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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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 National Board of Review Countdown Thread It's in 4 days and it's usually the first of the awards that really matters a bit each year. More often than not, the winner of Best Picture goes on to earn a BP nom. Last year it was pretty much the first indicator that Letters of Iwo Jima would take a BP spot.
So what are your predictions?
I say:
Best Film
No Country for Old Men
Other Top Ten Films (no order):
There Will Be Blood
Charlie Wilson's War
The Savages
Gone Baby Gone
Before the Devil Knows You're Dead
Atonement
Hairspray
Juno
American Gangster
Best Actor
Daniel Day-Lewis (There Will Be Blood)
Best Actress
Amy Adams (Enchanted)
Best Supporting Actor
Javier Bardem (No Country for Old Men)
Best Supporting Actress
Marisa Tomei (Before the Devil Knows You're Dead)
Best Acting By An Ensemble
Atonement
Breakthrough Performance - Male
James McAvoy (Atonement)
Breakthrough Performance - Female
Ellen Page (Juno)
Best Director:
Ridley Scott (American Gangster)
Best Adapted Screenplay
No Country for Old Men
Best Original Screenplay
Juno
Best Foreign Film
4 Months, 3 Weeks and 2 Days
Best Animated Feature
Ratatouille
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Sat Dec 01, 2007 4:21 pm |
 
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Rod
Extra on the Ordinary
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:50 pm
Posts: 12821
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Re: National Board of Review Countdown Thread Best Film: I keep coming back to Lust, Caution for some reason.
Alternate: Sweeney Todd
Best Director: Sidney Lumet
Alternate: Todd Haynes
Best Actor: Daniel Day-Lewis
Alternate: Frank Langella
Best Actress: Marion Cotillard
Alternate: Julie Christie
Best Supporting Actress: Cate Blanchett
Alternate: Vanessa Redgrave
Best Supporting Actor: Javier Bardem
Alternate:Hal Holbrook
Best Adapted Screenplay: No Country for Old Men
Alternate: Away From Her
Best Original Screenplay: Juno
Alternate: Michael Clayton
Best Ensemble: I'm Not There
Alternate: Atonement
Breakthrough Male: Casey Affleck
Alternate: James McAvoy
Breakthrough Female- Ellen Page
Alternate: Saiorse Ronan
Documentary: Sicko
Alternate: No End in Sight
Animated: Ratatouille
Alternate: Persepolis
Foreign Language: The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Alternate: 4 Months, 3 Weeks, 2 Days.
_________________ Best Actress 2008
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| Sat Dec 01, 2007 5:23 pm |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
Posts: 48678
Location: Arlington, VA
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Re: National Board of Review Countdown Thread I see No Country for Old Men or Atonement for Best Film here. Gut feeling.
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| Sat Dec 01, 2007 5:30 pm |
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Raffiki
Forum General
Joined: Fri Oct 22, 2004 12:14 am
Posts: 9966
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Re: National Board of Review Countdown Thread So, have all the films been screened at this point?
It would be a great start for There Will Be Blood if it can manage it but it will probably go to No Country or Sweeney Todd. I can't see Atonement getting this for some reason.
_________________
Top Movies of 2009
1. Hurt Locker / 2. (500) Days of Summer / 3. Sunshine Cleaning / 4. Up / 5. I Love You, Man
Top Anticipated 2009
1. Nine
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| Sat Dec 01, 2007 5:38 pm |
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MikeQ.
The French Dutch Boy
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 8:28 pm
Posts: 10266
Location: Mordor, Middle Earth
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Re: National Board of Review Countdown Thread In recent history, winning Best Film at the NBR is both a blessing and a curse. Since the new millennium, the best film here will go on to be nominated for Best Picture at the Oscars, but not WIN the Oscar. The past 6 years (since 2001), it has been that way. NBR Best Film Winners in past years:
2006: Letters from Iwo Jima
2005: Good Night, And Good Luck
2004: Finding Neverland
2003: Mystic River
2002: The Hours
2001: Moulin Rouge
Of course, it's not perfectly that way. The last film to win both the NBR and the Oscar for Best Film is American Beauty. Silence of the Lambs also won Best Film at the NBR in it's year (and as we know, went on to win the Oscar), so it's certainly possible that another bloody film (No Country for Old Men) could win this year and go on to win the Oscar.
My prediction for Best Film:
There Will Be Blood
alt. Gone Baby Gone
There Will Be Blood seems to be a likely choice to me. Gone Baby Gone is just a gut feeling of mine as a possibility.
