World of KJ :: View topic - Most possible huge upset at the Oscars this year?

Dr. Lecter wrote:

neither Pan's Labyrinth nor Volver winning Best Foreign (The Lives of Others instead).

da torri wrote:

Dr. Lecter wrote:

neither Pan's Labyrinth nor Volver winning Best Foreign (The Lives of Others instead).

Quit pimpin' German movies

Dr. Lecter wrote:

*bump*

Time for this to reappear. Currently all of these seem very unlikely. Even Whitaker seems unstoppable right now.

Mr. X wrote:

Actually, you sorta have to edit one of the possibilities, as Volver didn't even get nominated for Best Foreign Film.

Shack wrote:

If Innaritu takes DGA tomorrow I'm slapping someone.

Mr. X wrote:

Dr. Lecter wrote:

*bump*

Time for this to reappear. Currently all of these seem very unlikely. Even Whitaker seems unstoppable right now.

Actually, you sorta have to edit one of the possibilities, as Volver didn't even get nominated for Best Foreign Film.

Author:	Dr. Lecter [ Mon Jan 01, 2007 5:14 pm ]
Post subject:	Most possible huge upset at the Oscars this year?
Well, there are several categores at the Oscars this year where the winner seems to be (almost) locked up. But as we know, usually there is one good upset each Oscar night or two...which one do you think might rather happen this year? IMO, the more likely to happen are Whitaker losing Best Actor (to O'Toole for instance) and neither Pan's Labyrinth nor Volver winning Best Foreign (The Lives of Others instead).

Author:	David [ Mon Jan 01, 2007 5:21 pm ]
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Definitely Forest Whitaker not winning Best Actor. He's the frontrunner, but the film itself has no buzz and the competition is strong (Peter O'Toole, Leonardo DiCaprio, Sacha Baron Cohen). Chances are he will win, but him losing wouldn't be anywhere near as surprising as Helen Mirren or Marty Scorsese losing.

Author:	roo [ Mon Jan 01, 2007 5:23 pm ]
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I vote Forest Whitaker too. It wouldn't be surprising to me. The rest would be pretty shocking.

Author:	xiayun [ Mon Jan 01, 2007 5:30 pm ]
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I'll actually be surprised if Whitaker wins. The reviews on Venus has been better than I expected. I thought it would be all focusing on O'Toole, but now with a score of 83 at MC, a screenplay looks possibile. Also a lot of critics are giving genuine praises to O'Toole, not just out of a pity sentiment. He is going to win it.

Author:	Chris [ Mon Jan 01, 2007 5:45 pm ]
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I'd agree that Whitaker is not going to win Best Actor. To me, though, that's not a huge upset...for that, Jennifer Hudson losing is most likely to happen.

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Author:	Jeff [ Mon Jan 01, 2007 6:05 pm ]
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Forest Whitaker wasn't all that good anyway. I'd not mind him losing.

Author:	Libs [ Mon Jan 01, 2007 6:52 pm ]
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I think I'd be more inclined to answer this question after the nominations are actually announced, it's hard to call an upset when there aren't even any nominations.

Author:	Shack [ Mon Jan 01, 2007 8:15 pm ]
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I wouldn't call Whitaker an upset really, I still have O'Toole ahead of him. My vote is for Hudson losing, or while it's not up there, Babel stealing Best Picture or something.

Author:	torrino [ Mon Jan 01, 2007 8:40 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: Most possible huge upset at the Oscars this year?
Dr. Lecter wrote: neither Pan's Labyrinth nor Volver winning Best Foreign (The Lives of Others instead). Quit pimpin' German movies

Author:	Price [ Mon Jan 01, 2007 8:56 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: Most possible huge upset at the Oscars this year?
da torri wrote: Dr. Lecter wrote: neither Pan's Labyrinth nor Volver winning Best Foreign (The Lives of Others instead). Quit pimpin' German movies I hope The lives of Others takes it. That would somewhat make up for The Sea Inside winning over Downfall, which is clearly the better picture.

