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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 21448 Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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 April 25-27 Predictions
The Accountant 2 25m Until Dawn 12m The Legend of Ochi 5m Revenge of the Sith Re release 24m
We also have On Swift Horses opening, not sure how wide that’s going.
Sinners -33% Minecraft -40%
Last edited by zwackerm on Sun Apr 20, 2025 5:44 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Sun Apr 20, 2025 1:41 pm |
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flip1
Angels & Demons
Joined: Fri Feb 03, 2023 11:02 pm Posts: 229
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 Re: April 25-27 Predictions
Accountant 2: 23m ROTS: 22m Until Dawn: 10m Sinners: -39% Minecraft: -40%
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Sun Apr 20, 2025 5:33 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6699
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 Re: April 25-27 Predictions
Sith presales are insane. Sinners should also have crazy strong hold. So it should be interesting on which movie wins the weekend.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Sun Apr 20, 2025 6:00 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 25162 Location: Classified
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 Re: April 25-27 Predictions
Really hope that Until Dawn does well, looks really cool. But it also looks nothing at all like the game which hasn't been a good omen for this genre. The game is more of a choose your own adventure type than a time loop. Maybe $10M? Probably closer to $8M.
Accountant? I'm stil surprised there is a sequel, but it The Amateur can hit $15M than this should too.
Sinners, Minecraft and Sith should all be close for #1. The prequels really haven't aged well for me, but for some kids those are Their Star Wars movies and it'll be just like the 1997 rereleases.
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Mon Apr 21, 2025 1:10 am |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 23244 Location: Melbourne Australia
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 Re: April 25-27 Predictions
Looks like a surprisingly strong weekend to finish off what has been a very strong month.
Rewatched the prequels a couple of years back and Sith does hold up. Though mid 20s for the re-release is pretty crazy. I guess Gen Z tend to love the prequels so it may not be that shocking.
Also blows my mind to think its been 20 years since Sith. That film was 7 years after the 1997 re-releases which were celebrating 20 years since the original SW.
_________________
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Mon Apr 21, 2025 9:32 am |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 40217
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 Re: April 25-27 Predictions
The Anakin arc is one for the ages including hundreds of years old books and plays, add in unique aesthetic and acting style that both feels updated from 1980s but nostalgic from 2020s perspective and they are deserving classics. The memes obviously went a long way.  Until Dawn should've been bigger but this is the horror struggle period.
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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Mon Apr 21, 2025 12:02 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6699
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 Re: April 25-27 Predictions
I am expecting Sinners above 30m and so it should win. Accountant 2/Sith around 25m and Minecraft should be 20m+. King of Kings above 10m as well. Should be amazing for late April weekend.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Mon Apr 21, 2025 12:22 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 68208 Location: Seattle, WA
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 Re: April 25-27 Predictions
Why is Sith doing so well? What's unique about this release that is getting people out to see it as opposed to seeing it on DVD? I mean, a $25m weekend is not just "a few loyal fans showing up".
_________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE FREE TIBET LIBERATE HONG KONG BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
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Mon Apr 21, 2025 2:12 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 21448 Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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 Re: April 25-27 Predictions
Algren wrote: Why is Sith doing so well? What's unique about this release that is getting people out to see it as opposed to seeing it on DVD? I mean, a $25m weekend is not just "a few loyal fans showing up". Does it have any premium screens?
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Mon Apr 21, 2025 2:17 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6699
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 Re: April 25-27 Predictions
Algren wrote: Why is Sith doing so well? What's unique about this release that is getting people out to see it as opposed to seeing it on DVD? I mean, a $25m weekend is not just "a few loyal fans showing up". Star Wars have millions of fans. That makes it that big a deal. Plus we have not had a SW movie in ages. I am expecting Mando movie to open HUGE as well.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Mon Apr 21, 2025 2:31 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6699
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 Re: April 25-27 Predictions
With 7m Monday, I am expecting 35m for Sinners this weekend.
