I'll say Lewis, Bardem, Blanchett, Ratatouille for animated, Sicko for doc. Those are the only ones I'm 100% on. Though then again, sometimes even that doesn't cut it, like Sith's visuals snub.
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| Locks for nominations at this point? http://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=16&t=36296 |
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| Author: | Dr. Lecter [ Sun Nov 25, 2007 3:14 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Locks for nominations at this point? |
Well, the title makes it pretty clear. Whatever category, what do you consider to be a solid lock at this point? Here's what I'm thinking: Best Picture No lock right now Best Actor Daniel Day-Lewis (There Will Be Blood) Best Actress Keira Knightley (Atonement) Best Supporting Actor Javier Bardem (No Country for Old Men) Best Supporting Actress Cate Blanchett (I'm Not There) Best Director Ethan and Joel Coen (No Country for Old Men) Best Animated Feature Rataouille Best Original Screenplay Juno Best Adapted Screenplay Atonement No Country for Old Men There Will Be Blood Best Visual Effects Transformers |
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| Author: | Raffiki [ Sun Nov 25, 2007 5:26 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Locks for nominations at this point? |
Dr. Lecter wrote: Well, the title makes it pretty clear. Whatever category, what do you consider to be a solid lock at this point? Here's what I'm thinking: Best Picture No lock right now Best Actor Daniel Day-Lewis (There Will Be Blood) Best Actress Keira Knightley (Atonement) Best Supporting Actor Javier Bardem (No Country for Old Men) Best Supporting Actress Cate Blanchett (I'm Not There) Best Director Ethan and Joel Coen (No Country for Old Men) Best Animated Feature Rataouille Best Original Screenplay Juno Best Adapted Screenplay Atonement No Country for Old Men There Will Be Blood Best Visual Effects Transformers I would agree with all of those except Keira Knightley. You're just crazy if you think she's a lock; she's the least solid of all the female contenders. I'd also add Atonement for Score |
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| Author: | Alex Y. [ Sun Nov 25, 2007 6:59 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Locks for nominations at this point? |
Best Picture Atonement Into the Wild No Country for Old Men Best Actor Daniel Day-Lewis (There Will Be Blood) Denzel Washington (American Gangster) Best Actress Amy Adams (Enchanted) Best Supporting Actor Javier Bardem (No Country for Old Men) Hal Holbrook (Into the Wild) Best Director Ethan and Joel Coen (No Country for Old Men) Best Animated Feature Rataouille Best Adapted Screenplay Atonement Into the Wild No Country for Old Men Best Visual Effects Transformers |
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| Author: | Webslinger [ Sun Nov 25, 2007 7:21 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Locks for nominations at this point? |
I think Atonement is pretty close to being locked on for a Picture nod. Focus doesn't really have anything else to campaign, there's potential for it to be an overall nomination monster (and they need at least one of those), and it's supposed to be very, very good. Whether it can win remains to be seen, but it's pretty damned close to being a lock for the nomination if it's not already a lock. |
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| Author: | Shack [ Sun Nov 25, 2007 7:52 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Locks for nominations at this point? |
I'll say Lewis, Bardem, Blanchett, Ratatouille for animated, Sicko for doc. Those are the only ones I'm 100% on. Though then again, sometimes even that doesn't cut it, like Sith's visuals snub.
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| Author: | Raffiki [ Sun Nov 25, 2007 8:59 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Locks for nominations at this point? |
Webslinger wrote: I think Atonement is pretty close to being locked on for a Picture nod. Focus doesn't really have anything else to campaign, there's potential for it to be an overall nomination monster (and they need at least one of those), and it's supposed to be very, very good. Whether it can win remains to be seen, but it's pretty damned close to being a lock for the nomination if it's not already a lock. Atonement is the closest to a lock in the Best Picture category but you never know what can happen. Since the overall word so far is that it's great but not amazing and with Sweeney and Wilson both in the race, it could go the way of Cold Mountain. |
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| Author: | Shack [ Sun Nov 25, 2007 9:06 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Locks for nominations at this point? |
I've also been saying that if it falls into the 80% "good" range, Joe Wright is the closest thing to Mangold and Condon this race. I think No Country is the closest thing to a BP lock. The reception is assured, the box-office looks solid, it has the passion, it has the techs and a Supporting Actor win already in the bag |
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| Author: | Tyler [ Sun Nov 25, 2007 9:18 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Locks for nominations at this point? |
Yeah, I think No Country is guaranteed. The Coens have been owed since Fargo, too. |
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| Author: | Bradley Witherberry [ Mon Nov 26, 2007 2:20 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Locks for nominations at this point? |
Best Supporting Actress Adrienne Shelly - Waitress |
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| Author: | Webslinger [ Mon Nov 26, 2007 2:22 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Locks for nominations at this point? |
Bradley Witherberry wrote: Best Supporting Actress Adrienne Shelly - Waitress Not happening. |
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| Author: | Bradley Witherberry [ Mon Nov 26, 2007 2:23 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Locks for nominations at this point? |
Webslinger wrote: Bradley Witherberry wrote: Best Supporting Actress Adrienne Shelly - Waitress Not happening. Lock. |
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| Author: | Webslinger [ Mon Nov 26, 2007 2:24 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Locks for nominations at this point? |
You do realize that there is ZERO buzz for her at this time, right? None. |
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| Author: | billybobwashere [ Mon Nov 26, 2007 2:32 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Locks for nominations at this point? |
Best Picture Atonement Best Director Joe Wright - Atonement Coens - No Country for Old Men Best Actor Daniel Day-Lewis - There Will Be Blood Best Supporting Actor Javier Bardem - No Country for Old Men Best Original Screenplay Juno [it's getting most of the film's buzz, along with Page] Best Adapted Screenplay Atonement Best Animated Feature Ratatouille Best Visual Effects Transformers Best Documentary Sicko that's really about it. I mean, a lot of things were left off here that are very likely, but these are things that simply won't not happen. |
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| Author: | Bradley Witherberry [ Mon Nov 26, 2007 2:44 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Locks for nominations at this point? |
Webslinger wrote: You do realize that there is ZERO buzz for her at this time, right? None. Watch and learn... 
