Okay, okay. I'm not trying to be anything like Maverikk now. I never predicted the BP lineup. But, I knew something was up with TDBB and ITW. You people didn't want to hear me out and, unfortunately for me, dragged me into the Atonement/Juno won't be nominated, Diving Bell/ITW/Michael Clayton will club. Fuck that, I'm going solo next year
da torri wrote:
The Oscars have become far nuttier in recent years. So, while DGA might be a solid predictor, maybe it's just the next predictor that AMPAS will disprove, once nominations come out...
Let's not forget: Crash won two years ago.
DGA is kinda weird this year, too. Before Crash, a movie usually had to get a GG nominee to get a BP nominee. But just because Crash disproved that indicator, are we going to throw out the fact that not getting a GG nominee hurts Into the Wild, especially when seven movies were nominated, or that Diving Bell and the Butterfly is no Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon, and hasn't had enough cultural impact in the US to overcome the traditional foreign language barrier?
Basically, don't cite one tradition as proper reasoning, if you're going to discount another tradition. Only eight foreign language films have ever been nominated for BP, and Diving Bell is weaker than all of the ones that did overcome the barrier.
da torri wrote:
Either way, I don't think things are as simple as what the DGA predicts. Diving Bell, Michael Clayton, Into the Wild, There Will Be Blood, and No Country for Old Men is such a weird lineup.
Listen to da torri, yo.
