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| BFCA Awards Thread http://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=16&t=36532 |
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| Author: | Dr. Lecter [ Thu Dec 06, 2007 1:48 pm ] |
| Post subject: | BFCA Awards Thread |
I think these are another major awards that need a thread. They are pretty mainstream, so they can be considered rather good Oscar predictors. Here's how they matched last year (Oscar nominees in bold): Best Picture: The Departed Babel Blood Diamond Dreamgirls Letters from Iwo Jima Little Children Little Miss Sunshine Notes on a Scandal The Queen United 93 Best Actor: Peter O'Toole (Venus) Forest Whitaker (The Last King of Scotland) Leonardo DiCaprio (Blood Diamond) Leonardo DiCaprio (The Departed) Ryan Gosling (Half-Nelson) Will Smith (The Pursuit of Happyness) Best Actress: Penélope Cruz (Volver) Judi Dench (Notes on a Scandal) Meryl Streep (The Devil Wears Prada) Kate Winslet (Little Children) Helen Mirren (The Queen) Best Supporting Actor: Eddie Murphy (Dreamgirls) Adam Beach (Flags of our Fathers) Alan Arkin (Little Miss Sunshine) Jack Nicholson (The Departed) Djimon Hounsou (Blood Diamond) Ben Affleck (Hollywoodland) Best Supporting Actress: Adriana Barraza (Babel) Rinko Kikuchi (Babel) Emma Thompson (Stranger than Fiction) Jennifer Hudson (Dreamgirls) Catherine O'Hara (For Your Consideration) Cate Blanchett (Notes on a Scandal) Best Director: Clint Eastwood (Letters from Iwo Jima) Martin Scorsese (The Departed) Paul Greengrass (United 93) Stephen Frears (The Queen) Bill Condon (Dreamgirls) They matched most things, I'd say. |
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| Author: | Dr. Lecter [ Thu Dec 06, 2007 1:56 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: BFCA Awards Thread |
loyalfromlondon wrote: when are the BFCA noms announced? Dec 11th, methinks. |
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| Author: | Dr. Lecter [ Thu Dec 06, 2007 2:01 pm ] |
| Post subject: | |
My predictions: Best Picture: American Gangster Eastern Promises Michael Clayton Sweeney Todd Hairspray Juno There Will Be Blood Atonement No Country for Old Men Gone Baby Gone Best Actor: Denzel Washington (American Gangster) Philip Seymour Hoffman (Before the Devil Knows You're Dead or The Savages) Johnny Depp (Sweeney Todd) Daniel Day-Lewis (There Will Be Blood) George Clooney (Michael Clayton) Viggo Mortensen (Eastern Promises) Best Actress: Julie Christie (Away from Her) Amy Adams (Enhanted) Ellen Page (Juno) Maron Cotillard (La Vie En Rose) Keira Knightley (Atonement) Best Supporting Actor: Javier Bardem (No Country for Old Men) Casey Affleck (The Assassination of Jesse James) Tom Wilkinson (Michael Clayton) Paul Dano (There Will Be Blood) John Travolta (Hairspray) Best Supporting Actress: Cate Blanchett (I'm Not There) Marisa Tomei (Before the Devil Knows You're Dead) Amy Ryan (Gone Baby Gone) Saoirse Roran (Atonement) Romola Garai (Atonement) Best Director: Tim Burton (Sweeney Todd) Ridley Scott (American Gangster) PT Anderson (There Will Be Blood) Joe Wright (Atonement) Ethan and Joel Coen (No Country for Old Men) Best Screenplay No Country for Old Men There Will Be Blood Atonement Juno Michael Clayton Gone Baby Gone Best Ensemble Hairspray Atonement No Country for Old Men Juno Sweeney Todd |
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| Author: | Dr. Lecter [ Thu Dec 06, 2007 2:02 pm ] |
| Post subject: | |
loyalfromlondon wrote: Dr. Lecter wrote: loyalfromlondon wrote: when are the BFCA noms announced? Dec 11th, methinks. the next 7 days are going to be huge (LAFCA, NYFCC, BFCA, and Globes)  Yes and by the end of that frame we'll get a pretty clear picture of this year's Oscars. |
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| Author: | xiayun [ Thu Dec 06, 2007 3:09 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: |
