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 KJ's Winter/Spring Box Office Contest 2020 - Jan 30 Deadline 
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Post KJ's Winter/Spring Box Office Contest 2020 - Jan 30 Deadline
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KJ's Winter/Spring Box Office Contest 2020

Since KC is too busy I got his blessing to start the first one of the season. I know its already late but its time to predict another season of movies! :) From Onward to Mulan to Bond, this will be an interesting unpredictable game!

The season's contest covers movies released from January 31st, 2020 to April 24th, 2020. The players with the most points at the end of the game in positions first, second and third will receive $15 gift card, $10 gift card and $5 gift card respectively.

How the Points Work
Spoiler: show
Each player predicts the total domestic box office grosses of the movies listed further below. It's the ultimate test in box office predictions: guessing a movie's potential final gross before the season even starts with few, if any, tracking numbers. For each movie, the top 25% of players who predicted most accurately will get 3 points a piece.

Players can also score bonus points. The first is the Top 5. Each player will predict the season's five biggest films. Each movie that you include in your top 5 predictions that ends up somewhere in the top 5 scores 1 point. Each movie that you correctly predict its top 5 rank scores an additional 1 point. An extra bonus of 10 points is given to any player who correctly predicts the Top 5 perfectly. (This has still never been done in the 5+ year history of this game.) Only the 30 movies (and 2 backup movies) that are being predicted are contenders for our Top 5 point system.

Finally, players predict the answers to ten box office questions. A correct answer scores 2 points.

Ties in overall points are broken by who has the lowest total difference between each of their movie predictions and the actual total.

Release changes
TOTAL GROSS PREDICTIONS - Backup movies are in place in case any of the below predicted movies change their release date. (Once a movie moves its release date outside our season window, the first backup movie listed comes into play.)
TOP 5 PREDICTIONS - Only the predicted movies (and 2 backup movies) are eligible for the Top 5 ranking, so no blockbuster that gets released last-minute into the season will be eligible. If a movie that appears in over 30% of Top 5 predictions moves out of the season, then affected players' Top 5 predictions will be automatically adjusted with what was their next highest-predicted movie.
BOX OFFICE QUESTIONS - A box office question will be voided in the following scenarios:
-The movie with the release date change is specifically mentioned in the question
-The movie with the release date change appears in over 30% of player responses to the question


Ready?
Fill out the form below and paste in this thread / PM it to me by January 30th 2020 at 11:59 PM CST. Good luck! :thumbsup:

Predict the Following Films' Total Gross
A Quiet Place: Part 2
Bad Trip
Birds of Prey (And the Fantabulous Emancipation of One Harley Quinn)
Bloodshot
Brahms: The Boy 2
Call of the Wild
Emma
Fantasy Island
Fatherhood
Gretel & Hansel
I Still Believe
Monster Problems
Mulan
No Time to Die
Onward
Peter Rabbit 2
Sonic The Hedgehog
The Invisible Man
The Lovebirds
The New Mutants
The Photograph
The Rhythm Section
The Way Back
Trolls: World tour
What About Love

Backups
Wendy
Promising Young Woman

Predict the Top 5 Grossing Movies of Fall/Winter 2019
#1:
#2:
#3:
#4:
#5:

The 10 Box Office Questions

#1: Which will gross more - the total gross of A Quiet Place: Part 2 or the combo of "Gretel and Hansel" and "The Invisible Man" and "Fantasy Island"?
#2: Which will gross more in total - the combo of Mulan and No Time to Die or the combo of Onward and Birds of Prey?
#3: Which 2 of the following films will gross closest to each other in total in dollars – Trolls: The World Tour, Sonic The Hedgehog, The New Mutants, Peter Rabbit 2, Monster Problems?
#4: Which sequel will fall the most from its predecessor (%-wise) - A Quiet Place: Part 2, Birds of Prey*, Peter Rabbit 2, No Time to Die or Trolls: World tour?
#5: Which sequel will gross the closest to its predecessor (total-wise) - A Quiet Place: Part 2, Birds of Prey*, Peter Rabbit 2, No Time to Die or Trolls: World tour?
(*Suicide Squad is the preceding movie for Birds of Prey)
#6: What will be the highest grossing film to not hit #1 on any of its weekends?
#7: What movie will have lost the largest number of theaters in its 3rd weekend?
#8: How many films will gross over $100 million?
#9: How many films will gross over $200 million?
#10: What will be the highest grossing film not predicted in the total gross section (including the backup films)?

