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Oscars Countdown Thread - Full Nominations Predictions
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Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Mon Jan 07, 2008 8:50 pm ]
Post subject:  Oscars Countdown Thread - Full Nominations Predictions

We are just two weeks away from the noms announcement and there's no countdown thread to be found? Shame on you! :sweat:

Okay, well, here is one and I think it's fitting to post our complete, though likely preliminary predictions in:


Best Picture

No Country for Old Men
Juno
Into the Wild
There Will Be Blood
Atonement

Alt.: Michael Clayton


Best Director

Ethan and Joel Coen (No Country for Old Men)
P.T. Anderson (There Will Be Blood)
Joe Wight (Atonement)
Ridley Scott (American Gangster)
Sean Penn (Into the Wild)

Alt.: Julian Schnabel (The Diving Bell and the Butterfly)


Best Actor

Denzel Washington (American Gangster)
Johnny Depp (Sweeney Todd)
Viggo Mortensen (Eastern Promises)
George Clooney (Michael Clayton)
Daniel Day Lewis (There Will Be Blood)

Alt.: Ryan Gosling (Lars and the Real Girl)


Best Actress

Ellen Page (Juno)
Julie Christie (Away from Her)
Marion Cotillard (La Vie En Rose)
Angelina Jolie (A Mighty Heart)
Amy Adams (Enchanted)

Alt.: Cate Blanchett (Elizabeth: The Golden Age)


Best Supporting Actor

Philip Seymour Hoffman (Charlie Wilson's War)
Hal Holbrook (Into the Wild)
Javier Bardem (No Country for Old Men)
Tom Wilkinson (Michael Clayton)
Casey Affleck (The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford)

Alt.: Paul Dano (There Will Be Blood)


Best Supporting Actress

Saoirse Ronan (Atonement)
Tilda Swinton (Michael Clayton)
Amy Ryan (Gone Baby Gone)
Cate Blanchett (I'm Not There)
Catherine Keener (Into the Wild)

Alt.: Allison Janney (Juno)


Best Original Screenplay

Ratatouille
Juno
Before the Devil Knows You're Dead
Michael Clayton
The Savages

Alt.: Waitress


Best Adapted Screenplay

Atonement
There Will Be Blood
No Country for Old Men
Charlie Wilson's War
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly

Alt.: Into the Wild


Best Animated Feature

The Simpsons Movie
Persepolis
Ratatouille

Alt.: Beowulf


Best Editing:

The Bourne Ultimatum
No Country for Old Men
There Will Be Blood
Atonement
American Gangster

Alt.: Michael Clayton


Best Costume Design

Elizabeth: The Golden Age
Atonement
Sweeney Todd
The Golden Compass
Hairspray

Alt.: Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End


Best Cinematography

The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford
No Country for Old Men
There Will Be Blood
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Atonement

Alt.: Sweeney Todd


Best Art Direction

Sweeney Todd
There Will Be Blood
Atonement
The Golden Compass
Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix


Best Make-Up

300
Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End
Sweeney Todd

Alt.: La Vie En Rose


Best Score

Atonement
There Will Be Blood
American Gangster
The Kite Runner
Into the Wild

Alt.: ??


Best Visual Effects

The Golden Compass
Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End
Transformers

Alt.: 300


Best Sound Editing

Transformers
Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End
Sweeney Todd
There Will Be Blood
No Country for Old Men


Best Sound Mixing

Transformers
Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End
Sweeney Todd
Atonement
No Country for Old Men


Best Foreign Picture

Persepolis
The Orphanage
12
The Counterfeits
The Orphanage


I don't know enough about the Song/Docs categories to make calls there.

____________________________________________________________________

Author:  billybobwashere [ Mon Jan 07, 2008 9:18 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Oscars Countdown Thread - Full Nominations Predictions

Best Picture
Juno
There Will Be Blood
No Country for Old Men
Into the Wild
Michael Clayton

Alt: Atonement

Best Director
Joel/Ethan Coen - No Country for Old Men
Paul Thomas Anderson - There Will Be Blood
Joe Wright - Atonement
Julian Schnabel - The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Sean Penn - Into the Wild

Alt: Tony Gilroy - Michael Clayton

Best Actor
Daniel Day-Lewis - There Will Be Blood
Viggo Mortenson - Eastern Promises
George Clooney - Michael Clayton
Johnny Depp - Sweeney Todd
Ryan Gosling - Lars and the Real Girl

Alt: Denzel Washington - American Gangster

Best Actress
Ellen Page - Juno
Julie Christie - Away From Her
Amy Adams - Enchanted
Marion Cottilard - La Vie en Rose
Angelina Jolie - A Mighty Heart

Alt: Laura Linney - The Savages

Best Supporting Actor
Javier Bardem - No Country for Old Men
Casey Affleck - The Assassination of Jesse James
Tom Wilkinson - Michael Clayton
Philip Seymour Hoffman - Charlie Wilson's War
Hal Holbrook - Into the Wild

