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David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am
Posts: 34865
Location: Maryland
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 If only five films could be nominated for Best Picture-- --which five films would be nominated?
_________________   1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game
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| Thu Dec 16, 2010 8:16 pm |
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David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am
Posts: 34865
Location: Maryland
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Re: If only five films could be nominated for Best Picture-- The Fighter
Inception
The Kids Are All Right
The King's Speech
The Social Network
Alternate: Black Swan
With this Best Director lineup: O. Russell (or Boyle), Nolan, Hooper, Fincher, and Aronofsky replacing Kids' Lisa Cholodenko
_________________1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game
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| Thu Dec 16, 2010 8:19 pm |
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trixster
loyalfromlondon
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 6:31 pm
Posts: 19697
Location: ville-marie
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Re: If only five films could be nominated for Best Picture-- Black Swan
The Fighter
Inception
The King's Speech
The Social Network
_________________Magic Mike wrote: zwackerm wrote: If John Wick 2 even makes 30 million I will eat 1,000 shoes. Same. Algren wrote: I don't think. I predict. 
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| Thu Dec 16, 2010 8:43 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Re: If only five films could be nominated for Best Picture-- 127 Hours
Inception
The Kids Are All Right
The King's Speech
The Social Network
Alt.: The Fighter
Black Swan would have been a BD nom without a BP nom
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Thu Dec 16, 2010 11:49 pm |
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David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am
Posts: 34865
Location: Maryland
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Re: If only five films could be nominated for Best Picture-- I believe Black Swan and The Fighter are both ahead of 127 Hours now...
_________________1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game
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| Fri Dec 17, 2010 2:25 am |
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Michael A
Joined: Sat Dec 27, 2008 4:48 am
Posts: 6245
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Re: If only five films could be nominated for Best Picture-- Gunslinger wrote: I believe Black Swan and The Fighter are both ahead of 127 Hours now... I'd probably agree. I had: Social Network King's Speech Inception Black Swan True Grit Alt: The Fighter In that order. I think True Grit will pull in big commercial success and even though it's not getting much early critic circle attention could edge out the fighter, I think it'd be one of those in the final spot and the other four are way solid. I also think Kid's Are All Right has lost way too much steam to be close, it's probably in the eight spot imo right now. _________________Mr. R wrote: Malcolm wrote: You seem to think threatening violence against people is perfectly okay because you feel offended by their words, so that's kind of telling in itself. Exactly. If they don't know how to behave, and feel OK offending others, they get their ass kicked, so they'll think next time before opening their rotten mouths.
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| Fri Dec 17, 2010 3:01 am |
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David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am
Posts: 34865
Location: Maryland
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Re: If only five films could be nominated for Best Picture-- It's interesting how every year we'll still have the "real" five Best Picture nominees. Everyone knew last year The Blind Side, District 9, An Education, A Serious Man, and Up were lucky benefactors of the expanded field. This strange "Congratulations, you're nominated for Best Picture!"/"Apologies, you are an also-ran" combination.
I wonder if AMPAS will return to five films in near future.
_________________1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game
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| Sun Dec 19, 2010 7:53 am |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 35249
Location: Minnesota
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Re: If only five films could be nominated for Best Picture-- They really haven't been pushing KIDS much and it is definitely losing steam. At one point I would have said it would get in with five spots, but not anymore.
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| Mon Dec 20, 2010 4:35 am |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 35249
Location: Minnesota
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Re: If only five films could be nominated for Best Picture-- THE FIGHTER
INCEPTION
TOY STORY 3
THE KING'S SPEECH
THE SOCIAL NETWORK
Alternate: TRUE GRIT
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| Mon Dec 20, 2010 4:38 am |
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Tyler
Powered By Hate
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 8:55 pm
Posts: 7578
Location: Torrington, CT
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Re: If only five films could be nominated for Best Picture-- If there were only five films for 2009/10, TS3 would be in, replacing Black Swan. Otherwise, I see:
The Social Network
The King's Speech
Inception
The Fighter
Black Swan
_________________
It's my lucky crack pipe.
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| Mon Dec 20, 2010 7:08 am |
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Bradley Witherberry
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 30, 2004 1:13 pm
Posts: 15197
Location: Planet Xatar
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Re: If only five films could be nominated for Best Picture-- I've got to see The King's Speech, The Fighter and True Grit before I can make this call.
