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 Straight-Up: Predict the Best Actress winner! 

Who will win the Best Actress Oscar this year?
Poll ended at Fri Jan 01, 2010 3:08 pm
Carey Mulligan (An Education) 30%  30%  [ 6 ]
Melanie Laurent (Inglourious Basterds) 5%  5%  [ 1 ]
Marion Cotillard (Nine) 5%  5%  [ 1 ]
Helen Mirren (The Last Station) 0%  0%  [ 0 ]
Gabourey Sidibe (Precious) 10%  10%  [ 2 ]
Meryl Streep (Julie & Julia or It's Complicated) 25%  25%  [ 5 ]
Sandra Bullock (The Blind Side) 20%  20%  [ 4 ]
Maggie Gyllenhaal (Crazy Heart) 0%  0%  [ 0 ]
Abbie Cornish (Bright Star) 5%  5%  [ 1 ]
Total votes : 20

 Straight-Up: Predict the Best Actress winner! 
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Post Re: Straight-Up: Predict the Best Actress winner!
nghtvsn wrote:
Put Sandra Bullock playing Julia Child and there wouldn't be BA talk. Stick Streep in Bullocks role in Blind Side and you'd still get the Oscar talk.

Tells me that the Julia role is the more fluffy one. Streep isn't winning BA for that piece. Sorry.


Tells me Sandra Bullock couldn't play Julia Child as well as Meryl Streep did.

I don't care, though. Mulligan deserves this 100% and I hope she wins. She has a shot, IMO, even though momentum for An Education seems to have waned a bit.

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Mon Dec 21, 2009 6:54 pm
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The Incredible Hulk
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Post Re: Straight-Up: Predict the Best Actress winner!
I just don't get all the Mulligan love, sure she was great, top 5 of the year easily but the best???? I just don't get it and I don't see the academy going for it over Streep, Sidibe or Bullock.

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Thu Dec 24, 2009 8:57 am
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Post Re: Straight-Up: Predict the Best Actress winner!
Sandra Bullock may buck Oscar history with role in 'Blind Side'

Popular, mainstream actors like her often miss out when the Academy Awards are handed out, but the inspirational movie may make a difference.

By Susan King

December 31, 2009

If Sandra Bullock is going to win a best actress Oscar for her role in "The Blind Side" she may have one major obstacle to overcome: She's too popular.

In the 82-year history of the Academy Awards, it's been difficult for mainstream actresses (and yes, actors) to win acting Oscars. Included in that list are some of Hollywood's greatest female stars -- Barbara Stanwyck, Mae West, Greta Garbo, Marilyn Monroe, Rosalind Russell, Marlene Dietrich to name just a few.

Even among Bullock's contemporaries, big box-office attractions like Meg Ryan, Drew Barrymore and Cameron Diaz have yet to attract Oscar attention. Which is to say Bullock, who had two blockbuster hits in 2009 -- "Blind Side" and "The Proposal" -- is in good company.

But that may all change for Bullock, a bankable comedy and action star since 1994's "Speed," who until now hasn't had to worry much about making the rounds on the award circuit. Now she's nominated for a Golden Globe for best actress in a drama and a Screen Actors Guild best actress award for "The Blind Side," which has already grossed close to $200 million. (The SAG nomination in particular is seen as a reliable indicator of an Oscar nod).

To be sure, Bullock has received award -- and critical -- attention in the past. She's been nominated for four Golden Globe Awards -- she's also nominated in the comedy/musical category this year for "The Proposal" -- and earned a SAG award as a member of the best ensemble for the 2005 drama "Crash," which also won the best picture Oscar. She also earned kudos from critics for her performance as novelist Harper Lee in the 2006 independent drama "Infamous." But her work on "The Blind Side" has given the 45-year-old Bullock a new level of recognition.

"Blind Side's" true inspirational tale revolves around Baltimore Ravens player Michael Oher, a victim of the Memphis ghetto and a drug-addicted mother who was adopted and given an education by a wealthy white family -- Sean and Leigh Anne Tuohy.

Bullock's performance as the take-charge blond spitfire Leigh Anne is a marked change of pace from her more comedic roles in such hits as "Miss Congeniality" and "While You Were Sleeping." Academy voters often reward stars who go outside their comfort zones.