Alt: Paul Dano - There Will Be Blood

Best Supporting Actress
Jennifer Garner - Juno
Tilda Swinton - Michael Clayton
Cate Blanchett - I'm Not There
Amy Ryan - Gone Baby Gone
Saoirse Ronan - Atonement

Alt: Catherine Keener - Into the Wild

Best Original Screenplay
Juno
The Savages
Ratatouille
Michael Clayton
Knocked Up

Alt: Eastern Promises

Best Adapted Screenplay
Zodiac
No Country for Old Men
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
There Will Be Blood
Into the Wild

Alt: Atonement

Best Animated Feature
The Simpsons Movie
Ratatouille
Persepolis

Alt: Bee Movie

Best Film Editing
No Country for Old Men
The Bourne Ultimatum
Sweeney Todd
Michael Clayton
There Will Be Blood

Alt: Atonement

Best Costume Design
There Will Be Blood
Sweeney Todd
Hairspray
Atonement
Elizabeth: The Golden Age

Alt: The Assassination of Jesse James

Best Cinematography
Sweeney Todd
There Will Be Blood
No Country for Old Men
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Atonement

Alt: The Assassination of Jesse James

Best Art Direction
There Will Be Blood
Atonement
Sweeney Todd
The Golden Compass
Elizabeth: The Golden Age

Alt: 3:10 to Yuma

Best Makeup
Sweeney Todd
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Norbit

Alt: Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End

Best Original Score
There Will Be Blood
Atonement
The Assassination of Jesse James
Lust, Caution
Ratatouille

Alt: Into the Wild

Best Visual Effects
Transformers
The Golden Compass
Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End

Alt: 300 [but it deserves a @#%#ing win]

Best Sound
Hairspray
Sweeney Todd
Transformers
No Country for Old Men
The Golden Compass

Best Sound Editing
Transformers
Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End
There Will Be Blood
Spider-man 3
I Am Legend

Best Foreign Language Film
The Orphanage
Persepolis
4 Months, 3 Weeks, and 2 Days
XXY
[the Canadian film]

Best Song
"Walk Hard" - Walk Hard
"That's How You Know" - Enchanted
"Falling Slowly" - Once
"Guaranteed" - Into the Wild
"Come So Far" - Hairspray

Alt: "Le Festin" - Ratatouille

Author:  Bradley Witherberry [ Tue Jan 08, 2008 5:50 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Oscars Countdown Thread - Full Nominations Predictions

You guys forgot Hairspray in your Best Picture lists...

Author:  Raffiki [ Tue Jan 08, 2008 3:26 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Oscars Countdown Thread - Full Nominations Predictions

you people have to let this ridley scott thing go ;)

Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Tue Jan 08, 2008 3:44 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Oscars Countdown Thread - Full Nominations Predictions

Raffiki wrote:
you people have to let this ridley scott thing go ;)


After the DGA's, I agree. I see Schnabel getting in there for BD and then Wright, Coens, PTA and Penn.

Author:  Alex Y. [ Thu Jan 10, 2008 4:22 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Oscars Countdown Thread - Full Nominations Predictions

Best Picture
  1. No Country for Old Men
  2. Into the Wild
  3. There Will Be Blood
  4. The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
  5. Michael Clayton

Alt: Hairspray

Best Director
  1. Ethan and Joel Coen (No Country for Old Men)
  2. Julian Schnabel (The Diving Bell and the Butterfly)
  3. Sean Penn (Into the Wild)
  4. P.T. Anderson (There Will Be Blood)
  5. Tony Gilroy (Michael Clayton)

Alt: Tim Burton (Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street)

Best Actor
  1. George Clooney (Michael Clayton)
  2. Daniel Day Lewis (There Will Be Blood)
  3. Emile Hirshe (Into the Wild)
  4. Viggo Mortensen (Eastern Promises)
  5. Mathieu Amalric (The Diving Bell and the Butterfly)

Alt: Denzel Washington (American Gangster)

Best Actress
  1. Julie Christie (Away from Her)
  2. Ellen Page (Juno)
  3. Marion Cotillard (La Vie En Rose)
  4. Angelina Jolie (A Mighty Heart)
  5. Amy Adams (Enchanted)

Alt: Cate Blanchett (Elizabeth: The Golden Age)

Best Supporting Actor
  1. Javier Bardem (No Country for Old Men)
  2. Hal Holbrook (Into the Wild)
  3. Tommy Lee Jones (No Country for Old Men)
  4. Casey Affleck (The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford)
  5. Phillip Seymour Hoffman (Charlie Wilson's War)

Alt: Max Von Sydow (The Diving Bell and the Butterfly)

Best Supporting Actress
  1. Cate Blanchett (I'm Not There)
  2. Amy Ryan (Gone Baby Gone)
  3. Tilda Swinton (Michael Clayton)
  4. Catherine Keener (Into the Wild)
  5. Ruby Dee (American Gangster)

Alt: Samantha Morton (Control)

Best Original Screenplay
  1. Juno
  2. Michael Clayton
  3. Ratatouille
  4. The Savages
  5. American Gangster

