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| Author: | xiayun [ Thu Jan 06, 2005 6:47 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Entertainment Weekly Oscar Issue |
is out this week. I remember last year they had Charlie Theron, Naomi Watts, and Jennifer Connelly on the cover. And this year, they have Finding Neverland's star Depp and Winslet. I think this seals both's nominations for sure since except for Connelly, whoever on the EW cover haven't missed the oscar the last few years. I don't subscribe to EW, so I don't know what movies they are predicting yet. They have a "For your consideration" for each category, and that's usually worth noting. 
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| Author: | Chris [ Thu Jan 06, 2005 7:31 pm ] |
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It'll be interesting to see what they predict. I know they are usually right on most things. |
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| Author: | Atoddr [ Thu Jan 06, 2005 8:18 pm ] |
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They're usually very close, but they missed a few last year: Best Actor - 4/5 They picked Russell Crowe over Johnny Depp Best Actress - 3/5 The had Nicole Kidman and jennifer Connelly in their picks and left out Samantha Morton and Keisha Castle-Hughes (who didn't miss that one?). Best S. Actor - 4/5 They included Albert Finney, left out Djimon Hounsou. Best S. Actress - 4/5 They included Scarlett Johansson, left out Shohreh Aghdashloo. Best picture - 4/5 They included Cold Mountain, left out Seabiscuit. Best director - 4/5 They included Anthony Minghella, left out the guy from City Of God - can't remember his name. |
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| Author: | Maximus [ Thu Jan 06, 2005 8:57 pm ] |
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God Kate is beautiful! |
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| Author: | xiayun [ Thu Jan 06, 2005 8:58 pm ] |
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Their predictions: Best Picture The Aviator Finding Neverland Million Dollar Baby Ray Sideways For your consideration: Maria Full of Grace Best Actor Don Cheadle, Hotel Rwanda Johnny Depp, Finding Neverland Leo DiCaprio, The Aviator Jamie Foxx, Ray Paul Giamatti, Sideways For Your Consideration: Jeff Bridges, The Door in the Floor Best Actress Annette Bening, Being Julia Catalina Sandino Moreno, Maria Full of Grace Imelda Staunton, Vera Drake Hilary Swank, Million Dollar Baby Kate Winslet, Eternal Sunshine For Your Consideration: Julie Delpy, Before Sunset Best Supporting Actor Thomas Haden Church, Sideways Jamie Foxx, Collateral Morgan Freeman, Million Dollar Baby Clive Owen, Closer Peter Sarsgaard, Kinsey For Your Consideration: James Garner, The Notebook Best Supporting Actress Cate Blanchett, The Aviator Laura Linney, Kinsey Virginia Madsen, Sideways Natalie Portman, Closer Kate Winslet, Finding Neverland For Your Consideration: Sharon Warren Best Original Screenplay The Aviator Eternal Sunshine Hotel Rwanda The Incredibles Kinsey For Your Consideration: Dan Harris Best Adapted Screenplay Closer Finding Neverland Million Dollar Baby The Motorcycle Diaries Sideways For Your Consideration: Friday Night Lights Best Director Clint Eastwood, Million Dollar Baby Marc Forster, Finding Neverland Alexander Payne, Sideways Martin Scorsese, The Aviator Zhang Yimou, House of Flying Daggers For Your Consideration: Michel Gondry, Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind And the 25 movies to see before Oscar night: 1. Sideways 2. The Aviator 3. Finding Neverland 4. Million Dollar Baby 5. Closer 6. Kinsey 7. Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind 8. Ray 9. Vera Drake 10. Hotel Rwanda 11. Maria Full of Grace 12. Before Sunset 13. Being Julia 14. Collateral 15. The Incredibles 16. The Motorcycle Diaries 17. The Door in the Floor 18. Kill Bill Vol. 2 19. Imaginary Heroes 20. House of Flying Daggers 21. Bad Education 22. A Very Long Engagement 23. The Sea Inside 24. The Woodsman 25. The Phantom of the Opera |
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| Author: | Raffiki [ Thu Jan 06, 2005 9:43 pm ] |
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Well, I love the Entertainment Weekly Oscar Issue. It's my Bible. LOL 