Take Ginger Rogers, for example. After tripping the light fantastic in musicals with Fred Astaire in the 1930s, she darkened her blond locks to play an unwed mother in 1940's melodrama "Kitty Foyle" and won the best actress Oscar.

Vivacious Grace Kelly frumped it up in 1954's "The Country Girl" and picked up the golden statuette. And more recently, Charlize Theron packed on the pounds to play murderess Aileen Wuornos in 2003's "Monster," winning a richly deserved best actress Academy Award for her effort.

Oscar nominations or Oscars often arrive later in one's career for well-liked performers.

Shirley MacLaine won her first and only Academy Award on her fifth acting nomination for 1983's "Terms of Endearment," nearly 30 years after her film debut. Lauren Bacall had to wait even longer -- more than a half century after her movie bow -- for her first Oscar nomination for 1996's "The Mirror Has Two Faces."

So just why is it so difficult for a popular performer to earn accolades?

"I think that people don't take seriously a performance in a mainstream type of movie," says film critic and historian Stephen Farber.

"Of course with Sandra Bullock that has been her mainstay -- that type of movie that is not really taken seriously," Farber says. "There is an assumption that there can't be much acting involved in doing a light comedy or formulaic inspirational drama, so they get overlooked and undervalued. That's why Marilyn Monroe was never nominated. Rarely do people get nominated playing their familiar persona even though they may do it so well."

Though popular and attractive performers including Clark Gable, Audrey Hepburn, Gary Cooper, Sidney Poitier and Gwyneth Paltrow have won Oscars, Farber believes the academy generally doesn't take "pretty boys or beautiful women seriously," he says.

An exception to the rule, he says, is Julia Roberts, who earned a supporting actress and best actress nomination early in her career for 1989's "Steel Magnolias" and 1990's "Pretty Woman" before winning best actress for her dramatic turn in 2000's "Erin Brockovich."

And now, Bullock is becoming another exception. With her accolades for "The Blind Side," Farber says, "finally there's a belated recognition that she is very good at what she does."

http://www.latimes.com/entertainment/ne ... 3401.story


Fri Jan 01, 2010 2:37 pm
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Extraordinary

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Post Re: Straight-Up: Predict the Best Actress winner!
The best actress race isn't set yet. The dark horse seems like it could pull an upset. The Blind Side could very well be at close to $240 m by the time the nominations are even announced. I think having a late Oscars is helping out Sandra Bullock's Oscar chances immensely as The Blind Side just gets bigger and bigger...


Sat Jan 16, 2010 4:54 pm
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Post Re: Straight-Up: Predict the Best Actress winner!
I'm still rooting for Carey Mulligan. :thumbsup: Even if her movie made as much in its entire run as The Blind Side did in its first six hours.

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Sat Jan 16, 2010 6:23 pm
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Extraordinary

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Post Re: Straight-Up: Predict the Best Actress winner!
It's down to Streep and Bullock! (Sorry Mulligan fans!)

Meryl Streep's speech was much, much better than Sandra Bullock's at the Golden Globes, but I think the fact that this could be the one and only chance for Sandra Bullock to get an Oscar, a $250 m + box office gross, and Streep's previous wins (even though that was 28 years ago), as well as having the film in theaters now will help Sandra Bullock's chances.

Sandra Bullock is getting the best actress Oscar!


Mon Jan 18, 2010 12:31 am
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The Dark Knight

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Post Re: Straight-Up: Predict the Best Actress winner!
momentum is key...


Sure there could be an upset, but if Sandra gets all the attention, I would doubt she would lose.

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Mon Jan 18, 2010 12:33 am
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Post Re: Straight-Up: Predict the Best Actress winner!
Sandra is now looking a better candidate since Drama is more Academy centric award then Comedy. Though Streep's speech was much better it looked more shabby since it came from an actress who has been known for lot of great and different roles bringing the best out of each. Surely this could not be the only one her mother liked ;)

It is still the race between Sandra and Streep. I think so Streep will have to wait another year.

Go Bullock :thumbsup:


Mon Jan 18, 2010 3:34 am
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Post Re: Straight-Up: Predict the Best Actress winner!
Mulligan
Mulligan
Mulligan
Mulligan!
Mulligan!