Remember, the season's contest covers movies released from January 31st, 2019 to April 24th, 2019. The deadline for filling out the form is January 30th, 2019 at 11:59 PM CST.


Sat Jan 04, 2020 7:16 am
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Wallflower
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Post Re: KJ's Winter/Spring Box Office Contest 2020 - Jan 30 Dead
We should just take Brahms out of the game now because no way it opens without a trailer yet. Move up Emma and put Promising Young Woman in backup ;).

But thanks for doing this. I was bummed we weren't going to be.


Sat Jan 04, 2020 2:55 pm
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Why is the rum gone???
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Post Re: KJ's Winter/Spring Box Office Contest 2020 - Jan 30 Dead
Thanks for the suggestion Mike :thumbsup:

PLEASE NOTE THE CHANGES IN THE FORM (in case you have already started to submit your predictions)
1. Emma moved up to main movies (Brahms is still in the main movies but it will move away for sure)
2. Promising Young Woman added to back-up movies
3. Brahms has been moved out of Questions #1, #4, #5
4. Gretel and Hansel has been added to Question #1
5. Question #4 changed from total-wise to %-wise
6. Question #5 changed from %-wise to total-wise

If you have started to submit it you can always change your predictions till the deadline :thumbsup:


Sat Jan 04, 2020 10:01 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Winter/Spring Box Office Contest 2020 - Jan 30 Dead
Fatherhood is possibly moving too (no trailer). It seems there are fewer movies this year with many weekends having only one wide release.


Sun Jan 05, 2020 4:23 am
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Why is the rum gone???
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Post Re: KJ's Winter/Spring Box Office Contest 2020 - Jan 30 Dead
i.hope wrote:
Fatherhood is possibly moving too (no trailer). It seems there are fewer movies this year with many weekends having only one wide release.


Since Fatherhood is not part of any questions let's keep it as it is. If it moves we will just use the backup movies then.


Sun Jan 05, 2020 4:27 am
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Wallflower
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Post Re: KJ's Winter/Spring Box Office Contest 2020 - Jan 30 Dead
Jack Sparrow wrote:
Thanks for the suggestion Mike :thumbsup:

PLEASE NOTE THE CHANGES IN THE FORM (in case you have already started to submit your predictions)
1. Emma moved up to main movies (Brahms is still in the main movies but it will move away for sure)
2. Promising Young Woman added to back-up movies
3. Brahms has been moved out of Questions #1, #4, #5
4. Gretel and Hansel has been added to Question #1
5. Question #4 changed from total-wise to %-wise
6. Question #5 changed from %-wise to total-wise

If you have started to submit it you can always change your predictions till the deadline :thumbsup:


Awesome. :)


Sun Jan 05, 2020 5:56 am
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Post Re: KJ's Winter/Spring Box Office Contest 2020 - Jan 30 Dead
Awesome. Thanks for making this Jack.