I looked at Accountant 2 data for the 1st time and it sucked big time. I hope walkups are better or its missing my earlier prediction.
Sith is still steaming along. May be as high as high 20s OW.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Mon Apr 21, 2025 10:55 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 35187 Location: Minnesota
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 Re: April 25-27 Predictions
Sinners for sure!
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Tue Apr 22, 2025 3:29 am |
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lilmac
Veteran
Joined: Wed May 25, 2005 12:07 am Posts: 3208
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 Re: April 25-27 Predictions
Also, Hayden is in a bit of a resurgence among Star Wars fandom.
_________________ I believe in God as I believe that the sun has risen: not only because I see it, but because by it I see everything else.
I was blind, but now I see.
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Tue Apr 22, 2025 10:48 pm |
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flip1
Angels & Demons
Joined: Fri Feb 03, 2023 11:02 pm Posts: 229
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 Re: April 25-27 Predictions
Sinners is likely doubling up Accoutant 2 this weekend, good shot at $40m
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Tue Apr 22, 2025 11:39 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6699
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 Re: April 25-27 Predictions
Sinners is looking at something unprecedented. what is the best 2nd weekend for a movie that opened at 40m+ and not in holidays. That record is done for sure.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Wed Apr 23, 2025 10:14 am |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 21448 Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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 Re: April 25-27 Predictions
Keyser Söze wrote: Sinners is looking at something unprecedented. what is the best 2nd weekend for a movie that opened at 40m+ and not in holidays. That record is done for sure. Uh Avengers Endgame lol
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Wed Apr 23, 2025 11:08 am |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6699
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 Re: April 25-27 Predictions
I meant in terms of % drop. Sinners could come close to its 1st weekend.
Puss in the boots dropped 3% :-) Sinners can do it :-)
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Wed Apr 23, 2025 11:44 am |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 21448 Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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 Re: April 25-27 Predictions
Keyser Söze wrote: I meant in terms of % drop. Sinners could come close to its 1st weekend.
Puss in the boots dropped 3% :-) Sinners can do it :-) That was related to Halloween depressing its opening. Not related to any holiday or the Super bowl look like it was the Sixth Sense.
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Wed Apr 23, 2025 12:08 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 35187 Location: Minnesota
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 Re: April 25-27 Predictions
Is Until Dawn managing to sell any tickets? 
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Wed Apr 23, 2025 6:37 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6699
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 Re: April 25-27 Predictions
Magic Mike wrote: Is Until Dawn managing to sell any tickets?  Not PS heavy movie. Could hit double digits.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Wed Apr 23, 2025 8:15 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 35187 Location: Minnesota
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 Re: April 25-27 Predictions
Double digits at least wouldn't be too bad. Sinners will not help it.
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Thu Apr 24, 2025 12:28 am |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 25162 Location: Classified
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 Re: April 25-27 Predictions
63/53 for Until Dawn right now on tomatoes/meta. Not horrible. I was worried itd be in the red after how long their waited to drop the embargo.
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Thu Apr 24, 2025 3:53 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6699
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 Re: April 25-27 Predictions
Accountant 2 should get close to 3m in previews if you include takes from the early shows on Tax day. Probably low to mid 20s.
Sith was frontloaded big time. 3.5m previews but I am expecting just low 20s at this point.
Sinners to easily win the weekend. 40m+ for sure.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Fri Apr 25, 2025 1:09 am |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 23244 Location: Melbourne Australia
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 Re: April 25-27 Predictions
What can we expect for Until Dawn?
_________________
What's your favourite movie summer? Let us know @
http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=85934
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Fri Apr 25, 2025 7:16 am |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6699
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 Re: April 25-27 Predictions
low double digits. Its caught in a crowded markets with 4 movies above 20m.
Sinners friday is nuts. With good walkups its going to catch up to last friday(minus previews). That was Good Friday. It could increase this weekend !!!!
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Fri Apr 25, 2025 11:29 am |
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