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| Author: | billybobwashere [ Thu Dec 06, 2007 12:29 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: NYFCC Predictions |
I'm guessing No Country. It's just a massive critical sensation, and it's also an Awards film, so I see it dominating the many awards ceremonies. Whether or not that factors into how the Academy treats it is yet to be seen. |
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| Author: | Dr. Lecter [ Thu Dec 06, 2007 12:54 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: NYFCC Predictions |
Predictions: Best Picture: No Country for Old Men Best Actor: Daniel Day-Lewis (There Will Be Blood) Best Actress: Ellen Page (Juno) Best Director: Ethan and Joel Coen (No Country for Old Men) Best Foreign Film: 4 Months, 3 Weeks & 2 Days Best Screenplay: Joel and Ethan Coen Best Supporting Actor: Javier Bardem (No Country for Old Men) Best Supporting Actress: Cate Blanchett (I'm Not There) Best Cinematographer: Robert Elswit (There Will Be Blood) Best Non-Fiction Film: No End in Sight Best Animated Picture: Ratatouille Yeah, pretty much a sweep for NCFOM is what I predict. |
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| Author: | xiayun [ Fri Dec 07, 2007 4:24 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: NYFCC Predictions |
loyalfromlondon wrote: Here are a list of NYFCC members: Thelma Adams US Weekly John Anderson Newsday David Ansen Newsweek Michael Atkinson Village Voice Dwight Brown NNPA & UPSCALE Richard Corliss Time Mike D'Angelo Esquire Magazine David Denby New Yorker David Edelstein New York Magazine Marshall Fine Star Magazine Owen Gleiberman Entertainment Weekly J. Hoberman Village Voice Stuart Klawans The Nation Dennis Lim Village Voice Lou Lumenick New York Post Joe Morgenstern Wall Street Journal Peter Rainer Christian Science Monitor Rex Reed New York Observer Leah Rozen People Magazine Andrew Sarris New York Observer Richard Schickel Time Lisa Schwarzbaum Entertainment Weekly Gene Seymour Newsday Jan Stuart Newsday Peter Travers Rolling Stone Armond White NY Press Stephen Whitty Newhouse Newspapers No AO Scott, so Atonement could still show up here. David Ansen, Peter Travers, Lou Lumenick, Joe Morgenstern, Rex Reed, and Andrew Sarris all gave it perfect grade. That's a strong contingent. And the only dissenting voice from this group I read so far is from Anthony Lane. EDIT: oops, not sure what I saw, but Lane isn't listed. |
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| Author: | Rod [ Fri Dec 07, 2007 4:58 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: NYFCC Predictions |
Best Picture: Atonement Alternate: No Country for Old Men Best Actor: Daniel Day-Lewis (There Will Be Blood) Alternate: Benicio del Toro (Things We Lost in the Fire) Best Actress: Marion Cotillard (La Vie en Rose) Alternate: Laura Linney (The Savages...just so I don't go with Cotillard/Christie for everything...I'm pretty sure Cotillard will get this one, though.) Best Director: Tim Burton (Sweeney Todd) Alternate: Joe Wright (Atonement) Best Foreign Film: The Diving Bell and the Butterfly Alternate: 4 Months, 3 Weeks & 2 Days Best Screenplay: Diablo Cody (Juno) Alternate: Tamara Jenkins (The Savages) Best Supporting Actor: Javier Bardem (No Country for Old Men) Alternate: Casey Affleck (The Assassination of Jesse James) Best Supporting Actress: Cate Blanchett (I'm Not There) Alternate: Amy Ryan (Gone Baby Gone) Best Cinematographer: Janusz Kaminski (The Diving Bell and the Butterfly) Alternate: Rodrigo Prieto (Lust, Caution) Though I have a feeling Control could surprise... Best Non-Fiction Film: No End in Sight Alternate: Sicko Best Animated Picture: Ratatouille Alternate: Persepolis |
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| Author: | makeshift [ Fri Dec 07, 2007 5:39 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: NYFCC Predictions |
Sarris was one of the few people that didn't like No Country, too. Too bad his reasoning was asinine. Also, why is AO Scott not there? He is probably the best critic in the whole city. |
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| Author: | xiayun [ Fri Dec 07, 2007 6:36 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: NYFCC Predictions |
makeshift wrote: Sarris was one of the few people that didn't like No Country, too. Too bad his reasoning was asinine. Also, why is AO Scott not there? He is probably the best critic in the whole city. NY Times is too powerful that they don't want to be (or be perceived to be) influenced by it? Or could be more of a personal grunge within the circle against Scott. |
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| Author: | trixster [ Fri Dec 07, 2007 11:44 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: NYFCC Predictions |
makeshift wrote: Sarris was one of the few people that didn't like No Country, too. Too bad his reasoning was asinine. What was it? |
