| Author |
Message |
|
David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am
Posts: 34865
Location: Maryland
|
 Re: Well...the 2009 Contenders Discussion Thread xiayun wrote: I personally think the BP is down to three films: Precious, Up in the Air, and Avatar. And let's face it: George Clooney dramedy with a Message > ghetto drama starring Mo'Nique and hard science fiction film with a cast of blue aliens _________________   1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game
|
| Sun Nov 29, 2009 2:23 pm |
|
|
|
Tyler
Powered By Hate
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 8:55 pm
Posts: 7578
Location: Torrington, CT
|
Re: Well...the 2009 Contenders Discussion Thread Precious is a much bigger message movie than Up In The Air. And not a comedy, at least, not an intentional one.
_________________
It's my lucky crack pipe.
|
| Sun Nov 29, 2009 11:09 pm |
|
|
|
xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
|
Re: Well...the 2009 Contenders Discussion Thread Time Out New York dragged down Precious' MC average with a 40, and they did the same to Up in the Air. Another 40 there, and Up in the Air's average score is now 73. In fact, it no longer has the review advantage on Precious, and their box office potential look similar too.
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
|
| Wed Dec 02, 2009 2:52 pm |
|
|
|
Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 40597
|
Re: Well...the 2009 Contenders Discussion Thread Shack wrote: Alex Y. wrote: Based on the trailers, I'm still not convinced Up in the Air can be a possible BP or BD winner. Particularly for BD, this just does not seem like the type of film that can win that category. I see BP/BD as: Precious - 90% Anything else - 10% Maybe 90 is too low. ok maybe not _________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
|
| Thu Dec 03, 2009 9:38 pm |
|
|
|
David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am
Posts: 34865
Location: Maryland
|
Re: Well...the 2009 Contenders Discussion Thread I wish The Road could have a rally. C'mon, Harv, pull a "Reader"!
_________________1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game
|
| Sat Dec 05, 2009 3:47 am |
|
|
|
Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
|
Re: Well...the 2009 Contenders Discussion Thread - NEW POLL I updated the poll.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
|
| Sat Dec 05, 2009 11:43 am |
|
|
|
publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am
Posts: 19444
Location: San Diego
|
Re: Well...the 2009 Contenders Discussion Thread - NEW POLL Just came back from an advanced screening of Nine. The previews got me reaaaaally excited, and unfortunately I was underwhelmed. I liked it, but it's just really lackluster and I just don't see it getting major nods.
Marion Cotillard is the only thing that really deserves notice. If she's going for supporting actress (personally I would put her here, she doesn't have enough screen time for lead IMO...), she would be my personal pick, even over Mo'Nique.
|
| Wed Dec 09, 2009 2:33 am |
|
|
|
Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 40597
|
Re: Well...the 2009 Contenders Discussion Thread - NEW POLL My 10
Locks
1. The Hurt Locker
2. Up in the Air
Near Locks
3. Up
4. Precious
5. Inglourious Basterds
Lookin good
6. A Serious Man
7. An Education
Questionable
8. (500) Days of Summer
9. Avatar
10. Nine
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
|
| Sun Dec 13, 2009 7:34 pm |
|
|
|
MARVEL_ROCKS
Forum General
Joined: Sun Mar 11, 2007 6:11 pm
Posts: 8202
|
Re: Well...the 2009 Contenders Discussion Thread - NEW POLL AVATAR WINS BEST FILM AT NEW YORK FILM CRITICS AWARD!!!!Quote: First big win for Avatar I think! RT @JoshAmato AVATAR wins Best Film at the New York Film Critics Online awards! and so it begins...
|
| Sun Dec 13, 2009 7:37 pm |
|
|
|
Maverikk
Award Winning Bastard
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 12:03 am
Posts: 15310
Location: Slumming at KJ
|
Re: Well...the 2009 Contenders Discussion Thread - NEW POLL I haven't said this, mostly because I just can't invest my time in the awards anymore, but I don't care for having 10 films nominated. The best thing the academy ever did was trim the fat back in the 40's. It makes it non exclusive and diminishes the accomplishment to have so many. If 10 movies get nominated, why not 10 directors? Actors? Actresses? etc...