Peace,
Mike
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| Sat Dec 01, 2007 6:12 pm |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm
Posts: 14737
Location: The Present (Duh)
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Re: National Board of Review Countdown Thread No Country for Old Men seems like a good bet for them. It's a nice, middle-of-the-road choice for them in terms of the race. Though they were also responsible for making Moulin Rouge! and Iwo Jima into legit contenders, so they could also end up giving something that seems unlikely now a boost. Hairspray, perhaps?
I might make actual predictions later.
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| Sat Dec 01, 2007 6:57 pm |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm
Posts: 14737
Location: The Present (Duh)
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Re: National Board of Review Countdown Thread My entry for the AwardsDaily forums contest:
NBR Top Ten List
Best Film: Hairspray
Best Film Alternate: No Country for Old Men
- Atonement
- Away from Her
- Before the Devil Knows You're Dead
- Into the Wild
- Juno
- The Kite Runner
- Michael Clayton
- There Will Be Blood
Best Foreign Film List
Best Foreign Film: The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Best Foreign Film Alternate: 4 Months, 3 Weeks, 2 Days
- Lust, Caution
- La Vie En Rose
- The Orphanage
Best Documentary: No End in Sight
- Alternate: Lake of Fire
Best Animated Film: Persepolis
- Alternate: Ratatouille
Best Actor: Viggo Mortensen for Eastern Promises
- Alternate: John Cusack for Grace is Gone
- Alternate: Daniel Day-Lewis for There Will Be Blood
Best Actress: Marion Cotillard for La Vie En Rose
- Alternate: Julie Christie for Away from Her
- Alternate: Laura Linney for The Savages
Best Supporting Actor: Javier Bardem for No Country for Old Men
- Alternate: Max von Sydow for The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
- Alternate: Hal Holbrook for Into the Wild
Best Supporting Actress: Amy Ryan for Gone Baby Gone
- Alternate: Marisa Tomei for Before the Devil Knows You're Dead
- Alternate: Kelly MacDonald for No Country for Old Men
Best Director: Sidney Lumet for Before the Devil Knows You're Dead
- Alternate: Paul Thomas Anderson for There Will Be Blood
- Alternate: Sean Penn for Into the Wild
Best Adapted Screenplay: The Kite Runner
- Alternate: No Country for Old Men
Best Original Screenplay: Juno
- Alternate: Waitress
Best Ensemble: Before the Devil Knows You're Dead
- Alternate: No Country for Old Men
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| Sat Dec 01, 2007 7:49 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 40599
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Re: National Board of Review Countdown Thread If there's a wacky winner, I wouldn't be surprised if it's The Kite Runner.
Realistically though, No Country for Old Men.
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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| Sat Dec 01, 2007 8:04 pm |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm
Posts: 14737
Location: The Present (Duh)
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Re: National Board of Review Countdown Thread Shack wrote: If there's a wacky winner, I wouldn't be surprised if it's The Kite Runner.
Realistically though, No Country for Old Men. I wouldn't either, but it strikes me as too much of a bust to actually win. A top ten placement seems right though (Blood Diamond, anyone?).
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| Sat Dec 01, 2007 8:21 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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Re: National Board of Review Countdown Thread I have a weird feeling that Tang Wei might win Best Actress.
And I'm not sure DDL will here. He will win NYFCC for sure (three time winner there).
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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| Sat Dec 01, 2007 11:17 pm |
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Snrub
Vagina Qwertyuiop
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:14 pm
Posts: 8767
Location: Great Living Standards
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Re: National Board of Review Countdown Thread Fingers crossed for Sweeney Todd, my biggest worry is that it may have been screened a little too late for it to be seriously considered.
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| Sun Dec 02, 2007 9:44 am |
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Alex Y.
Top Poster
Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 4:47 pm
Posts: 5824
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Re: National Board of Review Countdown Thread Remember last year's top ten 50% of their top ten films involved WB (Blood Diamond, The Departed, Flags of Our Fathers, Letters From Iwo Jima, The Painted Veil) while 40% were from Fox (The Devil Wears Prada, The History Boys, Little Miss Sunshine, Notes on a Scandal)?
If they show the same corporate-allegiance this year, then Fox Searchlight's Juno, The Savages, Once, and The Darjeeling Limited and WB's Michael Clayton, The Assassination of Jesse James, The Bucket List all have a better-than-usual shot of making their top ten. Also, I think Sweeney Todd's international distribution is by WB.
