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Will Hurt Locker or Avatar win more Oscars?
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Author:  MovieDude [ Fri Feb 12, 2010 9:23 pm ]
Post subject:  Will Hurt Locker or Avatar win more Oscars?

I'm thinking Avatar, unless the AMPAS loooooove Hurt Locker. I'd be more confident in Hurt Locker if Anthony Mackie had gotten a Supporting Actor nomination.

Author:  Argos [ Fri Feb 12, 2010 9:54 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Will Hurt Locker or Avatar win more Oscars?

Conclude from this thread, please.

Author:  MovieDude [ Fri Feb 12, 2010 10:24 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Will Hurt Locker or Avatar win more Oscars?

Argos wrote:
Conclude from this thread, please.


No, thanks. This is the first time in years where the winner of Best Picture wasn't set in stone. Plus, the new 'Best Picture' will either be the highest or lowest grossing winner ever. This is a question worth asking.

Author:  Argos [ Fri Feb 12, 2010 10:40 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Will Hurt Locker or Avatar win more Oscars?

Did you know that 'Crash' would win the award for best picture?

Author:  MovieDude [ Fri Feb 12, 2010 11:36 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Will Hurt Locker or Avatar win more Oscars?

Argos wrote:
Did you know that 'Crash' would win the award for best picture?


As well as Original Screenplay and Editing. Brokeback Mountain also won three: Best Director, Best Adapted Screenplay, and Best Original Score. Do you think that Avatar and Hurt Locker might tie for total awards won?

Author:  Argos [ Fri Feb 12, 2010 11:42 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Will Hurt Locker or Avatar win more Oscars?

MovieDude wrote:
Argos wrote:
Did you know that 'Crash' would win the award for best picture?


As well as Original Screenplay and Editing.

Is that a yes?

MovieDude wrote:
Do you think that Avatar and Hurt Locker might tie for total awards won?

I do think they might, yet I cannot deign to calculate whether they probably will.

Author:  MovieDude [ Fri Feb 12, 2010 11:52 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Will Hurt Locker or Avatar win more Oscars?

To answer your question, I was abroad that spring and didn't watch the Oscars. But reading that Crash won Best Picture was a surprise, yes. This year, neither one winning would be a surprise. Horse races for Best Picture are very uncommon.

Some people are betting money on this specific topic.

Author:  snack [ Fri Feb 12, 2010 11:59 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Will Hurt Locker or Avatar win more Oscars?

Hi MovieDude I don't t think Avatar is in contention to win best picture. I think even INGLORIOUS BASTERDS is more in contention than Avatar, and you have fooled yourself into thinking there is a horse race when there is no evidence of it. :unsure:

Author:  MovieDude [ Sat Feb 13, 2010 12:14 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Will Hurt Locker or Avatar win more Oscars?

super snack wrote:
Hi MovieDude I don't t think Avatar is in contention to win best picture. I think even INGLORIOUS BASTERDS is more in contention than Avatar, and you have fooled yourself into thinking there is a horse race when there is no evidence of it. :unsure:


The thread Argos linked suggests there is no clear consensus.

Author:  Argos [ Sat Feb 13, 2010 12:25 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Will Hurt Locker or Avatar win more Oscars?

MovieDude wrote:
But reading that Crash won Best Picture was a surprise, yes.

I thought so. Additionally, I think the other winners in recent years were more or less equally uncertain to win and certainly not 'set in stone'.

Author:  MovieDude [ Sat Feb 13, 2010 12:30 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Will Hurt Locker or Avatar win more Oscars?

Argos wrote:
MovieDude wrote:
But reading that Crash won Best Picture was a surprise, yes.

I thought so. Additionally, I think the other winners in recent years were more or less equally uncertain to win and certainly not 'set in stone'.


Slumdog Millionaire, No Country for Old Men, The Departed, Million Dollar Baby, Return of the King, Chicago, A Beautiful Mind, and Gladiator were all absolutely frontrunners. Even ignoring the ten nominees and different voting system, there is not one movie that is so far ahead of the pack. The Hurt Locker only made 12 million dollars. I'd bet there are people in the Academy who do not want the winner of Best Picture to be the lowest grossing (and certainly least theatrically attended) ever.

Author:  Argos [ Sat Feb 13, 2010 12:41 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Will Hurt Locker or Avatar win more Oscars?

MovieDude wrote:
Slumdog Millionaire, No Country for Old Men, The Departed, Million Dollar Baby, Return of the King, Chicago, A Beautiful Mind, and Gladiator were all absolutely frontrunners.

Except for 'The Return of the King' neither was really sure to win.

MovieDude wrote:
I'd bet there are people in the Academy who do not want the winner of Best Picture to be the lowest grossing (and certainly least theatrically attended) ever.

I reckon that is as true as it is sad.

Author:  Jack Sparrow [ Sat Feb 13, 2010 7:55 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Will Hurt Locker or Avatar win more Oscars?

I think so Avatar will win more technical awards than Hurt Locker if not the big ones. They are anyways competing against each other in most of the categories and I think in Technical Awards Hurt Locker is going to loose give or take a few.

Author:  nghtvsn [ Sat Feb 13, 2010 3:47 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Will Hurt Locker or Avatar win more Oscars?

Hurt Locker. It just seems inevitable.

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