$415,511,467 / 21
$2,789,088
-1.8% / -75.9%
$169,165,503 / 21
Fri$13,280,653
+117.9% / -47.5%
$393,820,950 / 22
$3,676,960
+122.6% / -65.3%
$301,788,798 / 24
$5,966,100
+59.3% / -40.3%
$343,845,283 / 22
$7,577,362
+60.1% / -40.4%
$423,088,829 / 22
$7,738,150
+177.4% / -33.9%
$176,903,653 / 22
Sat$21,269,537
+60.2% / -17.7%
$415,090,487 / 23
$6,439,410
+75.1% / -39%
$308,228,208 / 25
$8,388,675
+40.6% / -42.8%
$352,233,958 / 23
$10,502,243
+38.6% / -38.9%
$433,591,072 / 23
$12,758,118
+64.9% / +0.2%
$189,661,771 / 23
Sun$15,756,027
-25.9% / -9.3%
$430,846,514 / 24
$4,092,728
-36.4% / -41.7%
$312,320,936 / 26
$6,251,803
-25.5% / -40.8%
$358,485,761 / 24
$8,037,425
-23.5% / -37%
$441,628,497 / 24
$8,220,042
-35.6% / -7.5%
$197,881,813 / 24

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Mon Jan 11, 2010 4:36 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
Just another 11M to cross TDK. I think so by MLK weekend Friday they both will be equal and that is when Avatar will start passing TDK in grosses. Catching up for 81M OW in 30 days, that means a margin of 2.7M everyday from there on. Simply amazing!! :zonks:


Mon Jan 11, 2010 4:42 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
This is getting ridiculous.

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Mon Jan 11, 2010 5:38 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
BJ wrote:
BJ wrote:
Domestic Total:

Mr. Blue - 120m | multiplier - 4.80
LadiesMan - 160m | multiplier - 4.57
Excel - 200m | multiplier - 4.44
Kris K - 210m | multiplier - 3.00
Nebs - 228.1m | multiplier - 3.84
Zingy - 234m | multiplier - 3.60
BK - 235m | multiplier - 3.61
MG Casey - 235m | multiplier - 5.00
Archangel - 240m | multiplier - 3.69
Tuukka - 240m | multiplier - 4.00
2001 - 250m | multiplier - 4.55
Madgez - 260m | multiplier - 4.56
したい - 265m | multiplier - 4.82
Neo_Wolf - 270m | multiplier - 4.35
Mr. Lobotomy - 274.25m | multiplier - 4.27
KC - 275m | multiplier - 4.44
billybobwashere - 285m | multiplier - 5.18
Jon - 295.5m | multiplier - 5.54
Dr. Lecter - 303m | multiplier - 4.97
Magnus - 300m | multiplier - 5.00
The Dark Shape - 310m | multiplier - 4.77
Proud Ryu - 320m | multiplier - 4.06
O - 327.6m | multiplier - 5.60
Telemachos - 340m | multiplier - 4.20
Nazgul - 350m | multiplier - -
Xiayun - 350m | multiplier - 4.61
Justice - 377m | multiplier - 4.08
Chip Munkington - 415m | multiplier - 5.53
Flava'd - 420m | multiplier - 5.45

SolC9 - 459m | multiplier - 4.88
Keyser Soze - 475m | multiplier - 5.28
BennyBlanco - 501m | multiplier - 5.51
Gamaur - 510m | multiplier - 5.74
Rev - 600m | multiplier - 3.53
Mark66 - 625m | multiplier - 8.34
DIB2 - 670m | multiplier - 7.28
BJ - 811m | multiplier - 7.62

Average Domestic Total Prediction: 331.36m

Average Multiplyer: 4.82

only 8 of the first round predictors made it in without having to update in the 2nd round, congrats :good:

don't forget to get your predictions in, especially if you're past prediction was in the red. Those wit a strike through there name have predicted in round 2

BJ wrote:
Predict Avatanic's Domestic Total: round 2 update #5


Proud Ryu - 450m
SolC9 - 459m
Archangel - 500m
BennyBlanco - 501m
Nazgul - 504m
Telemachos - 510m
BK - 525m
Keyser Soze - 525m
Tyler - 530m
The Dark Shape 540m
Eventine - 541.2m
Captain_Cold - 545m
Xiayun - 550m
LadiesMan217 - 565m
2001 - 565m
Gamaur - 575m
Chip Munkington - 601m
Soagg - 602m
Jmovies - 612m
Revatar - 612.5m
Mesjarch - 620m
Mark66 - 625m
DIB2 - 720m
Lotan - 770m
BJ - 811m
EnKi - 1.025b

Average Domestic Total Prediction: 583.80m

newly submitted are in bold, have fun all.

closed


if avatar makes over 50m nest wknd I will make a third and last round that will probably end the wk of asscar nominations


Avatanic did it!! I see many "underestimates" :lol:
BJ, are you calling for the third and last round?

