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May 17-19 Predictions
http://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=90520
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Author:  zwackerm [ Fri May 10, 2024 7:37 am ]
Post subject:  May 17-19 Predictions

IF 33m
Back to Black 4m
The Strangers 11m

Author:  Shack [ Fri May 10, 2024 1:59 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: May 17-19 Predictions

Modest 20s opening like the Fall Guy and then it depends on the reviews, if it's bad that and Garfield coming out next week would get ugly for it.

Author:  Flava'd vs The World [ Fri May 10, 2024 2:50 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: May 17-19 Predictions

Flopppppppppp - <$20M

Author:  publicenemy#1 [ Fri May 10, 2024 2:52 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: May 17-19 Predictions

Kinda shocked tracking has this at 40m. I'm gonna guess mid 20s.

Author:  Flava'd vs The World [ Fri May 10, 2024 3:03 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: May 17-19 Predictions

I thought The Strangers would be doa as well, but the horror subreddit seems pretty hyped for it. Apparently the original cut of the movie was 4 hours long, but they split it up and will release a trilogu over the course of the year instead? Kinda interesting, though I also kinda wish they did it like Fear Street and released a chapter every weekend just to see how the box office would go.

Author:  Keyser Söze [ Fri May 10, 2024 7:37 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: May 17-19 Predictions

Presales are trash but this is a family flick. Let us see how things go. I ultimately predicted 29m in monthly game. That would be good in comps to where it is now. Could go even lower.

Author:  O [ Fri May 10, 2024 8:59 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: May 17-19 Predictions

If If succeeds it will be a Shrek type run. Nothing big out of the gate. Garfield will be big though so would need to be exceptional.

Author:  Flava'd vs The World [ Sat May 11, 2024 3:57 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: May 17-19 Predictions

Yeah, obviously in an ideal world people would have enough money and time to see all the movies like we do. But if you're a family on a budget and Garfield + Inside Out are coming out within the next month ... well who is gonna be spending that money on something that the kids might not love?

Author:  Shack [ Wed May 15, 2024 11:41 am ]
Post subject:  Re: May 17-19 Predictions

55% on RT

Author:  MadGez [ Wed May 15, 2024 7:07 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: May 17-19 Predictions

IF 35m
Back to Black 4m
The Strangers 9m (no idea about this one)

I think IF will have a decent OW - neither breakout nor outright flop.

Author:  O [ Thu May 16, 2024 2:28 am ]
Post subject:  Re: May 17-19 Predictions

First big family film in 11 weeks and only the 2nd one since Christmas nearly 5 months later. If will benefit from being something for families. A mid April launch would have been great for it too.

Author:  Shack [ Thu May 16, 2024 10:34 am ]
Post subject:  Re: May 17-19 Predictions

If it does meh I'd second guess the release date instead of going for a holiday legs run.

Author:  Keyser Söze [ Fri May 17, 2024 12:11 am ]
Post subject:  Re: May 17-19 Predictions

Mediocre walkups today. I am thinking 1.5-1.75m preview range. Friday has big show count and hopefully walkups are way better. I am still sticking to high 20s for now.

Author:  O [ Fri May 17, 2024 12:38 am ]
Post subject:  Re: May 17-19 Predictions

I'm not convinced If will do $20M+ yet. It should get there but can see a lot of people skip it who might catch it over the long weekend. Doesn't feel like a rush factor at all. And it's also the season of underperformances it seems!

Overperformance at all will be from no family films and a Monday holiday in Canada.

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