Alt: Once

Best Adapted Screenplay
  1. No Country for Old Men
  2. Into The Wild
  3. The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
  4. There Will Be Blood
  5. Charlie Wilson's War

Alt: Atonement

Best Animated Feature
  1. Ratatouille
  2. The Simpsons Movie
  3. Persepolis

Alt: Beowulf

Best Editing:
  1. No Country for Old Men
  2. The Bourne Ultimatum
  3. American Gangster
  4. There Will Be Blood
  5. The Diving Bell and The Butterfly

Alt: Into The Wild

Best Costume Design
  1. Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street
  2. Elizabeth: The Golden Age
  3. Atonement
  4. 300
  5. Hairspray

Alt: There Will Be Blood

Best Cinematography
  1. No Country for Old Men
  2. The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
  3. There Will Be Blood
  4. Into The Wild
  5. Atonement

Alt: The Assassasination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford

Best Art Direction
  1. Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street
  2. Elizabeth: The Golden Age
  3. There Will Be Blood
  4. Atonement
  5. Across the Universe

Alt: Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix

Best Make-Up
  1. Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street
  2. La Vie En Rose
  3. 300

Alt: The Diving Bell and the Butterfly

Best Visual Effects
  1. Transformers
  2. 300
  3. I Am Legend

Alt: The Bourne Ultimatum

Best Sound Editing
  1. Transformers
  2. 300
  3. The Bourne Ultimatum
  4. Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street
  5. Ratatouille

Alt: No Country for Old Men

Best Sound Mixing
  1. Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street
  2. 300
  3. Hairspray
  4. Transformers
  5. No Country for Old Men

Alt: Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End

Best Song
  1. Falling Slowly, Once
  2. Guaranteed, Into The Wild
  3. That's How You Know, Enchanted
  4. Come So Far, Hairspray
  5. If You Want Me, Once

Alt: Despidida, Love in the Time of Cholera

Best Score
  1. Eastern Promises
  2. Into the Wild
  3. Lust, Caution
  4. There Will Be Blood
  5. Atonement

Alt: Ratatouille

Best Documentary
  1. Sicko
  2. No End in Sight
  3. Lake of Fire
  4. Autism: The Musical
  5. Please Vote For Me

Alt: Body of War

Best Foreign Picture
  1. 4 Months, 3 Weeks and 2 Days
  2. Persepolis
  3. The Orphanage
  4. The Counterfeiters
  5. The Silly Age

Alt: A Man's Fear of God

Tally BP Nominees
No Country for Old Men - 8
Into The Wild - 8
There Will Be Blood - 7
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly - 6
Michael Clayton - 5

Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Thu Jan 10, 2008 1:01 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Oscars Countdown Thread - Full Nominations Predictions

Tom Wilkinson isn't getting snubbed for Best Supporting Actor.

And start getting more and more certain that Emile Hirsh won't make the Best Actor list. It's too strong at this point. Mortensen, Gosling, Day Lewis and Clooney are stronger than him and he has to compete with Depp and Washington for the 5th spot and those two have better chances, IMO.

Author:  Raffiki [ Thu Jan 10, 2008 3:14 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Oscars Countdown Thread - Full Nominations Predictions

How is Gosling so much stronger? I don't think there's a big difference between his and Hirsch's chances.

Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Thu Jan 10, 2008 5:07 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Oscars Countdown Thread - Full Nominations Predictions

Raffiki wrote:
How is Gosling so much stronger? I don't think there's a big difference between his and Hirsch's chances.


Gosling got a Globe nom and a SAG nom. Hirsch only a SAG nom.

Gosling is a previous Oscar nominee :P

I remember Gosling making it to #2 and #3 in some critics awards. Don't remember that Hirsch appeared anywhere in the listing.

Author:  Webslinger [ Fri Jan 11, 2008 12:11 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Oscars Countdown Thread - Full Nominations Predictions

But Hirsch is in a movie that is looking like a pretty likely Picture nominee, and he's hardly ever offscreen during its entire running time. That really boosts his chances.

Author:  Raffiki [ Fri Jan 11, 2008 12:25 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Oscars Countdown Thread - Full Nominations Predictions

Yeah... and honestly, I don't see why there is so much weight behind the Golden Globes. They mean close to nothing. I mean, it's like a group of 50 people that come together and decide isn't it? Are they all even critics?

Just like Webslinger mentioned, Hirsch can get swooped up in an Into the Wild bandwagon while Gosling has to fend for himself.

I actually think Gosling might have been better and WANT Gosling to get nominated maybe even if it means kicking Hirsch out. But with all that SAG support, Into the Wild and Hirsch have a good shot at collecting some serious votes.

Author:  trixster [ Fri Jan 11, 2008 2:12 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Oscars Countdown Thread - Full Nominations Predictions

I'll just start with the biggies....