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| Author: | makeshift [ Sat Dec 08, 2007 12:28 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: NYFCC Predictions |
trixster wrote: makeshift wrote: Sarris was one of the few people that didn't like No Country, too. Too bad his reasoning was asinine. What was it? http://www.observer.com/2007/just-shoot ... -coen-bros He manages to say nothing significant about the movie. All he has to say is pretty much "it's too nihilistic." That's a shame, too, cause Sarris is one of the real heavy hitters in the critical community. |
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| Author: | Gulli [ Sat Dec 08, 2007 8:36 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: NYFCC Predictions |
makeshift wrote: trixster wrote: makeshift wrote: Sarris was one of the few people that didn't like No Country, too. Too bad his reasoning was asinine. What was it? http://www.observer.com/2007/just-shoot ... -coen-bros He manages to say nothing significant about the movie. All he has to say is pretty much "it's too nihilistic." That's a shame, too, cause Sarris is one of the real heavy hitters in the critical community. He counts that as a bad thing 
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| Author: | Jonathan [ Sun Dec 09, 2007 9:11 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: NYFCC Predictions |
Best Picture: The Diving Bell and the Butterfly Alt #1: There Will Be Blood Alt #2: No Country for Old Men The three big dominators so far in this short season. Diving Bell has yet to win one despite coming close twice, so I think it'll finally have its day. Best Actor: Daniel Day-Lewis, There Will Be Blood Alt #1: Frank Langella, Starting Out in the Evening Alt #2: Viggo Mortensen, Eastern Promises Day-Lewis is a safe bet, but if Mortensen is gonna win anywhere, he's gonna win here. This is the same body that awarded Bello and Hurt for AHOV two years ago, so they like Cronenberg. Best Actress: Marion Cotillard, La Vie En Rose Alt #1: Julie Christie, Away from Her Alt #2: Laura Linney, The Savages It's pretty much Cotillard vs. Christie with the critics. Best Director: Julian Schnabel, Diving Bell and the Butterfly Alt #1: Paul Thomas Anderson, There Will Be Blood Alt #2: Sidney Lumet, Before the Devil Knows You're Dead Lumet is just a random alternate, really, I think it's down to the Top Two here. Best Foreign Film: The Diving Bell and the Butterfly Alt #1: 4 Months, 3 Weeks, 2 Days Alt #2: Persepolis Dunno what happens here is Diving Bell wins Picture, but I'll keep it here anyway. Best Screenplay: There Will Be Blood Alt #1: Diving Bell and the Butterfly Alt #2: No Country for Old Men PTA gets his bone. Best Supporting Actor: Javier Bardem, No Country for Old Men Alt #1: Casey Affleck, The Assassination of Jesse James By the Coward Robert Ford Alt #2: Alan Rickman, Sweeney Todd They're usually good at thinking outside the box here (William Hurt in '05, Eugene Levy in '03), so I doubt this will come true, but just in case... Best Supporting Actress: Amy Ryan, Gone Baby Gone Alt #1: Cate Blanchett, I'm Not There Alt #2: Marisa Tomei, Before the Devil Knows You're Dead Ryan is a two-time Tony-nominated veteran of the stage, I'd be surprised if her gravy train ended here. Best Cinematography: No Country for Old Men Alt #1: Diving Bell and the Butterfly Alt #2: There Will Be Blood Deakins has yet to win anything, so maybe he'll finally get his due? Best Animated Film: Persepolis Alt #1: Ratatouille Alt #2: Is it even worth it? This two-way critics race is actually quite interesting, even though Ratatouille has the Oscar locked up. |
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| Author: | Jim Halpert [ Sun Dec 09, 2007 9:46 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: NYFCC Predictions |
i'm hoping the amy ryan momentum continues. she gives the best performance of the year. |
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| Author: | Dr. Lecter [ Mon Dec 10, 2007 9:40 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: NYFCC Winners Annoucement |
My slightly revised last-second predictions: Best Picture: No Country for Old Men Best Actor: Daniel Day-Lewis (There Will Be Blood) Best Actress: Keira Knightley (Atonement) Best Director: Ethan and Joel Coen (No Country for Old Men) Best Foreign Film: The Diving Bell and the Butterfly Best Screenplay: Joel and Ethan Coen Best Supporting Actor: Javier Bardem (No Country for Old Men) Best Supporting Actress: Cate Blanchett (I'm Not There) Best Cinematographer: Robert Elswit (There Will Be Blood) Best Non-Fiction Film: No End in Sight Best Animated Picture: Ratatouille |
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| Author: | android [ Mon Dec 10, 2007 12:59 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: NYFCC Winners |
