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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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 Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Telemachos wrote: Monday: $16.7m (-31%) to low the film is selling like mad
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Mon Dec 28, 2009 9:27 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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 Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Revatar wrote: I'll be surprised if it does anything over 19m today. i wouldnt be
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Mon Dec 28, 2009 9:30 pm |
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Bryan_smith
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Wed Nov 24, 2004 7:13 pm Posts: 2120
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 Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
BJ wrote: Telemachos wrote: Monday: $16.7m (-31%) to low the film is selling like mad is it? Give us some stats other then just Alaska.. I am hungry for stats!
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Mon Dec 28, 2009 9:30 pm |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm Posts: 63026 Location: Tonight... YOU!
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 Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
BJ wrote: Revatar wrote: I'll be surprised if it does anything over 19m today. i wouldnt be How about $19 mil FLAT?!
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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Mon Dec 28, 2009 9:32 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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 Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Bryan_smith wrote: BJ wrote: Telemachos wrote: Monday: $16.7m (-31%) to low the film is selling like mad is it? Give us some stats other then just Alaska.. I am hungry for stats! I use Anchorage as my indicator and it has not failed me yet.
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Mon Dec 28, 2009 9:37 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm Posts: 25109 Location: San Mateo, CA
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 Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
It's not dropping over 30%. The average Monday hold from 11 years ago was around 24%, with family films holding the best in the single digit range. A $20m Monday is possible. I'll predict $19.5m.
I'm also increasing my total domestic projection to $520m.
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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Mon Dec 28, 2009 10:27 pm |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm Posts: 63026 Location: Tonight... YOU!
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 Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
xiayun wrote: It's not dropping over 30%. The average Monday hold from 11 years ago was around 24%, with family films holding the best in the single digit range. A $20m Monday is possible. I'll predict $19.5m.
I'm also increasing my total domestic projection to $520m. 
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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Mon Dec 28, 2009 10:28 pm |
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mdana
Veteran
Joined: Wed Apr 27, 2005 11:07 pm Posts: 3004
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 Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
xiayun wrote: It's not dropping over 30%. The average Monday hold from 11 years ago was around 24%, with family films holding the best in the single digit range. A $20m Monday is possible. I'll predict $19.5m.
I'm also increasing my total domestic projection to $520m. Wimp. Does anyone realize this is tracking almost exactly like Prince of Egypt? I would classify that as strong. Actually, it is more like mixture of You've Got Mail weekends and Prince of Egypts weekdays, which I believe will continue through the New Year's holiday break. Then it will revert to more You've Got Mail weekdays. Which is really strong, like $537m+
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Mon Dec 28, 2009 11:25 pm |
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Telemachos
Star Trek XI
Joined: Fri Dec 16, 2005 3:23 pm Posts: 324 Location: Los Angeles, CA
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 Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
BJ wrote: Telemachos wrote: Monday: $16.7m (-31%) to low the film is selling like mad Okay, fine fine fine. I looked at the numbers a bit more carefully. Monday: $19.1m (-21%) Of course, once I did this, the change rippled all the way down the line. So forget my $474m domestic total. $510m now. 
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Mon Dec 28, 2009 11:58 pm |
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Mandeep
The Dark Knight
Joined: Tue Jun 23, 2009 11:22 pm Posts: 740
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 Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
shocking thing is film should be around...
305 million domestic 610 million overseas
915 million WW by next Sunday....
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Tue Dec 29, 2009 12:04 am |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6786
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 Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Mandeep wrote: shocking thing is film should be around...
305 million domestic 610 million overseas
915 million WW by next Sunday.... it should be around 340m domestic by next sunday. 310m would be shockingly low.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Tue Dec 29, 2009 12:12 am |
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Bryan_smith
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Wed Nov 24, 2004 7:13 pm Posts: 2120
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 Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Keyser Söze wrote: Mandeep wrote: shocking thing is film should be around...
305 million domestic 610 million overseas
915 million WW by next Sunday.... it should be around 340m domestic by next sunday. 310m would be shockingly low. I've got it at 328 million domestic and 965 million WW by Sunday
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Tue Dec 29, 2009 12:16 am |
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Telemachos
Star Trek XI
Joined: Fri Dec 16, 2005 3:23 pm Posts: 324 Location: Los Angeles, CA
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 Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Man, it's gonna crush ROTK's WW without even breaking a sweat.
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Tue Dec 29, 2009 12:19 am |
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Telemachos
Star Trek XI
Joined: Fri Dec 16, 2005 3:23 pm Posts: 324 Location: Los Angeles, CA
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 Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
I have it dropping 44% on the fourth weekend, yet I still show it passing $500m.
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Tue Dec 29, 2009 12:50 am |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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 Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Predict Avatars Monday
Xiayun - 19.5m -19% Keyser Soze - 19.2m -20% Telemachos - 19.1m -21% ChipMunkington - 19.0m -21% Mark66 - 18,913,191m -21% BJs Prediction: 18.65m -23% Revatar - 18.60m -23% Solas - 18.2m -24% LadiesMan217 - 18.1m -25% Eventine - 18.0m -25% Gamaur - 17.9m -26% Jmovies - 17.5m -27%
Average: 18.56m -23%
closed
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Tue Dec 29, 2009 1:25 am |
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Telemachos
Star Trek XI
Joined: Fri Dec 16, 2005 3:23 pm Posts: 324 Location: Los Angeles, CA
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 Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
BJ, you should be ashamed that five people are predicting a better Monday than you.
