With Changeling out of the best picture race, I think Gran Torino is thisclose to getting in.

1. The Dark Knight
2. Milk
3. Australia
4. Doubt
5. Slumdog Millionaire

6. Revolutionary Road
7. Gran Torino
8. Frost/Nixon
9. The Wrestler
10. Rachel Getting Married
?? Happy-Go-Lucky- ??

No Benjamin Button?

Nope

But maybe it will be this year's There Will Be Blood on my list

I have no idea what to think of Gran Torino at the moment. It's essentially Dirty Harry retired in what Paul Haggis would think Detroit is like.

I'm just gonna cautiously leave it off at the moment.

1. The Dark Knight
2. Benjamin Button
3. Milk
4. Australia
5. Doubt

6. Revolutionary Road
7. Slumdog Millionaire
8. The Wrestler
9. Frost/Nixon
10. Gran torino

The Reader - Sometimes I feel this has a better chance than RR but it's been through a shit-storm to get released this year, so I don't know how much that will play into it. It is Harvey Weinstein though.

I'd say Milk just needs to be a good movie to get in. Politically, they could not have picked a better year but if the early word is true that it's not that great, then I don't know...

Same with Australia. If it's good, it's in. We need an epic in there. We haven't had one in 5 years.

I think Doubt may play out like Closer.

Edited after Gran Torino trailer

Indeed, it ain't getting in.

WALL-E's chances grow with every dead contender...

Definitely wouldn't be surprised to see Cadillac Records jump in the race with this weak year

If looks could kill, Eastwood would have us all dead, judging from the trailer.

Jon, your signature made me laugh for a solid thirty seconds.

I'll say it again; Clint needs to sit the next couple of plays out.

Pixar is actually giving Wall-E the Best Picture push this year... Intriguing...

http://joblo.com/wall-e-gets-oscar-push

I knew it was being underestimated.

wut wut

They may aswell give Wall-E a push as the competition is VERY weak.

If Wall-E and TDK both get nominated - we should have the highest grossing Best Picture bunch since 1997.

Fuckkk where are the Milk and Doubt reviews

I'm dieing here!

The World Premeire for Milk was just held in San Francisco this past Sunday. A fellow Reno critic who works for the city paper went to it. I expect there should be a few reviews out fairly soon.

No full length reviews yet for Milk, but Tapley was a bit mixed but praised the performances, Wells gave it 8.5 but came off more as a 6/10 review boosted by "I'm Jeff Wells and even though this movie wasn't great, I declare anyone who doesn't support it because of its honest effort and heart, in other words because I'm a biased left asshole who's been pimping this film for months, is mean-spirited"(he actually used the words "mean-spirited", btw). Poland loved it.

Yeah, I knew Milk wasn't going to get big praise. More of a Notes On A Scandal type film.

The Dark Knight Reigns Supreme!!!!!!!!!

After seeing the trailer, I think Slumdog is pretty much in

TDK
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Slumdog Millionaire
The Wrestler
Doubt

Valkyrie's new trailer is fantastic. Maybe we should add it to the shortlist?

Sure, but it's near the bottom.

Anne Thompson of Variety points to good things for RR:



Obviously not a real review yet, but I have to say every word I've heard about RR so far has been much better than I would've expected after that trailer.

Benjamin Buttons vs. TDK for Best Picture this year.

TDK is building a good case to win IMO.

BP contenders left:

Getting more and more likely
Slumdog Millionaire
Milk
The Dark Knight

The animated movie that can break the curse if the rest fails
Wall-E

Indie faves
Happy-Go-Lucky
Rachel Getting Married
The Wrestler

Still needing the good reviews
Australia
Defiance
Doubt
Gran Torino
Revolutionary Road
The Reader
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button

14.

I'm liking how more and more likely WALL-E is. I'm sure the Reader will be good, but I have an awful feeling that the Weinsteins will sabotage it.

I think Milk needs more reception still.