Best Picture
Into the Wild
Juno
Michael Clayton
No Country for Old Men
There Will Be Blood

Best Director
P.T. Anderson, There Will Be Blood
Joel + Ethan Coen, No Country for Old Men
Tony Gilroy, Michael Clayton
Sean Penn, Into the Wild
Julian Schnabel, The Diving Bell and the Butterfly

Best Actor
George Clooney, Michael Clayton
Daniel Day-Lewis, There Will Be Blood
Johnny Depp, Sweeney Todd
Viggo Mortenson, Eastern Promises
Denzel Washington, American Gangster

Best Actress
Julie Christie, Away From Her
Marion Cotillard, La Vie En Rose
Angelina Jolie, A Mighty Heart
Keira Knightley, Atonement
Ellen Page, Juno

Best Supporting Actor
Casey Affleck, The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford
Javier Bardem, No Country for Old Men
Philip Seymour Hoffman, Charlie Wilson's War
Hal Holbrook, Into the Wild
Tom Wilkinson, Michael Clayton

Best Supporting Actress
Cate Blanchett, I'm Not There
Catherine Keener, Into the Wild
Saoirse Ronan, Atonement
Amy Ryan, Gone Baby Gone
Tilda Swinton, Michael Clayton

Author:  Shack [ Fri Jan 11, 2008 2:24 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Oscars Countdown Thread - Full Nominations Predictions

Dr. Lecter wrote:
Tom Wilkinson isn't getting snubbed for Best Supporting Actor.

And start getting more and more certain that Emile Hirsh won't make the Best Actor list. It's too strong at this point. Mortensen, Gosling, Day Lewis and Clooney are stronger than him and he has to compete with Depp and Washington for the 5th spot and those two have better chances, IMO.


I don't know, Depp and Washington look REALLY weak. They're getting ignored just everywhere.

Author:  Alex Y. [ Fri Jan 11, 2008 7:25 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Oscars Countdown Thread - Full Nominations Predictions

Dr. Lecter wrote:
Tom Wilkinson isn't getting snubbed for Best Supporting Actor.

And start getting more and more certain that Emile Hirsh won't make the Best Actor list. It's too strong at this point. Mortensen, Gosling, Day Lewis and Clooney are stronger than him and he has to compete with Depp and Washington for the 5th spot and those two have better chances, IMO.


I think the preferential voting system of the Academy is the big difference here. I can see a lot of the people who put Into the Wild as #1 put Hirsch as #1 as well.

Whereas for Tom Wilkinson, he feels like the type that people will use to fill up their top five but not at #1 even if they put Michael Clayton and Clooney as #1. Hence the frequent #2-#5 votes for him will be meaningless since they only count one name per vote instead of the presumably weighted system of the SAG.

Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Fri Jan 11, 2008 8:04 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Oscars Countdown Thread - Full Nominations Predictions

alex young wrote:
Dr. Lecter wrote:
Tom Wilkinson isn't getting snubbed for Best Supporting Actor.

And start getting more and more certain that Emile Hirsh won't make the Best Actor list. It's too strong at this point. Mortensen, Gosling, Day Lewis and Clooney are stronger than him and he has to compete with Depp and Washington for the 5th spot and those two have better chances, IMO.


I think the preferential voting system of the Academy is the big difference here. I can see a lot of the people who put Into the Wild as #1 put Hirsch as #1 as well.

Whereas for Tom Wilkinson, he feels like the type that people will use to fill up their top five but not at #1 even if they put Michael Clayton and Clooney as #1. Hence the frequent #2-#5 votes for him will be meaningless since they only count one name per vote instead of the presumably weighted system of the SAG.


The thing is that even those who put Into the Wild at #1 and might not even have TWBB in their Top 5...they'd still put DDL as #1. I am certain that DDL will garner something like 50-60% of overall #1 votes.

Wilkinson is more likely than, say, Philip Seymour Hoffman, since his votes might be split and he has not appeared everywhere. Similar for Holbrook, he hasn't appeared everywhere either.

Wilkinson, however, has been very very consistent and Michael Clayton is getting huge love as far as its acting goes.

Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Fri Jan 11, 2008 9:17 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Oscars Countdown Thread - Full Nominations Predictions

Shack wrote:
Dr. Lecter wrote:
Tom Wilkinson isn't getting snubbed for Best Supporting Actor.

And start getting more and more certain that Emile Hirsh won't make the Best Actor list. It's too strong at this point. Mortensen, Gosling, Day Lewis and Clooney are stronger than him and he has to compete with Depp and Washington for the 5th spot and those two have better chances, IMO.


I don't know, Depp and Washington look REALLY weak. They're getting ignored just everywhere.


Yeah, well, it's more of a feeling since they were nominated for the Globe, yet both snubbed for SAG, while Hirsch is the other way around. Also, they are just bigger names...(and without Washington, we wouldn't have a single African-American acting nominee this year...unless Ruby Dee pulls an upset).