My chant will catch on and turn the tide.

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Mon Jan 18, 2010 3:36 am
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Post Re: Straight-Up: Predict the Best Actress winner!
be.redy wrote:
Carey Mulligan.

Although I'm thinking Sandra Bullock could be a black horse in this race. She giving off Julia "Erin Brokovich" Roberts-ish vibe to me.


More than a month later I definitely think Bullock is now the frontrunner with Streep the only other option. Streep has two Oscars and a million of noms. This might be Bullock's one and only chance. I think the Academy will bite. Mulligan is dead in this race.


Mon Jan 18, 2010 1:35 pm
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Post Re: Straight-Up: Predict the Best Actress winner!
I, too, see Bullock as the frontrunner, even though it shatters my heart to admit Mulligan is out of the running. :P

I agree with the people who say Streep is not just running against Bullock, but also her own excellent reputation. There will definitely be an attitude of "Streep's great, she's fun in Julie & Julia, but is it this one we award her for?"

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Mon Jan 18, 2010 4:29 pm
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Extraordinary

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Post Re: Straight-Up: Predict the Best Actress winner!
From December 14th:

O wrote:
Sandra Bullock is just building up way too much momentum. The Blind Side looks like it will be at $225 m or potentially more. This will be an audience driven best actress Oscar. The Academy is bending all around to increase its appeal with an expanded best picture list. They are more receptive to the mainstream this year than they have been in years. I think Sandra Bullock's strong, strong year will give her enough momentum to take over the best actress race in the end.

Julia Robert's Oscar winning film role came shortly after a summer where she saw back to back box office smashes, and saw a huge comeback.

I think Sandra Bullock is riding a similar wave and am now convinced she's taking the best actress Oscar next year.


I'm glad I stuck to my gut instinct on this one and ignored conventional wisdom! :cool:


Mon Jan 18, 2010 8:30 pm
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Post Re: Straight-Up: Predict the Best Actress winner!
Yeah the Oscars were revamped to appeal to the mainstream...
I know many who loathe the Oscar as "awarding films that no one watches"... Of course sometimes they award worthy films.


I am doubting the inner workings of the Academy, will allow a film that made 16 million dollars (a great film anyways), beat a mega super successful 2 billion dollar hit. That is also why Sandra will win.

I think that is why its silly to think the Academy will snub all the popular choice and pick all the offbeat choices, even if the Academy choice may be the better one. I think the Academy will pick mainstream films this year and I think if the awards wants to survive and stay relevant it must go on that path.

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Mon Jan 18, 2010 10:01 pm
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Extraordinary

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Post Re: Straight-Up: Predict the Best Actress winner!
From December:

O wrote:
Sandra Bullock is just building up way too much momentum. The Blind Side looks like it will be at $225 m or potentially more. This will be an audience driven best actress Oscar. The Academy is bending all around to increase its appeal with an expanded best picture list. They are more receptive to the mainstream this year than they have been in years. I think Sandra Bullock's strong, strong year will give her enough momentum to take over the best actress race in the end.

Julia Robert's Oscar winning film role came shortly after a summer where she saw back to back box office smashes, and saw a huge comeback.

I think Sandra Bullock is riding a similar wave and am now convinced she's taking the best actress Oscar next year.


I'm glad I went with my gut on this one! :cool:


Mon Mar 08, 2010 7:51 pm
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Post Re: Straight-Up: Predict the Best Actress winner!
Image

Robbed... :(

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Mon Mar 08, 2010 7:53 pm
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Post Re: Straight-Up: Predict the Best Actress winner!
Congrats to O and nghtvsn who picked Bullock back in December!

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Mon Mar 08, 2010 7:55 pm
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Post Re: Straight-Up: Predict the Best Actress winner!
Akhm. I mentioned Bullock first in this thread. :whistle:


Tue Mar 09, 2010 3:46 am
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Post Re: Straight-Up: Predict the Best Actress winner!
But you said Mulligan :)

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Tue Mar 09, 2010 8:13 am
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Post Re: Straight-Up: Predict the Best Actress winner!
What about my Jan 18 vote :thumbsup:


Wed Mar 17, 2010 5:35 am
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