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Mon Jan 11, 2010 5:53 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
The ship just hit the iceberg fellow KJers

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Mon Jan 11, 2010 6:38 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Predict Avatanic's 4th Wknd


BJs Prediction: 60m -12%
i.hope - 55.6m -18%
Lotan - 55m -19%
BennyBlanco - 54.0m -21%
Mark66 - 51.368m -25%
Captain_Cold - 51.3m -25%
Soagg - 51m -25%
Jmovies - 51m -25%
Mesjarch - 50.895m -25%
Dr. Lecter - 50.80m -25%
Chip Munkington - 50.1m -26%
Saogg - 49.5m -27%
Proud Ryu - 49m -28%
Corpse - 47.5m -30%
Price - 47m -31%
Revatar - 46.4m -32%
MG Casey - 42.0m -38%
Enki - 41,117,030m -39%


Average: 50.20m -26%

closed, and our winner is Chip Munkington with a mammoth 50.1m wknd 4 prediction, congrats chip :thumbsup:

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Post Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
BJ, please don't overlook my predictions for the next couple of days posted on the last page...

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Mon Jan 11, 2010 6:59 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Predict Avatanic's 5th Wknd


BJs Prediction: 50.8m +8%
Mark66 - 50.575m +1%
Mesjarch - 40.0m -20%


Average: 47.13m -6%

you have until Friday, 10pm eastern, get em in eh

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Last edited by BJ on Mon Jan 11, 2010 7:04 pm, edited 2 times in total.



Mon Jan 11, 2010 7:01 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
mark66 wrote:
BJ, please don't overlook my predictions for the next couple of days posted on the last page...

no prob :thumbsup:

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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Predict Avatanic's Monday


BJs Prediction: 5.80m -63%
Mark66 - 5.75m -63%


Average: 5.77m -63%

you have until 10pm eastern, post your prediction for a chance at one day of predicting glory.

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Mon Jan 11, 2010 7:08 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Predict Avatanic's Friday


BJs Prediction: 16.50m +170%
i.hope - 15.5m +154%
LadiesMan217 - 15.4m +152%
Enki - 15.16m +148%
Revatar - 15.12m +148%
Keyser Soze - 15m +147%
Soagg - 15.0m +147%
Chip Minkington - 14.8m +144%
Mark66 - 14,017,224m +129%


Average: 15.17m +149%

closed, with actuals Mark66 posted the best friday prediction, congrats :thumbsup:

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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Predict Avatanic's Saturday


BJs Prediction: 25.0m +89%%
Revatar - 24.56m +85%
Chip Munkington - 23.4m +74%
Soagg - 23.0m +73%
Mark66 - 21.945m +65%
Jmovies - 21.33m +60%

Average: 23.21m +73%

closed, winner with actuals is Jmovies nailing the film with a perfect prediction, congrats :thumbsup:

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Mon Jan 11, 2010 7:14 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Predict Avatanic's Sunday


BJs Prediction: 16.00m -25%
Jmovies - 15.64m -26%
Chip Munkington - 15.60m -26%
Eventine - 15.50m -27%
Keyser Soze - 15.40m -27%
Revatar - 15.12m -28%
Mark66 - 14,753,583m -30%
Mesjarch - 14.30m -32%
Mdana - 13.05m -38%


Average: 15.04m -28%

closed, and our winner with actuals is for the 2nd time in a row Jmovies with another slammin prediction, congrats :thumbsup:

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Post Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
Monday $5.36m

5th weekend $38.4m
(3 day)

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Last edited by Rev on Mon Jan 11, 2010 7:24 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Mon Jan 11, 2010 7:23 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
Revatar wrote:
Monday $5.36m

5th weekend $38.4m

pansy

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Post Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
$5.68 million

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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Avatar


Wknds
RankWknds in ReleaseWknd% ChangeDomestic TotalTheater AverageTheater CountDay, Month and Year
1Opening Wknd$77,025,481New$77,025,481$22,3133,452December 18-20, 2009
12nd Wknd$75,617,183-1.8%$212,711,184$21,8723,456 | +4December 25-27, 2009
13rd Wknd$68,490,688-9.4%$352,114,898$19,7893,461 | +5January 1-3, 2010
14th Wknd$50,306,217-26.6%$430,846,514$14,7013,422 | -39January 8-10, 2010


yet another slammin wknd

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Mon Jan 11, 2010 7:32 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
don't doubt me.