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| Sun Dec 02, 2007 9:32 pm |
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android
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Sun Aug 28, 2005 7:44 am
Posts: 2913
Location: Portugal
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Re: National Board of Review Countdown Thread Best Film
No Country for Old Men
Other Top Ten Films (no order):
There Will Be Blood
Before the Devil Knows You're Dead
Atonement
Hairspray
Juno
Sweeney Todd
Away From Her
Eastern Promises
American Gangster
Best Actor
Daniel Day-Lewis (There Will Be Blood)
Best Actress
Julie Christie (Away From Her)
Best Supporting Actor
Javier Bardem (No Country for Old Men)
Best Supporting Actress
Jennifer Jason Leigh (Margot at the Wedding)
Best Acting By An Ensemble
Hairspray
Breakthrough Performance - Male
Emile Hirsch (Into The Wild)
Breakthrough Performance - Female
Ellen Page (Juno)
Best Director:
Sidney Lumet (Before the Devil Knows You're Dead)
Best Adapted Screenplay
Atonement
Best Original Screenplay
Juno
Best Foreign Film
4 Months, 3 Weeks and 2 Days
Best Animated Feature
Ratatouille
_________________
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| Mon Dec 03, 2007 8:33 am |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
Posts: 48678
Location: Arlington, VA
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Re: National Board of Review Countdown Thread Is anyone thinking Amy Adams could win Best Actress here? Diane Keaton won NBR in 2003 for Something's Gotta Give (which was the first real indication she would be a serious awards contender for the movie).
Oh, and I changed my mind. I'm going to go out on a limb and say The Kite Runner wins Best Picture here. Another gut feeling of mine.
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| Mon Dec 03, 2007 3:59 pm |
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snack
Extraordinary
Joined: Mon Oct 18, 2004 9:18 pm
Posts: 12159
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Re: National Board of Review Countdown Thread Libs wrote: Is anyone thinking Amy Adams could win Best Actress here? Diane Keaton won NBR in 2003 for Something's Gotta Give (which was the first real indication she would be a serious awards contender for the movie).
Oh, and I changed my mind. I'm going to go out on a limb and say The Kite Runner wins Best Picture here. Another gut feeling of mine. No and no fucking way.
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| Mon Dec 03, 2007 4:38 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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Re: National Board of Review Countdown Thread From AD forum: Quote: From some guy (Aguirre) at In Contention:
"[E]llen page will win the nbr's award for breakthrough. take that to the bank."
"[A]nd for reasons unbeknownst to me, the nbr is considering persepolis only in the animated category at the moment."
"AND the phil donahue doc. and no end in sight are the only docs that have a chance with them."
"marian cotilliard will win for la vie en rose."
"the kite runner will win best picture. hairspray wont be short-listed."
"my apologies for the consecutive posts... im done, now. but my guesses are as good as gold in this bizarre derby."
"kris, as the voting hasn't finished yet my predictions - despite my silly confidence - are simply very educated guesses. i will say that i know for certain that page's only competition for breakthrough is amy adams, that lake of fire has an absolutely ZERO percent chance of taking home the doc prize, that the members formed more of a consensus on kite runner and the acting in jesse james than anything else all year, and that the bit about persepolis is a clerical error that i don't believe they'll address by the time they vote. i think diving bell will take their foreign prize, and re: the savages... PSH / Laura Linney certainly have a shot - don't underestimate the former's very winning performance in charlie wilson's war."
"...sorry for all the input ,but it's not often i can write about these senseless year-end shenanigans with any confidence..."
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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| Mon Dec 03, 2007 4:39 pm |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
Posts: 48678
Location: Arlington, VA
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Re: National Board of Review Countdown Thread xiayun wrote: From AD forum: Quote: From some guy (Aguirre) at In Contention:
"[E]llen page will win the nbr's award for breakthrough. take that to the bank."
"[A]nd for reasons unbeknownst to me, the nbr is considering persepolis only in the animated category at the moment."
"AND the phil donahue doc. and no end in sight are the only docs that have a chance with them."
"marian cotilliard will win for la vie en rose."
"the kite runner will win best picture. hairspray wont be short-listed."
"my apologies for the consecutive posts... im done, now. but my guesses are as good as gold in this bizarre derby."
"kris, as the voting hasn't finished yet my predictions - despite my silly confidence - are simply very educated guesses. i will say that i know for certain that page's only competition for breakthrough is amy adams, that lake of fire has an absolutely ZERO percent chance of taking home the doc prize, that the members formed more of a consensus on kite runner and the acting in jesse james than anything else all year, and that the bit about persepolis is a clerical error that i don't believe they'll address by the time they vote. i think diving bell will take their foreign prize, and re: the savages... PSH / Laura Linney certainly have a shot - don't underestimate the former's very winning performance in charlie wilson's war."
"...sorry for all the input ,but it's not often i can write about these senseless year-end shenanigans with any confidence..."
Ha! Eat me, s snack, if that ends up being true. 
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| Mon Dec 03, 2007 5:11 pm |
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Dkmuto
Forum General
Joined: Fri Oct 22, 2004 1:00 am
Posts: 6502
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Re: National Board of Review Countdown Thread Amy Adams for breakthrough? Didn't she already... break through?