Well, I wouldn't go that far. It comes to my door tomorrow around 3 and I love reading it and that is why I have resisted reading any of the predictions posted in the above post. I did read the posted 25 movies to see before Oscar night though... From the top 18, I have seen 17 of them and all the rest I have on my 'Plan to See' List. All of them. And I think I will be able to catch all of them except maybe Imaginary Heroes (though I saw a trailer and I wanna c it). I can catch The Door in the Floor on DVD and the movies I plan on seeing in January are... The Merhcant of Venice A Very Long Engagement (foreign) House of Flying Daggers (foreign) Bad Education (foreign) The Woodsman Elecktra The Sea Inside (foreign) The Chorus (foreign) Looks like I'm gonna be readin alot! :wink: they are ALL (except Elektra) playing around my area, so it matter how fast I can catch them before they go out. |
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| Author: | Chris [ Fri Jan 07, 2005 5:56 pm ] |
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Okay, I really need to see Sideways and Million Dollar Baby. Anyone know when they're going wide or if they are? I don't think they're playing near me now. |
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| Author: | Raffiki [ Fri Jan 07, 2005 6:27 pm ] |
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Chris wrote: Okay, I really need to see Sideways and Million Dollar Baby. Anyone know when they're going wide or if they are? I don't think they're playing near me now. where do you live? |
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| Author: | Libs [ Fri Jan 07, 2005 6:34 pm ] |
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Chris wrote: Okay, I really need to see Sideways and Million Dollar Baby. Anyone know when they're going wide or if they are? I don't think they're playing near me now. Well, I saw Sideways over two months ago at this point, but there's probably somewhere it's playing around you. An art house cinema, perhaps? I wouldn't count on catching Million Dollar Baby for a few weeks, considering it's only on about 100 theatres right now. They're both going wide on January 28, according to BOM. Million Dollar Baby - 1,500+ Sideways - 1,200 |
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| Author: | Chris [ Fri Jan 07, 2005 6:37 pm ] |
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I live in the Cincinnati, Ohio area. I'll check some of the art theaters. I might just wait until they go wide, since it's easier that way, but I really want to see them. |
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| Author: | Chris [ Fri Jan 07, 2005 6:40 pm ] |
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Okay I found a couple of theaters where it's playing at from Hollywood.com. I might go check it out. |
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| Author: | xiayun [ Sat Jan 08, 2005 1:06 am ] |
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EW normally gets one category completely right, but this year, every one of their predictions looks solid to me. |
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| Author: | Raffiki [ Sat Jan 08, 2005 1:40 am ] |
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xiayun wrote: EW normally gets one category completely right, but this year, every one of their predictions looks solid to me. I completely agree. It looks like they are almost dead on to the perfect safe bets. I read the issue today from cover to cover. They had an interesting little article on how the nominations are determined and it was quite a good read. It gives you a different perspective on predicting nominees. Quote: Best Actor Don Cheadle, Hotel Rwanda Johnny Depp, Finding Neverland Leo DiCaprio, The Aviator Jamie Foxx, Ray Paul Giamatti, Sideways For Your Consideration: Jeff Bridges, The Door in the Floor Leo and Foxx are shoe-ins. With Neverland's up again down again buzz (which is up again) Depp has almost secured his nod. With so many serious performances and real-life based roles, I think Paul Giamatti will sneak in. As for the 5th slot... I think it's between Cheadle and Eastwood, and contrary to what some think is flying under the radar, I think Hotel Rwanda and Cheadle are flying high on Oscar buzz right now. Quote: Best Actress Annette Bening, Being Julia Catalina Sandino Moreno, Maria Full of Grace Imelda Staunton, Vera Drake Hilary Swank, Million Dollar Baby Kate Winslet, Eternal Sunshine For Your Consideration: Julie Delpy, Before Sunset I am giving in to predicting Kate for Best Actress. the only questionable one now is Moreno, though many are saying she is the Castle Hughes spot this year, the point of the Castle Hughes spot was to be unpredicted and now everyone is