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 The Avatar Prediction|Tracking Thread/ (Aug. 27 re-release) 
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Killing With Kindness
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Telemachos wrote:
Monday: $16.7m (-31%)

to low the film is selling like mad

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Mon Dec 28, 2009 9:27 pm
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Killing With Kindness
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Revatar wrote:
I'll be surprised if it does anything over 19m today.

i wouldnt be

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Mon Dec 28, 2009 9:30 pm
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Cream of the Crop

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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
BJ wrote:
Telemachos wrote:
Monday: $16.7m (-31%)

to low the film is selling like mad


is it?
Give us some stats other then just Alaska.. I am hungry for stats!

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Mon Dec 28, 2009 9:30 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
BJ wrote:
Revatar wrote:
I'll be surprised if it does anything over 19m today.

i wouldnt be


How about $19 mil FLAT?!

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trixster wrote:
shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element

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chippy is correct

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Mon Dec 28, 2009 9:32 pm
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Killing With Kindness
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Bryan_smith wrote:
BJ wrote:
Telemachos wrote:
Monday: $16.7m (-31%)

to low the film is selling like mad


is it?
Give us some stats other then just Alaska.. I am hungry for stats!

I use Anchorage as my indicator and it has not failed me yet.

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Mon Dec 28, 2009 9:37 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
It's not dropping over 30%. The average Monday hold from 11 years ago was around 24%, with family films holding the best in the single digit range. A $20m Monday is possible. I'll predict $19.5m.

I'm also increasing my total domestic projection to $520m.

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Mon Dec 28, 2009 10:27 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
xiayun wrote:
It's not dropping over 30%. The average Monday hold from 11 years ago was around 24%, with family films holding the best in the single digit range. A $20m Monday is possible. I'll predict $19.5m.

I'm also increasing my total domestic projection to $520m.


:cheer:

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trixster wrote:
shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element

trixster wrote:
chippy is correct

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Fuck Trump


Mon Dec 28, 2009 10:28 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
xiayun wrote:
It's not dropping over 30%. The average Monday hold from 11 years ago was around 24%, with family films holding the best in the single digit range. A $20m Monday is possible. I'll predict $19.5m.

I'm also increasing my total domestic projection to $520m.


Wimp. Does anyone realize this is tracking almost exactly like Prince of Egypt? I would classify that as strong.

Actually, it is more like mixture of You've Got Mail weekends and Prince of Egypts weekdays, which I believe will continue through the New Year's holiday break. Then it will revert to more You've Got Mail weekdays. Which is really strong, like $537m+

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Mon Dec 28, 2009 11:25 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
BJ wrote:
Telemachos wrote:
Monday: $16.7m (-31%)

to low the film is selling like mad


Okay, fine fine fine. I looked at the numbers a bit more carefully.

Monday: $19.1m (-21%)

Of course, once I did this, the change rippled all the way down the line. So forget my $474m domestic total. $510m now. :whaa:


Mon Dec 28, 2009 11:58 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
shocking thing is film should be around...

305 million domestic
610 million overseas

915 million WW by next Sunday....

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Tue Dec 29, 2009 12:04 am
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Mandeep wrote:
shocking thing is film should be around...

305 million domestic
610 million overseas

915 million WW by next Sunday....


it should be around 340m domestic by next sunday. 310m would be shockingly low.

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Tue Dec 29, 2009 12:12 am
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Keyser Söze wrote:
Mandeep wrote:
shocking thing is film should be around...

305 million domestic
610 million overseas

915 million WW by next Sunday....


it should be around 340m domestic by next sunday. 310m would be shockingly low.



I've got it at 328 million domestic and 965 million WW by Sunday

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Tue Dec 29, 2009 12:16 am
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Star Trek XI

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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Man, it's gonna crush ROTK's WW without even breaking a sweat.


Tue Dec 29, 2009 12:19 am
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Star Trek XI

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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
I have it dropping 44% on the fourth weekend, yet I still show it passing $500m.


Tue Dec 29, 2009 12:50 am
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Predict Avatars Monday


Xiayun - 19.5m -19%
Keyser Soze - 19.2m -20%
Telemachos - 19.1m -21%
ChipMunkington - 19.0m -21%
Mark66 - 18,913,191m -21%
BJs Prediction: 18.65m -23%
Revatar - 18.60m -23%
Solas - 18.2m -24%
LadiesMan217 - 18.1m -25%
Eventine - 18.0m -25%
Gamaur - 17.9m -26%
Jmovies - 17.5m -27%


Average: 18.56m -23%

closed

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Tue Dec 29, 2009 1:25 am
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
BJ, you should be ashamed that five people are predicting a better Monday than you.