5th weekend- $45.7M


Mon Jan 11, 2010 7:35 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
5th weekend


4-day 41 million

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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Avatar(Avatanic)


Days
RankDays in ReleaseDay% ChangeDomestic TotalTheater AverageTheater CountDay, Month and Year
1Opening Day$26,752,099New$26,752,099$7,7503,452Friday, December 18, 2009
12nd Day$25,529,036-4.6%$52,281,135$7,3953,452Saturday, December 19, 2009
13rd Day$24,744,346-3.1%$77,025,481$7,1683,452Sunday, December 20, 2009
14th Day$16,385,820-33.8%$93,411,301$4,7473,452Monday, December 21, 2009
15th Day$16,086,461-1.6%$109,497,762$4,6603,452Tuesday, December 22, 2009
26th Day$16,445,291+2.2%$125,943,053$4,7643,452Wednesday, December 23, 2009
17th Day$11,150,998-32.2%$137,122,136$3,2303,452Thursday, December 24, 2009
28th Day$23,095,046+107.1% | -13.7%$160,189,097$6,6833,456Friday, December 25, 2009
19th Day$28,274,406+22.4% | +10.8%$188,463,503$8,1813,456Saturday, December 26, 2009
110th Day$24,247,681-14.2% | -2%$212,711,184$7,0163,456Sunday, December 27, 2009
111th Day$19,418,139-19.9% | +18.5%$232,129,323$5,6193,456Monday, December 28, 2009
112th Day$18,290,628-5.8% | +13.7%$250,419,951$5,2923,456Tuesday, December 29, 2009
113th Day$18,466,123+1.0% | +12.3%$268,886,074$5,3433,456Wednesday, December 30, 2009
114th Day$14,738,136-20.2% | +32.2%$283,624,210$4,2653,456Thursday, December 31, 2009
115th Day$25,274,008+71.5% | +9.4%$308,898,218$7,3033,461Friday, January 1, 2010
116th Day$25,835,551+2.2% | -8.6%$334,733,769$7,4653,461Saturday, January 2, 2010
117th Day$17,381,129-32.7% | -28.3%$352,114,898$5,0223,461Sunday, January 3, 2010
118th Day$8,094,554-53.4% | -58.3%$360,209,452$2,3393,461Monday, January 4, 2010
119th Day$7,327,233-9.4% | -59.9%$367,536,685$2,1173,461Tuesday, January 5, 2010
120th Day$6,909,167-5.7% | -62.6%$374,445,852$1,9963,461Wednesday, January 6, 2010
121st Day$6,094,445-11.8% | -58.6%$380,540,297$1,7613,461Thursday, January 7, 2010
122nd Day$13,280,653+117.9% | -47.5%$393,820,950$3,8813,422Friday, January 8, 2010
123rd Day$21,269,537+60.2% | -17.7%$415,090,487$6,2163,422Saturday, January 9, 2010
124th Day$15,756,027+25.9% | -9.3%$430,846,514$4,6043,422Sunday, January 10, 2010

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Mon Jan 11, 2010 7:40 pm
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Killing With Kindness
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Post Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
Mandeep wrote:
5th weekend


4-day 41 million

Im not projecting 4-Day

edit, actually I will do both, post your 3-Day.

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Mon Jan 11, 2010 7:41 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
BJ wrote:
Revatar wrote:
5th weekend $38.4m (3 day)

pansy


here's my 4-day prediction - $45.3m

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Mon Jan 11, 2010 8:10 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Predict Avatanic's 5th Wknd


3-Day:

Mark66 - 50.575m +1%
BJs Prediction: 50.4m NC
Jmovies - 45.7m -9%
Mesjarch - 40.0m -20%


Average: 46.67m -7%


4-Day:

BJ - 63.55m +26%
Mark66 - 61.925m +23%
Jmovies - 53.96m +6%
Mesjarch - 50.0m NC
Revatar - 45.3m -16%
Mandeep - 41m -19%


Average: 52.36m +4%

you have until Friday, 10pm eastern, get em in eh

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Last edited by BJ on Mon Jan 11, 2010 8:55 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Mon Jan 11, 2010 8:45 pm
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