If any category needs more nominations in this day and age, it's special effects.
|
| Sun Dec 13, 2009 11:03 pm |
|
|
|
snack
Extraordinary
Joined: Mon Oct 18, 2004 9:18 pm
Posts: 12159
|
Re: Well...the 2009 Contenders Discussion Thread - NEW POLL Maverikk wrote: If any category needs more nominations in this day and age, it's special effects. good 1
|
| Sun Dec 13, 2009 11:26 pm |
|
|
|
Johnny Dollar
The Lubitsch Touch
Joined: Thu Jul 21, 2005 5:48 pm
Posts: 11019
|
Re: Well...the 2009 Contenders Discussion Thread - NEW POLL There's an award for special effects?
_________________
k
|
| Sun Dec 13, 2009 11:45 pm |
|
|
|
neo_wolf
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 10:19 pm
Posts: 11033
|
Re: Well...the 2009 Contenders Discussion Thread - NEW POLL The hurt Locker is the front runner right now.
|
| Mon Dec 14, 2009 1:05 pm |
|
|
|
Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
|
Re: Well...the 2009 Contenders Discussion Thread - NEW POLL Shack wrote: My 10
Locks
1. The Hurt Locker
2. Up in the Air
Near Locks
3. Up
4. Precious
5. Inglourious Basterds
Lookin good
6. A Serious Man
7. An Education
Questionable
8. (500) Days of Summer
9. Avatar
10. Nine No Invictus, WTF? _________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
|
| Mon Dec 14, 2009 7:35 pm |
|
|
|
Tyler
Powered By Hate
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 8:55 pm
Posts: 7578
Location: Torrington, CT
|
Re: Well...the 2009 Contenders Discussion Thread - NEW POLL LadiesMan217 wrote: AVATAR WINS BEST FILM AT NEW YORK FILM CRITICS AWARD!!!!Quote: First big win for Avatar I think! RT @JoshAmato AVATAR wins Best Film at the New York Film Critics Online awards! and so it begins... New York Film Critics ONLINE, as in, angry fat men who live in basements.
_________________
It's my lucky crack pipe.
|
| Tue Dec 15, 2009 4:45 pm |
|
|
|
O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm
Posts: 12197
|
Re: Well...the 2009 Contenders Discussion Thread - NEW POLL I have a hard time seeing absolute locks in anything but the supporting categories. The Oscars are a whopping 12 weeks away. There are 10 best picture nominees and a delayed Oscars next year. That will mess up a lot along the way. I could see some major surprises this year and snubs. 10 spots for films campaigning with FYC campaigns? It might really hurt some FYC ads for smaller roles and films. It will be a messy campaign season!
|
| Tue Dec 15, 2009 11:01 pm |
|
|
|
Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 40597
|
Re: Well...the 2009 Contenders Discussion Thread Shack wrote: Am I the only one who thinks Inglourious Bastards can win? I feel like QT is going to get awarded by Oscar sometime not bad for Nov. 11th. If Basterds wins that'll be my best Oscar prediction EVAH _________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
|
| Thu Dec 17, 2009 5:26 pm |
|
|
|
Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
|
Re: Well...the 2009 Contenders Discussion Thread Shack wrote: Shack wrote: Am I the only one who thinks Inglourious Bastards can win? I feel like QT is going to get awarded by Oscar sometime not bad for Nov. 11th. If Basterds wins that'll be my best Oscar prediction EVAH Only it won't. _________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
|
| Thu Dec 17, 2009 5:56 pm |
|
|
|
Tyler
Powered By Hate
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 8:55 pm
Posts: 7578
Location: Torrington, CT
|
Re: Well...the 2009 Contenders Discussion Thread - NEW POLL Serious Man is starting to worry me.