Dr. Lecter wrote: My predictions: Best Picture: American Gangster Eastern Promises Michael Clayton Sweeney Todd Hairspray Juno There Will Be Blood Atonement No Country for Old Men Gone Baby Gone Into the Wild got a 90 from them and has good momentum, so BFCA isn't going to leave it out. Once is more tricky, but given they haven't given out many 90+ scores this year (especially comparing last), hard to see it miss out with a 91. American Gangster only got an 86, and it's not quite similar to the Memoirs of a Geisha and Phantom of the Opera situation, where they weren't sure about the buzz and included it to be safe, so don't think it will get in. Charlie Wilson's War fits that slot better. They never graded Gone Baby Gone, so I replace it and either Michael Clayton or Hairspray for the two above. Going to be interesting to see where they put Bourne, their highest score this year by far (94). Both Ratatouille and Sicko have their own categories, so they are not going to show up in the best film list. |
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| Author: | xiayun [ Fri Dec 07, 2007 3:19 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: BFCA Awards Thread |
Juno got a 93! A serious threat to win here now. 87 for Atonement. Look more and more likely a nomination-but-no-win candidate at the Oscar. |
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| Author: | MikeQ. [ Fri Dec 07, 2007 4:17 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: BFCA Awards Thread |
It has always kind of amazed me how accurate the BFCA's are with respect to predicting Best Picture at the Oscars. Failure of making the top 10 films at BFCA is never a good sign. It has consistently had all 5 eventual Oscar Best Picture nominees in their top 10 films, except for a couple slip years in which it still had 4 out of 5 correct. 2006 - 5/5 nominees 2005 - 5/5 nominees 2004 - 5/5 nominees 2003 - 5/5 nominees 2002 - 5/5 nominees 2001 - 4/5 nominees (Gosford Park missing) 2000 - 4/5 nominees (Chocolat anomoly) 1999 - 5/5 nominees 1998 - 5/5 nominees 1997 - 5/5 nominees The BFCA winner for Best Picture also went on to win the Oscar Best Picture about 50% of the time. Peace, Mike |
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| Author: | Dr. Lecter [ Fri Dec 07, 2007 5:49 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: BFCA Awards Thread |
Taking into account xiayun's comments. My predictions: Best Picture: American Gangster Eastern Promises Michael Clayton Sweeney Todd Hairspray Juno There Will Be Blood Atonement No Country for Old Men Into the Wild Best Actor: Denzel Washington (American Gangster) Philip Seymour Hoffman (Before the Devil Knows You're Dead or The Savages) Johnny Depp (Sweeney Todd) Daniel Day-Lewis (There Will Be Blood) George Clooney (Michael Clayton) Viggo Mortensen (Eastern Promises) Best Actress: Julie Christie (Away from Her) Amy Adams (Enhanted) Ellen Page (Juno) Maron Cotillard (La Vie En Rose) Keira Knightley (Atonement) Best Supporting Actor: Javier Bardem (No Country for Old Men) Casey Affleck (The Assassination of Jesse James) Tom Wilkinson (Michael Clayton) Paul Dano (There Will Be Blood) John Travolta (Hairspray) Best Supporting Actress: Cate Blanchett (I'm Not There) Marisa Tomei (Before the Devil Knows You're Dead) Amy Ryan (Gone Baby Gone) Saoirse Roran (Atonement) Romola Garai (Atonement) Best Director: Tim Burton (Sweeney Todd) Ridley Scott (American Gangster) PT Anderson (There Will Be Blood) Joe Wright (Atonement) Ethan and Joel Coen (No Country for Old Men) Best Screenplay No Country for Old Men There Will Be Blood Atonement Juno Michael Clayton Eastern Promises Best Ensemble Hairspray Atonement No Country for Old Men Juno Sweeney Todd |
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| Author: | Jonathan [ Sat Dec 08, 2007 12:55 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: BFCA Awards Thread |
VH1? Random. I think I'm gonna try whipping up some predictions. |
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| Author: | Jonathan [ Sat Dec 08, 2007 1:29 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: BFCA Awards Thread |