Sun Jan 05, 2020 12:12 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Winter/Spring Box Office Contest 2020 - Jan 30 Dead
Predict the Following Films' Total Gross
A Quiet Place: Part 2 140m
Bad Trip 45m
Birds of Prey (And the Fantabulous Emancipation of One Harley Quinn) 156m
Bloodshot 40m
Brahms: The Boy 2 15m
Call of the Wild 65m
Emma 20m
Fantasy Island 75m
Fatherhood 35m
Gretel & Hansel 25m
I Still Believe 65m
Monster Problems 30m
Mulan 220m
No Time to Die 272m
Onward 215m
Peter Rabbit 2 86m
Sonic The Hedgehog 140m
The Invisible Man 60m
The Lovebirds 25m
The New Mutants 85m
The Photograph 50m
The Rhythm Section 35m
The Way Back 65m
Trolls: World tour 125m
What About Love 10m

Backups
Wendy 15m
Promising Young Woman 15m

Predict the Top 5 Grossing Movies of Fall/Winter 2019
#1: No Time To Die
#2: Mulan
#3: Onward
#4: Birds of Prey
#5: Sonic the Hedgehog

The 10 Box Office Questions

#1: Which will gross more - the total gross of A Quiet Place: Part 2 or the combo of "Gretel and Hansel" and "The Invisible Man" and "Fantasy Island"?
#2: Which will gross more in total - the combo of Mulan and No Time to Die or the combo of Onward and Birds of Prey?
#3: Which 2 of the following films will gross closest to each other in total in dollars – Trolls: The World Tour, Sonic The Hedgehog, The New Mutants, Peter Rabbit 2, Monster Problems?
#4: Which sequel will fall the most from its predecessor (%-wise) - A Quiet Place: Part 2, Birds of Prey*, Peter Rabbit 2, No Time to Die or Trolls: World tour?
#5: Which sequel will gross the closest to its predecessor (total-wise) - A Quiet Place: Part 2, Birds of Prey*, Peter Rabbit 2, No Time to Die or Trolls: World tour?
(*Suicide Squad is the preceding movie for Birds of Prey)
#6: What will be the highest grossing film to not hit #1 on any of its weekends? Trolls: World Tour
#7: What movie will have lost the largest number of theaters in its 3rd weekend? Bloodshot
#8: How many films will gross over $100 million? 7
#9: How many films will gross over $200 million? 3
#10: What will be the highest grossing film not predicted in the total gross section (including the backup films)? Antebellum

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Last edited by zwackerm on Fri Jan 17, 2020 3:47 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Sun Jan 05, 2020 6:08 pm
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Why is the rum gone???
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Post Re: KJ's Winter/Spring Box Office Contest 2020 - Jan 30 Dead
Riggs wrote:
Awesome. Thanks for making this Jack.


Let's hope we get the same participation this time :thumbsup:


Tue Jan 07, 2020 3:28 am
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Post Re: KJ's Winter/Spring Box Office Contest 2020 - Jan 30 Dead
Predict the Following Films' Total Gross
A Quiet Place: Part 2 180m
Bad Trip 35m
Birds of Prey (And the Fantabulous Emancipation of One Harley Quinn) 250m
Bloodshot 55m
Brahms: The Boy 2 20m
Call of the Wild 55m
Emma 25m
Fantasy Island 85m
Fatherhood 30m
Gretel & Hansel 30m
I Still Believe 55m
Monster Problems 35m
Mulan 275m
No Time to Die 235m
Onward 185m
Peter Rabbit 2 75m
Sonic The Hedgehog 100m
The Invisible Man 85m
The Lovebirds 20m
The New Mutants 125m
The Photograph 60m
The Rhythm Section 20m
The Way Back 60m
Trolls: World tour 80m
What About Love 15m

Backups
Wendy 20m
Promising Young Woman 35m

Predict the Top 5 Grossing Movies of Fall/Winter 2019
#1: Mulan
#2: Birds of Prey
#3: No Time To Die
#4: Onward
#5: A Quiet Place 2