_________________
It's my lucky crack pipe.
|
| Fri Dec 18, 2009 3:51 pm |
|
|
|
billybobwashere
He didn't look busy?!
Joined: Wed Jan 11, 2006 3:59 pm
Posts: 4308
|
Re: Well...the 2009 Contenders Discussion Thread - NEW POLL having now seen Up in the Air, it's a very good and obviously relevant film, but... it doesn't feel like Best Picture to me. Not in a bad way, just that it lacks the sweep that the Academy tends to go for.
I dunno... I should probably wait until I see Avatar, but with its massive box office performance now underway, I'm really starting to feel like it has a noteworthy chance. Hurt Locker wasn't big enough, Precious got too much of a backlash, Basterds is too Tarantino, and Up in the Air just doesn't have enough weight to carry it through these next few months, I'm thinking. Avatar is the only one of the major contenders with rising stock at the minute.
_________________ Retroviral VideosA film-based project created for the purpose of helping raise awareness about HIV/AIDS, specifically in South Africa.
|
| Sat Dec 19, 2009 4:45 am |
|
|
|
Tyler
Powered By Hate
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 8:55 pm
Posts: 7578
Location: Torrington, CT
|
Re: Well...the 2009 Contenders Discussion Thread - NEW POLL If Avatar manages to get a Screenplay nomination, it has a chance to win Best Picture. Otherwise, it's far too genre-y.
Really, Inglourious Basterds might be #2 for the win right now.
_________________
It's my lucky crack pipe.
|
| Sat Dec 19, 2009 8:09 am |
|
|
|
Price
Gamaur's sex slave
Joined: Tue Dec 20, 2005 7:15 pm
Posts: 8889
Location: Los Pollos Hermanos
|
Re: Well...the 2009 Contenders Discussion Thread - NEW POLL Tyler wrote: If Avatar manages to get a Screenplay nomination, it has a chance to win Best Picture. Otherwise, it's far too genre-y.
Really, Inglourious Basterds might be #2 for the win right now. Titanic didn't get a screenplay nomination either, but I agree, a nomination as best picture is assured, a win very unlikely (even with a screenplay nom). _________________
|
| Sat Dec 19, 2009 8:47 am |
|
|
|
Tyler
Powered By Hate
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 8:55 pm
Posts: 7578
Location: Torrington, CT
|
Re: Well...the 2009 Contenders Discussion Thread - NEW POLL Titanic was a different film in a different era, but yeah.
_________________
It's my lucky crack pipe.
|
| Sat Dec 19, 2009 1:18 pm |
|
|
|
billybobwashere
He didn't look busy?!
Joined: Wed Jan 11, 2006 3:59 pm
Posts: 4308
|
Re: Well...the 2009 Contenders Discussion Thread - NEW POLL but i would say that in both cases, the films were most heavily criticized for their scripts, but everything else about the movie was so positively received that this problem was overwhelmed.
that said, Avatar isn't my #1 at the moment; in fact, I'm having a lot of trouble ordering my top four (Avatar, Basterds, Hurt Locker, Up in the Air).
_________________Retroviral VideosA film-based project created for the purpose of helping raise awareness about HIV/AIDS, specifically in South Africa.
|
| Sat Dec 19, 2009 3:27 pm |
|
|
|
Tuukka
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sun Apr 17, 2005 8:35 am
Posts: 1830
Location: Helsinki, Finland
|
Re: Well...the 2009 Contenders Discussion Thread - NEW POLL If Avatar becomes a WOM monster and grosses well north of 400 million, it might have a chance. It needs a "cultural phenomenom" aspect to win.
It's kind of stupid that there is a different category for animated films, as UP is the most compelling nominee for best picture. Great reviews, great audience reception, great B.O run. It's also artsy, emotional, poignant, and heavy on message.
|
| Sun Dec 20, 2009 6:56 am |
|
|
