munkyfromlondon wrote:
BJ wrote:
3/5 times the top grosser won. TDK will make it 4/6.
Crash wasn't the top grosser.
So... 2/5
Crash was top grosser pre. nom.
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| Oscar Box Office 2008 (4,752,904 To Go ) http://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=16&t=47299 |
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| Author: | Loyal [ Sat Dec 20, 2008 3:00 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Oscar Box Office 2008 (4,752,904 To Go ) |
Turns out I created the 2007 thread on 12.20. viewtopic.php?f=16&t=36927 The Dark Knight - $530,759,822 (after 154 days) WALL-E - $223,762,336 (after 175 days) * Vicky Christina Barcelona - $22,586,222 (after 126 days) Slumdog Millionaire - $9,739,000 (after 38 days) Rachel Getting Married - $9,654,803 (after 77 days) Milk - $9,106,000 (after 24 days) Happy-Go-Lucky - $3,057,050 (after 70 days) Frost/Nixon - $1,208,000 (after 15 days) Doubt - $904,000 (after 8 days) Gran Torino - $509,000 (after 8 days) The Reader - $256,450 (after 9 days) The Wrestler - $143,000 (after 3 days) Not Yet Released The Curious Case of Benjamin Button Revolutionary Road * = no longer in theatres Am I missing any films? For comparison, where BP nominees were pre nomination over the past 5 Oscar seasons. 2007 (1/122) Juno - 87.0 No Country for Old Men - 48.8 Atonement - 32.6 Michael Clayton - 39.3 There Will Be Blood - 8.6 2006 (1/23) Departed - 121.7 Little Miss Sunshine - 59.5 The Queen - 35.8 Babel - 22.8 Letters from Iwo Jima - 2.5 2005 (1/31) Crash - 53.4 Brokeback Mountain - 51.6 Munich - 40.7 Good Luck and Good Night - 25.1 Capote - 15.4 2004 (1/25) Ray - 73.0 The Aviator - 58.4 Finding Neverland - 32.7 Sideways - 32.4 Million Dollar Baby - 8.4 2003 (1/27) Return of the King - 338.3 Seabiscuit - 120.2 Master and Commander - 85.3 Mystic River - 59.1 Lost in Translation - 34.8 |
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| Author: | Dr. Lecter [ Sat Dec 20, 2008 3:11 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Oscar Box Office 2008 |
I dunno....In Bruges and Tropic Thunder maybe? |
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| Author: | BJ [ Sat Dec 20, 2008 4:21 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Oscar Box Office 2008 |
As of Dec. 20, 2008 - TDK made more than all competitors combined in less than 9 days. |
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| Author: | BJ [ Sat Dec 20, 2008 4:33 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Oscar Box Office 2007 (2.3) |
3/5 times the top grosser won. TDK will make it 4/6. |
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| Author: | Chippy [ Sat Dec 20, 2008 4:39 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Oscar Box Office 2007 (2.3) |
BJ wrote: 3/5 times the top grosser won. TDK will make it 4/6. Crash wasn't the top grosser. So... 2/5 |
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| Author: | BJ [ Sat Dec 20, 2008 4:43 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Oscar Box Office 2007 (2.3) |
munkyfromlondon wrote: BJ wrote: 3/5 times the top grosser won. TDK will make it 4/6. Crash wasn't the top grosser. So... 2/5 Crash was top grosser pre. nom.
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| Author: | Loyal [ Sat Dec 20, 2008 4:44 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Oscar Box Office 2007 (2.3) |
BJ wrote: 3/5 times the top grosser won. TDK will make it 4/6. that only counts for the pre-nom frame. BP Winners since 2000 Gladiator - highest grosser A Beatiful Mind - 2nd highest grosser/FOTR highest grosser Chicago - 2nd highest grosser/TTT highest grosser ROTK - highest grosser Millon Dollar Baby - 2nd highest grosser/The Aviator highest grosser Crash - 2nd highest grosser/Brokeback Mountain highest grosser The Departed - highest grosser No Country for Old Men - 2nd highest grosser/Juno highest grosser That doesn't bode well for TDK. Also, in every situation where the highest grosser didn't win, with the exception of M$B and The Aviator, the box office difference between the two films was on average around 50% |
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| Author: | Loyal [ Sat Dec 20, 2008 4:52 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Oscar Box Office 2008 |
BJ wrote: As of Dec. 20, 2008 - TDK made more than all competitors combined in less than 9 days. Take WALL-E out and it made more than all the competitors combined times 10. 
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| Author: | Chippy [ Sat Dec 20, 2008 4:52 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Oscar Box Office 2007 (2.3) |
Wall-E made... 42% of TDK... |
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| Author: | Loyal [ Sat Dec 20, 2008 4:58 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Oscar Box Office 2007 (2.3) |
munkyfromlondon wrote: Wall-E made... 42% of TDK... Well, if we're looking at trends since 2000 
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| Author: | Johnny Dollar [ Sat Dec 20, 2008 4:58 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Oscar Box Office 2008 |
BJ wrote: As of Dec. 20, 2008 - TDK made more than all competitors combined in less than 9 days. Well, cancel the ceremony! A fucking Batman movie made a lot more moolah than a biopic of a gay rights crusader and a flm about an Indian game show contestant. |
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| Author: | Loyal [ Sat Dec 20, 2008 5:02 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Oscar Box Office 2008 |
can we compare 2008 to 2003? Return of the King - 338.3 TDK Seabiscuit - 120.2 Curious Case Master and Commander - 85.3 Slumdog Mystic River - 59.1 Milk Lost in Translation - 34.8 Frost/Nixon |
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| Author: | Johnny Dollar [ Sat Dec 20, 2008 5:03 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Oscar Box Office 2008 |
loyalfromlondon wrote: can we compare 2008 to 2003? Return of the King - 338.3 TDK Seabiscuit - 120.2 Curious Case Master and Commander - 85.3 Slumdog Mystic River - 59.1 Milk Lost in Translation - 34.8 Frost/Nixon I'm quite certain you will be the only person to ever make that bolded comparison. 
