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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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 Best Actor - who'll miss? I think there are only two locks in the Best Actor category at the moment: Denzel Washington and Daniel Day-Lewis.
Then there are four actors fighting for three spots:
John Hawkes (The Sessions)
Hugh Jackman (Les Misérables)
Bradley Cooper (Silver Linings Playbook)
Joaquin Phoenix (The Master)
Each has issues as to why he might not get nominated.
Hawkes scored BFCA/GG/SAG-noms, but competition is really fierce and his movie is just so small. On the other hand, he has a VERY Oscar-friendly role.
Jackman looks like an almost certain candidate, but let's not forget, his movie is not as well-received as expected and is certainly not a Best Picture favorite. Also, remember Richard Gere who got SAG/BFCA/GG-noms for Chicago and even won the Globe, but wasn't nominated at the Oscars.
Bradley Cooper has been nominated by the HFPA, the SAG and the BFCA, but he seems to be overshadowed by his co-star in Silver Linings Playbook and just might not "not enough of a name" to be nominated for an Oscar.
Phoenix looked a certain bet for a nod, but The Master is waning and he missed a very important SAG nomination.
Right now, I think there'll be an upset and Jackman will miss.
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| Tue Jan 08, 2013 11:15 am |
 
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 68391
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Re: Best Actor - who'll miss? Bradley Cooper
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| Tue Jan 08, 2013 11:28 am |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
Posts: 48678
Location: Arlington, VA
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Re: Best Actor - who'll miss? Joaquin Phoenix
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| Tue Jan 08, 2013 11:44 am |
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thompsoncory
Rachel McAdams Fan
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:13 am
Posts: 14628
Location: LA / NYC
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Re: Best Actor - who'll miss? Phoenix
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| Tue Jan 08, 2013 11:49 am |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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Re: Best Actor - who'll miss? The difference between Jackman and Gere is that Jackman has received steadier and stronger praises for his performance, so I can't see him miss.
It'll be Phoenix.
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| Tue Jan 08, 2013 12:52 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Re: Best Actor - who'll miss? Yet, I feel he is being overshadowed by Hathaway in his movie. And Les Misérables is simply a weaker movie altogether.
The SAG miss is a major blow to Phoenix. But then again, Gary Oldman and Javier Bardem missed SAG in 2011 and 2010 as well, yet got Oscar noms.
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| Tue Jan 08, 2013 12:56 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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Re: Best Actor - who'll miss? But I don't get the feeling that Phoenix is all that loved by the academy with his personality and past antics. He is no Oldman or Bardem in term of respect from peers.
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| Tue Jan 08, 2013 12:58 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Re: Best Actor - who'll miss? True, his attitude will hurt him. Just going by the performance, though, it is extremely showy and larger-than-life in a way that the Academy should love, though. And he's a former two-time nominee.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Tue Jan 08, 2013 12:59 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 35249
Location: Minnesota
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Re: Best Actor - who'll miss? Joaquin Phoenix
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| Tue Jan 08, 2013 1:33 pm |
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David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am
Posts: 34865
Location: Maryland
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Re: Best Actor - who'll miss? John Hawkes will miss, unfortunately.
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| Tue Jan 08, 2013 3:53 pm |
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nghtvsn
Extraordinary
Joined: Fri Mar 11, 2005 7:13 pm
Posts: 11016
Location: Warren Theatre Oklahoma
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Re: Best Actor - who'll miss? Gere was robbed!
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| Wed Jan 09, 2013 12:45 am |
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jmovies
Let's Call It A Bromance
Joined: Tue Aug 07, 2007 7:22 pm
Posts: 12333
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Re: Best Actor - who'll miss? Phoenix and maybe Washington
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| Wed Jan 09, 2013 4:18 pm |
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