predicting Moreno. I think there is a lsight chance that Julie will get in there and a slighter chance for Uma to take that spot. Quote: Best Supporting Actor Thomas Haden Church, Sideways Jamie Foxx, Collateral Morgan Freeman, Million Dollar Baby Clive Owen, Closer Peter Sarsgaard, Kinsey For Your Consideration: James Garner, The Notebook Here is another category that have sure bets, 3 of them (Church, Freeman, Owen) I think everyone is starting to get on the Foxx double nominee bandwagon and I think alot of academy members might too, but there is some caution on the bumper of that wagon. For now, I'll go with it. While, I think Sarsgaard would be my pick and prediction as a safe bet there is also... Freddie Highmore from the Neverland bandwagon (not headed by Jackson, mind you) Alan Alda from the Aviator bandwagon (or air-wagon) I don't think those 2 are strong enough themselves to overcome the three roles Sarsgaard will be nominated for (Glass, Garden St., Kinsey) but their respective bandwagons are gaining alot of steam (remember John C. Reilly?) Quote: Best Supporting Actress Cate Blanchett, The Aviator Laura Linney, Kinsey Virginia Madsen, Sideways Natalie Portman, Closer Kate Winslet, Finding Neverland For Your Consideration: Sharon Warren I think this category is dead on. Those have been my predictions for a long time. And I, too, think if anyone else, Sharon Warren will sneak in there. Her predicament (Ray being her first acting gig) can be seen as good or bad. some might be impressed and nominate her and others might not see her as someone who has carried much weight as the other 5 women have in regards to acting history. Quote: Best Original Screenplay The Aviator Eternal Sunshine Hotel Rwanda The Incredibles Kinsey For Your Consideration: Dan Harris, Imaginary Heroes I'm not sure about Hotel Rwanda... that could be the toss up nod. I think Sunshine will finally bring Kauffman Oscar glory. Quote: Best Adapted Screenplay Closer Finding Neverland Million Dollar Baby The Motorcycle Diaries Sideways For Your Consideration: Friday Night Lights there is alot of movies that could sneak in here. They might snub Closer and The Motorcycle Diaries can be replaced easily. But Sideways is a lock to win anyway. Quote: Best Picture The Aviator Finding Neverland Million Dollar Baby Ray Sideways For Your Consideration: Maria Full of Grace At this point these are the nominess, with the only threat being Hotel Rwanda, as simple as that. This is it! There is NO way Maria Full of Grace can sneak in here. Quote: Best Director Clint Eastwood, Million Dollar Baby Marc Forster, Finding Neverland Alexander Payne, Sideways Martin Scorsese, The Aviator Zhang Yimou, House of Flying Daggers For Your Consideration: Michel Gondry, Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind I highly disagree with Zhang's prediction. the other four are shoe-in and I don't think Gondry will get it either. I do think it will be either Hackford, Mann, or Nichols. In all and in my opinion, I think they got 36/40 nods |
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| Author: | xiayun [ Sat Jan 08, 2005 2:47 am ] |
| Post subject: | |
Good analysis. I don't think EW's "For Your Consideration" is same as alternative. FYC is the film or performance or screenplay that they are pushing for and hoping to bring more visibility to it, and that means they don't think highly of their chances right now. I actually have Yimou in my BD predictions as well, mainly because he made two critically-acclaimed films that were released in the U.S. this year, one of which is ineligible, and that pushes the vote to concentrate on House of Flying Daggers for Yimou. Also, after missing the predictions for Talk to Her and City of God, I was pretty sure that EW wasn't going to miss to mention this year's hottest foreign director. |
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| Author: | Dr. Lecter [ Sat Jan 08, 2005 10:51 am ] |
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xiayun wrote: EW normally gets one category completely right, but this year, every one of their predictions looks solid to me. Which means that there are going to be some great surprises 
One thing I can pretty much guarantee. The Best Picture noms won't match the Best Director noms 5:5 |
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| Author: | Dr. Lecter [ Sat Jan 08, 2005 11:30 am ] |
