The Avatar Prediction|Tracking Thread/ (Aug. 27 re-release)
| Author |
Message |
|
BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
|
 Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread BOM Update:AvatarReader Rating: A- (1,885 votes)A's: 1,602 - 85.0%
B's: 129 - 6.8%
C's: 43 - 2.3%
D's: 22 - 1.2%
F's: 88 - 4.7%
Top Rated #4 top rated from readers
_________________The Force Awakens
|
| Sun Dec 27, 2009 2:14 pm |
 
|
|
|
Nazgul9
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 12:32 pm
Posts: 11289
Location: Germany
|
Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread BJ wrote: when do you think you'll be dropping those and adding titanic  I feel i'm already jinxing it enough with TDK.  The Titanic comparison is on BOM, so you can head there. Hmm, maybe, just maybe i'll add Titanic as well, just to have it all in one place but i'm extremely lazy, we'll see... _________________
|
| Sun Dec 27, 2009 2:40 pm |
|
|
|
BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
|
Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
| Rank | Days in Release | Day | % Change | Domestic Total | Theater Average | Theater Count | Day, Month and Year |
| 1 | Opening Day | $26,752,099 | New | $26,752,099 | $7,750 | 3,452 | Friday, December 18, 2009 |
| 1 | 2nd Day | $25,529,036 | -4.6% | $52,281,135 | $7,395 | 3,452 | Saturday, December 19, 2009 |
| 1 | 3rd Day | $24,744,346 | -3.1% | $77,025,481 | $7,168 | 3,452 | Sunday, December 20, 2009 |
| 1 | 4th Day | $16,385,820 | -33.8% | $93,411,301 | $4,747 | 3,452 | Monday, December 21, 2009 |
| 1 | 5th Day | $16,086,461 | -1.6% | $109,497,762 | $4,660 | 3,452 | Tuesday, December 22, 2009 |
| 2 | 6th Day | $16,445,291 | +2.2% | $125,943,053 | $4,764 | 3,452 | Wednesday, December 23, 2009 |
| 1 | 7th Day | $11,300,000 | -31% | $137,300,000 | $3,280 | 3,452 | Thursday, December 24, 2009 |
| 2 | 8th Day | $23,550,000 | +107.9% | -12.0% | $160,818,000 | $6,814 | 3,456 | Friday, December 25, 2009 |
| 1 | 9th Day | $28,550,000 | +21.2% | +11.8% | $189,368,000 | $8,261 | 3,456 | Saturday, December 26, 2009 |
| 1 | 10th Day | $22,900,000 | -19.8% | -7.5% | $212,268,000 | $6,626 | 3,456 | Sunday, December 27, 2009 |
_________________The Force Awakens
|
| Sun Dec 27, 2009 2:54 pm |
|
|
|
Lotan
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Mon Jun 05, 2006 5:25 pm
Posts: 1222
|
Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread BJ wrote: BOM has opened an Avatar Vs Titanic Showdown So... it begins.
|
| Sun Dec 27, 2009 3:25 pm |
|
|
|
Price
Gamaur's sex slave
Joined: Tue Dec 20, 2005 7:15 pm
Posts: 8889
Location: Los Pollos Hermanos
|
Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread BJ wrote: BOM Update:AvatarReader Rating: A- (1,885 votes)A's: 1,602 - 85.0%
F's: 88 - 4.7%
Top Rated #4 top rated from readers Who let BKB vote 86 times? The other two votes are snack and yoshue. _________________
|
| Sun Dec 27, 2009 3:27 pm |
|
|
|
Eventine
Too Brilliant for Introductions
Joined: Sat Nov 05, 2005 12:45 am
Posts: 3073
|
Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread So... I did some really conservative projections with a $56 million weekend next weekend (around a 25% drop) and drops of 35-40% for the rest of its run, with 20-25% late in its run. Somehow I have it at $459 million after 63 days, hitting $400 million in its 31th day.
I'm starting to wonder if I'm really being conservative.
_________________
|
| Sun Dec 27, 2009 3:51 pm |
|
|
|
mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm
Posts: 13056
Location: Augsburg (2,040 years young)
|
Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread I think you have to recalculate tomorrow as I think that AVATAR is underestimated by about $3m on Sunday...
_________________
Nothing Compares 2 U
|
| Sun Dec 27, 2009 3:55 pm |
|
|
|
Eventine
Too Brilliant for Introductions
Joined: Sat Nov 05, 2005 12:45 am
Posts: 3073
|
Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread What kind of drops should we expect this upcoming week?
_________________
|
| Sun Dec 27, 2009 4:01 pm |
|
|
|
Box
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 12:52 am
Posts: 25990
|
Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread Eventine wrote:
I'm starting to wonder if I'm really being conservative.
Very. You're being a Dick Cheney  _________________In order of preference: Christian, Argos MadGez wrote: Briefs. Am used to them and boxers can get me in trouble it seems. Too much room and maybe the silkiness have created more than one awkward situation. My Box-Office Blog: http://boxofficetracker.blogspot.com/
|
| Sun Dec 27, 2009 4:02 pm |
|
|
|
Eventine
Too Brilliant for Introductions
Joined: Sat Nov 05, 2005 12:45 am
Posts: 3073
|
Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread Decreasing the Sunday drop to 15.4% raised my projections to $474 million.  _________________
|
| Sun Dec 27, 2009 4:04 pm |
|
|
|
Mesjarch
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Tue May 03, 2005 5:41 am
Posts: 2388
Location: Poland
|
Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread Eventine wrote: What kind of drops should we expect this upcoming week? Small 
|
| Sun Dec 27, 2009 4:05 pm |
|
|
|
BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
|
Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread 550m+, I guarantee it.