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| Author: | Loyal [ Sat Dec 20, 2008 5:06 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Oscar Box Office 2008 |
yoshue wrote: loyalfromlondon wrote: can we compare 2008 to 2003? Return of the King - 338.3 TDK Seabiscuit - 120.2 Curious Case Master and Commander - 85.3 Slumdog Mystic River - 59.1 Milk Lost in Translation - 34.8 Frost/Nixon I'm quite certain you will be the only person to ever make that bolded comparison. Yeah, Master and Commander was much better. But if I'm measuring 5 films from 2003 in the pre-nom frame, it's either the #3 slot or #4. |
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| Author: | Johnny Dollar [ Sat Dec 20, 2008 5:10 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Oscar Box Office 2008 |
loyalfromlondon wrote: yoshue wrote: loyalfromlondon wrote: can we compare 2008 to 2003? Return of the King - 338.3 TDK Seabiscuit - 120.2 Curious Case Master and Commander - 85.3 Slumdog Mystic River - 59.1 Milk Lost in Translation - 34.8 Frost/Nixon I'm quite certain you will be the only person to ever make that bolded comparison. Yeah, Master and Commander was much better. But if I'm measuring 5 films from 2003 in the pre-nom frame, it's either the #3 slot or #4. Beyond quality since I haven't seen the latter, one is a mega-expensive seafaring epic, and the other a small film about a kid who goes on a game show. I realize you only mean box office, but still! |
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| Author: | BJ [ Sat Dec 20, 2008 5:14 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Oscar Box Office 2008 |
yoshue wrote: BJ wrote: As of Dec. 20, 2008 - TDK made more than all competitors combined in less than 9 days. Well, cancel the ceremony! A fucking Batman movie made a lot more moolah than a biopic of a gay rights crusader and a flm about an Indian game show contestant. TDK is 100% better in quality as well.
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| Author: | Loyal [ Sat Dec 20, 2008 5:14 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Oscar Box Office 2008 |
I don't know how much Slumdog can possibly gross between today and the 22nd of January. There's nothing I can find to compare it to (R-rated overhyped Indian film). |
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| Author: | BJ [ Sat Dec 20, 2008 5:14 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Oscar Box Office 2007 (2.3) |
loyalfromlondon wrote: munkyfromlondon wrote: Wall-E made... 42% of TDK... Well, if we're looking at trends since 2000 robot cartoon will not win. |
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| Author: | Johnny Dollar [ Sat Dec 20, 2008 5:23 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Oscar Box Office 2008 |
BJ wrote: yoshue wrote: BJ wrote: As of Dec. 20, 2008 - TDK made more than all competitors combined in less than 9 days. Well, cancel the ceremony! A fucking Batman movie made a lot more moolah than a biopic of a gay rights crusader and a flm about an Indian game show contestant. TDK is 100% better in quality as well. And of course you know, doubtlessly having seen each multiple times. They just can't keep you away from those prestige pictures! |
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| Author: | billybobwashere [ Sat Dec 20, 2008 7:38 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Oscar Box Office 2008 |
The Reader has already been out for a week. http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=reader.htm |
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| Author: | Loyal [ Sat Jan 17, 2009 3:33 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Oscar Box Office 2008 |
Update as of Thursday numbers The Dark Knight - $531,027,799 (after 182 days) WALL-E - $223,762,336 (after 175 days) * The Curious Case of Benjamin Button - $97,024,737 (after 22 days) Gran Torino - $50,997,411 (after 35 days) Slumdog Millionaire - $36,837,205 (after 65 days) Doubt - $24,031,987 (after 35 days) Vicky Christina Barcelona - $22,913,815 (after 154 days) Milk - $19,601,224 (after 51 days) Rachel Getting Married - $10,631,622 (after 105 days) Frost/Nixon - $7,959,161 (after 42 days) The Reader - $6,289,998 (after 37 days) Revolutionary Road - $3,950,178 (after 21 days) Happy-Go-Lucky - $3,422,661 (after 98 days) The Wrestler - $3,311,968 (after 30 days) * no longer in theatres |
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| Author: | Loyal [ Sat Jan 17, 2009 3:40 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Oscar Box Office 2008 |
Assuming Frost/Nixon gets in and depending on how it performs this weekend, it could be the lowest grossing pre-nom english language film since 1996 (Secrets & Lies). |
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| Author: | Tyler [ Sat Jan 17, 2009 5:45 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Oscar Box Office 2008 (1.15 Update) |
That's why I'm thinking it won't get in. It's making maybe $500,000 this weekend with a $9 million total. Even with a Best Picture nomination and the 800-theater expansion I doubt it would clear $20 million, let alone its budget. Tends to correlate with the campaign... |
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| Author: | David [ Sat Jan 17, 2009 6:22 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Oscar Box Office 2008 (1.15 Update) |
Frost/Nixon is in. 100%. |
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| Author: | Tyler [ Sat Jan 17, 2009 7:29 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Oscar Box Office 2008 (1.15 Update) |
The only 100% film is Slumdog. |
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