Tue Dec 29, 2009 1:26 am
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Predict Avatars 3rd Wknd


BJs Prediction: 67.25m -11%
LadiesMan217 - 64.2m -15%
2001 - 61m -19%
Mesjarch - 60.5m -19%
Solas - 60.5m -19%
Lotan - 60.0m -20%
Revatar - 58.67m -22%
Chip Munkington - 56.8m -24%
Telemachos - 53m -29%


Average: 60.21m -20%

you have until Friday, 10pm eastern, get em in eh

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Tue Dec 29, 2009 1:27 am
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Telemachos wrote:
BJ, you should be ashamed that five people are predicting a better Monday than you.

:sweat:

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Tue Dec 29, 2009 1:28 am
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
BJ wrote:
Domestic Total:

Mr. Blue - 120m | multiplier - 4.80
LadiesMan - 160m | multiplier - 4.57
Excel - 200m | multiplier - 4.44
Kris K - 210m | multiplier - 3.00
Nebs - 228.1m | multiplier - 3.84
Zingy - 234m | multiplier - 3.60
BK - 235m | multiplier - 3.61
MG Casey - 235m | multiplier - 5.00
Archangel - 240m | multiplier - 3.69
Tuukka - 240m | multiplier - 4.00
2001 - 250m | multiplier - 4.55
Madgez - 260m | multiplier - 4.56
したい - 265m | multiplier - 4.82
Neo_Wolf - 270m | multiplier - 4.35
Mr. Lobotomy - 274.25m | multiplier - 4.27
KC - 275m | multiplier - 4.44
billybobwashere - 285m | multiplier - 5.18
Jon - 295.5m | multiplier - 5.54
Dr. Lecter - 303m | multiplier - 4.97
Magnus - 300m | multiplier - 5.00
The Dark Shape - 310m | multiplier - 4.77
Proud Ryu - 320m | multiplier - 4.06
O - 327.6m | multiplier - 5.60
Telemachos - 340m | multiplier - 4.20
Nazgul - 350m | multiplier - -
Xiayun - 350m | multiplier - 4.61
Justice - 377m | multiplier - 4.08
Chip Munkington - 415m | multiplier - 5.53
Flava'd - 420m | multiplier - 5.45

SolC9 - 459m | multiplier - 4.88
Keyser Soze - 475m | multiplier - 5.28
BennyBlanco - 501m | multiplier - 5.51
Gamaur - 510m | multiplier - 5.74
Rev - 600m | multiplier - 3.53
Mark66 - 625m | multiplier - 8.34
DIB2 - 670m | multiplier - 7.28
BJ - 811m | multiplier - 7.62

Average Domestic Total Prediction: 331.36m

Average Multiplyer: 4.82

only 8 of the first round predictors made it in without having to update in the 2nd round, congrats :good:

don't forget to get your predictions in, especially if you're past prediction was in the red.

BJ wrote:
Predict Avatar's Domestic Total: round 2 update #3


Nazgul - 453m
SolC9 - 459m
2001 - 470m
Telemachos - 474m
Keyser Soze - 475m
BennyBlanco - 501m
Gamaur - 510m
Xiayun - 520m
BK - 525m

The Dark Shape 540m
LadiesMan217 - 565m
Gamaur - 575m
Chip Munkington - 601m
Revatar - 612.5m
Mark66 - 625m
DIB2 - 670m
Lotan - 770m
BJ - 811m

Average Domestic Total Prediction: 571.03m

newly submitted are in bold, have fun all.



round 2 so far

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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Gamaur wrote:
3rd Weekend 59 million

not over 60m

Gamaur = complete and total pansy :P

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Tue Dec 29, 2009 1:31 am
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Gamaur wrote:
lol @ everyone who predicted under 300 million

I say lol at everyone under 500m, I kept that 450m buffer for the peeps that for some reason still cant see the light, come on people even xia is over 500m :funny:

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Tue Dec 29, 2009 1:34 am
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Gamaur wrote:
BJ wrote:
Gamaur wrote:
3rd Weekend 59 million

not over 60m

Gamaur = complete and total pansy :P


Still sore from losing saturday and sunday? Awwww it'll be ok, you'll get there. :flowers:

:pinch:

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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
BJ wrote:
Gamaur wrote:
lol @ everyone who predicted under 300 million

I say lol at everyone under 500m, I kept that 450m buffer for the peeps that for some reason still cant see the light, come on people even xia is over 500m :funny:


hey. i made my prediction b4 the release. i now increase it to 525m slightly below dark knight. :D

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Tue Dec 29, 2009 1:52 am
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Gamaur wrote:
Keyser Söze wrote:
BJ wrote:
Gamaur wrote:
lol @ everyone who predicted under 300 million

I say lol at everyone under 500m, I kept that 450m buffer for the peeps that for some reason still cant see the light, come on people even xia is over 500m :funny:


hey. i made my prediction b4 the release. i now increase it to 525m slightly below dark knight. :D


I'd suggest wearing a chastity belt if I were you, because Avatar is going to smash that prediction right up your ass. :yes:

LMAO, he's right you know. :D

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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Gamaur wrote:
I'm beginning to sense that there's an iceberg out there with Avatar's name on it.

:D

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