Author:  Jonathan [ Fri Jan 11, 2008 1:58 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Oscars Countdown Thread - Full Nominations Predictions

With 1.5 weeks to go:

Picture
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Into the Wild
Michael Clayton
No Country for Old Men
There Will Be Blood
Alt. Juno

Direction
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly (Julian Schnabel)
Into the Wild (Sean Penn)
No Country for old Men (Ethan Coen, Joel Coen)
There Will Be Blood (Paul Thomas Anderson)
Zodiac (David Fincher)
Alt. Michael Clayton (Tony Gilroy)

Actor
George Clooney, Michael Clayton
Daniel Day-Lewis, There Will Be Blood
Ryan Gosling, Lars and the Real Girl
Emile Hirsch, Into the Wild
Viggo Mortensen, Eastern Promises
Alt. Denzel Washington, American Gangster

Actress
Cate Blanchett, Elizabeth: The Golden Age
Julie Christie, Away from Her
Marion Cotillard, La Vie En Rose
Angelina Jolie, A Mighty Heart
Ellen Page, Juno
Alt. Laura Linney, The Savages

Supporting Actor
Casey Affleck, The Assassination of Jesse James By the Coward Robert Ford
Javier Bardem, No Country for Old Men
Philip Seymour Hoffman, Charlie Wilson's War
Hal Holbrook, Into the Wild
Tom Wilkinson, Michael Clayton
Alt. Tommy Lee Jones, No Country for Old Men

Supporting Actor
Cate Blanchett, I'm Not There
Catherine Keener, Into the Wild
Saoirse Ronan, Atonement
Amy Ryan, Gone Baby Gone
Tilda Swinton, Michael Clayton
Alt. Kelly MacDonald, No Country for Old Men

Adapted Screenplay
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Into the Wild
No Country for Old Men
There Will Be Blood
Zodiac
Alt. Away from Her

Original Screenplay
Juno
Lars and the Real Girl
Michael Clayton
Ratatouille
The Savages
Alt. Knocked Up

Art Direction
The Assassination of Jesse James By the Coward Robert Ford
Elizabeth: The Golden Age
Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix
Sweeney Todd
There Will Be Blood
Alt. 3:10 to Yuma

Cinematography
The Assassination of Jesse James By the Coward Robert Ford
Atonement
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Lust, Caution
There Will Be Blood
Alt. No Country for Old Men

Costume Design
Atonement
Elizabeth: The Golden Age
Hairspray
Sweeney Todd
There Will Be Blood
Alt. La Vie En Rose

Film Editing
American Gangster
The Bourne Ultimatum
Michael Clayton
No Country for Old Men
There Will Be Blood
Alt. Into the Wild

Makeup
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
La Vie En Rose
Sweeney Todd
Alt. Norbit

Original Score
Atonement
Beowulf
Lust, Caution
Ratatouille
There Will Be Blood
Alt. Michael Clayton

Original Song
"Come So Far (Got So Far To Go)," Hairspray
"Do You Feel Me," American Gangster
"Falling Slowly," Once
"Guaranteed," Into the Wild
"That's How You Know," Enchanted
Alt. "PoP Goes My Heart!," Music and Lyrics

Sound Mixing
Beowulf
The Bourne Ultimatum
No Country for Old Men
Sweeney Todd
Transformers
Alt. 300

Sound Effects Editing
Beowulf
The Bourne Ultimatum
I Am Legend
Ratatouille
Transformers
Alt. No Country for Old Men

Best Visual Effects
I Am Legend
Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End
Transformers
Alt. 300

Best Animated Feature
Persepolis
Ratatouille
The Simpsons Movie
Alt. Bee Movie

Best Documentary
Lake of Fire
No End in Sight
The Rape of Europa
Sicko
War/Dance
Alt. Body of War

Best Foreign Language Film
Counterfeiters (Austria)
4 Months, 3 Weeks, 2 Days (Romania)
Persepolis (France)
Secret Sunshine (Korea)
The Silly Age (Cuba)
Alt. The Orphanage (Spain)

Tally:
There Will Be Blood - 9
Into the Wild - 7
Michael Clayton - 6
No Country for Old Men - 6
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly - 5
Atonement - 4
Ratatouille - 4
Sweeney Todd - 4
The Assassination of Jesse James By the Coward Robert Ford - 3
Beowulf - 3
The Bourne Ultimatum - 3
Elizabeth: The Golden Age - 3
Transformers - 3
American Gangster - 2
Hairspray - 2
I Am Legend - 2
Juno - 2
La Vie En Rose - 2
Lars and the Real Girl - 2
Lust, Caution - 2
Persepolis - 2
Zodiac - 2

Author:  Webslinger [ Sat Jan 12, 2008 1:57 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Oscars Countdown Thread - Full Nominations Predictions

Picture

Into the Wild
Juno
Michael Clayton
No Country for Old Men
There Will Be Blood

Alt: The Diving Bell and the Butterfly

Director

Paul Thomas Anderson- There Will Be Blood
Joel and Ethan Coen- No Country for Old Men
Tony Gilroy- Michael Clayton
Sean Penn- Into the Wild
Julian Schnabel- The Diving Bell and the Butterfly

