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 You Don't Mess with the Zohan vs. Step Brothers 

Will Step Brothers or Zohan end up with a higher total gross?
Zohan 25%  25%  [ 5 ]
Step Brothers 75%  75%  [ 15 ]
Total votes : 20

 You Don't Mess with the Zohan vs. Step Brothers 
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Post You Don't Mess with the Zohan vs. Step Brothers
Which one do you think will end up with a higher gross?

You Don't Mess with the Zohan opened pretty well, just to Sandler's standards, but the legs weren't as good as they usually are for Sandler's films. As of last weekend, it stood at $98.3 million after a $0.385 million weekend. I still think that just lke Evan Almighty it'll crawl to $100 million (or the studio will just push it beyond).


Step Brothers opened last weekend to $30.9 million and looks to be down by 47-48% this weekend, much better than Zohan's 57.5% decrease in its second weekend. After its second weekend, Step Brothers stands at $63 million after its second weekend according to the estimates. Zohan was at $68.8 million after ten days. Do you think Step Brtohers can catch up?

Normally, this wouldn't even be a question considering Step Brothers is enjoying good WoM and in August these films usually get solid legs.

BUT: over the next four weeks it'll face three directly competing R-rated comedies: Pineapple Express, Tropic Thunder and Hamlet 2. The former two are likely to open to $20+ million and have good legs as well, thus hurting Step Brothers a lot in the process and even Hamlet 2 shoud have a decent run for an indie comedy.


I'll use this thread to track the two films against each other.



Movie - Weekend Gross - Change - Theatre Count - PTA - Gross to Date


WEEKEND 1:


You Don't Mess with the Zohan - $38,531,374 - NEW - 3,462 - $11,129 - $38,531,374

Step Brothers - $30,940,732 - NEW - 3,094 - $10,000 - $30,940,732

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Sun Aug 03, 2008 12:15 pm
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Post Re: You Don't Mess with the Zohan vs. Step Brothers
Is Hamlet 2 opening wide?


Sun Aug 03, 2008 2:05 pm
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Post Re: You Don't Mess with the Zohan vs. Step Brothers
Zohan.

PE is gonna eat into it's audience BIG.

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Sun Aug 03, 2008 2:08 pm
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Post Re: You Don't Mess with the Zohan vs. Step Brothers
Flava'd wrote:
Is Hamlet 2 opening wide?


It's going wide over the Labor Day weekend, I think.

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Post Re: You Don't Mess with the Zohan vs. Step Brothers
Flava'd wrote:
Is Hamlet 2 opening wide?


I think Aug. 22 it is in limited release and then Labor Day it goes wide but I could be wrong.

I am going to have to go with Zohan, I just see PE, Tropic and Hamlet taking away from its audience, Step Brothers will probaley finish around 80-90 mil, which is not shabby considering it seems they made it up as they went along.

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Sun Aug 03, 2008 2:48 pm
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Post Re: You Don't Mess with the Zohan vs. Step Brothers
Chip [Bot] wrote:
Zohan.

PE is gonna eat into it's audience BIG.


You said PE is bombing. What gives?

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Post Re: You Don't Mess with the Zohan vs. Step Brothers
Chip [Bot] wrote:
Zohan.

PE is gonna eat into it's audience BIG.
PE and TT are gonna cause back-to-back 50% drops, which'll put its total around $5m below Zohan's.

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Sun Aug 03, 2008 7:02 pm
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Post Re: You Don't Mess with the Zohan vs. Step Brothers
Kirk Lazarus wrote:
Chip [Bot] wrote:
Zohan.

PE is gonna eat into it's audience BIG.


You said PE is bombing. What gives?


:yes:

Doesn't mean it won't kill SB.

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Post Re: You Don't Mess with the Zohan vs. Step Brothers
Zohan, though SB shouLd get within 2-3m of Zohan.


Sun Aug 03, 2008 10:29 pm
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Post Re: You Don't Mess with the Zohan vs. Step Brothers
TRACKING


Movie - Weekend Gross - Change - Theatre Count - PTA - Gross to Date


WEEKEND 1:


You Don't Mess with the Zohan - $38,531,374 - NEW - 3,462 - $11,129 - $38,531,374

Step Brothers - $30,940,732 - NEW - 3,094 - $10,000 - $30,940,732



WEEKEND 2:


You Don't Mess with the Zohan - $16,370,344 - -57.5% - 3,466 - $4,723 - $68,760,685

Step Brothers - $16,506,526 - -46.7% - 3,094 - $5,335 - $63,172,026




WEEKEND 3:


You Don't Mess with the Zohan - $7,453,215 - -54.5% - 3,278 - $2,273 - $84,308,418

Step Brothers - $9,128,662 - -44.7% - 3,182 - $2,868 - $81,132,136



WEEKEND 4:


You Don't Mess with the Zohan - $3,175,214 - -57.4% - 2,147 - $1,478 - $91,190,129

Step Brothers - $4,807,904 - -47.3% - 2,648 - $1,815 - $90,695,938

_________________________________________________________________________________



Looks like Step Brothers actually wasn't THAT hurt by Pineapple Express and Tropic Thunder. I think it'll actually edge out a win by now. I see it finishing somewhwere around $104 million, while Zohan should wind up with $101 million. Unless Death Race, The Rocker and The House Bunny hurt it too much, Step Brothers could pull ahead of Zohan by the next weekend.