_________________The Force Awakens
|
| Sun Dec 27, 2009 4:21 pm |
|
|
|
Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm
Posts: 63026
Location: Tonight... YOU!
|
Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread So... Avatar is at $212 mil after 2 weekends.
Let's project the weekends!
3rd- $57 mil (-25%)
4th- $37 mil (-35%)
5th- $24 mil (-35%)
6th- $16 mil (-35%)
7th- $10 mil (-35%)
8th-12th- $15 mil (-35% drops)
$142 mil JUST from weekends. $354 mil without M-TH grosses. $500+ mil is guaranteed.
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
|
| Sun Dec 27, 2009 4:47 pm |
|
|
|
BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
|
Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread I think sub 35% drops are guaranteed throughout the films run.
_________________The Force Awakens
|
| Sun Dec 27, 2009 4:49 pm |
|
|
|
Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm
Posts: 63026
Location: Tonight... YOU!
|
Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread BJ wrote: I think sub 35% drops are guaranteed throughout the films run. That's a worst case scenario  _________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
|
| Sun Dec 27, 2009 4:50 pm |
|
|
|
BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
|
Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread Chip Munkington wrote: BJ wrote: I think sub 35% drops are guaranteed throughout the films run. That's a worst case scenario goodgood _________________The Force Awakens
|
| Sun Dec 27, 2009 4:52 pm |
|
|
|
BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
|
Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread Gamaur wrote: Who won the saturday round BJ?
That's right, bitch.  guess who's going to win the Sunday round _________________The Force Awakens
|
| Sun Dec 27, 2009 4:57 pm |
|
|
|
Telemachos
Star Trek XI
Joined: Fri Dec 16, 2005 3:23 pm
Posts: 324
Location: Los Angeles, CA
|
Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread Chip Munkington wrote: So... Avatar is at $212 mil after 2 weekends.
Let's project the weekends!
3rd- $57 mil (-25%)
4th- $37 mil (-35%)
5th- $24 mil (-35%)
6th- $16 mil (-35%)
7th- $10 mil (-35%)
8th-12th- $15 mil (-35% drops)
$142 mil JUST from weekends. $354 mil without M-TH grosses. $500+ mil is guaranteed. It's going to drop harder than 35% on its 4th weekend. Anything under 45% would be really good.
|
| Sun Dec 27, 2009 4:58 pm |
|
|
|
BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
|
Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread Telemachos wrote: Chip Munkington wrote: So... Avatar is at $212 mil after 2 weekends.
Let's project the weekends!
3rd- $57 mil (-25%)
4th- $37 mil (-35%)
5th- $24 mil (-35%)
6th- $16 mil (-35%)
7th- $10 mil (-35%)
8th-12th- $15 mil (-35% drops)
$142 mil JUST from weekends. $354 mil without M-TH grosses. $500+ mil is guaranteed. It's going to drop harder than 35% on its 4th weekend. Anything under 45% would be really good. once again james cameron is under estimated, this is becoming a tradition. _________________The Force Awakens
|
| Sun Dec 27, 2009 4:58 pm |
|
|
|
Telemachos
Star Trek XI
Joined: Fri Dec 16, 2005 3:23 pm
Posts: 324
Location: Los Angeles, CA
|
Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread BJ wrote: Telemachos wrote: Chip Munkington wrote: So... Avatar is at $212 mil after 2 weekends.
Let's project the weekends!
3rd- $57 mil (-25%)
4th- $37 mil (-35%)
5th- $24 mil (-35%)
6th- $16 mil (-35%)
7th- $10 mil (-35%)
8th-12th- $15 mil (-35% drops)
$142 mil JUST from weekends. $354 mil without M-TH grosses. $500+ mil is guaranteed. It's going to drop harder than 35% on its 4th weekend. Anything under 45% would be really good. once again james cameron is under estimated, this is becoming a tradition. I'm perfectly happy to be proven wrong.
|
| Sun Dec 27, 2009 4:59 pm |
|
|
|
BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
|
Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread Gamaur wrote: I saw it again last night and I'm increasing my prediction from 510 to 575.
Boom. soon you will be over 600m   _________________The Force Awakens
|
| Sun Dec 27, 2009 5:07 pm |
|
|
|
BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
|
Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread Gamaur wrote: We'll see what the 3rd weekend brings. another 60m+  _________________The Force Awakens
|
| Sun Dec 27, 2009 5:15 pm |
|
|
|
BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
|
Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread Predict Avatars Sunday
BJs Prediction: 28.55m NC (the film will make 80m fo sho)
Revatar - 27.10m -5%
Mark66 - 26.505m -7%
Chip Munkington - 25.8m -9%
Sloas - 25.7m -10%
Average: 26.73m -6%
you have until 10pm eastern, post your prediction for a chance at one day of predicting glory.
_________________The Force Awakens
|
| Sun Dec 27, 2009 5:21 pm |
|
|
|
Eventine
Too Brilliant for Introductions
Joined: Sat Nov 05, 2005 12:45 am
Posts: 3073
|
Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread $25.2 million
_________________
Last edited by Eventine on Sun Dec 27, 2009 5:27 pm, edited 1 time in total.
|
| Sun Dec 27, 2009 5:26 pm |
|
|
|
Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm
Posts: 6786
|
Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread 25.2m sunday.
_________________
The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
|
| Sun Dec 27, 2009 5:28 pm |
|
|
Who is online |
Users browsing this forum: Bing [Bot], Google [Bot] and 190 guests |
|
You cannot post new topics in this forum
You cannot reply to topics in this forum
You cannot edit your posts in this forum
You cannot delete your posts in this forum
You cannot post attachments in this forum
|
|