The 10 Box Office Questions

#1: Which will gross more - the total gross of A Quiet Place: Part 2 or the combo of "Gretel and Hansel" and "The Invisible Man" and "Fantasy Island"?
#2: Which will gross more in total - the combo of Mulan and No Time to Die or the combo of Onward and Birds of Prey?
#3: Which 2 of the following films will gross closest to each other in total in dollars – Trolls: The World Tour, Sonic The Hedgehog, The New Mutants, Peter Rabbit 2, Monster Problems?
#4: Which sequel will fall the most from its predecessor (%-wise) - A Quiet Place: Part 2, Birds of Prey*, Peter Rabbit 2, No Time to Die or Trolls: World tour?
#5: Which sequel will gross the closest to its predecessor (total-wise) - A Quiet Place: Part 2, Birds of Prey*, Peter Rabbit 2, No Time to Die or Trolls: World tour?
(*Suicide Squad is the preceding movie for Birds of Prey)
#6: What will be the highest grossing film to not hit #1 on any of its weekends? Trolls: World Tour
#7: What movie will have lost the largest number of theaters in its 3rd weekend? Bloodshot
#8: How many films will gross over $100 million? 7
#9: How many films will gross over $200 million? 3
#10: What will be the highest grossing film not predicted in the total gross section (including the backup films)? Antebellum

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Tue Jan 07, 2020 8:39 am
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Post Re: KJ's Winter/Spring Box Office Contest 2020 - Jan 30 Dead
Predict the Following Films' Total Gross
A Quiet Place: Part 2 - 133
Bad Trip - 28
Birds of Prey (And the Fantabulous Emancipation of One Harley Quinn) - 180
Bloodshot - 45
Brahms: The Boy 2 - 15
Call of the Wild 52
Emma - 20
Fantasy Island - 44
Fatherhood - this moved btw
Gretel & Hansel - 25
I Still Believe - 30
Monster Problems - 27
Mulan - 325
No Time to Die - 210
Onward - 190
Peter Rabbit 2 - 58
Sonic The Hedgehog - 103
The Invisible Man - 70
The Lovebirds - 26
The New Mutants - 58
The Photograph - 40
The Rhythm Section - 22
The Way Back - 55
Trolls: World Tour - 110
What About Love - 9

Backups
Wendy - 20
Promising Young Woman - 24

Predict the Top 5 Grossing Movies of Fall/Winter 2019
#1: Mulan
#2: No Time to Die
#3: Onward
#4: Birds of Prey
#5: A Quiet Place 2

The 10 Box Office Questions

#1: Which will gross more - the total gross of A Quiet Place: Part 2 or the combo of "Gretel and Hansel" and "The Invisible Man" and "Fantasy Island"?
#2: Which will gross more in total - the combo of Mulan and No Time to Die or the combo of Onward and Birds of Prey?
#3: Which 2 of the following films will gross closest to each other in total in dollars – Trolls: The World Tour, Sonic The Hedgehog, The New Mutants, Peter Rabbit 2, Monster Problems?
#4: Which sequel will fall the most from its predecessor (%-wise) - A Quiet Place: Part 2, Birds of Prey*, Peter Rabbit 2, No Time to Die or Trolls: World Tour? Peter Rabbit
#5: Which sequel will gross the closest to its predecessor (total-wise) - A Quiet Place: Part 2, Birds of Prey*, Peter Rabbit 2, No Time to Die or Trolls: World tour? No Time to Die
(*Suicide Squad is the preceding movie for Birds of Prey)
#6: What will be the highest grossing film to not hit #1 on any of its weekends? Trolls: World Tour
#7: What movie will have lost the largest number of theaters in its 3rd weekend? Rhythm Section
#8: How many films will gross over $100 million? 7
#9: How many films will gross over $200 million? 2
#10: What will be the highest grossing film not predicted in the total gross section (including the backup films)? Antebellum


Wed Jan 08, 2020 3:06 am
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Wallflower
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Post Re: KJ's Winter/Spring Box Office Contest 2020 - Jan 30 Dead
And now we got a Brahms trailer :funny:. Sorry Jack. But they could still move it. They have less than two months to advertise it.


Wed Jan 08, 2020 4:41 pm
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Why is the rum gone???
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Post Re: KJ's Winter/Spring Box Office Contest 2020 - Jan 30 Dead
I had a hunch they might do that so I left it there for prediction. More movies to predict, anyways this year we have lesser films


Wed Jan 08, 2020 6:33 pm
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