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Post Re: You Don't Mess with the Zohan vs. Step Brothers
Both look to inch to 100m.


Mon Aug 25, 2008 7:52 am
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Post Re: You Don't Mess with the Zohan vs. Step Brothers
Step Brothers easily.

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Mon Aug 25, 2008 1:34 pm
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Post Re: You Don't Mess with the Zohan vs. Step Brothers
Couldn't you include Tropic Thunder in this too? It seems to be going right toward that mark too.


Mon Aug 25, 2008 8:45 pm
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Post Re: You Don't Mess with the Zohan vs. Step Brothers
TT's definitely heading above and beyond those two, so a comparison won't be necessary.

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Mon Aug 25, 2008 8:56 pm
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Post Re: You Don't Mess with the Zohan vs. Step Brothers
TRACKING


Movie - Weekend Gross - Change - Theatre Count - PTA - Gross to Date


WEEKEND 1:


You Don't Mess with the Zohan - $38,531,374 - NEW - 3,462 - $11,129 - $38,531,374

Step Brothers - $30,940,732 - NEW - 3,094 - $10,000 - $30,940,732



WEEKEND 2:


You Don't Mess with the Zohan - $16,370,344 - -57.5% - 3,466 - $4,723 - $68,760,685

Step Brothers - $16,506,526 - -46.7% - 3,094 - $5,335 - $63,172,026




WEEKEND 3:


You Don't Mess with the Zohan - $7,453,215 - -54.5% - 3,278 - $2,273 - $84,308,418

Step Brothers - $9,128,662 - -44.7% - 3,182 - $2,868 - $81,132,136



WEEKEND 4:


You Don't Mess with the Zohan - $3,175,214 - -57.4% - 2,147 - $1,478 - $91,190,129

Step Brothers - $4,807,904 - -47.3% - 2,648 - $1,815 - $90,695,938


WEEKEND 5:


You Don't Mess with the Zohan - $1,981,251 - -37.6% - 1,731 - $1,144 - $94,773,156

Step Brothers - $2,301,992 - -52.1% - 1,639 - $1,404 - $95,586,358

_________________________________________________________________________________



Well Step Brothers moved ahead of Zohan for the first time and the Labor Day weekend is going to give it enough of a gap to win when all is said and done.


Oh and I didn't include Tropic Thunder because this is certainly going to $115+ million. One that will be close, though, is The Mummy: Tomb of the Dragon Emperor. It actually should finish very close to Step Brothers.

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Post 
TRACKING


Movie - Weekend Gross - Change - Theatre Count - PTA - Gross to Date


WEEKEND 1:


You Don't Mess with the Zohan - $38,531,374 - NEW - 3,462 - $11,129 - $38,531,374

Step Brothers - $30,940,732 - NEW - 3,094 - $10,000 - $30,940,732



WEEKEND 2:


You Don't Mess with the Zohan - $16,370,344 - -57.5% - 3,466 - $4,723 - $68,760,685

Step Brothers - $16,506,526 - -46.7% - 3,094 - $5,335 - $63,172,026




WEEKEND 3:


You Don't Mess with the Zohan - $7,453,215 - -54.5% - 3,278 - $2,273 - $84,308,418

Step Brothers - $9,128,662 - -44.7% - 3,182 - $2,868 - $81,132,136



WEEKEND 4:


You Don't Mess with the Zohan - $3,175,214 - -57.4% - 2,147 - $1,478 - $91,190,129

Step Brothers - $4,807,904 - -47.3% - 2,648 - $1,815 - $90,695,938



WEEKEND 5:


You Don't Mess with the Zohan - $1,981,251 - -37.6% - 1,731 - $1,144 - $94,773,156

Step Brothers - $2,301,992 - -52.1% - 1,639 - $1,404 - $95,586,358



WEEKEND 6:


You Don't Mess with the Zohan - $1,071,854 - -45.9% - 939 - $1,141 - $96,910,739

Step Brothers - $1,357,288 - -41% - 1,036 - $1,310 - $97,926,025



WEEKEND 7:


You Don't Mess with the Zohan - $365,667 - -65.9% - 261 - $1,401 - $97,736,720

Step Brothers - $864,173 - -36.3% - 846 - $1,021 - $99,415,157



WEEKEND 8:


You Don't Mess with the Zohan - $385,400 - +5.4% - 224 - $1,720 - $98,319,368

Step Brothers - $416,581 - -51.8% - 454 - $917 - $100,125,730
_________________________________________________________________________________


Well, as of last weekend, Zohan has finished its domestic run (conveniently just after passing the $100 million mark to which the studio obviously pushed it). So, Step Brothers won the race and should finish with about $102 million.

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