Amy Ryan, once again. I smell a backlash. And to say the truth I was hoping for some really "unpredictable" choice (by others), like Jennifer Jason Leigh... meh |
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| Author: | snack [ Mon Dec 10, 2007 1:00 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: NYFCC Winners |
Christie for Actress. Bardem for Actor...I think that might be a typo? |
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| Author: | xiayun [ Mon Dec 10, 2007 1:01 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: NYFCC Winners |
I knew there would be some critic circles deeming Bardem as lead. |
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| Author: | android [ Mon Dec 10, 2007 1:02 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: NYFCC Winners |
Best Actor Javier Bardem No Country for Old Men Best Actress Julie Christie Away from Her They put Bardem as a lead. And another win for Christie... predictable choices. |
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| Author: | xiayun [ Mon Dec 10, 2007 1:04 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: NYFCC Winners |
It's funny that the two categories we thought were going to see critic sweeps, Actor and Supporting Actor, are having the biggest variety, while the supporting actress, one we didn't expect anyone to dominate, is getting swept by Ryan. The actress is a two-female race at this point. |
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| Author: | Jonathan [ Mon Dec 10, 2007 1:04 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: NYFCC Winners |
loyalfromlondon wrote: Amy Ryan is out of control. No Ratatouille in Best Animated.  I think the critics know the Academy will never award Persepolis over Ratatouille, so they might as well award it what they can. They appear to love both equally. I'm also quite happy for all the First Film awards Polley is winning. She really is a director to look out for, if the maturity of Away from Her is an indication. And has there ever been a film with release dates more confusing than The Lives of Others?  ETA: VERY interesting placement for Bardem, assuming that's not a typo. Can't say I disagree though, as the Top three billed can swing either way. The critics awards continue to be Cotillard vs. Christie. Interesting stuff. |
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| Author: | snack [ Mon Dec 10, 2007 1:08 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: NYFCC Winners |
xiayun wrote: It's funny that the two categories we thought were going to see critic sweeps, Actor and Supporting Actor, are having the biggest variety, while the supporting actress, one we didn't expect anyone to dominate, is getting swept by Ryan. The actress is a two-female race at this point. Um....we didn't expect Blanchett to dominate? |
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| Author: | xiayun [ Mon Dec 10, 2007 1:15 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: NYFCC Winners |
s snack wrote: xiayun wrote: It's funny that the two categories we thought were going to see critic sweeps, Actor and Supporting Actor, are having the biggest variety, while the supporting actress, one we didn't expect anyone to dominate, is getting swept by Ryan. The actress is a two-female race at this point. Um....we didn't expect Blanchett to dominate? I don't think so. In term of degree of dominations, most of us expected it to go Bardem > Lewis > Christie >> Blanchett. |
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| Author: | Jonathan [ Mon Dec 10, 2007 1:27 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: NYFCC Winners |
These are some rather ho hum winners.  Hopefully the runner-ups will provide some surprises... |
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| Author: | Jonathan [ Mon Dec 10, 2007 1:46 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: NYFCC Winners |
Either this is a whole lotta build-up to nothing with an interesting backstory, or there' gonna be an out-of-left-field win. Latter, please? |
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| Author: | Christian [ Mon Dec 10, 2007 1:48 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: NYFCC Winners |
Positive* Jon wrote: Either this is a whole lotta build-up to nothing with an interesting backstory, or there' gonna be an out-of-left-field win. Latter, please? ONCE! |
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| Author: | Jonathan [ Mon Dec 10, 2007 1:50 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: NYFCC Winners |
Twas, the former, damn. Best Picture No Country for Old Men |
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| Author: | Jonathan [ Mon Dec 10, 2007 1:51 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: NYFCC Winners |
And now we wait for the hopefully far-more-interesting runner-up lists. |
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