Alt: Joe Wright- Atonement

Actor- Lead

George Clooney- Michael Clayton
Daniel Day-Lewis- There Will Be Blood
Johnny Depp- Sweeney Todd
Emile Hirsch- Into the Wild
Viggo Mortensen- Eastern Promises

Alt: Ryan Gosling- Lars and the Real Girl

Actress- Lead

Julie Christie- Away from Her
Marion Cotillard- La Vie en Rose
Angelina Jolie- A Mighty Heart
Laura Linney- The Savages
Ellen Page- Juno

Alt: Cate Blanchett- The Golden Age

Actor- Supporting

Casey Affleck- The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford
Javier Bardem- No Country for Old Men
Philip Seymour Hoffman- Charlie Wilson's War
Hal Holbrook- Into the Wild
Tom Wilkinson- Michael Clayton

Alt: Tommy Lee Jones- No Country for Old Men

Actress- Supporting

Cate Blanchett- I'm Not There
Catherine Keener- Into the Wild
Saoirse Ronan- Atonement
Amy Ryan- Gone Baby Gone
Tilda Swinton- Michael Clayton

Alt: Ruby Dee- American Gangster (I still have no idea what people saw in her performance; if anyone should get "one scene honor" consideration here, it's Vanessa Redgrave for Atonement.)

Adapted Screenplay

Charlie Wilson's War
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Into the Wild
No Country for Old Men
There Will Be Blood

Alt: Zodiac (though Atonement could get in too)

Original Screenplay

Juno
Lars and the Real Girl
Michael Clayton
Ratatouille
The Savages

Alt: Knocked Up (though Before the Devil Knows You're Dead could also sneak in- seriously, that movie needs at least one nomination)

Animated Feature

Persepolis
Ratatouille
The Simpsons Movie

Alt: Surf's Up

Art Direction

Atonement
The Golden Compass
Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix
Sweeney Todd
There Will Be Blood

Alt: Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End

Cinematography

Atonement
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Into the Wild
No Country for Old Men
There Will Be Blood

Alt: The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford

Costume Design

The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford
Atonement
The Golden Age
Hairspray
Sweeney Todd

Alt: There Will Be Blood

Film Editing

The Bourne Ultimatum
Into the Wild
Michael Clayton
No Country for Old Men
There Will Be Blood

Alt: Sweeney Todd

Makeup

The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
La Vie en Rose
Sweeney Todd

Alt: Norbit (but please don't let this happen, Academy)

Original Score

Atonement
Eastern Promises
Lust, Caution
The Kite Runner
There Will Be Blood

Alt: Beowulf

Original Song

"Come So Far (Got So Far to Go)"- Hairspray
"Do You Feel Me?"- American Gangster
"Falling Slowly"- Once
"Guaranteed"- Into the Wild
"That's How You Know"- Enchanted

Alt: "Grace is Gone"- Grace is Gone

Sound Mixing

American Gangster
No Country for Old Men
Sweeney Todd
There Will Be Blood
Transformers

Alt: Hairspray

Sound Editing

300
Beowulf
No Country for Old Men
Ratatouille
Transformers

Alt: The Golden Compass

Visual Effects

The Golden Compass
Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End
Transformers

Alt: 300

Author:  Price [ Mon Jan 14, 2008 4:54 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Oscars Countdown Thread - Full Nominations Predictions

Best Picture

The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Into the Wild
Michael Clayton
No Country for Old Men
There Will Be Blood



Best Director

Sidney Lumet (Before the Devil Knows You Are Dead)
Julian Schnabel (The Diving Bell and the Butterfly)
Sean Penn (Into the Wild)
Ethan and Joel Coen (No Country for Old Men)
P.T. Anderson (There Will Be Blood)


Best Actor

Mathieu Amalric (The Diving Bell and the Butterfly)
George Clooney (Michael Clayton)
Daniel Day Lewis (There Will Be Blood)
Johnny Depp (Sweeney Todd)
Viggo Mortensen (Eastern Promises)


Best Actress

Julie Christie (Away from Her)
Marion Cotillard (La Vie En Rose)
Angelina Jolie (A Mighty Heart)
LAura Linney (The Savages)
Ellen Page (Juno)


Best Supporting Actor

Casey Affleck (The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford)
Javier Bardem (No Country for Old Men)
Philip Seymour Hoffman (Charlie Wilson's War)
Hal Holbrook (Into the Wild)
Tom Wilkinson (Michael Clayton)


Best Supporting Actress

Cate Blanchett (I'm Not There)
Catherine Keener (Into the Wild)
Saoirse Ronan (Atonement)
Amy Ryan (Gone Baby Gone)
Tilda Swinton (Michael Clayton)


Best Original Screenplay

Before the Devil Knows You're Dead
Juno
Michael Clayton
Ratatouille
The Savages


Best Adapted Screenplay

Atonement
No Country for Old Men
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Into the Wild
There Will Be Blood


Best Animated Feature

The Simpsons Movie
Persepolis
Ratatouille


Best Editing

American Gangster
Atonement
The Bourne Ultimatum
No Country for Old Men
There Will Be Blood