Author:	torrino [ Mon Jan 01, 2007 9:06 pm ]
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The Sea Inside was 183x better than Downfall. Downfall was like a TV-movie with a good performance by that Bruno Ganz guy.

Author:	dolcevita [ Mon Jan 01, 2007 11:14 pm ]
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@Ross, that line was hilarious. I mean it, just your delivery. Anyways, back on topic, I must say the best actor and best director upsets are the most likely (i.e. wouldn't be 'shocking'). Mirren losing would be the biggest shocker. Pans or Volver is winning best import, so that's not even on the table for discussion. Neither Venus nor Last King made much splash with the exception of the performance buzz. My guess is Leo comes out of nowhere to take actor. Scorsese is Scorsese. Its never a true shocker when he gets a nom and not a win, though its up in the air who, exactly, would take bd above him.

Author:	Jeff [ Mon Jan 01, 2007 11:16 pm ]
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I sincerly hope the "shocker" is Mirren not winning. I really, really do.

Author:	Dr. Lecter [ Wed Jan 31, 2007 4:44 pm ]
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bump Time for this to reappear. Currently all of these seem very unlikely. Even Whitaker seems unstoppable right now.

Author:	baumer72 [ Wed Jan 31, 2007 6:14 pm ]
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I still think Jennifer Hudson could lose best supp actress this year. There are always surprises in the supp categories. The acting guilds do not make up the entire academy. I think the two lead actors are locks, but supp could be surprises this year.

Author:	MadGez [ Wed Jan 31, 2007 9:52 pm ]
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The four acting categories are pretty much locked up - but if there is a surprise it could be Eddie Murphy not winning. With Scorcese's track record with the Academy - I dare say Director isnt a lock either.

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Author:	Mister Ecks [ Wed Jan 31, 2007 7:37 pm ]
Post subject:
Dr. Lecter wrote: bump Time for this to reappear. Currently all of these seem very unlikely. Even Whitaker seems unstoppable right now. Actually, you sorta have to edit one of the possibilities, as Volver didn't even get nominated for Best Foreign Film.

Author:	xiayun [ Wed Jan 31, 2007 8:18 pm ]
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The only ones I can see are Whitaker and Pan's Labyrinth. Foreign films could be unpredictable as the category has shown before (e.g. Amelie losing to No Man's Land).

Author:	Raffiki [ Wed Jan 31, 2007 8:36 pm ]
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The weakest link is definitely Jennifer Hudson but I'd REALLY welcome a surprise in the Best Actor category.

Author:	Shack [ Wed Jan 31, 2007 10:39 pm ]
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If Innaritu takes DGA tomorrow I'm slapping someone.

Author:	Chris [ Wed Jan 31, 2007 11:06 pm ]
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Actor is still not locked, and I may regret this, but I think an upset is possible in any of the big categories save Actress and Director.

Author:	Bradley Witherberry [ Thu Feb 01, 2007 6:07 am ]
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Mr. X wrote: Actually, you sorta have to edit one of the possibilities, as Volver didn't even get nominated for Best Foreign Film. We have a winner -- that's your "most possible huge upset at the Oscars this year" right there! Volver shoulda won Best Foreign Film, let alone not be nominated - it was a great movie.

Author:	Kenspy [ Thu Feb 01, 2007 1:03 pm ]
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Shack wrote: If Innaritu takes DGA tomorrow I'm slapping someone. About as much chance of that happening as M. Night Shylaman winning via write-in for The Lady in the Water.

Author:	Dr. Lecter [ Thu Feb 01, 2007 4:38 pm ]
Post subject:
Mr. X wrote: Dr. Lecter wrote: bump Time for this to reappear. Currently all of these seem very unlikely. Even Whitaker seems unstoppable right now. Actually, you sorta have to edit one of the possibilities, as Volver didn't even get nominated for Best Foreign Film. I don't think I can edit polls : )