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DGA Nominations
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Author:  Libs [ Mon Jan 09, 2012 2:09 pm ]
Post subject:  DGA Nominations

Woody Allen, MIDNIGHT IN PARIS
David Fincher, THE GIRL WITH THE DRAGON TATTOO
Michel Hazanavicius, THE ARTIST
Alexander Payne, THE DESCENDANTS
Martin Scorsese, HUGO

http://www.dga.org/

Author:  Jonathan [ Mon Jan 09, 2012 2:30 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: DGA Nominations

Hahahaha Girl with the Dragon Tattoo is back. And stronger than War Horse, probably.

Author:  _axiom [ Mon Jan 09, 2012 2:42 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: DGA Nominations

Outside of Dragon Tattoo, pretty much expected.

Author:  David [ Mon Jan 09, 2012 2:43 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: DGA Nominations

Yay for Fincher. :D

War Horse will still be nominated for Best Picture. It's not super-strong in the race, but I believe it's solidly in there.

Any chance of Malick (and his film) being revived is now completely gone.

I wish I had loved Midnight in Paris. I'm a lifelong fan of Allen, but to me it played as a minor effort. Can't believe it's "the one" for him in terms of awards recognition in his twilight years, and Match Point and Vicky Cristina Barcelona weren't. I consider those films much better directed.

Author:  xiayun [ Mon Jan 09, 2012 2:45 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: DGA Nominations

Definitely stronger than War Horse. Eddie will lock up a nom for it, if it isn't locked already.

Here is my current BP ranking:

1. The Artist
2. Hugo
3. The Descendants
4. The Help
5. Midnight in Paris
6. The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
7. Moneyball
8. War Horse
9. Bridesmaids
10. The Ides of March

The Tree of Life and Drive are dead IMO, and only those 10 have a shot. Currently I'm predicting the top 7.

Author:  trixster [ Mon Jan 09, 2012 2:47 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: DGA Nominations

I never understood why people had counted out Dragon Tattoo anyway. It's got much better reviews than Benjamin Button and will get close to it in box office.

Tree of Life and Drive are dead, but that was to be expected.

Author:  David [ Mon Jan 09, 2012 2:48 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: DGA Nominations

Letters from Iwo Jima missed DGA, PGA, and WGA. This gives hope to War Horse, IMO.

Munich also wasn't a guild powerhouse, though the DGA did nominate Spielberg for it.

Author:  Libs [ Mon Jan 09, 2012 2:50 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: DGA Nominations

I think War Horse might be in trouble, personally.

Author:  David [ Mon Jan 09, 2012 2:50 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: DGA Nominations

trixster wrote:
I never understood why people had counted out Dragon Tattoo anyway. It's got much better reviews than Benjamin Button and will get close to it in box office.

Regarded as "too genre."

And Scott Rudin's iron-curtain embargo and feud with David Denby created this air of, "Is this film damaged goods? Are they hiding it?" Which the film itself had to cut through and put to bed, which it has.

Author:  David [ Mon Jan 09, 2012 2:51 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: DGA Nominations

Libs wrote:
I think War Horse might be in trouble, personally.

This isn't exactly a bold remark. :P It's nowhere near the strongest in the race. It'll slip in if it gets in. It's not comfortably in the door already.

Author:  trixster [ Mon Jan 09, 2012 2:53 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: DGA Nominations

War Horse can still sneak in. We really have no idea how the new voting rules will affect the nominations.

Author:  Magic Mike [ Mon Jan 09, 2012 3:09 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: DGA Nominations

I hope Spielberg gets in at the Oscars. War Horse should at least get a Best Picture nomination.

Author:  Viper Rodgers [ Mon Jan 09, 2012 3:11 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: DGA Nominations

I still don't see how War Horse can miss. Its "Oscar bait" feel-good film of the year (even if its remarkably corny in a bad way). Its not going to win, but im sure plenty of sentimental Oscar voters will put it at #1 to get it in the race.