Best Costume Design

Atonement
Elizabeth: The Golden Age
Hairspray
Sweeney Todd
La Vie en Rose


Best Cinematography

The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford
Atonement
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
No Country for Old Men
There Will Be Blood


Best Art Direction

Atonement
Elizabeth - The Golden Age
Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix
Sweeney Todd
There Will Be Blood


Best Make-Up

La Vie en Rose
Sweeney Todd
300


Best Score

Atonement
Beowulf
Into the Wild
The Kite Runner
There Will Be Blood


Best Visual Effects

I Am Legend
300
Transformers


Best Sound Editing

American Gangster
Atonement
The Bourne Ultimatum
No Country for Old MenSweeney Todd
Transformers


Best Sound Mixing

American Gangster
Atonement
The Bourne Ultimatum
Sweeney Todd
Transformers


Best Foreign Picture

The Counterfeiters
Exiled
4 Months, 3 Weeks, 2 Days
The Orphanage
Persepolis

Author:  snack [ Wed Jan 16, 2008 4:59 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Oscars Countdown Thread - Full Nominations Predictions

Picture
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Juno
Michael Clayton
No Country for Old Men
There Will Be Blood

Alt. Atonement

Direction
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly (Julian Schnabel)
Into the Wild (Sean Penn)
Michael Clayton (Tony Gilroy)
No Country for old Men (Ethan Coen, Joel Coen)
There Will Be Blood (Paul Thomas Anderson)

Alt. Zodiac (David Fincher)

Actor
George Clooney, Michael Clayton
Daniel Day-Lewis, There Will Be Blood
Ryan Gosling, Lars and the Real Girl
Emile Hirsch, Into the Wild
Viggo Mortensen, Eastern Promises

Alt. Frank Langella (Starting Out in the Evening)

Actress
Cate Blanchett, Elizabeth: The Golden Age
Julie Christie, Away from Her
Marion Cotillard, La Vie En Rose
Angelina Jolie, A Mighty Heart
Ellen Page, Juno

Alt. Laura Linney, The Savages

Supporting Actor
Casey Affleck, The Assassination of Jesse James By the Coward Robert Ford
Javier Bardem, No Country for Old Men
Philip Seymour Hoffman, Charlie Wilson's War
Hal Holbrook, Into the Wild
Tom Wilkinson, Michael Clayton

Alt. Tommy Lee Jones, No Country for Old Men

Supporting Actress
Cate Blanchett (I’m Not There)
Ruby Dee (American Gangster)
Catherine Keener (Into the Wild)
Amy Ryan (Gone Baby Gone)
Tilda Swinton (Michael Clayton)

Alt. Saoirse Ronan (Atonment)

Adapted Screenplay
Atonement (by Christopher Hampton)
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly (by Ronald Harwood)
Into the Wild (by Sean Penn)
No Country for Old Men (by Joel & Ethan Coen)
There Will Be Blood (by Paul Thomas Anderson)

Alt: Zodiac (by James Vanderbilt)

Original Screenplay
Juno (by Diablo Cody)
Lars and the Real Girl (by Nancy Oliver)
Michael Clayton (by Tony Gilroy)
Ratatouille (by Brad Bird)
The Savages (by Tamara Jenkins)

Alt. Knocked Up

Art Direction
Atonement
Elizabeth: The Golden Age
The Golden Compass
Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street
There Will Be Blood

Alt. 3:10 to Yuma

Cinematography
The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford
Atonement
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
No Country for Old Men
There Will Be Blood

Alt. Lust, Caution

Costume Design
Atonement
Elizabeth: The Golden Age
Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End
Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street
There Will Be Blood

Alt: Hairspray

Film Editing
Atonement
The Bourne Ultimatum
Michael Clayton
No Country for Old Men
There Will Be Blood

Alt: American Gangster

Original Score
The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford
Atonement
Lust, Caution
Ratatouille
There Will Be Blood

Alt. Lust, Caution

Original Song
“Come So Far (Got So Far To Go)” (Hairspray)
"Do You Feel Me," (American Gangster)
“Falling Slowly” (Once)
“Guaranteed” (Into the Wild)
“That’s How You Know” (Enchanted)

Alt: “Le Festin” (Ratatouille)

Best Visual Effects
300
Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End
Transformers

Alt. The Golden Compass

Best Animated Feature
Persepolis
Ratatouille
The Simpsons Movie

Alt. Bee Movie

Best Documentary
Body of War
Lake of Fire
Nanking
No End in Sight
Sicko

Alt. For the Bible Tells Me So

Best Foreign Language Film
12
The Counterfeiters
Days of Darkness
Mongol
The Year My Parents Went on Vacation

Alt. The Unknown


Left out the few categories I know nothing about (the sound categories, etc.)

Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Wed Jan 16, 2008 7:53 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Oscars Countdown Thread - Full Nominations Predictions

Woe, esnack, you predict TWO directing noms for Guilroy. He probably was good...but really THAT good? :P

Author:  snack [ Wed Jan 16, 2008 7:57 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Oscars Countdown Thread - Full Nominations Predictions

Dr. Lecter wrote:
Woe, esnack, you predict TWO directing noms for Guilroy. He probably was good...but really THAT good? :P


It is getting crazy guild support....