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| Author: | Levy [ Mon Nov 26, 2007 3:34 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Locks for nominations at this point? |
There are no locks |
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| Author: | Dr. Lecter [ Mon Nov 26, 2007 6:09 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Locks for nominations at this point? |
Levy wrote: There are no locks That's a foolish statement. You think there's a chance that Ratatouille is NOT a lock for a Best Animated Picture? |
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| Author: | Levy [ Mon Nov 26, 2007 6:27 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Locks for nominations at this point? |
Dr. Lecter wrote: Levy wrote: There are no locks That's a foolish statement. You think there's a chance that Ratatouille is NOT a lock for a Best Animated Picture? maybe that one. But to have movies and actors as locks whose performances and films haven't been seen in the US yet is even more foolish. What's guaranteeing that US critics dig Atonement like the british critics for example |
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| Author: | snack [ Mon Nov 26, 2007 11:26 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Locks for nominations at this point? |
Webslinger wrote: You do realize that there is ZERO buzz for her at this time, right? None. You do realize she's DEAD, right? Not only that, but MURDERED. |
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| Author: | Dr. Lecter [ Mon Nov 26, 2007 1:44 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Locks for nominations at this point? |
Levy wrote: Dr. Lecter wrote: Levy wrote: There are no locks That's a foolish statement. You think there's a chance that Ratatouille is NOT a lock for a Best Animated Picture? maybe that one. But to have movies and actors as locks whose performances and films haven't been seen in the US yet is even more foolish. What's guaranteeing that US critics dig Atonement like the british critics for example The lack of other solid contenders? There are locks out there, as simple as that. Ratatouille for Animated Transformers for the Effects, Sicko for a Documentary nom, Javier Bardem for a Best Sup. Actor nom. Seriously, is there a way to argue those? |
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| Author: | Raffiki [ Mon Nov 26, 2007 2:23 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Locks for nominations at this point? |
Dr. Lecter wrote: Levy wrote: Dr. Lecter wrote: Levy wrote: There are no locks That's a foolish statement. You think there's a chance that Ratatouille is NOT a lock for a Best Animated Picture? maybe that one. But to have movies and actors as locks whose performances and films haven't been seen in the US yet is even more foolish. What's guaranteeing that US critics dig Atonement like the british critics for example The lack of other solid contenders? There are locks out there, as simple as that. Ratatouille for Animated Transformers for the Effects, Sicko for a Documentary nom, Javier Bardem for a Best Sup. Actor nom. Seriously, is there a way to argue those? I'm actually hesitant to call Sicko and Transformers a lock. They are the most probable nominees at this point but look at how Volver didn't get nominated last year for Foreign pic. And then how Pan's Labyrinth lost the win. Nothing is guaranteed. |
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| Author: | Dr. Lecter [ Mon Nov 26, 2007 2:42 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Locks for nominations at this point? |
Raffiki wrote: Dr. Lecter wrote: Levy wrote: Dr. Lecter wrote: Levy wrote: There are no locks That's a foolish statement. You think there's a chance that Ratatouille is NOT a lock for a Best Animated Picture? maybe that one. But to have movies and actors as locks whose performances and films haven't been seen in the US yet is even more foolish. What's guaranteeing that US critics dig Atonement like the british critics for example The lack of other solid contenders? There are locks out there, as simple as that. Ratatouille for Animated Transformers for the Effects, Sicko for a Documentary nom, Javier Bardem for a Best Sup. Actor nom. Seriously, is there a way to argue those? I'm actually hesitant to call Sicko and Transformers a lock. They are the most probable nominees at this point but look at how Volver didn't get nominated last year for Foreign pic. And then how Pan's Labyrinth lost the win. Nothing is guaranteed. Hm, but for Sicko, there's simply not much real competition out there and as for Transformers...it's a perfect nominee for them. Even Pearl Harbor got nominated there despite far worse reviews. |
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| Author: | Shack [ Mon Nov 26, 2007 2:50 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Locks for nominations at this point? |
Scratch Blanchett from my list |
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| Author: | Dr. Lecter [ Mon Nov 26, 2007 3:09 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Locks for nominations at this point? |
Well, if Blanchett goes Lead, she's off my list as well, obviously. |
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| Author: | Webslinger [ Mon Nov 26, 2007 8:14 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Locks for nominations at this point? |
s snack wrote: Webslinger wrote: You do realize that there is ZERO buzz for her at this time, right? None. You do realize she's DEAD, right? Not only that, but MURDERED. Yes, I do, and her best (if not realistically only) shot at a posthumous nod is in the Original Screenplay category, not Supporting Actress. |
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| Author: | roo [ Mon Nov 26, 2007 9:22 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Locks for nominations at this point? |
In addition to the ones above... No End In Sight for docs. Sound nominations for Transformers. Costume nominations Pirates 3. Score for There Will Be Blood Travolta for Hairspray (Supporting) Adapted Screenplay for No Country For Old Men The Pitts (Brad for Assassination, Jolie for A Mighty Heart) in their nominatable categories. |
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