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Tue Dec 29, 2009 1:26 am |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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 Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Predict Avatars 3rd Wknd
BJs Prediction: 67.25m -11% LadiesMan217 - 64.2m -15% 2001 - 61m -19% Mesjarch - 60.5m -19% Solas - 60.5m -19% Lotan - 60.0m -20% Revatar - 58.67m -22% Chip Munkington - 56.8m -24% Telemachos - 53m -29%
Average: 60.21m -20%
you have until Friday, 10pm eastern, get em in eh
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Tue Dec 29, 2009 1:27 am |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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 Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Telemachos wrote: BJ, you should be ashamed that five people are predicting a better Monday than you. 
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Tue Dec 29, 2009 1:28 am |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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 Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
BJ wrote: Domestic Total:
Mr. Blue - 120m | multiplier - 4.80 LadiesMan - 160m | multiplier - 4.57 Excel - 200m | multiplier - 4.44 Kris K - 210m | multiplier - 3.00 Nebs - 228.1m | multiplier - 3.84 Zingy - 234m | multiplier - 3.60 BK - 235m | multiplier - 3.61 MG Casey - 235m | multiplier - 5.00 Archangel - 240m | multiplier - 3.69 Tuukka - 240m | multiplier - 4.00 2001 - 250m | multiplier - 4.55 Madgez - 260m | multiplier - 4.56 したい - 265m | multiplier - 4.82 Neo_Wolf - 270m | multiplier - 4.35 Mr. Lobotomy - 274.25m | multiplier - 4.27 KC - 275m | multiplier - 4.44 billybobwashere - 285m | multiplier - 5.18 Jon - 295.5m | multiplier - 5.54 Dr. Lecter - 303m | multiplier - 4.97 Magnus - 300m | multiplier - 5.00 The Dark Shape - 310m | multiplier - 4.77 Proud Ryu - 320m | multiplier - 4.06 O - 327.6m | multiplier - 5.60 Telemachos - 340m | multiplier - 4.20 Nazgul - 350m | multiplier - - Xiayun - 350m | multiplier - 4.61 Justice - 377m | multiplier - 4.08 Chip Munkington - 415m | multiplier - 5.53 Flava'd - 420m | multiplier - 5.45 SolC9 - 459m | multiplier - 4.88 Keyser Soze - 475m | multiplier - 5.28 BennyBlanco - 501m | multiplier - 5.51 Gamaur - 510m | multiplier - 5.74 Rev - 600m | multiplier - 3.53 Mark66 - 625m | multiplier - 8.34 DIB2 - 670m | multiplier - 7.28 BJ - 811m | multiplier - 7.62
Average Domestic Total Prediction: 331.36m
Average Multiplyer: 4.82
only 8 of the first round predictors made it in without having to update in the 2nd round, congrats don't forget to get your predictions in, especially if you're past prediction was in the red. BJ wrote: Predict Avatar's Domestic Total: round 2 update #3
Nazgul - 453m SolC9 - 459m 2001 - 470m Telemachos - 474m Keyser Soze - 475m BennyBlanco - 501m Gamaur - 510m Xiayun - 520m BK - 525m The Dark Shape 540m LadiesMan217 - 565m Gamaur - 575m Chip Munkington - 601m Revatar - 612.5m Mark66 - 625m DIB2 - 670m Lotan - 770m BJ - 811m
Average Domestic Total Prediction: 571.03m
newly submitted are in bold, have fun all. round 2 so far
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Tue Dec 29, 2009 1:30 am |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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 Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Gamaur wrote: 3rd Weekend 59 million not over 60m Gamaur = complete and total pansy 
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Tue Dec 29, 2009 1:31 am |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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 Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Gamaur wrote: lol @ everyone who predicted under 300 million I say lol at everyone under 500m, I kept that 450m buffer for the peeps that for some reason still cant see the light, come on people even xia is over 500m 
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Tue Dec 29, 2009 1:34 am |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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 Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Gamaur wrote: BJ wrote: Gamaur wrote: 3rd Weekend 59 million not over 60m Gamaur = complete and total pansy  Still sore from losing saturday and sunday? Awwww it'll be ok, you'll get there.  
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Tue Dec 29, 2009 1:39 am |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6786
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 Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
BJ wrote: Gamaur wrote: lol @ everyone who predicted under 300 million I say lol at everyone under 500m, I kept that 450m buffer for the peeps that for some reason still cant see the light, come on people even xia is over 500m  hey. i made my prediction b4 the release. i now increase it to 525m slightly below dark knight. 
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Tue Dec 29, 2009 1:52 am |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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 Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Gamaur wrote: Keyser Söze wrote: BJ wrote: Gamaur wrote: lol @ everyone who predicted under 300 million I say lol at everyone under 500m, I kept that 450m buffer for the peeps that for some reason still cant see the light, come on people even xia is over 500m  hey. i made my prediction b4 the release. i now increase it to 525m slightly below dark knight.  I'd suggest wearing a chastity belt if I were you, because Avatar is going to smash that prediction right up your ass.  LMAO, he's right you know. 
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Tue Dec 29, 2009 1:58 am |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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 Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Gamaur wrote: I'm beginning to sense that there's an iceberg out there with Avatar's name on it. 
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Tue Dec 29, 2009 2:07 am |
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