Author:  xiayun [ Mon Jan 09, 2012 3:12 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: DGA Nominations

I think Spielberg is out even if War Horse sneaks in though. I actually wish this would have been a 5 BP noms year; we could have seen a 3/5 BP/BD split.

Author:  Shack [ Mon Jan 09, 2012 3:22 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: DGA Nominations

With the extra nominations all 5 of these have to be a near lock

Looks to me like the only films that have a shot at winning BP are The Artist, the Descendants and Midnight in Paris (though I've been wrong a lot this offseason and in general about everything so sorry to those 3 films and congrats Hugo or The Help) based on Hugo missing SAG and The Help missing DGA

I might put Midnight in Paris #2 in that regard now. Really weird SAG show up considering it had OK performances and no nominated members, everyone in the business loves Woody, etc. Hmmmmmm

Author:  Jonathan [ Mon Jan 09, 2012 3:46 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: DGA Nominations

trixster wrote:
I never understood why people had counted out Dragon Tattoo anyway. It's got much better reviews than Benjamin Button and will get close to it in box office.


The early snubs from BFCA, SAG and the Globes freaked people out in thinking that it wasn't good enough, then it wasn't a breakout hit at the box office. Interestingly enough even its box office has had a major turnaround now in addition to awards success, and it'll easily be the second highest grossing nominee this year (Unless Bridesmaids somehow gets in).

Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Mon Jan 09, 2012 9:13 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: DGA Nominations

Yeah those five are locks then and I assume this finally kills any talk of Bennett Miller getting a Best Director nod.

I still don't expect this to be the BD line-up at the Oscars. I think Allen or Fincher might be replaced.

Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Mon Jan 09, 2012 9:14 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: DGA Nominations

xiayun wrote:
Definitely stronger than War Horse. Eddie will lock up a nom for it, if it isn't locked already.

Here is my current BP ranking:

1. The Artist
2. Hugo
3. The Descendants
4. The Help
5. Midnight in Paris
6. The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
7. Moneyball
8. War Horse
9. Bridesmaids
10. The Ides of March

The Tree of Life and Drive are dead IMO, and only those 10 have a shot. Currently I'm predicting the top 7.



Given Midnight in Paris' DGA nom and likely WGA win, I'd place it above The Help.

Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Mon Jan 09, 2012 9:55 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: DGA Nominations

Hmm...and who'll win this? I think Payne and Allen are out. Fincher, Scorsese or Hazanavicius. If Hazanavicius wins here, then the BP/BD race for the Oscars is pretty much over.

Author:  Jonathan [ Mon Jan 09, 2012 10:28 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: DGA Nominations

Yeah, I can't not see Hazanavicius winning.

Author:  xiayun [ Mon Jan 09, 2012 10:44 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: DGA Nominations

Given PGA winner will be announced even before the Oscar nominations, the race could be over by then if The Artist wins there.

Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Mon Jan 09, 2012 10:46 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: DGA Nominations

xiayun wrote:
Given PGA winner will be announced even before the Oscar nominations, the race could be over by then if The Artist wins there.


For BP, yes...but BD is a different story.

Right now I really can't see any film other than The Artist winning PGA.

Author:  xiayun [ Sun Jan 29, 2012 2:32 am ]
Post subject:  Re: DGA Nominations

Michel Hazanavicius won. Some sort of a sweep is coming; maybe it will sweep the techs to win 7 total, and maybe it could even steal one of the big categories in Actor/Supporting Actress/Original Screenplay.

Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Sun Jan 29, 2012 4:01 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: DGA Nominations

It wil win Actor and maybe Screenplay, but I still maintain that it'll lose most of the techs and Director to Hugo. Hugo won't pull another GONY.

Author:  David [ Sun Jan 29, 2012 4:09 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: DGA Nominations

It won't win actor, IMO. George is a Hollywood's God, and he has been campaigning very hard this year. They'll give him best actor, not an unknown Frenchman in a silent movie.

And Midnight in Paris will still win screenplay.

The Artist is strong, but I don't sense enough passion to start predicting a massive sweep or any upsets. It'll win Best Picture, Best Director, Best Original Score, and one or two more techs.

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