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Quote: Best Actor Don Cheadle, Hotel Rwanda Johnny Depp, Finding Neverland Leo DiCaprio, The Aviator Jamie Foxx, Ray Paul Giamatti, Sideways For Your Consideration: Jeff Bridges, The Door in the Floor Depp might easily be snubbed this year, just like Nicole Kidman was left out for Cold Mountain last year. However, at the moment. I'd give him the edge. I do think that Javier Bardem, despite the movie's failure still has a good chance of being nominated. Eastwood is out, really, I have yet to see him being nominated for anything. Bridges won't get it because the competition in this category is really touch this year. DiCaprio and Foxx are the only locks at the moment. Cheadle is also receiving tons of buzz, so I'd say he is in. Then it's down to Depp and Giamatti. Well, both can miss out and we shouldn't count out Liam Neeson. Personally, I expect Giamatti to miss out because he has been also snubbed in the past (like for last year's American Splendor) and to be replaced with either Neeson or Bardem Quote: Best Actress Annette Bening, Being Julia Catalina Sandino Moreno, Maria Full of Grace Imelda Staunton, Vera Drake Hilary Swank, Million Dollar Baby Kate Winslet, Eternal Sunshine For Your Consideration: Julie Delpy, Before Sunset Staunton, Benning, Swank and Winslet are all close to locks in my opinion. The 5th slot will be between Catalina Sandino Moreno, Julie Delpy and Uma Thurman. I'd give the edge to Delpy at the moment because I don't think that the Academy will nominate a young, first-time actress for the Best Actress oscar twice in a row. As for Thurman, well, she'd deserve it, but as of recently, Delpy is getting more critical acclaim and considering that Thurman wasn't recognized for the more hyped first Volume, I fear the same will happen again. Quote: Best Supporting Actor Thomas Haden Church, Sideways Jamie Foxx, Collateral Morgan Freeman, Million Dollar Baby Clive Owen, Closer Peter Sarsgaard, Kinsey For Your Consideration: James Garner, The Notebook Garner has no chance whatsoever (unfortunately). This might be the category where EW will get all 5 right. They all seem good to me. As Raffiki has said, Chruch, Freeman and Owen are locks while I consider Foxx being very very close to a lock. This leaves the 5th spot open. For some reason I don't believe in Alda's nom maybe because I have yet to see any acclaim for it. It will come down to Carradine and Saarsgard and while I hope that Carradine can pull it off, I give the edge to Saarsgard. Quote: Best Supporting Actress Cate Blanchett, The Aviator Laura Linney, Kinsey Virginia Madsen, Sideways Natalie Portman, Closer Kate Winslet, Finding Neverland For Your Consideration: Sharon Warren I agree. Portman, Linney, Blanchett and Madsen are locks and Winslet is close. Warren can sneak in, but I think that'll only happen if Ray is nominated for Best Picture as well. Quote: Best Original Screenplay The Aviator Eternal Sunshine Hotel Rwanda The Incredibles Kinsey For Your Consideration: Dan Harris, Imaginary Heroes Not much to say here, however, if Hoztel Rwanda gets a nod here chances are good, it'll get a Best Picture nod as well. Quote: Best Adapted Screenplay Closer Finding Neverland Million Dollar Baby The Motorcycle Diaries Sideways For Your Consideration: Friday Night Lights Sideways and Finding Neverland are locks, others are not, but I still agree with that line-up. Maybe A Very Long Engagement can sneak in. (I think it's adapted) Quote: Best Picture The Aviator Finding Neverland Million Dollar Baby Ray Sideways For Your Consideration: Maria Full of Grace Maria full of Grace won't get it for certain. Since I don't think EW will get that many right, I am pretty sure that they'll miss out on one and, surprise surprise, my pick is Ray. I still believe in either Eternal Sunshine or Hotel Rwanda beating it. Quote: Best Director Clint Eastwood, Million Dollar Baby Marc Forster, Finding Neverland Alexander Payne, Sideways Martin Scorsese, The Aviator Zhang Yimou, House of Flying Daggers For Your Consideration: Michel Gondry, Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind Zhang IS possible. Don't forget City of God's director. Don't forget Almodovar for Talk to Her! However, I think that Michael Mann will get it. There is also an outside chance for Almodovar to get it again. As for the others , I agree. |
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| Author: | Mister Ecks [ Sat Jan 08, 2005 2:00 pm ] |
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Yes! Johnny Depp looks so much better that way. Kate looks a bit uncomfortable, though. |
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