Author:  Chris [ Sat Jan 19, 2008 8:06 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Oscars Countdown Thread - Full Nominations Predictions

Best Picture
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Juno
Michael Clayton
No Country For Old Men
There Will Be Blood

Best Director
P.T. Anderson, There Will Be Blood
Joel and Ethan Coen, No Country for Old Men
Tony Gilroy, Michael Clayton
Sean Penn, Into the Wild
Julian Schnabel, The Diving Bell and the Butterfly

Best Actor
George Clooney, Michael Clayton
Daniel Day-Lewis, There Will Be Blood
Ryan Gosling, Lars and the Real Girl
Emile Hirsch, Into the Wild
Viggo Mortenson, Eastern Promises

Best Actress
Julie Christie, Away from Her
Marion Cotillard, La Vie en Rose
Angelina Jolie, A Mighty Heart
Laura Linney, The Savages
Ellen Page, Juno

Best Supporting Actor
Casey Affleck, The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford
Javier Bardem, No Country for Old Men
Hal Holbrook, Into the Wild
Max von Sydow, The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Tom Wilkinson, Michael Clayton

Best Supporting Actress
Cate Blanchett, I'm Not There
Catherine Keener, Into the Wild
Saoirse Ronan, Atonement
Amy Ryan, Gone Baby Gone
Tilda Swinton, Michael Clayton

I'll do the rest a little later.

Author:  xiayun [ Sun Jan 20, 2008 12:23 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Oscars Countdown Thread - Full Nominations Predictions

Best Picture
Atonement
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Into the Wild
No Country for Old Men
There Will Be Blood

Best Director
Paul Thomas Anderson, There Will Be Blood
Joel Coen and Ethan Coen, No Country for Old Men
Tony Gilroy, Michael Clayton
Sean Penn, Into the Wild
Julian Schnabel, The Diving Bell and the Butterfly

Best Actor
George Clooney, Michael Clayton
Daniel Day-Lewis, There Will Be Blood
Ryan Gosling, Lars and the Real Girl
Emile Hirsch, Into the Wild
Viggo Mortensen, Eastern Promises

Best Actress
Julie Christie, Away from Her
Marion Cotillard, La Vie en rose
Ellen Page, Juno
Angelina Jolie, A Mighty Heart
Laura Linney, The Savages

Best Supporting Actor
Casey Affleck, The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford
Javier Bardem, No Country for Old Men
Hal Holbrook, Into the Wild
Max von Sydow, The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Tom Wilkinson, Michael Clayton

Best Supporting Actress
Cate Blanchett, I'm Not There
Catherine Keener, Into the Wild
Saoirse Ronan, Atonement
Amy Ryan, Gone Baby Gone
Tilda Swinton, Michael Clayton

Best Original Screenplay
Juno
Lars and the Real Girl
Michael Clayton
Ratatouille
The Savages

Best Adapted Screenplay
Atonement
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Into The Wild
No Country for Old Men
There Will Be Blood

Best Foreign Film
12 (Russia)
Beaufort (Israel)
The Counterfeiters (Austria)
Days of Darkness (Canada)
The Year My Parents Went on Vacation (Brazil)

Best Animated Feature
Persepolis
Ratatouille
The Simpsons Movie

Best Cinematography
Assassination of Jesse James By the Coward Robert Ford
Atonement
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
No Country for Old Men
There Will Be Blood

Best Editing
The Bourne Ultimatum
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Michael Clayton
No Country for Old Men
There Will Be Blood

Best Costume Design
Assassination of Jesse James By the Coward Robert Ford
Atonement
Elizabeth: The Golden Age
Hairspray
Sweeney Todd

Best Art Direction
Atonement
Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix
No Country for Old Men
Sweeney Todd
There Will Be Blood

Best Orignal Score
Atonement
Eastern Promises
Lust, Caution
Ratatouille
There Will Be Blood

Best Original Song
"Come So Far (Got So Far To Go)", Hairspray
"Do You Feel Me", American Gangster
"Falling Slowly", Once
"Guaranteed", Into the Wild
"That's How You Know", Enchanted

Best Sound Mixing
American Gangster
No Country for Old Men
Ratatouille
Sweeney Todd
Transformers

Best Sound Editing
300
Beowulf
The Bourne Ultimatum
Ratatouille
Transformers

Best Visual Effects
300
Transformers
Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End

Best Makeup
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
La Vie en rose
Sweeney Todd

Author:  Chris [ Sun Jan 20, 2008 12:42 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Oscars Countdown Thread - Full Nominations Predictions

loyalfromlondon wrote:
Michael Clayton is a monster when you realize that it's the only film with any chance of 3 acting noms.

Michael Clayton - 3
Into The Wild - 2
EVERYONE ELSE - 1


You think Emile Hirsch has no chance of being nominated?

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