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| Mon Dec 20, 2010 7:40 am |
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_axiom
The Wall
Joined: Wed Jan 26, 2005 10:50 am
Posts: 16163
Location: Croatia
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Re: If only five films could be nominated for Best Picture-- Bradley Witherberry wrote: I've got to see The King's Speech, The Fighter and True Grit before I can make this call. ? I am yet to see most of these, but I can easily assume which ones would be nominated. If anything it's pretty easy picking most of the Oscar noms even without having a clue about the movies. I'd go with: Black Swan The Fighter The King's Speech The Social Network True Grit Inception would get the boot just like TDK. Inception plays a bit better in precursors than it, but I feel like TDK had much more passionate support and if it didn't get in it would be hard for Inception to get in too I think. Though I'd put it is my #1 alternative. TSN is an obvious shoe-in and the winner of course. The King's Speech is the movie the British will push obviously. The Fighter gets pushed by the actors (Bale has been winning most of the awards, and Leo and Adams also seem to have a very vocal support). I wouldn't bet against Coens, just because they're Coens. True Grit has been having great reception, much better than A Serious Man. I really didn't think that one would be a BP candidate even with 10 spots, but it got in, so I think TG would get a spot among the 5. It also has some actor (Bridges, Steinfeld) support and technical one (Deakins) and Coens would get a BD spot. SM only had screenplay going for it. Black Swan is the only iffy one, but I think it has a bigger support than we think it has. The Kids Are All Right, 127 Hours, Toys Story 3, Winter's Bone and everybody else would be out of the contention for the 5.
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| Mon Dec 20, 2010 8:01 am |
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Bradley Witherberry
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 30, 2004 1:13 pm
Posts: 15197
Location: Planet Xatar
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Re: If only five films could be nominated for Best Picture-- be.redy wrote: Bradley Witherberry wrote: I've got to see The King's Speech, The Fighter and True Grit before I can make this call. ? I am yet to see most of these, but I can easily assume which ones would be nominated. If anything it's pretty easy picking most of the Oscar noms even without having a clue about the movies. True enough - - I have an unfortunate tendency to forget the Oscars aren't about the actual films' quality, but rather about Hollywood politics. Once I let go of my prejudice towards excellence in films, The Social Network becomes a lock for BP and other low grade movies like Black Swan, Inception, and 127 Hours are assured of nominations.
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| Mon Dec 20, 2010 9:11 am |
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Brian
Ocarina of Time
Joined: Mon Aug 02, 2010 1:21 pm
Posts: 7951
Location: Hyrule
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Re: If only five films could be nominated for Best Picture-- Inception
Toy Story 3
The Social Network
Black Swan
True Grit
Alternate: The King's Speech
_________________
Most Anticipated 2023
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9. Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny
10. Blue Beetle
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| Mon Dec 20, 2010 10:04 am |
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JURiNG
ef star star kay
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 7:45 pm
Posts: 3016
Location: Cairo, Egypt
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Re: If only five films could be nominated for Best Picture-- They would go with..
The Social Network
Black Swan
The King's Speech
and then..
The Fighter
Rabbit Hole (which will be everyone's surprise)
they're just so predictable
_________________
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| Mon Dec 20, 2010 2:08 pm |
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Mister Ecks
New Server, Same X
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 7:07 pm
Posts: 28301
Location: ... siiiigh...
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Re: If only five films could be nominated for Best Picture-- Guaranteed: The Social Network, Black Swan, The Fighter, The King's Speech, Inception.
I'm most interested in this year's The Blind Side nominee.
_________________
Ecks Factor: Cancelled too soon
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| Mon Dec 20, 2010 7:42 pm |
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David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am
Posts: 34865
Location: Maryland
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Re: If only five films could be nominated for Best Picture-- Magnus wrote: Mister Ecks wrote: I'm most interested in this year's The Blind Side nominee. There isn't one. The Town Far better film than The Blind Side (IMO), but the same driving force. The same "spot" in the ten. _________________1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game
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| Mon Dec 20, 2010 10:22 pm |
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David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am
Posts: 34865
Location: Maryland
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Re: If only five films could be nominated for Best Picture-- It's still the closest to the "Blind Side spot."  It's the populist choice. A film which wouldn't be the Oscar race if normal people hadn't embraced it so heavily. _________________1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game
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| Tue Dec 21, 2010 2:27 am |
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_axiom
The Wall
Joined: Wed Jan 26, 2005 10:50 am
Posts: 16163
Location: Croatia
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Re: If only five films could be nominated for Best Picture-- The Town is not like The Blind Side. At all. If the TT gets a BP nod, it's not even nearly for the similar reasons TBS got one. Magnus wrote: be.redy wrote: Inception would get the boot just like TDK. Inception plays a bit better in precursors than it, but I feel like TDK had much more passionate support and if it didn't get in it would be hard for Inception to get in too I think. Though I'd put it is my #1 alternative.