Best Picture American Gangster Atonement The Bourne Ultimatum Hairspray Into the Wild Juno Michael Clayton No Country for Old Men Sweeney Todd There Will Be Blood Best Direction Paul Thomas Anderson, There Will Be Blood Tim Burton, Sweeney Todd Ethan Coen/Joel Coen, No Country for Old Men Sean Penn, Into the Wild Joe Wright, Atonement (#6: Ridley Scott, American Gangster) Best Actor George Clooney, Michael Clayton Daniel Day-Lewis, There Will Be Blood Johnny Depp, Sweeney Todd James McAvoy, Atonement Denzel Washington, American Gangster (#6: Viggo Mortensen, Eastern Promises) Best Actress Julie Christie, Away from Her Marion Cotillard, La Vie En Rose Keira Knightly, Atonement Laura Linney, The Savages Ellen Page, Juno (#6: Angelina Jolie, A Mighty Heart) Best Supporting Actor Casey Affleck, The Assassination of Jesse James By the Coward Robert Ford Javier Bardem, No Country for Old Men Philip Seymour Hoffman, Charlie Wilson's War Hal Holbrook, Into the Wild Tom Wilkinson, Michael Clayton (#6: Alan Rickman, Sweeney Todd) Best Supporting Actress Cate Blanchett, I'm Not There Romola Garai, Atonement Saoirse Ronan, Atonement Amy Ryan, Gone Baby Gone Tilda Swinton, Michael Clayton (#6: Marisa Tomei, Before the Devil Knows You're Dead) Best Screenplay Atonement Juno Michael Clayton No Country for Old Men The Savages (#6: The Bourne Ultimatum) |
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| Author: | Jonathan [ Sat Dec 08, 2007 1:32 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: BFCA Awards Thread |
loyalfromlondon wrote: Positive* Jon wrote: VH1? Random. I think I'm gonna try whipping up some predictions.  I have Knocked Up, Ratatouille and gulp, The Bourne Ultimatum in my top 10. Knocked Up and Ratatouille would be great, but genre bias could kill them (I'd give my left nut for a Laeslie Mann mention though, god I love her). The only reason I'm predicting Bourne is because it still has their highest score of the year, and NBR removed some of the stigma of noting the film. |
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| Author: | Christian [ Sat Dec 08, 2007 1:45 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: BFCA Awards Thread |
These are always fun. It's just sad that every year the host has to announce "We matched the Oscars 4 out of 5 years!!!! We rock! YEAH!!!! Now on to the awards..." |
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| Author: | Shack [ Mon Dec 10, 2007 3:41 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Da BFCA anticipation thread |
Here's the ratings http://www.bfca.org/ 94 - Bourne Ultimatum,The 93 - Juno 92 - Sicko 91 - No Country For Old Men 91 - Ratatouille 91 - Once 90 - Into the Wild 89 - Eastern Promises 88 - Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford,The 88 - Waitress 88 - A Mighty Heart 87 - Atonement 86 - American Gangster 87 - Michael Clayton 87 - Hairspray I forget, was this the beginning of the "Ohno, Crash!!?" run in 05? |
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| Author: | Shack [ Mon Dec 10, 2007 3:45 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Da BFCA anticipation thread |
What the, for some reason I had this thread made, then I saw Lecter already had a thread and meant to post that in there, but I must've posted this one by mistake or whatever. Yeah, merge. |
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| Author: | Jonathan [ Mon Dec 10, 2007 3:45 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: BFCA Awards Thread |
I suspect we'll create a different thread once they start announcing the nominees? |
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| Author: | MikeQ. [ Mon Dec 10, 2007 4:41 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: BFCA Awards Thread |
I say, whoever ends up getting the noms first, just post a new thread. Makes it easier for me. It's always nice to have the nominees/winners listed in the actual first post of the thread, with discussion on it immediately following, no old unrelated discussion in the way. Peace, Mike |
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| Author: | Jonathan [ Mon Dec 10, 2007 5:11 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: BFCA Awards Thread |
loyalfromlondon wrote: loyalfromlondon wrote: Best Supporting Actress: Cate Blanchett (I'm Not There) Leslie Mann (Knocked Up) Tilda Swinton (Michael Clayton) Amy Ryan (Gone Baby Gone) Catherine Keener (Into the Wild) hope it comes true tomorrow.  I didn't predict because it seems to good to be true, but with Chicago's nom, it really does seem possible...maybe? |
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| Author: | Tyler [ Mon Dec 10, 2007 5:51 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: BFCA Awards Thread |
Finally some Rat love.... |
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