NBR is a tough call. It's the first, plus it tends to reward (sometimes) the stuff with hype that dies later on. Remember stuff like... Gong Li for best supporting actress?
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| Mon Dec 03, 2007 5:16 pm |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
Posts: 48678
Location: Arlington, VA
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Re: National Board of Review Countdown Thread Dkmuto wrote: Amy Adams for breakthrough? Didn't she already... break through?
NBR is a tough call. It's the first, plus it tends to reward (sometimes) the stuff with hype that dies later on. Remember stuff like... Gong Li for best supporting actress? You would think getting an Oscar nomination already would be considered breaking through, yes. That's why if Amy Adams appeared anywhere on NBR, I figure it would be Actress, not Breakthrough.
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| Mon Dec 03, 2007 5:17 pm |
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snack
Extraordinary
Joined: Mon Oct 18, 2004 9:18 pm
Posts: 12159
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Re: National Board of Review Countdown Thread loyalfromlondon wrote: More from AD Stephen Holt said: Quote:
Javier, yes, I think so for Supporting and also because Annette Inesdorf, who is one of their leading lights and is a HUGE Almodovar fan and scholar who teaches film at Columbia. She's on the Special Features interviewing Pedro if you want to check her out, and she's an impressive lady.
She's going to be my film professor next semester!
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| Mon Dec 03, 2007 8:42 pm |
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MikeQ.
The French Dutch Boy
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 8:28 pm
Posts: 10266
Location: Mordor, Middle Earth
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Re: National Board of Review Countdown Thread My predictions (copied from Oscarwatch):
NBR Top Ten List
Best Film: There Will Be Blood
Best Film Alternate: Charlie Wilson's War
- American Gangster
- Atonement
- Eastern Promises
- Into the Wild
- The Kite Runner
- Michael Clayton
- No Country for Old Men
- Sweeney Todd
Best Foreign Film List
Best Foreign Film: The Diving Bell and The Butterfly
Best Foreign Film Alternate: Lust, Caution
- 4 Months, 3 Weeks and 2 Days
- The Orphanage
- La Vie en Rose
Best Documentary: Sicko
- Alternate: Lake of Fire
Best Animated Film: Ratatouille
- Alternate: Persepolis
Best Actor: Johnny Depp for Sweeney Todd
- Alternate: Daniel Day-Lewis for There Will Be Blood
- Alternate: Viggo Mortensen for Eastern Promises
Best Actress: Marion Cotillard for La Vie en Rose
- Alternate: Laura Linney for The Savages, Jindabyne and The Nanny Diaries
- Alternate: Angelina Jolie for A Mighty Heart
Best Supporting Actor: Javier Bardem for No Country for Old Men
- Alternate: Casey Affleck for The Assassination of Jesse James...
- Alternate: Philip Seymour Hoffman for Charlie Wilson's War
Best Supporting Actress: Cate Blanchett for I'm Not There
- Alternate: Jennifer Jason Leigh for Margot at the Wedding
- Alternate: Soarise Ronan for Atonement
Best Director: Ridley Scott for American Gangster
- Alternate: Paul Thomas Anderson for There Will Be Blood
- Alternate: Joel & Ethan Coen for No Country for Old Men
Best Adapted Screenplay: No Country for Old Men
- Alternate: Atonement
Best Original Screenplay: Juno
- Alternate: The Savages
Best Ensemble: Atonement
- Alternate: I'm Not There
Peace,
Mike
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| Tue Dec 04, 2007 3:04 am |
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Raffiki
Forum General
Joined: Fri Oct 22, 2004 12:14 am
Posts: 9966
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Re: National Board of Review Countdown Thread So are they announced today?
_________________
Top Movies of 2009
1. Hurt Locker / 2. (500) Days of Summer / 3. Sunshine Cleaning / 4. Up / 5. I Love You, Man
Top Anticipated 2009
1. Nine
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| Tue Dec 04, 2007 1:44 pm |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm
Posts: 14737
Location: The Present (Duh)
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Re: National Board of Review Countdown Thread I'm quite amazed at how this season has just sneaked up on us. It's almost exciting how freaking clueless we are right now. 
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| Tue Dec 04, 2007 5:30 pm |
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Mr. Reynolds
Confessing on a Dance Floor
Joined: Tue Nov 23, 2004 12:46 am
Posts: 5578
Location: Celebratin' in Chitown
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Re: National Board of Review Countdown Thread i think it shows the lack of any really good movies. I mean, is there any one movie to root for?
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| Tue Dec 04, 2007 5:54 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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Re: National Board of Review Countdown Thread 11am PST tomorrow.
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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| Tue Dec 04, 2007 6:00 pm |
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