The thing with TDK though is Ledger's performance overshadowed the film, thus the focus was more on Ledger than the film itself. Inception isn't overshadowed by anything. It might overshadow it, but it didn't hurt it. If anything Ledger's performance helped the movie to gain that BP traction it had among other various elements.
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| Tue Dec 21, 2010 7:46 am |
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David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am
Posts: 34865
Location: Maryland
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Re: If only five films could be nominated for Best Picture-- be.redy wrote: The Town is not like The Blind Side. At all. If the TT gets a BP nod, it's not even nearly for the similar reasons TBS got one. What are the reasons, IYO, The Town would be nominated? And why do you feel The Blind Side was nominated? _________________1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game
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| Tue Dec 21, 2010 8:13 am |
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_axiom
The Wall
Joined: Wed Jan 26, 2005 10:50 am
Posts: 16163
Location: Croatia
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Re: If only five films could be nominated for Best Picture-- Sandra Bullock, underdog story (Oscar's do like these), huge BO and buzz around the time during which the nominations were happening and it was the only WB picture they had so they probably lobbied hard for it.
The Town on the other hand isn't having big buzz, no big name star getting a lot of attention. Its ensemble is getting a recognition here and there. WB is obviousy putting more attention into Inception than TT so it doesn't have all of studio's support like TBS had. But if it does manage to get a BP spot it will be because the movie actually deserves it. It's very competently made movie with great acting.
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| Tue Dec 21, 2010 8:35 am |
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trixster
loyalfromlondon
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 6:31 pm
Posts: 19697
Location: ville-marie
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Re: If only five films could be nominated for Best Picture-- Because when one thinks "Best Picture nominee", they should also be thinking "very competently made".
_________________Magic Mike wrote: zwackerm wrote: If John Wick 2 even makes 30 million I will eat 1,000 shoes. Same. Algren wrote: I don't think. I predict.
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| Tue Dec 21, 2010 2:10 pm |
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_axiom
The Wall
Joined: Wed Jan 26, 2005 10:50 am
Posts: 16163
Location: Croatia
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Re: If only five films could be nominated for Best Picture-- No, but it's what gets TT noticed.
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| Tue Dec 21, 2010 3:30 pm |
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David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am
Posts: 34865
Location: Maryland
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Re: If only five films could be nominated for Best Picture-- be.redy wrote: Sandra Bullock, underdog story (Oscar's do like these), huge BO and buzz around the time during which the nominations were happening and it was the only WB picture they had so they probably lobbied hard for it.
The Town on the other hand isn't having big buzz, no big name star getting a lot of attention. Its ensemble is getting a recognition here and there. WB is obviousy putting more attention into Inception than TT so it doesn't have all of studio's support like TBS had. But if it does manage to get a BP spot it will be because the movie actually deserves it. It's very competently made movie with great acting. I would say Ben Affleck is more of an underdog than Sandra Bullock. Dude's career was considered dead half a decade ago, now he has a film he directed in the Oscar race. I see both films, despite the box office disparity, as the populist inclusion. The meat-and-potatoes nomination, if you will. _________________1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game
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| Thu Dec 23, 2010 1:38 am |
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_axiom
The Wall
Joined: Wed Jan 26, 2005 10:50 am
Posts: 16163
Location: Croatia
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Re: If only five films could be nominated for Best Picture-- Though he isn't really an underdog. He already has an Oscar and the last movie he directed (Gone Baby Gone) was highly acclaimed and got him noticed. So if anything TT can be seen as an evolution as it got him more noticed, gave him more acclaim in the directors chair and was definitely more commercially successful.
Yes at one point it seemed like his career was going down the drain (though could anyone get away with movies like Gigli or Jersey Girl?) but it's not like Sandra who was always America's sweetheart but never did any highly acclaimed role (not that she didn't try) and then suddenly hit the jack pot with The Blind Side.
Also TT doesn't stand on one name only like TBS did with Sandra. Renner has picked up quite a few noms and the ensemble too. I think I've even seen a few script noms.
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| Thu Dec 23, 2010 7:19 am |
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